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Do not touch the falling knife !!! Market proverbπŸ˜‡
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 1 Feb 26

β˜•οΈBudget 26, Spending On Defence, MSMEs And India's Growth In Focus. Positive for multiple

β˜•οΈGold & silver fell down badly after spectacular run up, many metal fell down. Negative for Metals

β˜•οΈIndia Sees Scope For Robust US Trade Deal After EU Pact. Positive overall

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is flat . FII bought good & DII sold small

NIFTY likely to be Sideways.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 24800 level & Resistance at 26000.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 58500 & Resistance at 60500.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25320, Fii & Pro bearish, Tech holding, Budget day volatility expected, it may go up 25400 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
❀1
Budget day 1 Feb 26, Special trading day ! Both NSE & BSE open as normal & work fullday !
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 2 Feb 26

β˜•οΈ Indian Railways to see record capex of β‚Ή2.92 trillion in FY27. Positive for multiple

β˜•οΈSTT hike is a big blow to High frequency trading by Big players. Negative for Fii & Pro

β˜•οΈOver β‚Ή1 trillion earmarked for the nation's health. Positive for Healthcare

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is negative . FII sold small & DII sold small

NIFTY likely to be Sideways.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 24400 level & Resistance at 25200.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 57600 & Resistance at 59200.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 24825, Fii & Pro bearish, Tech negative, it may test 24700 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
πŸ‘2
What triggered the market panic selling by the Budget?

It is STT hike, Security transaction Tax. STT on Futures to 0.05 percent from present 0.02 percent. STT on Options raised to 0.15% from present 0.1 & 0.125%.

Actually from retailer point of view, those who do futures or options, there will be some impact. 1 futures will be about 400 to 500 Rs increase. & for 1 option about 10 to 20Rs depending on which we buy / sell.

Say a person does 10 trades or 20 option trades, the tax increase will be about 100 to 200 Rs approx.

This affect the retail traders those who do 10 to 20 trades or high volumes for sure ! But those who do only Equity , there is no impact ( even for intraday ).

But the real big impact, to Fii & PRO. Many Fii do High Frequency trading with automation. It execute many thousands of traders in fraction of seconds. The STT apply same to them and no escape possible.

This actually kill the HFT !!! Because they operate small value gain with huge numbers. That small value get evaporated due to STT hike. This actually spooked the market and made big sell off ! Actually if we see the cash segment, both fii & dii sold small value only, it cannot drag nifty about 500 pts+

What can happen next? Some possible scenarios,

1. The increased STT, make the business uncompetitive and Fii try to move away from india. If that happen, it is actually good for retail traders. There will be no big spikes and wild swings in intraday !

2. The HFT trading volume may reduce. This also help a bit to reduce high volatility.

3. The HFT may change the parameters to slightly higher spread, again this becomes somewhat difficult for them.

So overall, it hit the belly of Fii HFT people. We have seen the market reaction immediately.

But the overall impact for Bharat is positive due to this. Because govt gain more taxes, it will be huge actually 78000 Cr in 2026, may double !!!, some collateral damage to retail intraday traders also. πŸ‘

Otherwise the Budget is Growth Oriented and Positive !!! βœ…

Happy investing 🌷
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 3 Feb 26

β˜•οΈIndia, US agree to a trade deal; reciprocal tariff reduced to 18%. Positive overall

β˜•οΈSTT Hike: Arbitrage Funds Can See Up To 20-30-Basis-Point Reduction In Returns. Negative for some MF

β˜•οΈAuto Sales Surge In January As Maruti, Tata, Mahindra, Hyundai Post Strong Growth. Positive for Auto

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is huge positive . FII sold normal & DII bought normal

NIFTY likely to be Positive.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 24600 level & Resistance at 26000.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 58000 & Resistance at 60000.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25088, OI calm, Tech turn up, it may go upt 25500 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 4 Feb 26

β˜•οΈUS trade deal could push India's growth above forecast. Positive overall

β˜•οΈGems, Jewellery Sector Anticipate Export Boost As US Tariffs Drop To 18%. Positive for Jewelry

β˜•οΈUS deal, FTAs likely to stitch a new growth story for textiles sector. Positive for Textile

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is mild negative . FII bought huge & DII bought normal

NIFTY likely to be sideways.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25200 level & Resistance at 26200.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 59400 & Resistance at 60500.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25727, OI steady, Tech gap up, it may go up to 25900 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 5 Feb 26

β˜•οΈIndia’s electric two-wheeler (E2W) market is expected to rebound sharply 16%+ in 27. Positive for EV

β˜•οΈAnthropic's new AI tools deepen selloff in data analytics and software stocks. Negative for IT

β˜•οΈBharat Taxi' With Zero Commision, Surge- Free Pricing To Launch On Feb. 5. Positive for Multiple

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is mild positive . FII bought negligible & DII bought very small

NIFTY likely to be sideways.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25300 level & Resistance at 26300.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 59500 & Resistance at 60700.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25776, OI very calm, Tech positive, it may go up to 25900 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
The below is one of the best and clear guidance from Expert Mr. Julian Komar !

