#Research
HKU estimates 232,000 infected in Wuhan in mid-February, 2.8 times the reported total for China
There are more than a million cases of Wuhan coronavirus in Europe and the United States and yet the epidemic has not even peaked. In stark contrast, mainland China, the country where the outbreak started, has only about 82,000 cases, leading the public to question the true scale of the outbreak. The Hong Kong University School of Public Health's WHO Collaborating Centre for Epidemiology and Control of Infectious Diseases has found that had mainland China broadened its case definition criteria earlier; and screened all those with respiratory symptoms, who have been to Wuhan and surrounds, or who have been in contact with suspected cases; it is estimated that by 20 February, the number of patients with Wuhan pneumonia would have reached 232,000, about 2.8 times the current reported total cases in the mainland.
//The study further pointed out that the mainland officially announced 1 January as the date of disease onset for 114 patients. However had the mainland adopted the fifth edition of the criteria at that point in time, 11,000 patients would have been identified with onset on 1 January, an increase of 96 times.//
Full translation:
https://telegra.ph/HKU-estimates-232000-infected-in-Wuhan-in-mid-February-28-times-the-reported-total-for-China-04-28
Sources: Apple Daily HK ; The Lancet, April 2020
#Coronavirus #Wuhan #China #Infected #Data
HKU estimates 232,000 infected in Wuhan in mid-February, 2.8 times the reported total for China
There are more than a million cases of Wuhan coronavirus in Europe and the United States and yet the epidemic has not even peaked. In stark contrast, mainland China, the country where the outbreak started, has only about 82,000 cases, leading the public to question the true scale of the outbreak. The Hong Kong University School of Public Health's WHO Collaborating Centre for Epidemiology and Control of Infectious Diseases has found that had mainland China broadened its case definition criteria earlier; and screened all those with respiratory symptoms, who have been to Wuhan and surrounds, or who have been in contact with suspected cases; it is estimated that by 20 February, the number of patients with Wuhan pneumonia would have reached 232,000, about 2.8 times the current reported total cases in the mainland.
//The study further pointed out that the mainland officially announced 1 January as the date of disease onset for 114 patients. However had the mainland adopted the fifth edition of the criteria at that point in time, 11,000 patients would have been identified with onset on 1 January, an increase of 96 times.//
Full translation:
https://telegra.ph/HKU-estimates-232000-infected-in-Wuhan-in-mid-February-28-times-the-reported-total-for-China-04-28
Sources: Apple Daily HK ; The Lancet, April 2020
#Coronavirus #Wuhan #China #Infected #Data
Telegraph
HKU estimates 232,000 infected in Wuhan in mid-February, 2.8 times the reported total for China
There are more than a million cases of Wuhan coronavirus in Europe and the United States and yet the epidemic has not even peaked. In stark contrast, mainland China, the country where the outbreak started, has only about 82,000 cases, leading the public to…