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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

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โ˜€๏ธ Good morning!

๐Ÿ“‰ Strong outflows are occurring from the world's largest gold ETF, #GLD, according to Goldman data. Gold is now trading at the 3200 level.

๐Ÿ“Š JPMorgan notes that retail investors now buy a record amount of US equities. US500 is trading at 5950.

๐Ÿ“Š After the US downgrade, Moodys downgraded the leading US banks: JPMorgan, BofA, and Wells Fargo. UsDollar declined to 100.15.

๐Ÿ’ธ ETH and BTC supply on exchanges continues to decline: BTC supply is at an 8-year low, and ETH supply is at a 10-year low. BTC is trading at 105000.

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ Australia Delivers Rate Cut, Sending Currency Lower. AUDUSD is down to 0.6420.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.05.2025

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CAD - CPI m/m - 15:30;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CAD - Median CPI y/y - 15:30;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CAD - Trimmed CPI y/y - 15:30;

๐Ÿ’ฌ Which assets are on your radar this session?

๐Ÿ“ฒ Start Trading with FBS

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆUSDCHF Ready to Fall!

๐Ÿป In the daily timeframe, USDCHF has formed a honey flag pattern, and the price tests the lower boundary of the flag and AMA. At the same time -DI crossed +DI on ADX!

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ฝ We consider selling #USDCHF only when the lower boundary and AMA are broken;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.8210;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.8120;

Agree? Then destroy ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘

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๐Ÿฅ‡ BTCUSD ๐Ÿ’ฒ Bitcoin is moving sideways, but the price fell to the global trend line and bounced back. Tenkan is above Kijun on Ichimoku, and Stochastic is still indicating oversold. #TradeIdea ๐Ÿ”ผ If #BTCUSD breaks out of the cloud above 103500, it willโ€ฆ
๐Ÿฅ‡ BTCUSD

๐ŸŽ‰THE PREVIOUS TARGET ACHIVED! Now, Bitcoin has formed an ascending channel pattern, and the price has bounced off the upper trend line. It crossed the AMA, and the %R came out of the overbought zone.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ฝ If #BTCUSD consolidates below 105000, it will start a small decline;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 103000;

โค๏ธโค๏ธโค๏ธ if you are trading crypto this week!

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๐Ÿš€ #Crypto Total Market Cap (Excluding #BTC) Update!

๐Ÿ“ˆ The #altcoin market shows signs of growth as it meets the crucial 200-day moving average (200-MA).

๐ŸŽข If total capitalization breaks above the long-term descending trendline, we could see a move toward the $1.35 trillion level at the Fibonacci golden pocket (0.618).

Is this a sign of ALTSEASON?

๐Ÿ‘ = Yes
๐Ÿ”ฅ = No
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โšก๏ธ XAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold navigates within a bearish rising wedge and faces the 3240 resistance.

โ˜ ๏ธ The 50-MA crosses the 200-MA, indicating a Death Cross pattern, suggesting a further decline.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ฝ We will short #XAUUSD only on a breaking below the pattern;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 3150.

Click ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ if you are bearish!

๐Ÿ“ฒ
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๐Ÿ“ Local TG channels:
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ทTR ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธESP ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉID ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡นPT ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธAR
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๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUDUSD ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

The asset continues to show weakness:

๐Ÿ“Œ Price fails to update local highs.
๐Ÿ“Œ A close below MA-200 strengthens the bearish scenario.
๐Ÿ“Œ A bearish engulfing candlestick pattern is formed on the chart.
๐Ÿ“Œ Also, MACD and Parabolic SAR indicators indicate a decline.

All these factors point to the dominance of sellers and the potential continuation of the decline. If the support at 0.6413 is broken, further downward movement can be expected.

๐Ÿ”ฝ Sell #AUDUSD ONLY after consolidation below 0.6413;
๐ŸŽฏ TP1: 0.6390;
๐ŸŽฏ TP2: 0.6367.

๐Ÿ’ฌ What do you think about this setup?

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆItโ€™s A Short Time for GBPUSD!

๐Ÿ’ธ GBPUSD started to correct after a robust rise, breaching below the Double-Top pattern.
The price faces the 50-MA support while the Momentum crosses the 100-line down, signaling a bearish sentiment.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling #GBPUSD on consolidation below 50-MA;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.3300.

Agree? Smash ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘

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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EURUSD ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

On the daily chart, EURUSD remains within the descending channel - buyers cannot break the trend.
On H2, the situation also remains weak:
- Price is not updating local highs
- It fails to consolidate above MA-200

If the pair breaks the key support at 1.1228, it will open the way to decline further.

๐Ÿ”ฝ Sell #EURUSD ONLY after consolidation below 1.1228;
๐ŸŽฏ TP: 1.1118.

๐Ÿ’ฌ What do you think about EURUSD? Are you prioritizing shorts or waiting for confirmation of a reversal?

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๐Ÿฅ‡ Chinaโ€™s Gold imports rose to an 11-month high! ๐Ÿฅ‡

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China maintains strong demand for gold despite recent price declines.

๐Ÿ“ˆ This investment demand shows gold remains a key asset amid global economic uncertainty.

Whatโ€™s your closest outlook for XAUUSD?

๐Ÿ—ฟ - Up
๐Ÿณ - Down
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๐ŸŒ‰ Gold Trading: What you must know and remember

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold is trading around 3250$, following a brief correction after hitting record highs above $3,500/oz in April. This underlines the critical importance of risk management in trading!

