Just need one more map 🏆

Team Spirit keeps making us money 🤑

Team Spirit (-4.5) Rounds Handicap ✅

NaVi look horrible with only 6 matches played in the last 3 months, plummeting from #2 in June down to #13 in VRS ratings 📉 Mirage is the only map where they hold an edge over Aurora, with Inferno being 50/50.

Aurora pick Map 1 and have multiple choices after the bans (Dust2 and Ancient), but it likely comes down to Anubis or Nuke 🏆
Aurora love Anubis, picking it 70% of the time with a 71% win rate, but the interesting option is Nuke. Using our Massey-based rating (round-difference, opponent-adjusted), Aurora are the 3rd-ranked Nuke team over the last 120 days, behind only Spirit and FURIA. Isolating the new roster, they come out #1, not concrete since new roster only have 4 nuke matches, but a strong early signal 📶
Wins over K27 13-3, Nemesis 13-2, and Fokus 13-7 before beating FURIA 16-14 in overtime, with FURIA being the 2nd strongest Nuke team behind Spirit. This is partly due to MAJ3R (0.88 Nuke rating) and Soulfly (0.99) being replaced by Jimpphat (1.08) and Kyxsan (1.03). We haven't seen their Nuke since they beat FURIA because in 3 of 4 games the opponent banned Nuke, and in the 4th it went to a 3rd map that wasn't played. It's hard to tell for sure which map they will pick, but it would be interesting to see them play on Nuke.

Will continue posting daily on the free group soon, meanwhile join VIP for almost daily bets 🟠

FURIA vs Vitality

FURIA +2.5 Map 1 Handicap

Where to BET 🟠

FURIA pick map 1 and will most likely pick Nuke 🇺🇸. They picked Mirage vs Vitality 2 days ago and lost so I don't see why they would pick it again when they are clearly better on Nuke, which is statistically the only map they are better than Vitality on.

🥈FURIA is currently the 2nd strongest Nuke team with Vitality being 5th. Given that Vitality lost to Aurora yesterday on Nuke, which is in close 3rd place on Nuke strength, I don't see a reason as to why Vitality should be favored. Vitality have also lost to FURIA on Nuke 2 weeks ago 6-13. With +2.5 map handicap they don't even need to win, they can lose by 2 rounds and still cover the handicap.

🗺 Map 2 could be Inferno because there is a chance FURIA don't ban their permaban Anubis and ban Dust2 instead, knowing Vitality is so shit on Anubis that they won't pick it anyway, leaving the next best map as Inferno for Vitality.

💙 Ninjas in Pyjamas vs 3DMAX

Bet: 3DMAX Map 1 Winner

This one doesn't even need much analyzing. 3DMAX pick map 1 and their best pick by far is Dust2, they have a 67% win rate making it their best map, and NIP at 20% making it their worst (except Cache which they will almost certainly ban)💥 NIP only have 5 matches on Dust2 in the last 3 months and are on a 4 game losing streak, with 3DMAX on a 4 game winning streak on Dust2, winning against Luminosity, Inner Circle, M80 and INFINITE.

3DMAX are fresh off of the Logitech G Play Connect 2026 tournament win, with NIP winning just 1 out of 5 matches and falling out of the tournament during the group stage, and overall have won only 2 matches in their last 3 tournaments (10 games total). They look like shit, plus the map discrepancy, I think this is very good value 💰

Where to BET? 💲

One more week of bots and the real CS can start. October is stacked. ⌛

🇪🇺G2 vs NAVI 🇺🇦

Bet: G2 to WIN

NAVI has slid to #31 in the VRS rating, and this is by far the worst stretch for this core since it was formed in December 2023. Before now they had almost never fallen outside the top 10, and their previous low was 13th back in September 2025. It's gotten so bad that there is a real chance they miss the Singapore Major in December. 💩

G2, on the other hand, have steadily climbed to 6th in VRS. G2 lead NAVI 3-1 in head-to-head matches this year, including a win in June when NAVI were still a top 5 team, which makes this matchup look even better for G2. 🏆

NAVI will pick Map 1, and it's hard to say what they will choose in their current state. They've picked three different maps in their last three matches, one of which was against G2 on August 30, when they picked Ancient and lost. 🇸🇪

G2's pick is more straightforward, it should be Inferno, with a small chance of Ancient. Even though Ancient was NAVI's most-picked map and one of their best just a couple of months ago, they have fallen off brutally on it, going 0-3 in their last three Ancient maps, including a 6-13 loss to G2 in that same August 30 match, and haven't won on it in four months. A G2 moneyline on Map 2 is also a solid pick. 📈

🇷🇺 Spirit vs MOUZ 😀

Bet: Spirit -2.5 rounds handicap (total)

Spirit win implied probability is 64.5%.
They are on 13 game win streak, and In their last 11 BO3 matches, they've finished on average with +9.9 rounds difference with mouz being at -5.5 round difference in matches they've lost in the last 3 months, so at -2.5 it's a solid choice to get extra value since moneyline odds are only 1.53 💲

Mouz is supposed to start so the possible map veto would be:

❌ mouz ban Anubis

❌ Spirit ban Inferno

✅ mouz pick Mirage

Spirit pick is between Dust2 and Ancient. Just by looking at surface level numbers you would think they would pick Dust2 since it's their signature map with 75% pick rate and are better than mouz by almost all measures, but here's why I think there is a high chance of Ancient 🇸🇪
Ancient is very close to Anubis as a contender for Spirit's best map by strength models with Ancient having more games that anubis, so I would say that Ancient is Spirit's best map currently, and why them picking it is even more likely in this match specifically is because it's also mouz's worst map by win rate and strength models, and Spirit beat mouz 13-3 on Ancient in their last H2H.