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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ How many times will the Fed cut rates in 2025?
Anonymous Poll
20%
โœ‚๏ธ 1
26%
๐Ÿ”ช 2
20%
๐Ÿ”ฅ 3
15%
โ˜ ๏ธ 4+
19%
I don't care ๐Ÿ˜‘
๐ŸŽฏ 161.8% Fibonacci Should Be Your Target!

๐Ÿ”„ Market recovery ahead? The Fibonacci 161.8% level can be a key target for traders looking to take advantage of the recovery phase.

๐Ÿ“Š What makes 161.8% important?
This level is critical during market retracements, often acting as a strong resistance or support zone. When the market recovers after a dip, prices often gravitate toward this level before deciding whether to continue or reverse the trend.

๐Ÿ’ก Why focus on 161.8%?
๐ŸŸขPrecision: The 161.8% level is a key Fibonacci point where trends will likely face resistance.
๐ŸŸขRisk Management: It helps set clearer exit points, minimizing risk and maximizing gains.
๐ŸŸขStrategic Target: The 161.8% level is crucial in both market recoveries and trend reversals, offering traders a clear target for potential price action.

โ“ How can you use it?
In trend reversals, draw the Fibonacci levels from the recent high to the low. Once the price breaks the 100.0% Fibonacci level, you can enter a trade with a take profit target at 161.8%, as this level often marks a strong extension point.

#education

๐Ÿ’ฟ Save this advice and share with friends to master Fibonacci levels!

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๐ŸŽ‰ Happy Friday, dear traders!

๐Ÿ˜ฑPresident Trumpโ€™s aggressive push to supply tens of thousands of AI chips to Saudi Arabia and over one million accelerators to the UAE has sparked a sharp internal clash with China hawks in his administration, who warn the deals could compromise US national security by inadvertently aiding Beijing.

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japanese Finance Minister Katsunobu Kato plans to resume currency talks with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent at next weekโ€™s G-7 meeting in Canada, as the yen trades near 145 per dollar and markets react to weaker-than-expected Q1 GDP and speculation over US currency policy.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท Franceโ€™s unemployment rate rose to 7.4% in the first quarter of 2025, up from 7.3% at the end of 2024, while GDP growth slowed to just 0.1%, signaling mounting economic weakness ahead of potential US trade tariffs.

โ›ฝ๏ธ LNG traders are ramping up efforts to export more fuel to Malaysia and Indonesia, as both countriesโ€”once top exporters ranked 5th and 6th globally in 2024โ€”face surging domestic demand and shrinking gas reserves, prompting plans to expand import capacity in 2025.

๐Ÿ“ฑ Netflix announced that its $7.99/month ad-supported tier now has 94 million monthly active users, up over 20 million since November 2024, and reaches more 18- to 34-year-olds than any US broadcast or cable network โ€” NFLX: $1,180.34 (+2.34%) as of May 14, 2025.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.05.2025

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment - 17:00 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations - 17:00 GMT+3;

๐Ÿ’ฌWhat are you planning to trade today, folks?

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๐Ÿฅ‡ XAUUSD +9000 POINTS! ๐Ÿช™ Want another breakdown? 250 ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ‘ and weโ€™ll drop it. Letโ€™s go! ๐Ÿ“ฒ Start Trading with FBS @fbsanalytics
๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆ is poised to drop 4000 points after bouncing off the trendline and crossing the MA50. CCI came out of the overbought zone, and Parabolic SAR confirms the beginning of the fall!

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ฝ We consider selling #XAUUSD onlyโ—๏ธ on consolidation below 3210;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 3170;

Believe in a small fall with us? Click โค๏ธโค๏ธโค๏ธ

๐Ÿ“ฒ Start Trading with FBS

๐Ÿ“ Local TG channels:
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ทTR ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธESP ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉID ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡นPT ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธAR
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๐Ÿช™ Bitcoin > Gold? ๐Ÿฅ‡

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ According to River, more Americans now hold #Bitcoin than gold:

๐Ÿ’ธ 49.6 million US residents own Bitcoin;
๐Ÿฅ‡ Compared to 36.7 million #gold investors.

