Macro still driven by Iran/US headline risk, but Brent is off the highs so panic premium is easing for now. BTC looks constructive after the squeeze higher with OI + CVD confirming, but we are now trading straight into overhead supply.
As long as BTC holds 77.5k–77.8k, bias stays for continuation into 78.43k then 79.2k–79.5k. Lose 77.55k and accept back into prior value, and this likely rotates back toward 76.9k–76.6k. A+ long = hold/reclaim 77.55k–77.8k. A+ short = only on acceptance back below 77.55k.
As long as BTC holds 77.5k–77.8k, bias stays for continuation into 78.43k then 79.2k–79.5k. Lose 77.55k and accept back into prior value, and this likely rotates back toward 76.9k–76.6k. A+ long = hold/reclaim 77.55k–77.8k. A+ short = only on acceptance back below 77.55k.
Macro still headline-led by Iran/Hormuz, so oil and USD remain the main external risk. BTC structure is still constructive though: price reclaimed above daily open/value, CVD is rising, and OI is flat/down, so this looks more like spot bid + short covering than heavy fresh leverage. Key resistance is 78.45k, then 78.88k and 79.36k. Key support is 77.93k / 77.79k; lose that and we likely rotate to 77.42k. Bias stays bullish above value, but I want acceptance above 78.45k before calling for proper continuation.
A+ setups only
A+ Long:
Sweep into $75.6k–$76k, hold, CVD starts diverging bullish, then reclaim $76.8k–$77k. Target $78.4k then $79k–$80k.
Cleaner Long:
Reclaim $78.4k and hold above it. Then target $79.4k, $80k, $80.7k.
A+ Short:
Lose $76k, retest from below, OI rising and CVD weak. Target $75k, then $74k–$73.5k.
No trade:
Between $76.3k and $77.5k unless the footprint gives a clear absorption/divergence signal.
A+ Long:
Sweep into $75.6k–$76k, hold, CVD starts diverging bullish, then reclaim $76.8k–$77k. Target $78.4k then $79k–$80k.
Cleaner Long:
Reclaim $78.4k and hold above it. Then target $79.4k, $80k, $80.7k.
A+ Short:
Lose $76k, retest from below, OI rising and CVD weak. Target $75k, then $74k–$73.5k.
No trade:
Between $76.3k and $77.5k unless the footprint gives a clear absorption/divergence signal.
No long while BTC is stuck under $76.8k–$77.8k.
A reclaim and hold above that zone opens the door back toward $79k–$80k.
Lose $75k cleanly and the next downside areas are $74.3k, then $73.3k–$73.6k.
A+ Setups Only
A+ Long: reclaim $76.8k–$77k, hold above it, then continuation through $77.8k. Target $79k–$80k.
A+ Short: reject $76.8k–$77.8k or lose $75k cleanly. Target $74.3k first, then $73.3k–$73.6k.
A reclaim and hold above that zone opens the door back toward $79k–$80k.
Lose $75k cleanly and the next downside areas are $74.3k, then $73.3k–$73.6k.
A+ Setups Only
A+ Long: reclaim $76.8k–$77k, hold above it, then continuation through $77.8k. Target $79k–$80k.
A+ Short: reject $76.8k–$77.8k or lose $75k cleanly. Target $74.3k first, then $73.3k–$73.6k.
Which Altcoin do you want me to chart today?
Anonymous Poll
25%
$ETH
58%
$SOL
22%
$XRP
13%
$SUI
10%
$HYPE
6%
$ASTER
Flush into 80.5k–80.8k, hold, reclaim VWAP/blue MA, CVD stable or rising, OI not spiking aggressively.
Targets:
81.5k
81.7k
82.2k–82.6k
A+ breakout long
Clean reclaim of 81.7k, hold above it, no immediate rejection.
Target:
82.2k–82.6k liquidity zone
But I’d want confirmation. Don’t want to buy the wick into resistance.
A+ short
Sweep above 81.7k, fail back below 81.4k–81.5k, longs pile in, CVD diverges or rolls over.
Targets:
81k
80.5k
80k if support fails
Bottom line
BTC is still bullish while above 80.5k, but it is not giving a clean chase signal here. This looks like a market building pressure under resistance. Let it either:
Pull back into support and prove buyers are still there, or
Break and hold above 81.7k.
Until then, middle of the range is chop.
Targets:
81.5k
81.7k
82.2k–82.6k
A+ breakout long
Clean reclaim of 81.7k, hold above it, no immediate rejection.
