A bullish move for GBP PAIRS. Buy if you can especially GBPNZD, GBPCAF, GBPAUD
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Jackson Hole is happening soon; this might be Powell's last Jackson Hole
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Will Powell be dovish or hawkish? Jackson Hole will confirm that today. A stronger dollar and wesker gold before Jackson Hole is telling us something
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the beauty of fundamental analysis? i bet this is the first time majority of retail traders are hearing about Jackson Hole. i tell you fundamental analysis moves the market. This is not about the recent spike to the downside, but rather the short-term, medium-term, and long-term impact on the greenback.
Here are the key takeaways from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s prepared remarks at the Kansas City Fed’s economic symposium on Friday:
1. Powell left the door open to an interest-rate cut at the Fed’s Sept. 16-17 meeting, saying, “the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance”
2. The Fed chair also said “the stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance”
3. On the labor market, Powell said while it “appears to be in balance, it is a curious kind of balance that results from a marked slowing in both the supply of and demand for workers. This unusual situation suggests that downside risks to employment are rising”
4. A “reasonable base case” is that tariffs create a “one time” shift up in the price level, but those effects will take time to fully work their way into the economy, Powell said
5. “In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks to employment to the downside—a challenging situation,” Powell said
6. Powell said the Fed has adopted a new framework that removes a reference to the central bank seeking inflation that averages 2% over time and one to it making decisions on employment based on shortfalls from its maximum level
Here are the key takeaways from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s prepared remarks at the Kansas City Fed’s economic symposium on Friday:
1. Powell left the door open to an interest-rate cut at the Fed’s Sept. 16-17 meeting, saying, “the baseline outlook and the shifting balance of risks may warrant adjusting our policy stance”
2. The Fed chair also said “the stability of the unemployment rate and other labor market measures allows us to proceed carefully as we consider changes to our policy stance”
3. On the labor market, Powell said while it “appears to be in balance, it is a curious kind of balance that results from a marked slowing in both the supply of and demand for workers. This unusual situation suggests that downside risks to employment are rising”
4. A “reasonable base case” is that tariffs create a “one time” shift up in the price level, but those effects will take time to fully work their way into the economy, Powell said
5. “In the near term, risks to inflation are tilted to the upside, and risks to employment to the downside—a challenging situation,” Powell said
6. Powell said the Fed has adopted a new framework that removes a reference to the central bank seeking inflation that averages 2% over time and one to it making decisions on employment based on shortfalls from its maximum level
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Now understand something that is happening here; it is not about the DXY (Dollar index (Greenback)) analysis I posted alongside gold. Like i have always said, your technical analysis is the reflection of the aftermath of the impact of fundamental analysis as seen by the market.
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The funny thing retailers do, is after this event, they fail to look for the short term, mid term and long term impact of this on the market. They just focus on the technical analysis. Not knowing they have missed the major details of price movement for next 3 to 6 months.
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Some don't even care about this. I bet, many were caught in this Powell speech at Jackson Hole today.
Now tell me, how do you profit from the market you knew nothing about fundamentally?
Now tell me, how do you profit from the market you knew nothing about fundamentally?
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Like I’ve always said, anyone can start trading and master a particular technical strategy in less than 6 months. But is that enough to succeed in the market?
Many traders keep jumping from one technical analysis method to another because a mentor told them it was the holy grail. These mentors often never mention fundamental analysis. They just talk about SMC, ICT, demand and supply, Bystral, etc. But that’s only a fraction of what truly drives the market.
Think about it: Do you really know what drives price? What determines market sentiment and bias? Why the market becomes volatile at certain times? Or how long a piece of news will impact price movements? Without these, you’re just speculating.
Now ask yourself: why do stock traders and investors buy a particular stock? Is it purely because of technical charts? Or because they heard the company is planning to diversify, introduce new innovations, or announce a major deal? Most investors buy into stocks because of news and fundamentals.
For example, if Dangote Refinery announced plans to sell shares to the public by 2026, what do you think would happen to Dangote shares that year? That news alone would attract massive local and foreign investment.
The same principle applies to Forex. Fundamental information drives price, creates volatility, and sets market direction. Positive news builds confidence, while negative news triggers fear and panic selling.
Yes, Forex traders focus on short-term price movements (unlike long-term investors who hold assets for 5–10 years). But the truth remains: institutions and big players still rely on fundamentals. They enter and exit currency positions based on key economic indicators such as interest rate hikes or cuts, GDP growth, inflation, unemployment data, and central bank monetary policies.
This is the core of Fundamental Analysis.
Many traders keep jumping from one technical analysis method to another because a mentor told them it was the holy grail. These mentors often never mention fundamental analysis. They just talk about SMC, ICT, demand and supply, Bystral, etc. But that’s only a fraction of what truly drives the market.
Think about it: Do you really know what drives price? What determines market sentiment and bias? Why the market becomes volatile at certain times? Or how long a piece of news will impact price movements? Without these, you’re just speculating.
Now ask yourself: why do stock traders and investors buy a particular stock? Is it purely because of technical charts? Or because they heard the company is planning to diversify, introduce new innovations, or announce a major deal? Most investors buy into stocks because of news and fundamentals.
For example, if Dangote Refinery announced plans to sell shares to the public by 2026, what do you think would happen to Dangote shares that year? That news alone would attract massive local and foreign investment.
The same principle applies to Forex. Fundamental information drives price, creates volatility, and sets market direction. Positive news builds confidence, while negative news triggers fear and panic selling.
Yes, Forex traders focus on short-term price movements (unlike long-term investors who hold assets for 5–10 years). But the truth remains: institutions and big players still rely on fundamentals. They enter and exit currency positions based on key economic indicators such as interest rate hikes or cuts, GDP growth, inflation, unemployment data, and central bank monetary policies.
This is the core of Fundamental Analysis.
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