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The hardest part of this game is not finding the edge.
It is believing in the edge during the exact stretch where it stops working.
Every edge has a drawdown shaped exactly like the reason you would quit.
🎯 @trading
It is believing in the edge during the exact stretch where it stops working.
Every edge has a drawdown shaped exactly like the reason you would quit.
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Traders in the oil market used to track "physical flows" for trading decisions, but now they follow Trump's tweets, says the head of commodity markets at hedge fund Citadel.
🎯 @trading
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Meanwhile, a US delegation has arrived in Pakistan.
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The Semiconductor Index, $SOX, has surged for 14 consecutive trading sessions, marking the second-longest winning streak in its history. The index is poised to surpass its record 15-day streak set in 2014.
During this run, $SOX has gained +34.4%, representing the strongest 14-day performance since 2002. The semiconductor index relative to the S&P 500 has reached 1.35, an all-time high.
This ratio is now 42% above the peak of 0.95 seen during the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble. Semiconductor stocks are experiencing a significant surge.
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When asked about the conflict, Trump said, "I have all the time in the world."
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Unknown parties placed a $760 million short bet on oil 20 minutes before the announcement that the Strait of Hormuz was open. This follows a pattern of insider trades linked to key geopolitical events involving Trump and Iran.
On March 23, there was a $500 million short position taken just 15 minutes before Trump postponed strikes on Iran, after which oil prices dropped by 15%. On April 7, a $950 million short was placed hours before a US-Iran ceasefire.
The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is currently investigating these suspicious trades.
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BofA reports that its clients (large funds) are selling the rally in US stocks as the SP500 hits record highs.
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Trade Watcher
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This morning, Trump said he expected talks to start as soon as Friday.
Its so over.
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