FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

๐ŸคFBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
๐ŸŒFBS website: https://fbs.com
๐Ÿ“ฒFBS Mobile app: https://fbspa.onelink.me/00Zt/8w2366it

โ—๏ธChannel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทThe US and Iran seek new talks as Hormuz disruptions threaten ~20% of global oil (~17โ€“20M b/d), sustaining elevated prices and global energy market volatility.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บChristine Lagarde says eurozone growth has slipped below baseline due to higher energy costs, pushing the outlook toward adverse scenarios without yet triggering rate hikes.

โšก๏ธ Pimco bought 100% of a $400M Blue Owl Capital BDC bond deal amid wider spreads, signaling opportunistic buying in stressed private credit markets.

๐Ÿ–ฅ ASML raised 2026 sales guidance to โ‚ฌ36โ€“40B (from โ‚ฌ34โ€“39B) on surging AI-driven chip demand.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 15.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ECB President Lagarde Speaks โ€“ 22:30 GMT+3;

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ฐBitcoin tested the 75,000 level, absorbed liquidity, and bounced off the upper trend line after crossing the upper Bollinger Band. The CCI indicates a potential correction, and there is an imbalance at the bottom.

๐Ÿ“‰ A drop below 73,800 will send BTCUSD down to the lower trend line;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 72,500.

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๐Ÿ’ท GBPUSD has reached a key resistance zone and bounced off the trend line after crossing the Bollinger Band. %R is poised to exit the overbought zone.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling GBPUSD on a drop below 1.3550;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 1.3500;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 1.3480 (optional).

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๐Ÿ’ฅ Crypto vs. Forex: which is more intense?

Have you ever wondered how the crypto market differs from the familiar Forex market?

Here are a few facts that put everything into perspective:

๐Ÿ“† 24/7 market
Forget about weekends. Crypto is traded around the clock. A wave can come at 3 a.m. โ€” and you'd better be ready to react.

๐Ÿง  Volatility is off the charts
The BTC rate can jump 5โ€“10% in an hour. Altcoins? They're a roller coaster ride.

๐Ÿง  News = instant effect
Did Elon tweet something? The coin took off. Did the regulator say something bad? Dump. There is no delay โ€” the market reacts instantly.

๐Ÿ‘คWho controls the market?
On Forex, large banks and central banks.
In crypto โ€” whales, funds, memes, and the crowd. Sometimes there are opportunities in this chaos.

๐Ÿ’ฌ Where do you feel more confident โ€” in crypto or currency pairs? And why?
Let's discuss it in the comments
๐Ÿ‘‡

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ The European Central Bank is leaning toward an April rate hold, keeping policy steady as war-driven shocks test inflation and growth across the โ‚ฌ15T+ eurozone economy.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChinaโ€™s economy grew 5% y/y and 1.3% q/q in Q1, beating forecasts and showing resilience driven by exports and manufacturing despite global conflict.

๐Ÿ”ฅThe US and Iran are weighing a 2-week truce extension while the Strait of Hormuzโ€”handling ~20% of global oil (~17โ€“20M b/d)โ€”remains shut, sustaining supply risk and elevated prices.

๐ŸŸง Tesco guides ยฃ3.0โ€“3.3B profit (vs ยฃ3.15B prior), widening outlook due to war-driven cost uncertainty and pressure on consumer spending.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Claims โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ1๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿ†• The US100 has set a new record high and is nearing the global trend line after breaking above the upper Bollinger Band. %R confirms overbought conditions.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We expect the US100 to pull back from the trend line;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 25,600;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 25,400.

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ So, guys, Gold has formed a wedge on the H4 chart. There is an imbalance at the top, but a divergence has formed on the RSI, so itโ€™s important to consider two scenarios:

๐Ÿ”ฝ A break below the trend line at 4790 will send XAUUSD down to 4700 and then to 4600;
๐Ÿ”ผ A rise above 4850 will open the way to 4975.

๐Ÿ‘ - you're bullish, โค๏ธ - you're bearish!

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๐Ÿ’ก Martingale Trading Strategy

The Martingale strategy involves doubling the position in case of a loss. The goal of the strategy is to recoup losses and make a profit.

How It Works โš™๏ธ:
Step 1๏ธโƒฃ: Open a position with 0.1 lot.
Step 2๏ธโƒฃ: If the trade loses, you double your position size to 0.2 lot.
Step 3๏ธโƒฃ: Double your position (0.4 lot, 0.8 lot, etc.) after each loss until the trade turns profitable.
Step 4๏ธโƒฃ: Close all positions once you recover your losses and make a small profit.

Pros โœ…:
๐ŸŸข Can recover losses quickly if the market reverses in your favor.
๐ŸŸข Potential for profits if you're able to outlast the drawdown period.

Cons โŒ:
๐Ÿ”ด Requires significant capital to withstand multiple losing trades.
๐Ÿ”ด Not suitable for volatile markets or large drawdowns.
๐Ÿ”ด It can blow your account if the market doesnโ€™t reverse.