My personal message to all traders who …
- blew up accounts πŸ’₯
- suffered big losses πŸ’Έ
- went through a very deep draw down πŸ“‰

Big losses must not end trading careers!
Refusing to face the TRUTH does!

I’ve worked with traders who blew up accounts.
One big loss in a stock or multiple big losses.
Sometimes the death of thousand cuts.

What stopped most of them wasn’t the market or the loss.
It was what happened AFTER the losses.

Here’s the hard part β€” and a potential way out πŸ‘‡

1) You must make PEACE with the loss.
Not tomorrow. Not later. NOW.
That money is gone. Forever.
If you trade to β€œmake it back”, you’re already compromised. Every decision will be distorted.
It's always there: conscious or unconscious!

2) Stop running from it. Confront it.
Take full RESPONSIBILITY. No excuses. No market blame.
Say it out loud if you have to. To your partner. To your family.
It hurts β€” but relief only comes after honesty.
The RELIEF enables a restart!

3) Forget recovery. Focus on RESTART.
Your goal is not to repair the past.
Your goal is to become a profitable trader from this point forward.
Those are two very different missions.
You can only achieve that if you don't think about the loss anymore!

4) Rebuild your TRADING EDGE from scratch.
This takes work. Real, hard work.
Hundreds of hours studying, testing, refining a system that actually fits you.
If needed, get help. Pride is expensive.

5) Only then does MINDSET work matter.
Discipline doesn’t come from willpower.
It comes from trust in your system!
When you know your system works LONG-TERM, following rules becomes natural.
That's why you have to put in the work!! CONVINCE yourself!

6) Commit to ROUTINES - even if they are boring..
Same prep. Same process. Same execution.
Day after day.
Progress will be slow β€” and that’s a good sign.
Track how good you stick to your plan and routines.

The more space the old loss occupies in your head, the less room there is for clear decisions.

So do the hardest thing first:
Let it go. Face the truth!

Not because it didn’t matter β€”
but because your future matters more.

I’ve seen traders come back from places that looked impossible.
Not by chasing.
By restarting, properly.

You can do that too.πŸ‘πŸ’°πŸ†
πŸ‘1
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 6 Feb 26

β˜•οΈThe U.S., EU & many others trade deal, push market above all time high soon. Positive overall

β˜•οΈSilver Tanks 10% On MCX, Gold Slides -3%, Rs 2,310 Amid Strong US Dollar. Negative for G&S

β˜•οΈgovernment has increased capital spending for the defense sector. Positive for Defense

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is mild negative . FII sold more & DII bought normal

NIFTY likely to be sideways.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25200 level & Resistance at 26200.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 59400 & Resistance at 60700.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25642, OI bit bearish, Tech bit weak, it may go up to 25700 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 9 Feb 26

β˜•οΈGig hiring likely to surge in 2026 as qcom, ecom expand beyond metros. Positive overall

β˜•οΈFarmers' bodies slam govt over India-US deal, says deal opened agri sector . Negative for Agri

β˜•οΈIndia, Malaysia sign 11 agreements, boost semicon and defense tie. Positive for Multiple

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is positive . FII bought normal & DII sold normal

NIFTY likely to be Positive.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25200 level & Resistance at 26300.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 59600 & Resistance at 60900.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25693, OI mixed, Tech steady, it may go up to 25850 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 10 Feb 26

β˜•οΈCorporate India's capital expenditure cycle shifts into top gear. Positive for Capex

β˜•οΈEarnings set for strong rebound in FY27 after weak FY26 . Positive overall

β˜•οΈGross NPAs of SCBs hit a historic low of 2.15% as of Sept. 2025. Positive for Bank

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is mild positive . FII bought good & DII bought negligible

NIFTY likely to be Sideways.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25300 level & Resistance at 26300.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 59700 & Resistance at 61000.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25867, OI quiet, Tech positive, it may go up to 25950 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 11 Feb 26

β˜•οΈIndia's unemployment rate eased to a three-quarter low of 4.8% in Q3FY26. Positive overall