Target:
82.2k–82.6k liquidity zone
But I’d want confirmation. Don’t want to buy the wick into resistance.
A+ short
Sweep above 81.7k, fail back below 81.4k–81.5k, longs pile in, CVD diverges or rolls over.
Targets:
81k
80.5k
80k if support fails
Bottom line
BTC is still bullish while above 80.5k, but it is not giving a clean chase signal here. This looks like a market building pressure under resistance. Let it either:
Pull back into support and prove buyers are still there, or
Break and hold above 81.7k.
Until then, middle of the range is chop.
Bias this morning: defensive / sell-the-rip until proven otherwise.
Best long setup would be a liquidity sweep low → reclaim VWAP → trapped shorts unwind.
Best short setup would be weak bounce into VWAP / prior support → longs fail → continuation lower, especially if NQ stays heavy and oil remains bid.
Best long setup would be a liquidity sweep low → reclaim VWAP → trapped shorts unwind.
Best short setup would be weak bounce into VWAP / prior support → longs fail → continuation lower, especially if NQ stays heavy and oil remains bid.
BTC Long: sweep below local low, fast reclaim above VWAP, CVD divergence, shorts trapped.
BTC Short: bounce into $78.5k–$79k fails, OI rises into resistance, no spot bid.
NQ Short: failed reclaim of VWAP / prior breakdown zone with yields still pushing.
No trade: BTC stuck between $76.7k and $78.5k with no clean volume confirmation.
Do you understand?
BTC Short: bounce into $78.5k–$79k fails, OI rises into resistance, no spot bid.
NQ Short: failed reclaim of VWAP / prior breakdown zone with yields still pushing.
No trade: BTC stuck between $76.7k and $78.5k with no clean volume confirmation.
Do you understand?
😭3
🚨BITCOIN RAINBOW IS ABOUT TO SEND
Look at every cycle on this chart:
peak at the top band -> collapse -> accumulation at the bottom
Right now we are sitting exactly where previous bull cycles restarted
> lower rainbow bands
> accumulation zone
> higher timeframe support holding
Every single time
$BTC
touched this zone – it felt like the trend was over
And every single time that was the beginning of the next move
I've been watching the markets for 10+ years
Look at every cycle on this chart:
peak at the top band -> collapse -> accumulation at the bottom
Right now we are sitting exactly where previous bull cycles restarted
> lower rainbow bands
> accumulation zone
> higher timeframe support holding
Every single time
$BTC
touched this zone – it felt like the trend was over
And every single time that was the beginning of the next move
I've been watching the markets for 10+ years
⚡4
$BTC Cycle bottom forming?
Bottoms take time to build.
Comparing to previous cycles, #BTC could have hit its bottom area.
Every time the green line crossed the red to the downside, we were near a cycle bottom.
Not always the exact low, but close enough.
https://www.weex.com/en/register?vipCode=3ap3
Bottoms take time to build.
Comparing to previous cycles, #BTC could have hit its bottom area.
Every time the green line crossed the red to the downside, we were near a cycle bottom.
Not always the exact low, but close enough.
https://www.weex.com/en/register?vipCode=3ap3
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
This is Anton Kreil.
A kid from Liverpool, raised by a single mother with no money, who walked into Goldman Sachs at age 20 and left Wall Street at 28 with a resume so stacked most people assume it’s exaggerated.
At Goldman, he grew his proprietary trading book from $25 million to over $400 million in just four years. Lehman headhunted him in 2004.
In 2006, JP Morgan paid him a fortune to run their global pharma, biotech, and chemicals trading desks. He retired in May 2007 — just months before the financial system collapsed.
The 16-minute clip below is one of the most authentic trader interviews I’ve ever seen. No fluff, no charts, no bullshit. Just the raw mental framework that made three of the biggest banks on Wall Street compete aggressively to hire him.
A kid from Liverpool, raised by a single mother with no money, who walked into Goldman Sachs at age 20 and left Wall Street at 28 with a resume so stacked most people assume it’s exaggerated.
At Goldman, he grew his proprietary trading book from $25 million to over $400 million in just four years. Lehman headhunted him in 2004.
In 2006, JP Morgan paid him a fortune to run their global pharma, biotech, and chemicals trading desks. He retired in May 2007 — just months before the financial system collapsed.
The 16-minute clip below is one of the most authentic trader interviews I’ve ever seen. No fluff, no charts, no bullshit. Just the raw mental framework that made three of the biggest banks on Wall Street compete aggressively to hire him.
🏆2