
Trade Watcher
Forwarded from Crypto Insider
Most coins you long have low odds of ever printing big multiples.
But shorting vertical pumps?
It’s becoming one of the highest-probability trades this cycle.
Especially when:
• Coins fly into obvious supply zones
• Sentiment flips ultra-bullish on weak fundamentals
• Market structure remains fragile
Fresh examples:
$SUI, #FARTCOIN, $SOL — setups where shorting might not be "catching a falling knife," but a calculated play.
The market changed.
Adapt — or donate.
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History of Google’s $GOOGL revenue every Q1 since going public:
2005: $1.3B
2006: $2.3B
2007: $3.7B
2008: $5.2B
2009: $5.5B
2010: $6.8B
2011: $8.6B
2012: $10.6B
2013: $13B
2014: $15.4B
2015: $17.3B
2016: $20.3B
2017: $24.8B
2018: $31.1B
2019: $36.3B
2020: $41.2B
2021: $55.3B
2022: $68B
2023: $69.8B
2024: $80.5B
2025: $90.2B
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2005: $1.3B
2006: $2.3B
2007: $3.7B
2008: $5.2B
2009: $5.5B
2010: $6.8B
2011: $8.6B
2012: $10.6B
2013: $13B
2014: $15.4B
2015: $17.3B
2016: $20.3B
2017: $24.8B
2018: $31.1B
2019: $36.3B
2020: $41.2B
2021: $55.3B
2022: $68B
2023: $69.8B
2024: $80.5B
2025: $90.2B
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BREAKING: Trump Admin Eyes Restart of North Korea Talks
The Trump administration is considering options to resume negotiations with North Korea, per Axios.
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The Trump administration is considering options to resume negotiations with North Korea, per Axios.
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Warren Buffett on paying taxes:
"If we send a check like we did last year... and if 800 other companies had done the same thing, no other person in the United States would have had to pay a dime in federal taxes."
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"If we send a check like we did last year... and if 800 other companies had done the same thing, no other person in the United States would have had to pay a dime in federal taxes."
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Tesla $TSLA broke its downtrend and is approaching its 200-day moving average.
Get back above that with a weekly close and things could get interesting.
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Get back above that with a weekly close and things could get interesting.
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A busy week of economic data and earnings lies ahead — all before the FOMC meeting on May 7.
Focus will be on inflation and labor market data, which will set the tone for the Fed.
Earnings season also heats up, with four major tech giants reporting and potentially moving markets.
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep rates unchanged, but investors will watch closely for any hints of a policy shift.
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Focus will be on inflation and labor market data, which will set the tone for the Fed.
Earnings season also heats up, with four major tech giants reporting and potentially moving markets.
The Bank of Japan is expected to keep rates unchanged, but investors will watch closely for any hints of a policy shift.
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Forwarded from Crypto Insider
Since 2018, Binance has recorded 828 total listings — 405 spot listings and 423 futures listings.
Yearly breakdown:
• 2018: 55 spot, 0 futures
• 2019: 27 spot, 2 futures
• 2020: 86 spot, 73 futures
• 2021: 101 spot, 45 futures
• 2022: 27 spot, 22 futures
• 2023: 27 spot, 97 futures
• 2024: 52 spot, 117 futures
• 2025: 30 spot, 67 futures
In 2025, there are already two futures listings for every new spot token — nearly one new contract per day.
The gap between spot and derivatives markets keeps widening, as exchanges race to launch more leveraged products and trader interest shifts toward margin trading.
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China's Huawei Technologies is preparing to test its newest and most powerful artificial-intelligence processor, hoping to replace some higher-end products of U.S. chip giant Nvidia
Nvidia shares down 1.4% premarket.
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Nvidia shares down 1.4% premarket.
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Trump pattern or just a coincidence?
Bitcoin cycle 2016–2017:
Pump into Trump’s inauguration ➔ 34% dump in Q1 ➔ then the real rally kicked off.
Bitcoin cycle 2024–2025:
Pump into Trump ➔ 32% dump in Q1 ➔ rally loading?
