In addition to the influence of conflicts in the Middle East, #CryptoQuant associates the drop in #BTCβs price with a long squeeze in the perpetual contracts market and institutional investorsβ caution.
A similar situation at the end of July caused Bitcoin to fall from $70,000 to $49,000.
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Positions worth more than $523 million have been liquidated, but #QCPCapital believes that the main trigger for the market decline β the situation in the Middle East β is temporary, and market participants are still willing to invest in high-risk assets.
#Opinion #CryptoNews
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However, major investors continue to make optimistic forecasts. For example, according to #StandardChartered, the current decline is due to widespread profit-taking, and this temporary correction is seen as the most favorable moment to buy Bitcoin.
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Amid expectations of stimulus measures, the countryβs stock market rose by 34% in just three weeks, but after the #PBOC's statement that the measures are purely short-term, the Chinese index #HSI fell by 7%.
Now experts expect #China's economic growth to slow down next year, leading to pessimistic sentiments among large investors. Negative factors also affected the price of #BTC, preventing it from holding at the $64,000 level.
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Very soon, the #HBO channel will reveal the identity of #SatoshiNakamoto, but most representatives of the crypto industry oppose the de-anonymization of Bitcoin's creator.
There are at least five compelling reasons for this:
Revealing the identity could put the creator of digital gold in serious danger. He could likely become a target for hackers, governments, and criminal organizations.
The decentralized nature of BTC is supported not only by algorithms but also by the information silence of its creator. This approach prevents events, scandals, or ideologies from influencing the development of Bitcoin. In fact, at this moment, no individual can influence #BTC.
Any news about Satoshi Nakamoto could trigger a surge in the cryptocurrency market, from speculations on one-day meme coins to critical statements or actions that could crash prices.
The creator of Bitcoin is likely to face legal claims from states and regulators. BTC could be deemed an illegally issued security with a vested interest.
There are strong grounds to believe that Nakamoto holds the largest amount of Bitcoins. His de-anonymization and the potential movement of assets could lead to significant destabilization of financial markets.
Crypto enthusiasts around the world emphasize that the right to anonymity is a fundamental principle of cryptography, and revealing identity violates an individual's right to privacy. Among those supporting the secrecy of Satoshi's identity are prominent industry figures such as Adam Back, Lark Davis, and Anthony Pompliano.
What do you think about the de-anonymization of #Satoshi?
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Recently, as a result of a court ruling, the U.S. government gained control over confiscated assets from the Silk Road platform worth $4.4 billion in #BTC equivalent. Considering the government's track record with cryptocurrency, some market participants speculate that these Bitcoins may be sold, which could exert significant pressure on the market.
In any case, such a balance of Bitcoins in U.S.-controlled wallets could create long-term psychological tension for investors and delay the start of a bull run until the market absorbs all the sold coins.
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The FOMC's September minutes, published yesterday, reduce the likelihood of an interest rate change in November. However, today at 12:30 PM GMT, the release of the CPI data is expected to show the inflation rate in the U.S. for September.
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The published inflation data in the U.S. exceeded expectations. The Consumer Price Index for September rose by 0.2%, while the core inflation rate increased by 0.3%.
Additionally, the number of jobless claims reached the highest level since June 2023, totaling 258,000 compared to the forecast of 231,000.
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The #DowJones and #S&P500 indices have reached all-time highs on the back of positive quarterly revenue reports. The U.S. banking sector is also showing growth β for example, #BankOfAmerica's profit exceeded forecasts and reached $25.49 billion.
According to him, the Bitcoin chart shows signs of bearish divergence. If this signal is confirmed, we can expect a liquidity shift toward altcoins. Poppe claims that a key sign of the start of altseason will be a breakout of the 0.04 level by the #ETH/BTC pair.
#Opinion #CryptoNews
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#BTC has broken through the $68,000 level, and analysts have every reason to expect further price increases. The main reasons for these optimistic forecasts include Kamala Harrisβs willingness to embrace cryptocurrencies and develop a legal framework for digital assets, as well as the delay in #MtGox payouts, which has calmed the market and reduced the risk of Bitcoin sell-offs.
This is not financial advice
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According to betting platforms, the Republican candidate is ahead of Kamala Harris by 20.2%, and the total open positions on his victory have increased to $2 billion.
Recently, #DonaldTrump has been receiving active support on Twitter, including from potential future trillionaire #ElonMusk. Meanwhile, more "exposing news" is emerging about #KamalaHarris, which is inevitably affecting her ratings.
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In a recent interview, Michael Saylor stated that his company has surpassed the stock growth of any other in the S&P500 index. Over the past four years, the growth has been 1,540% compared to the index's 111%. Some experts even claim that #BTC is following the rise in #MSTR stock prices.
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This time, the billionaire chose Pennsylvania as his platform. As part of Donald Trump's election campaign, Musk once again spoke about plans to create the "Department of Government Efficiency" β #DOGE, which will oversee taxpayer spending.
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On Friday, meme coins showed the most significant growth compared to the rest of the cryptocurrency market. Leading the way were #WIF, #DOGE, #PEPE, and #SHIB.
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The Director of Market Infrastructure Development, Ulrich Bindseil, and his advisor, JΓΌrgen Schaaf, said that βthe rise of Bitcoin leads to the impoverishment of those who do not own it.β ECB representatives called for the implementation of laws that would lead to the complete disappearance of digital gold. In their opinion, even with rising prices, only early technology enthusiasts will benefit, while those who learned about #BTC significantly later will end up paying for this enrichment.
Experts Ulrich and JΓΌrgen also noted that the spread and rise in the value of Bitcoin will cause "discomfort and disappointment" for people who have not invested in the asset. In addition, elections were mentioned, where participants in the cryptocurrency market could influence the results, forcing politicians to fight for these votes, as seen in the U.S.
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Options traders on #Bitcoin are mainly betting on the coinβs price rising to $80,000 after November 8 β the conclusion of the elections and the Federal Reserve meeting, where the new rate is expected to be announced.
The market estimates Donald Trumpβs victory at 63.5% and the probability of a rate cut at 87%. Both of these events carry bullish potential for cryptocurrencies. Additionally, the possible resignation of Gary Gensler β the head of the #SEC, whose stance on digital assets is considered ineffective not only by industry representatives but even by the U.S. Congress β adds to the positive sentiment.
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In yesterday's trading session, spot #BTC-#ETFs attracted $479 million, with #BlackRock accounting for $315 million of that.
- XRP: 550%
- DOGE: 345%
- ETH: 86%
- TON: 63%
- SOL: 43%
- TRX: 41%
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While #BTC was climbing towards its price peaks in an attempt to break through the #ATH, and all BTC holders were in profit, according to #IntoTheBlock, two more events added fuel to the market:
Meanwhile, Bitcoin dominance has reached 60%, and experts anticipate an upcoming market shift toward altcoins. However, this is likely only after a new potential BTC growth trigger, driven by a key interest rate cut in the U.S., expected as soon as November 7, with a 98% market expectation.
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This may indicate an overheated market and an increased likelihood of a correction. Additionally, according to the #DCA investment strategy, selling some assets during periods of market greed can help reduce the risk of losses, which may put some pressure on #BTC.
Which direction are we headed?
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The metric has risen above 101.6T, causing calculation algorithm failures on some analytics platforms, as such high values were not anticipated in their design.
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