It’s not clear what condition the IRGC are in but the writing is on the wall. You aren’t going to be replenishing your ballistic missile stocks or anything of the sort. From a defense perspective now is the time to strike. Dont wait for your enemy to restart on his schedule and do even more damage to your attrited capabilities.

Maybe this break has been a good thing for the IRGC, given time to restore communications and potentially disperse assets but I have a feeling that the next round of fighting will be different.

Should’ve just kept fighting in my opinion.

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️- The US Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has now begun.

"The blockade will be enforced impartially against vessels of all nations entering or departing Iranian ports and coastal areas, including all Iranian ports on the Arabian Gulf and Gulf of Oman. CENTCOM forces will not impede freedom of navigation for vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz to and from non-Iranian ports." - U.S. Central Command.

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇸🇦⚡- "There is no solution other than land entry into Iran - but a governmental alternative must be established.

There is no solution other than a ground military entry by the US into Iran and a repeat of the overthrow of Saddam Hussein's regime in 2003.

But this time we need to find a successful, acceptable, and secular alternative government on the Iranian street. It would be better if it wasn't Reza Pahlavi.

There is no other solution. They should treat this like the Saddam Hussein regime, and recreate the Bush administration's experience.

The war has not achieved its results, and Iran is continuing with its nuclear program, and has even become more aggressive towards us, towards you [Israel], and towards the US and its interests in the region and the world," - A Saudi Royal tells Israeli Channel 12.

NOW - Péter Magyar says he wants to bring back EU funding to improve Hungary's economy but doesn't support Ukraine's "fast-track accession to the EU" and that "Hungary should opt out" of the 90B loan to Ukraine as "Hungary is in a very difficult financial situation."

@disclosetv

—❗️🇮🇷/🇨🇳 Chinese Defense Ministry:

‘Chinese ships continue to move in and out of the waters of the Strait of Hormuz. We have trade and energy agreements with Iran, which we will respect and abide by.

We expect others not to interfere in our affairs. Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz, and has opened it to us.’

@Middle_East_Spectator

JUST IN - U.S. announces a defense partnership with Indonesia.

Source: https://media.defense.gov/2026/Apr/13/2003911810/-1/-1/1/READOUT-OF-SECRETARY-OF-WAR-PETE-HEGSETH-MEETING-WITH-INDONESIA-MINISTER-OF-DEFENSE-SJAFRIE-SJAMSOEDDIN.PDF

@disclosetv

Rumors of a second round of talks in Islamabad on Thursday.

Unconfirmed of course.

If the Iranians get out of this immediate danger through negotiations it will be a major victory.

New video is out!

https://youtu.be/8MoScxNkxuU?si=IpYcYxDudgFVqzCI

🇺🇸🇨🇳🇮🇷⚡️- BREAKING: A sanctioned, Chinese-linked oil tanker, Rich Starry, has just passed through the Strait of Hormuz despite the U.S. blockade, according to shipping data.

—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 NEW: Maria Bartiromo, Fox News correspondent, interviewed President Trump (it will air tomorrow)

She says Trump kept referring to the Iran War in the past tense, so she asked him: ‘Is it over?’, and Trump said: ‘It’s over’.

Indicating that Trump is truly tired of the war and wants to bring it to an end soon, and there will likely be new talks.

@Middl_East_Spectator

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "Following monitoring and pressure from Iran, a ceasefire in Lebanon will be approved starting tonight

The duration of the ceasefire will be one week and will extend until the end of the ceasefire period between Iran and the United States" - Al-Mayadeen, Lebanese Media citing a Senior Iranian political-security source.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "Senior Israeli official, following reports from Lebanon of a ceasefire starting tonight: 'We have not received a decision or a request to cease fire'" - N12, Israeli media.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- N12 reports that the Israeli cabinet will convene in 4 hours to discuss a possible ceasefire with Lebanon.

🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- "Washington is pressuring Jerusalem to implement a complete ceasefire and refrain from attacking inside Lebanon—starting as early as the coming days. A political source told N12 that the Americans are proposing that the ceasefire be defined as “temporary,” at the end of which—just like in Iran—there will be an ultimatum to resume fighting within a week. Israel has not yet decided on the matter, which was also raised at yesterday’s meeting of ambassadors in Washington.

In any case, the IDF is already preparing for a “stop” signal from the political echelon and has shifted into high gear with plans that may be shelved in southern Lebanon. The Political-Security Cabinet will convene this evening, though, as mentioned, there is still no final Israeli decision on the matter, and cabinet ministers are pushing for exactly the opposite—to resume strikes in Beirut and across the Litani River" - N12, Israeli Media.

—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇵🇰 NEW: Sara Massoumi, a well-known Iranian diplomatic journalist, says no talks with the U.S. are planned for tomorrow or Friday

She says Iran might host a high-level Pakistani delegation in Tehran to hold some discussions.

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇮🇷/🇺🇸/🇵🇰 NEW: Iran’s Foreign Ministry confirms that a Pakistani delegation will land in Tehran today to ‘follow up’ on the Islamabad talks

He confirmed multiple indirect messages have been exchanged with the U.S. since last weekend.

@Middle_East_Spectator

—❗️🇵🇰/🇮🇷 NEW: Field Marshal Assim Muneer has arrived in Tehran, and was welcomed by Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi

@Middle_East_Spectator

It appears that no further negotiations will occur within the two week ceasefire and there has yet to be extensions but one could be agreed upon in the coming days.

The big issues between the parties include the Strait of Hormuz, Nuclear enrichment and a ceasefire in Lebanon.

Iran appears confident in their position and it’s showing with their maximalist demands. Lacking strategic depth means this may only last in the short term if war resumes.

The U.S. seems to be without clear direction on how they want to progress with war. Threatening civilian infrastructure, agreeing to a ceasefire and then closing the strait further is riddled with contradictions and goalpost shifting. An off-ramp may be necessary but this conflict and the restrictions around global trade are servicing a larger strategy.

Israel needs the war to continue not only for the greater Israel project to succeed but also because this is probably their last best chance to get the U.S. involved in another major ground war in the ME. There will likely never be a more convincible pro Israeli muppet in the White House than Donald Trump.