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Oct 2024 analysis. Late, I know.

STAVKA's view of the war, at least the closest the public is likely to get until the war is over, from Col. Trukhan, who used to be involved in operational planning.

Interesting highlights include:

Russian forces were aware of the AFU building up for an offensive on Donetsk City in January 2022, which they expected to commence by 10 March. Not new info, but some more details about it. The operation launched on 24 February was specifically designed as a spoiling attack to disrupt this AFU offensive, which it completely succeeded in doing.

AFU forces crossed the Russian border and attacked Russian troops from 20-23 February, before the SMO began.

The West did not expect Russian forces to attack, which is why they were caught off guard by the Russian operation on 24 February.

By April 2022 Russian forces had taken more territory than it was calculated that they could hold, and therefore the lines of October 2022 were already drawn up, with the plan that forces in Kharkov and Kherson would conduct mobile defence towards the new line if attacked, which they both successfully did. From STAVKA's perspective, both operations went perfectly according to plan, bleeding the AFU for ground that it was not possible to keep anyway.

The various PMCs were then employed to buy time to build up resources for sustained operations. This confirms what I said during about the ammo dispute between Wagner and MOD. Wagner was supposed to be buying time for ammo stocks to be built up, and while they were given the highest artillery allocation along the front, when their demands exceeded a threshold that interfered with this process of building a reserve, they were denied, because it ran contrary to the purpose of the whole operation.

This is the first major war where a general staff has been called upon to plan operations with the intent of minimizing both military and civilian losses. This has been very successful. There are no plans to engage in Bakhmut-type fights for major cities. The intent is to destroy the AFU in the field, and capture cities once abandoned.

Odessa is not considered an important military objective. Crimea controls the Black Sea by missiles and aviation. Odessa will only be taken for free if the AFU is rendered too weak to fight for it. Which may happen, because the Russian war concept remains the Clausewitzian ideal of total destruction of opposing military force.

The Kursk operation was known about beforehand, and defensive lines were established starting 20km from the border (so, around Korenevo is the outpost line). The AFU never beached these lines, and just like in the 2023 offensive, are simply dying entangled in the forefield and outpost line. The Kursk salient is the AFU's highest-casualty sector, and as such, STAVKA are in no hurry to drive them out. On the contrary, they hope NATO will feed as many troops as possible into it. The Russian forces operating there are mostly specialised Okhotniki ("Hunter") units designed not to take ground, but simply to kill as many enemy troops as possible.

There was a high probability of direct NATO involvement in 2023 and early 2024, but that has greatly diminished. In the event of open NATO participation, Russia will launch a massive missile strike on NATO forces and facilities. In the event this is unsuccessful, the second wave will be nuclear. However, overall STAVKA is not impressed with NATO's displayed capabilities, and are even eager to see what NATO will try next. From their perspective, the entire war has run on schedule and according to plan.

If you don't speak Russian, I recommend putting the translation captions on. They do have a human translator verbally translating, but he struggles with some of the military terms. For example, when Trukhan describes how the AFU was caught in the outpost line during the 2023 offensive, the translator calls this the "forward supply lines". There are several small mistakes like this, where having the auto-translate adds clarity.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZGWw9M1W1t0

RU POV - Russian 4th Motorized Brigade show the destruction of UA bunkers in Dolgoe-2 tract (ex-ATO HQ, ex-NATO HQ, ex-24th Brigade HQ) - South of Chasov Yar, Chasov Yar direction [LOCATE]

Weekly military flier, I guess.

M-19-Abrams-Reactive-Armor-Tile-ARATreleased-2-1-21.pdf

Interview with very diverse background assault troops of 4th motorized brigade (EX-DPR oplot brigade)

Discussions in Europe about a restart of pipeline gas deliveries with Russia.

В испанском населенном пункте Хавали Вьехо (провинция Мурсия) шесть человек получили ранения в результате взрыва на фабрике боеприпасов, которая специализируется на производстве артиллерийских боеприпасов, минометных снарядов и снарядов среднего калибра, а также ракетных силовых установок, принадлежит немецкому концерну Rheinmetall. - пишет издание Cadena SER и издание Infobae.

В результате взрыва на предприятии произошел пожар площадью 1 тыс. квадратных метров. Также загорелся лесной массив – огонь охватил 2 тыс. "квадратов".

"Службы экстренной помощи оказали помощь шести людям, один из которых получил серьезные ранения, после взрыва склада на фабрике в Хавали Вьехо", – говорится в сообщении.

Компания Rheinmetall — один из крупнейших поставщиков всу.

👉Диван

Murcianos (nativos de Murcia) abusando del alcohol en el trabajo, y luego hay explosiones JAJAJA