interesting.
'The eval comes from a paper the interviewee calls "Generative Simulations of 1,000 People." The methodology:
They recruited ~1,000 people, representatively sampled from the US, into a virtual lab.
They spent ~2 hours per person collecting data, weighted heavily toward a structured life-story interview (script adapted from the American Voices Project), plus whatever behavioral data they could gather in that window.
They sent participants away for two weeks and, in the meantime, built a digital twin of each person from that data.
They brought the humans back and had both the human and their twin complete the same battery: behavioral-economics games, the Big Five personality test, the General Social Survey, and published PNAS randomized controlled trials.
They scored how well the twin's answers matched the human's.'
'The eval comes from a paper the interviewee calls "Generative Simulations of 1,000 People." The methodology:
They recruited ~1,000 people, representatively sampled from the US, into a virtual lab.
They spent ~2 hours per person collecting data, weighted heavily toward a structured life-story interview (script adapted from the American Voices Project), plus whatever behavioral data they could gather in that window.
They sent participants away for two weeks and, in the meantime, built a digital twin of each person from that data.
They brought the humans back and had both the human and their twin complete the same battery: behavioral-economics games, the Big Five personality test, the General Social Survey, and published PNAS randomized controlled trials.
They scored how well the twin's answers matched the human's.'
'Real power is the power to make self-fulfilling prophecies. Outside the “Overton window” of legitimate petty politics is madness and self-destruction, and indeed all the mad and self-destructive people flourish there. And this is just the right side of the Overton window! All Dostoyevsky’s demons, of course, still flock to the left.'
https://graymirror.substack.com/p/a-real-path-to-grand-politics
https://graymirror.substack.com/p/a-real-path-to-grand-politics
Substack
A real path to grand politics
"When there is a real regime change—everyone’s life changes."