๐Ÿ’ก Key influencing factors:

๐Ÿช™ Fed monetary policy: The gold market is reacting to expectations that the Fed may begin cutting rates as early as Q3 2025, though policymakers remain cautious amid mixed economic signals
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธThe political situation in the US: President Trump's implementation of steep tariffsโ€”averaging 27% and reaching up to 145% on Chinese importsโ€”has heightened economic uncertainty.
๐ŸŸ  The recent downgrade of the US credit rating and rising global debt ($36 trillion in the US alone) have sparked renewed demand for gold as protection against systemic risks.
๐Ÿ’ฐ Central banks added 244 tonnes of gold in Q1 2025. China, India, Poland, and Kazakhstan remain among the top buyers.

โš ๏ธ Risk Management Recommendations:

๐ŸŸข Position Size Control: Limiting the size of the deposit per trade to 2-10% of the total portfolio helps minimize potential losses.
๐ŸŸข Stop-loss orders: Don't forget to use them to protect capital from unexpected market movements!!!
๐ŸŸข Portfolio Diversification: Reduce overall risk by trading in a variety of assets.

โšก๏ธGold Trading Strategies:

๐ŸŸ  Utilize long-term trends to determine when to buy or sell. Sometimes, it pays to trade strictly on the trend. Considering the current situation, we are in a trending market.
๐ŸŸ  Technical analysis tools such as moving averages, RSI, and MACD are used to identify potential entry and exit points. Detailed usage can be found in the articles below.
๐ŸŸ  Attention to correlations with currency pairs, such as AUDUSD, is vital for gold-producing countries.

#Education

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โŒ George Soros: The Man Who Broke the Markets!

๐ŸŒ Who is George Soros?
Soros, a legendary hedge fund manager and philanthropist, is best known for his bold macro trades and deep understanding of global markets. High-profile successes and influential financial theories have marked his career.

๐ŸŽ“ Key Trading Philosophy:
๐ŸŸข Strong emphasis on macroeconomic analysis
๐ŸŸข Success requires understanding both economics and human psychology
๐ŸŸข Markets are affected by the biases and actions of participants (market reflexivity)
๐ŸŸข Patience and adaptability are critical

๐Ÿ† Famous Trades:
1๏ธโƒฃ 1992: Shorted the British pound, betting it was overvalued, and earned over $1 billion in a single day from this trade.
2๏ธโƒฃ Predicted the UK would exit the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM).
3๏ธโƒฃ His trading speculation was probably the cause of the Asian Tom Yam Crisis, although the causes were multifaceted.

๐ŸŽฏ Lesson to Learn:
Patience, timing, and a thorough understanding of market psychology and macroeconomics are critical to success.

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โ˜„๏ธUSDJPY

๐Ÿ’ดOn the H4, USDJPY breaks below the expanding channel and the 200-MA, signaling a robust bearish movement.

โœ๏ธ Japan's 20-year bond auction received the weakest demand since 2012. Analysts expect further monetary tightening - RTRS survey

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ฝ Sell #USDJPY;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 142.40;

๐Ÿ‘ - if you are also bearish!

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ‘ˆEURUSD Rising!

๐Ÿ’ถEURUSD formed a descending channel pattern, and the price broke the upper trend line. The Tenkan crossed the ascending Kijun at Ichimoku, and the price exited the cloud. At the same time, the AO is indicating the growth of bullish sentiment.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ We consider buying #EURUSD only if it consolidates above 1.1340
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.1560;

Click
๐Ÿ‘ if you agree with the analysis!!!

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๐Ÿฅˆ XAGUSD

๐ŸŸข On the daily timeframe, a โ€œbull flagโ€ pattern has been formed, and it has already started to work.
๐ŸŸข Also, the price has already broken the downtrend line, strengthening the bullish scenario.

๐Ÿ” Now, the price is approaching a significant resistance level - 33.24. If the asset manages to consolidate above it, it may become a trigger for further growth.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ Buy #XAGUSD ONLY after breaking the level of 33.24;
๐ŸŽฏ TP1: 33.64;
๐ŸŽฏ TP2: 34.50.

๐Ÿ’ฌ What do you think about the current technical picture?

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ‘ˆGBPUSD ALERT!

โšก๏ธ Well, the Pound has reached last year's high! The price formed a bullish flag pattern, and the price broke the upper boundary and consolidated above the AMA. Chaikin has risen above 0, confirming the rise!

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ We consider buying #GBPUSD only when consolidating above 1.3420;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.3670;

โ—๏ธGuys, wait for consolidation above resistance as this is a strong level!

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โšก๏ธ XAUUSD 13โ€™000 PIPS ALERT!

๐ŸŒ‰ Gold has bounced from the global trendline and faces the 3310 gap level.
The Alligatorโ€™s lips cross the jaw while the Momentum oscillator breaches above the 100-line upwards. So, two options are available:

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ Buy XAUUSD on a breaking above the 3310, with the target at 3430;
๐Ÿ”ฝ However, if the retest fails, we consider the downside to the trendline at the 3180.

Hit ๐Ÿ‘ if you are bullish on Gold! Crush ๐Ÿ”ฅ - if bearish!

๐Ÿ“ฒ
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๐Ÿ“ Local TG channels:
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ทTR ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธESP ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉID ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡นPT ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธAR
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