Markets seem way less reactive to the tariff headlines now — looks like they’re adapting.
Meanwhile, liquidity has been quietly pumping into crypto over the past week.
Probably pricing in future QE, rate cuts, and trade deals already — like always, we’ll hear about it officially after the money printer is back on.
The pump is good — new projects, more activity, more chances to make money.
But don't get too high on hopium.
Bull markets don’t announce themselves.
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Bitcoin cycle 2016–2017:
Pump into Trump’s inauguration ➔ 34% dump in Q1 ➔ then the real rally kicked off.
Bitcoin cycle 2024–2025:
Pump into Trump ➔ 32% dump in Q1 ➔ rally loading?
Markets seem way less reactive to the tariff headlines now — looks like they’re adapting.
Meanwhile, liquidity has been quietly pumping into crypto over the past week.
Probably pricing in future QE, rate cuts, and trade deals already — like always, we’ll hear about it officially after the money printer is back on.
The pump is good — new projects, more activity, more chances to make money.
But don't get too high on hopium.
Bull markets don’t announce themselves.
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In long-term bull markets, stocks usually outperform real assets like commodities and gold.
Right now, stocks are still outperforming commodities, but they’ve started underperforming gold.
This could be another sign that the big, long-term bull market is nearing its peak.
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Right now, stocks are still outperforming commodities, but they’ve started underperforming gold.
This could be another sign that the big, long-term bull market is nearing its peak.
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California has officially overtaken Japan to become the world’s fourth-largest economy by GDP.
According to the IMF and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, California’s nominal GDP reached $4.1 trillion in 2024, surpassing Japan’s $4.03 trillion.
California now trails only the U.S. ($29.2T), China ($18.7T), and Germany ($4.7T).
Within the U.S., California’s economy is 51% larger than Texas ($2.7T), the second-largest state economy.
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According to the IMF and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, California’s nominal GDP reached $4.1 trillion in 2024, surpassing Japan’s $4.03 trillion.
California now trails only the U.S. ($29.2T), China ($18.7T), and Germany ($4.7T).
Within the U.S., California’s economy is 51% larger than Texas ($2.7T), the second-largest state economy.
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Top 10 most in-demand skills for AI jobs, according to Lightcast and the AI Index Report 2025.
Python is the most sought-after skill for working in AI.
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Python is the most sought-after skill for working in AI.
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Trump:
America can no longer subsidize Canada.
Posting this on Canadian election day is absolutely legendary
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America can no longer subsidize Canada.
Posting this on Canadian election day is absolutely legendary
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BREAKING: Residents in Spain, Portugal, France, and Belgium report major outages.
Airports and subways shut down, communication networks hit.
Madrid's Barajas Airport is out of service, El Mundo reports.
Chaos unfolds.
Train passengers in Spain got stuck in the middle of nowhere. This is insane.
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Airports and subways shut down, communication networks hit.
Madrid's Barajas Airport is out of service, El Mundo reports.
Chaos unfolds.
Train passengers in Spain got stuck in the middle of nowhere. This is insane.
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BREAKING: Residents in Spain, Portugal, France, and Belgium report major outages. Airports and subways shut down, communication networks hit. Madrid's Barajas Airport is out of service, El Mundo reports. Chaos unfolds. Train passengers in Spain got stuck…
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Brazilian equities are still trading at historically low valuations, particularly when adjusted for the growth in money supply.
Emerging markets typically face pressure from two key macro factors:
A strong dollar and rising US interest rates.
Both of these headwinds are likely to be contained, potentially creating a favorable environment for Brazilian equities to outperform, in my view.
Additionally:
In the past, similar levels of undervaluation have often marked significant market bottoms.
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Emerging markets typically face pressure from two key macro factors:
A strong dollar and rising US interest rates.
Both of these headwinds are likely to be contained, potentially creating a favorable environment for Brazilian equities to outperform, in my view.
Additionally:
In the past, similar levels of undervaluation have often marked significant market bottoms.
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