☄️ Is a new global recession on the horizon?

Axios reports that the world may face a third recession in 20 years.

Historically, such shocks have only occurred twice since World War II:

🔻 2008-2009 — Financial crisis
🔻 2020 — COVID-19 pandemic

Now, Trump is stepping in, and his aggressive trade tariffs could trigger a new global economic storm. If affected countries respond with counter-tariffs, the world could experience a third economic earthquake in 17 years.

Bitcoin may suffer in the short term if investors rush into cash or gold. However, in the long run, Bitcoin could benefit. If trust in the traditional financial system weakens, crypto could once again become a lifeline—especially as the U.S. dollar, which today fell to its lowest level since October 2024, continues to depreciate.

💵The End of the Dollar Era?

Bank of America analyst Michael Hartnett: a weak dollar is not just a temporary pullback, but a warning sign of the beginning of the end of American dominance.

The U.S. share of the global stock market has grown from 40% during the 2008 crisis to 67% today. In early 2024, most investors continued to bet on further dominance of American assets, ignoring the risks of recession, a prolonged bear market, and an escalating trade war.

But the situation is changing. Since the beginning of the year, we have seen growing interest in alternative directions, such as the Chinese AI giant DeepSeek and emerging markets. All this is part of a global "liberation of capital," which could initiate a new long-term bearish phase for the dollar and question the U.S.'s leadership in the world economy.

The cycles of world reserve currencies support this hypothesis. Over the past 500 years, currency hegemony has changed every 80–100 years: from the Spanish real to the Dutch guilder, then to the British pound, and finally to the U.S. dollar. Today's geopolitical and macroeconomic shifts indicate that the time of the dollar as the unrivaled global currency is logically coming to an end.

💸The Chinese yuan has dropped to its lowest level in two years against the dollar amid escalating trade war rhetoric.

China will not bow to pressure and will firmly defend its legitimate rights, the Chinese embassy in the U.S. stated after new threats from Trump regarding tariffs.

The devaluation of the yuan could be a catalyst for Bitcoin's growth. If the yuan continues to weaken, Chinese citizens may once again start moving their money into Bitcoin — just like in 2013 and 2015, says Arthur Hayes.

🤣 Trump boasts that his friends made billions of dollars from yesterday's panic caused by his statements about imposing tariffs.

🟠 There aren't enough Bitcoins for everyone.

According to statistics, there are only 58 million dollar millionaires in the world, while only 21 million BTC can ever be mined — and 19.9 million have already been mined.

This means that most millionaires will never own 1 BTC.

😤 Since Trump gave the advice "now is the best time to buy":

🔴 A 90-day pause in mutual tariffs was announced;

🔴 The Fed stated it is "absolutely ready" to stabilize the market if needed (turn on the money printer);

🔴 Exemptions from mutual tariffs were announced for smartphones, computers, and chip-making equipment;

🔴 Trump asked China to initiate negotiations;

🔴 The S&P 500 index added $3.5 trillion in market capitalization;

🔴 BTC price exceeded $86,000 and ETH rose above $1650.

🔽 The collapse of Mantra becomes another scandal in the industry

Yesterday, the value of the OM token dropped by 90% after 43.6 million tokens (4.5% of the total supply) were transferred to exchanges.

🤔 The Mantra team stated that they did not sell the tokens and that the incident might indicate negligence or even deliberate actions by the exchanges.​

Previously, the project was associated with several controversial events, including the presence of multiple online casino owners in the Mantra team and false claims in 2021 about investments from FTX.

🇺🇸 The Trump administration stated that the US may use tariff revenues to buy Bitcoin.

⚡️ CZ anticipates a crypto race between countries

The former CEO of Binance stated that we will soon witness "a race among countries adopting Bitcoin".

📈 Gold at Historic High: $3,500 per Ounce

Gold has officially made history, surpassing the $3,500 per ounce mark for the first time. Over the past six months, the metal's price has risen by 30% — and it seems this is just the beginning.​

This growth is attributed to several factors:​

✅Weakening of the US dollar;
✅Rising geopolitical tensions and fears of a new trade war;
✅Sharp criticism from Trump towards the Federal Reserve, casting doubt on its independence.​
Investopedia

In times of instability, investors are flocking to safe-haven assets. Funds have been flowing into gold ETFs for 12 consecutive weeks, and central banks are purchasing 80 tons of gold per month — 30% more than in 2024.​

Goldman Sachs is confident: this isn't the peak yet. Their forecast suggests that by mid-next year, gold could reach $4,000, especially if doubts about the stability of fiat currencies intensify.