๐Ÿ†Digital gold is winning the popularity contest.

โ“ Which instrument is the most popular with investors, in your opinion?

๐Ÿ‘ - Gold
โค๏ธ - BTC

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โšก๏ธUSDJPY

๐Ÿ“ฃ Price has formed a bullish flag pattern, and the price is testing the upper boundary and MA50. At the same time, %R and CCI came out of the oversold zone, indicating the possibility of growth!

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ We consider buying #USDJPY on a breakdown of the upper boundary and consolidation above 145.700;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 146.900;

๐Ÿ‘ if you are waiting for a small rise in USDJPY!

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๐Ÿ’กUS30

๐Ÿ“ In a nutshell, we're expecting ATH to reach soon. Let's understand why:

๐ŸŸขThe U.S.โ€“China 90-day tariff reduction deal eases trade tensions and restores investor confidence, which supports further upside in global equities, especially industrials and exporters that dominate the Dow.

๐ŸŸขAprilโ€™s PPI fell 0.5%, easing inflation fears and raising chances of Fed rate cuts โ€” a bullish driver for equities.

๐Ÿ‚ US30 broke the trend line and reached an important resistance area where OB and MA200 is located. This is a strong area, so a bounce is possible before further upside as bullish dominance is building up.

#TradeIdea

๐Ÿ”ผ We consider buying #US30 only on consolidation above 42600;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 45000;

โ“What do you think, traders? Are you waiting for correction or growth again?

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๐Ÿ’กHow to Trade Morning Star and Evening Star Patterns?

๐Ÿ† Just clean, reliable structure โ€” trusted by experienced traders for a reason. Master these patterns, and you wonโ€™t just follow the market.

๐Ÿ”ธThe Morning Star signals the potential start of a bullish reversal, emerging after sustained downward pressure.
๐Ÿ”นThe Evening Star indicates a possible bearish turn, appearing at the peak of upward momentum before sentiment shifts.

#Blog

๐Ÿ’ธ Learn the setups. Avoid the traps. Take the profits๐Ÿ‘‡
๐Ÿง  Every pro was once a beginner who didnโ€™t quit.

๐Ÿ’ช Progress starts where most people give up!

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โš ๏ธ Did you set SL, guys?

๐Ÿ˜ฑ FBS analysts are worried about your sleep!

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๐Ÿ–ค Black Monday: The Crash That Shook the World

๐Ÿ“† October 19, 1987 โ€” the Dow Jones collapsed by 22.6% in a single day, the biggest one-day percentage drop in US history. Global markets followed, triggering chaos from London to Hong Kong.

๐Ÿ’ฅ Why did it happen?
๐Ÿ”ดProgram Trading: Automated sell orders overwhelmed the market once prices started falling.
๐Ÿ”ดOvervalued Markets: Stocks traded at high P/E ratios after a long bull run.
๐Ÿ”ดInvestor Panic: Fear spreads fast without social media โ€” imagine today.
๐Ÿ”ดLack of Safeguards: No circuit breakers or trading halts at the time.

๐Ÿ” Consequences:
1๏ธโƒฃ Led to introducing circuit breakers designed to pause trading during extreme moves.
2๏ธโƒฃ Central banks, including the Fed, stepped in to restore confidence โ€” laying the groundwork for the "Fed Put" mentality.
3๏ธโƒฃ Showed how interconnected and fragile global markets had become.
4๏ธโƒฃ A major wake-up call: Technology + psychology = explosive risk.

๐Ÿ’ญ What we learned:
โŒ Even without a recession or war, a market can crash โ€” fast. Risk management matters more than predictions.

โ“ Would your strategy survive a day like Black Monday? ๐Ÿ’ฌ

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๐Ÿช™ The Next Reserve Currency?

โš ๏ธ For over 500 years, the world has seen a succession of reserve currencies held by various countries. Here's how it was:

๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡น The Portuguese were the first to set the trend, with their currency being the world's reserve currency between 1450 and 1530. Portuguese real was in demand as the country dominated world trade and exploration

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ Spain took over as the world's reserve currency from 1530 to 1640 as they became dominant in world trade and held vast amounts of gold and silver.