β˜•οΈEquity MF inflows slid 14.3% on geopolitics in January . Negative overall

β˜•οΈRural mkt boost drives passenger vehicle sales up 7% in Jan. Positive for Auto

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is mild positive . FII bought negligible & DII bought normal

NIFTY likely to be Sideways.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25300 level & Resistance at 26300.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 59700 & Resistance at 61000.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25935, OI calm, Tech inching up, it may go up to 26050 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 12 Feb 26

β˜•οΈCapex outlay in Budget to be force multiplier for Viksit Bharat. Positive for Infra

β˜•οΈGovt May Fall Short Of FY26 Direct Tax Target By Rs 1.5-2 Lakh Crore . Negative overall

β˜•οΈIndia’s Nutraceutical sector can grow 10 times with CARG of 15 to 18%. Positive for Nutraceutical

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is mild negative . FII bought normal & DII sold very small

NIFTY likely to be Sideways.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25400 level & Resistance at 26300.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 59800 & Resistance at 61200.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25935, OI very calm, Tech holding, it may go up to 26050 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
❀1
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 13 Feb 26

β˜•οΈDefense Acquisition Council Approves Rs 3.60 Lakh Crore Procurement. Positive for Defense

β˜•οΈNifty IT index tumbles over 4%, fear of new AI tool disrupt business . Negative for IT

β˜•οΈGST rate cut benefits begin reflecting in FMCG Q3 numbers. Positive for FMCG

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is negative . FII bought small & DII also bought small

NIFTY likely to be Negative.

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25300 level & Resistance at 26200.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 59600 & Resistance at 61100.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25807, OI mixed, Tech weak, it may test 25700 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 16 Feb 26

β˜•οΈOMCs, banks drove India Inc's steepest profit rise in 8 qtrs. Positive for OMC & Bank

β˜•οΈInvestor concerned about major tech companies taking on significant debt for AI development . Negative for IT

β˜•οΈGold & silver in long term uptrend, but with short term volatility. Positive for Gold & silver

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is negative . FII sold massive & DII bought very good but less

NIFTY likely to be Sideways

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25100 level & Resistance at 26000.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 59200 & Resistance at 60600.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25471, OI bearish, Tech turn negative, it may test 25350 & turn !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 17 Feb 26

β˜•οΈBargain buying lifts markets as Sensex, Nifty rebound 0.8% after sharp fall. Positive overall

β˜•οΈRBI's new capital market amendments will hike funding costs for brokerages. . Negative overall

β˜•οΈTamil Nadu Inks MoUs For Rs 5,900 Crore Investment In Semiconductors, Aerospace Sectors. Positive for Electronics

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is mild negative . FII sold normal & DII bought normal

NIFTY likely to be Sideways

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25200 level & Resistance at 26100.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 59800 & Resistance at 61700.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25682, OI calm, Tech try to reverse, it may go up 25800 & turn !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 18 Feb 26

β˜•οΈIndian exporter secures US order for 5,000 tonnes basmati rice. Positive for Agri

β˜•οΈGold and silver prices have seen significant drops, with gold fall 16% , silver by 38%. Negative for Metal

β˜•οΈIndia Inc could raise a cool $100 billion as RBI eases ECB norms. Positive overall

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is mild positive . FII bought normal & DII bought small

NIFTY likely to be Sideways

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25200 level & Resistance at 26200.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 60100 & Resistance at 61900.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25725, OI quiet, Tech turn positive, it may go up 25850 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄
Morning Coffee by GRC β˜•οΈ Date : 19 Feb 26

β˜•οΈGovt looks to unlock β‚Ή80,000 crore via rail PSU stake sales by FY30. Positive for Railways

β˜•οΈIran-US Tensions: America Deploys F-35, F-22 and F-16 Jets To Middle East. Negative overall

β˜•οΈPSU banks and capex stocks leading market gains. Positive for PSU

β˜•οΈ Gift Nifty is mild positive . FII bought normal & DII bought small

NIFTY likely to be Sideways

Open interest analysis of NIFTY : Support at 25300 level & Resistance at 26300.

Open interest analysis of Bank NIFTY : Support at 60500 & Resistance at 62300.

How to use the above information?

Example, Nifty at 25819, OI mild bullish, Tech positive, it may go up 25900 !

See the Technical chart for confirmation before taking position, & increase your chance of winning!πŸ†

GRC
R.Vaidhyanathan - Founder
90800 63187

PS : Feel free to clarify your doubts about any investment 🌺 Happy investing πŸͺ΄