Russia isn’t at risk of becoming a Chinese vassal nor is India at risk of becoming an American one.

Why does Poland doubt the US’ loyalty to NATO? 🧐

The Swedish defense chief’s fearmongering is nothing but the laundering of a false scenario under the guise of authority, with the end result being the further acceleration of the surrounding NATO states’ already unprecedented militarization in order to bully…

If it wasn’t for the Africa Corps’ valiant defense of their positions throughout the country, Mali probably would have already fallen, but it now has a fighting chance to survive and foil this Western power play.

What’s the grand strategic significance of the Russian-Indian military logistics pact? 🧐

Poczobut’s release satisfies one of Poland’s three reported conditions for a reset and prompted its Foreign Minister to pledge “to respond with goodwill to gestures of goodwill”, which could lead to a breakthrough in their ties, but it’s unclear what effect…

If the Tuareg end their rebellion, cut off their foreign patrons, and ally with the state against al-Qaeda-aligned JNIM, then elements of the Algiers Accord could be restored, which provided them with the widest autonomy that could realistically be granted…

Why’s the Butyagin-Poczobut swap so important? 🧐

The conservative opposition leader is convinced that he’s destroying Polish-American relations at Germany’s behest.

The common denominator connecting these five questions is the ultimate one about how Russia’s top brass really assesses the conflict’s overall military-strategic dynamics.

Sanctions, bureaucracy, and logistics are the primary obstacles to “diversifying economic ties and correcting the existing imbalance”, but these can be surmounted through SMEs playing a greater role, more localization and procedure simplifications, and optimizing…

Absent a deal with Trump, which Putin could be further induced to agree to if Trump promises to reduce US pressure on some – but not all – of these countries, Russia might lose all 15 of these partners (and possibly even more) with time.

To channel Putin when referring to Syria’s accidental shooting down of a Russian spy plane in late 2018 while trying to hit an Israeli jet, “it is more a chain of tragic circumstances” that led to the Russian-Tuareg War than anything else, and it was also…

The stage is now fully set for this to happen as a result of the South Caucasus’ evolving geopolitics.

It’s now a way for the US to regain Poles’ trust and for the conservatives to gain an edge in 2027.

As with Saudi Arabia’s embrace of Muslim Brotherhood militants in Yemen, this too entails tremendous risk of blowback, but it’s also being done out of perceived geopolitical desperation to restore a lost sphere of influence essential to its security.

The subtext is that Russia is now re-evaluating its assessment of China’s role in the evolving world order.

The ideal balance of interests for Trump 2.0 would be to replace Germany with Poland as its top EU ally for fortifying NATO’s Eastern Flank and not oppose the AfD in the hopes that it’ll come to power and then lead Europe’s rejuvenation.

There’s a growing risk that Tuareg separatism might once again spread from Mali to Niger, and radical Islamist violence could spread further into there and Burkina Faso than it already has, which could prompt direct military interventions by Algeria, Nigeria…

It’s manageable for now, but if it becomes a protracted problem and the US locates its bases from Spain to “Major Non-NATO Ally” Morocco, then the US and the EU might find themselves backing opposite sides in a future Moroccan-Spanish war over the latter’s…