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฑ The Dutch took over from 1640 to 1720 because of their economic and financial strength, including their dominance in the financial industry.

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท France's currency took over from 1720 to 1815, largely due to their military and economic power.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง After Napoleon's defeat, the British pound took the leadership from 1815 to 1920 due to Britain's status as the world's economic powerhouse and its vast colonial empire.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The United States then became the boss from 1920 to the present day. This change occurred mainly due to the growth of the US economy after World War I and the United State's role as a dominant military power.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ However, China is about to take the US's place, with its yuan becoming the next candidate.

#Education

โ”What do you think, will it happen?

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โ˜€๏ธ Good morning!

โšก๏ธ Moody's downgrade of the US credit rating to Aa1 has reignited market fears over ballooning federal deficits, pushing 30-year Treasury yields to 5% and sparking a selloff in equities and the dollar.

๐Ÿ’ต BNP Paribas announced the launch of its โ‚ฌ1.08 billion share buyback program approved by the ECB, with purchases running through June 20 โ€” today's stock price: โ‚ฌ79.39.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China's industrial output beat expectations with a 6.1% rise in April, but weaker-than-forecast retail sales growth of 5.1% underscored lingering consumer caution amid tariff uncertainty and economic headwinds.

๐Ÿ”ช Diageo plans to cut $500 million in costs over three years to offset US tariff impacts, while reaffirming full-year guidance and reporting stronger-than-expected Q3 sales โ€” today's stock price: ยฃ2,152.00.

๐Ÿ–ฅ Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang unveiled new AI hardware and software at Computex to strengthen the company's dominance in the AI chip market amid growing global competition โ€” today's stock price: $135.40.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 19.05.2025

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ SNB Chairman Schlegel Speaks - 19:30 GMT +3;

๐Ÿ’ฌ How are you preparing for todayโ€™s trading session?

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๐Ÿ—“ Important events to look forward to this week:

Tuesday, May 20:
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUD - Cash Rate - 07:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUD - RBA Monetary Policy Statement - 07:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUD - RBA Rate Statement - 07:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CAD - CPI m/m - 15:30;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CAD - Median CPI y/y - 15:30;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CAD - Trimmed CPI y/y - 15:30;

Wednesday, May 21:
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง GBP - CPI y/y - 09:00 GMT +3;

Thursday, May 22:
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EUR - French Flash Manufacturing PMI - 10:15 GMT +3;
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EUR - French Flash Services PMI - 10:15 GMT +3;
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EUR - German Flash Manufacturing PMI - 10:30 GMT +3;
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ EUR - German Flash Services PMI - 10:30 GMT +3;
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง GBP - Flash Manufacturing PMI - 11:30 GMT +3;
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง GBP - Flash Services PMI - 11:30 GMT +3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD - Unemployment Claims - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD - Flash Manufacturing PMI - 16:45 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ USD - Flash Services PMI - 16:45 GMT+3;

Friday, May 23:
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง GBP - Retail Sales m/m - 09:00 GMT +3;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CAD - Core Retail Sales m/m - 15:30;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CAD - Retail Sales m/m - 15:30;

#weeklydigest

A brief overview of important assets:


๐Ÿ’ต USDollar after testing the 101.69 resistance level and MA-50, the price declined to the 100.55 support level. If the asset does not consolidate below the support, we should expect the growth back to the resistance level, however, if the price consolidates below the support level, the decline will continue to 99.09;

๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‘ˆGold fell below 3235 and is testing this level from below. The graph shows a double-top pattern. If the asset manages to break through the resistance level of 3235, growth will resume to 3350. However, if the price fails to break the support level, the decline will continue to 3130;

๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿ—ฝ๐Ÿ•› The index shows steady growth. The asset has confidently consolidated above MA-200, indicating buyers' strength. The price is testing the resistance level of 5950. If the resistance level is broken, the growth will continue to 6140. However, if the price fails to break through this level, it is worth waiting for a decline to 5785.

๐Ÿ’ฌ What setups are you keeping an eye on this week?

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