#LegCoElection #ProvisionalLegCo #PublicOpinionPoll
HK's Democratic Party announces to entrust a third party to conduct a public scientific survey to decide whether to serve the extended LegCo terms arranged by Beijing

Source: Stand News #Aug20
#NoElection #Postponement #DemocraticParty

Read Full Article: ⬇️⬇️
https://t.me/guardiansofhongkong/24402

#LegCoElection #ProvisionalLegCo #PublicOpinionPoll
HK's Democratic Party to entrust a third party to conduct a public survey to decide whether to serve the extended LegCo terms arranged by Beijing

Citing the coronavirus pandemic, the HKSAR government postponed the Legislative Council Election, originally supposed to take place in September 2020, for a year last month. Despite the criticism of intervening Hong Kong's affairs, China's Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress (NPC) has announced the extension of the term of incumbent lawmakers by a year. The pro-democracy front in Hong Kong is currently caught in a dilemma of whether to serve or boycott the coming LegCo term.

On 20 August, 2020, Democratic Party announced to entrust a creditable polling organisation to conduct a public scientific survey and emphasised to respect public opinion as to the basis of their final decision.

Chairman Wu Chi-wai stated that even the Democratic Party tended to stay, they would let the public decide if they stay or boycott.

Seven incumbents lawmakers from Democratic Party include Wu Chi-wai, James To Kun-sum, Lam Cheuk-ting, Helena Wong Pik-wan, Roy Kwong Chun-Yu, Ted Hui Chi-Fung, and Andrew Wan Siu-kin.

Hong Kong Public Opinion Research Institute (#HKPORI) has conducted a relevant latelt and the results are to be published on 21 August 2020. HKPORI deputy CEO Chung Kim-wah stated that the result might have high deviation since the survey sampling is not universal and therefore it can only be taken as a reference . Thus, another representative public survey will be arranged, and the result should be ready before 30 September, berfore this term of Legislative Council officially ends.

Some incumbent lawmakers in the democratic front released a joint declaration on 17 August concerning their intent o stay on. However, Raymond Chan Chi-Chuen from People Power and Eddie Chi Hoi-dick from Council Front have expressed their stance openly that they would boycott the next council. Cheng Chung-tai from Civic Passion has already declared that he would stay.

[Editor's note:
Civic Party stated in a press conference held on the evening of August 2p that they inclined to stay in the council but will support the Democratic Party's proposal by letting the public decide in an opinion poll.]

Source: Stand News #Aug20
#NoElection #Postponement #DemocraticParty

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Reading the 3-part Series on Democracy Front's Debates on Whether Incumbent Pro-dem Lawmakers shall Serve in Extended Term Under Beijing's LegCo Arrangement:

Part 1:
https://t.me/guardiansofhongkong/24384

Part 2:
https://t.me/guardiansofhongkong/24385

Part 3:
https://t.me/guardiansofhongkong/24386

#PublicOpinionPoll #Anaylsis
Should Incumbent Lawmakers Serve in Extended Term Under Beijing's LegCo Arrangement?

HK Public Opinion Research Institute (#HKPORI) released two sets of survey results from online discussion groups and phone interviews, randomly sampled.

Q: The Standing Committee of the National People's Congress has extended the current LegCo term for no less than 1 year. Do you agree or disagree for incumbent lawmakers to serve in the extended term?

Survey results:
• Online opinion groups: Agree 35%；Disagree 47% Sampling threshold +/- 1%
• Random phone interview: Agree 37%；Disagree 41% Sampling threshold +/- 3%

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A few reflections are offered by CUHK lecturer and research Dr. Leung Kai-chi:

1. Methodology

Two sets of survey results were devised from different methodologies,
Since netizens and political figures were involved in mobilizing citizens to register and take part in this survey, this set of survey result can be used as a reference to those being politically influenced.

Interviews via phone calls (including landline and mobile) were randomly sampled, not being directly influenced by political opinion leaders. These set of survey result can be regarded as an overall reflection of the mass population in Hong Kong.


2. Beyond Methodology

Leading researcher of the survey, Dr Leung Kai-chi explained, “methodology cannot be a solution to all the problems as some are matters of value judgement.” For instance, should a lawmaker make a deciaion in accordance to HK people’s opinion or his potential supporters? In the same light, should legislators of Functional Constituencies only look into opinions of his/her constituency, disregarding the rest? Should there also be a middle-ground / alternative solution, or should lawmakers only follow a dominant opinion with an absolute majority support?

Dr Leung admitted that many disagreements may arise. He said “I do not have an answer to them. Hopefully, we can face these questions unruffled and in unity.”

Source: Dr Leung Kai-chi’s Facebook #Aug21
https://www.facebook.com/594642803906393/posts/3197828276921153/

#ProvisionalLegCo #Methodology #LeungKaiChi

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Further Reading:

#HKPORI Public opinion poll: a large majority of 76% Hong Kong citizens reject “Health Code” https://t.me/guardiansofhongkong/24410