๐Ÿšจ Risks:
If the market doesnโ€™t reverse, you could experience severe losses.
Requires careful management to avoid margin calls, especially during prolonged losing streaks.

๐Ÿ”‘ Key Takeaway:
The Martingale strategy can be tempting due to its potential to recover losses quickly, but itโ€™s a high-risk method that should only be used with proper risk management.

โš ๏ธ Remember: This trading technique involves significant risks, and you should only invest what you can afford to lose.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ˜ Donald Trump signals a potential permanent US-Iran ceasefire, which could ease risks to ~20% of global oil flows (~17โ€“20M b/d) and lower energy-driven inflation pressures.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ The European Central Bank is expected to hike rates by +25bps in June as 2026 inflation rises, signaling limited but targeted tightening.

๐Ÿช™ Bitcoin above $75K faces a squeeze risk as funding rates stay negative ~46 days, signaling heavy short positioning that could trigger sharp upside moves.

๐Ÿ“ฑ Netflix shares fell after a Q2 forecast miss, while co-founder Reed Hastings exits after 29 years, adding leadership uncertainty to growth concerns.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FOMC Member Waller Speaks โ€“ 21:00 GMT+3

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โœ‚๏ธโ๏ธโฉ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

โ›ฝ๏ธ Natural gas has rebounded from the downtrend line and the key psychological level of 2.800, as confirmed by the Stochastic indicator.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XNGUSD if the price falls below 2.780;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 2.750;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 2.700.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜…๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ USDCHF has broken below the lower boundary of the bearish flag, and the 50-day moving average (MA50) has crossed below the 200-day moving average (MA200), forming a death crossโ€”a highly bearish setup.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling USDCHF if it falls below 1.7810;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 1.7770;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 1.7750.

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๐Ÿšจ SCAM ALERT โ€“ Stay Safe! ๐Ÿšจ

Hey everyone, please be extra careful!
Weโ€™ve spotted a fake account using our FBS logo and replying in comments, telling people to join for a โ€œVIP signalsโ€.

โš ๏ธ THIS IS NOT US!

๐Ÿ‘‰ We never send private messages!
๐Ÿ‘‰ We never drop links in the comments!
๐Ÿ‘‰ We only communicate through our official channel!

โŒ Please report and block any suspicious accounts. Thank you!
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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold fell ~1.9% to ~$4,790/oz as renewed Strait of Hormuz disruptions reignited inflation fears tied to potential shocks in ~20% of global oil supply.

๐Ÿ˜ Donald Trumpโ€™s first ship seizure in the Strait of Hormuz blockade escalates risks to ~20% of global oil flows (~17โ€“20M b/d), threatening higher prices and disrupted trade.

๐Ÿช™ UniCredit is pushing to acquire Commerzbank, citing structural weaknesses and aiming to unlock synergies across tens of billions in combined assets.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Median CPI y/y โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Trimmed CPI y/y โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ˜›โ˜บ๏ธ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ›ข Brent has once again bounced off the downtrend line and the 50-day moving average, and the %R has moved out of the overbought zone. There is a gap below.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XBRUSD if the price falls below 90.60;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 89.00;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 88.00.

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ*๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ USDCAD is testing the upward trend line, but the RSI has broken below the line, which may indicate a potential breakout. The AO also suggests that bears are currently in control.

๐Ÿ”ฝ A break below the trend line at 1.3680 will push the price down to 1.3570 and then to 1.3500;
๐Ÿ”ผ A rebound will push USDCAD back to 1.3910.

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๐Ÿ’ฌ "The first rule is not to lose. The second rule is not to forget the first rule." โ€” Warren Buffett

โ“Sounds easy โ€” but is it?

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Donald Trump signals no ceasefire extension while keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed, sustaining risks to ~20% of global oil (~17โ€“20M b/d) and prolonging trade disruption.

๐ŸŽ #APPLE names John Ternus CEO, succeeding Tim Cook after a 15-year run that built a ~$4T company, marking a major leadership shift.

๐Ÿ“ฑ #AMAZON is investing $5B (potentially up to $25B total) into Anthropic at a $350B valuation, intensifying the high-stakes AI capital race.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 21.04.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core Retail Sales m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Retail Sales m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ3๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿˆ US30 has completed its correction and is poised to rise toward an all-time high (ATH), following the US100 and US500โ€™s new record highs. The +DI is above the -DI, confirming the potential for an uptrend toward the Order Block.

๐Ÿ‘† We are considering buying the US30 if it rises above 49,600;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 50,300.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ธ So, Bitcoin has broken through the upper boundary of the descending channel, and the price has already moved out of the cloud; Tenkan is above Kijun. Everything points to the start of a reversal following a sharp decline.

๐Ÿ”ผ A rise above 78,000 and the nearest fractal will pave the way for further gains for BTCUSD.
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 84,000.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold is breaking through the upward trend line and is poised to fall below the nearest fractal. A divergence has formed on the RSI, which only confirms the likelihood of a decline.

๐Ÿ”ฝ A drop below 4740 will send XAUUSD tumbling;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 4670;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 4600.

โ—๏ธThe market situation is extremely unpredictable, so use SL!

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