FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!πŸš€

🀝FBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
🌐FBS website: https://fbs.com
πŸ“²FBS Mobile app: https://fbspa.onelink.me/00Zt/8w2366it

❗️Channel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸ˜œ

Oil prices remain elevated as geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions continue to support the market. Each new high and low is forming above the previous one, indicating strong buying pressure. The asset is currently testing the 106 resistance level.

#Forecast

πŸ”Ό If supply disruptions continue and the price breaks and holds above 106, further upside could be expected.

πŸ”½ However, if geopolitical tensions ease and supply concerns fade, while the price fails to break above 106, a decline toward 94.50 could be expected.

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⚑️Elliott's Waves Theory⚑️

The trend impulse (growth wave) has a 5-wave structure, consisting of 3 waves of growthπŸ“ˆ and two waves of declineπŸ“‰.

1️⃣-2️⃣in the beginning, there is a solid upward movement (the first growth wave), after which the price decreases (the second wave). The second wave cannot go lower than the beginning of the first wave. Otherwise, it is not an impulse. Usually, the second wave is about 50% of the first wave.

3️⃣after the end of the second wave, the third wave of growth begins. And it is usually bigger than her. As you understand, it is possible to know that this is the third wave only when the price exceeds the point where the correction (the second wave) began. This is the most optimal time for buying.

4️⃣then goes the fourth corrective wave. It has the same properties as the second wave, i.e., it cannot go lower than the end of the first wave and is usually 50% of the third wave.

5️⃣then goes the fifth wave. This is the end of the bullish trend. The fifth wave usually goes beyond the end of the first wave.


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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US Treasuries are selling off again as yields climb, with the 10 year yield hitting 5.04%. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent attributed the rise in yields partly to higher oil prices, while Brent crude continues to climb toward $104 per barrel.

πŸ›’ Oil prices keep rising as the global fuel crisis deepens. Executives from major US oil companies warn that the prolonged disruption around the Strait of Hormuz has already created a major fuel supply crisis, with diesel and gasoline prices surging.

πŸ₯‡ Democrats' proposal to amend the CLARITY Act was rejected by Republicans, according to Bloomberg. The two sides remain unable to reach a compromise ahead of the key Senate vote, increasing uncertainty for the crypto market.

πŸ“‰ Wells Fargo cut its year end 2026 S&P 500 target to 7,700 from 7,950. Rising Treasury yields, higher oil prices and renewed inflation concerns are putting additional pressure on US stocks.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.09.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD β€” Federal Funds Rate β€” 21:00 GMT+3;
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD β€” FOMC Economic Projections β€” 21:00 GMT+3;
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD β€” FOMC Statement β€” 21:00 GMT+3;
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ USD β€” FOMC Press Conference β€” 21:30 GMT+3;

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πŸ˜›πŸ˜‚πŸ€—πŸ˜œ

The asset is currently moving lower. The price is testing the 1.3442 support level, which coincides with an ascending trendline and the MA 200. The price has also formed a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern, indicating strong selling pressure.

#Forecast

πŸ”½ If the price breaks and holds below the 1.3442 support level, further downside could be expected;
🎯 Target: 1.3287.

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸ˜œ

The price is moving lower, with each new high and low forming below the previous one. This indicates weakness among buyers and continued dominance from sellers.

The price is currently trading near the 1.1510 support level.

#Forecast

πŸ”Ό If the 1.1510 support level is broken, the decline could continue toward 1.1358.
πŸ”½ However, if the support level holds, a rebound and moderate upside toward 1.1679 could be expected.

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πŸ”₯ The 3 Chart Patterns Every Pro Trader Swears By!

πŸ“£ Our top three essentials: Head and Shoulders, Double Top, and Triangles β€” timeless setups that work across markets and timeframes.

1️⃣Head and Shoulders
🟠 A powerful trend reversal pattern. Watch the neckline slope β€” it often hints at the strength of the upcoming move. The real trade isn’t the β€œhead” β€” it’s the confirmed break.

2️⃣Double Top
🟠 Classic, but still deadly. Often forms after an overextended rally. Without volume on the second peak or a clean retest of the support break, it’s easy to get trapped.

3️⃣Triangles
🟠Symmetrical, ascending, and descending β€” each tells a different story. These patterns often form before breakouts or major news releases. Pay close attention to volume during the squeeze.

πŸ’¬ Drop your favorite pattern in the comments, and don’t forget to save it!

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🏦 The Fed raised rates to 3.75%–4.00% as inflation remains elevated. The decision was unanimous, while FOMC projections point to one more hike this year; traders are also pricing the possibility of another increase as soon as October.

πŸ€– US midterms are becoming a key risk for AI stocks as concerns over data centers and calls for stronger AI safety rules grow across both parties. Market analysts are watching how potential changes in Congress could affect regulation and the tech sector.

πŸš€ SpaceX shares gained 5% as the company targets September 22 for the next Starship test flight. SpaceX plans to attempt Starship’s first orbital flight and deploy 26 Starlink V3 satellites during the mission.

πŸ₯‡ Tom Lee expects Q4 2026 to mark the start of a major crypto bull market. The Fundstrat and BitMine chairman sees the coming quarter as a potential turning point for digital assets.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.09.2026

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ GBP β€” Monetary Policy Summary β€” 14:00 GMT+3
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ GBP β€” MPC Official Bank Rate Votes β€” 14:00 GMT+3
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ GBP β€” Official Bank Rate β€” 14:00 GMT+3

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πŸ‘18❀15⚑1
β„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈπŸ”„β†˜οΈβ†˜οΈπŸ…°οΈπŸ”Ό

After the rate hike, the dollar showed a strong impulsive move higher and is now testing the strong 100.39 resistance level. This level coincides with the previously broken ascending trendline, so the price may fail to break through it on the first attempt.

#Forecast

πŸ”Ό If the index breaks and holds above 100.39, the upside move could continue toward 101.52. In this case, USDJPY, USDCAD, and USDCHF could continue to rise, while XAUUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD and other assets could move lower.

πŸ”½ If the price fails to hold above 100.39, a small correction could follow, with the FVG as the potential target. In this case, USD pairs could move lower, while XAUUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD and other assetscould show upside.

πŸ“Œ If you like these UsDollar Index updates, click here ❀️

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πŸ˜›πŸ€—πŸ˜‡πŸ˜œ

The asset has shifted its market structure by forming a new local high. The price is currently testing the 1.4007 resistance level. The price has also formed a bullish Double Bottom pattern, which could signal further upside.

#Forecast

πŸ”½ If the price breaks and holds above the 1.4007 resistance level, further upside could be expected;
🎯 TP1: 1.4059;
🎯 TP2: 1.4123.

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πŸ“Š How do traders test their strategies? πŸ“Š

⏳ Before trading, remember: testing your strategy is key to success. Here's what to do first:

πŸ—“ Historical Testing (Backtesting)
Traders test their strategies on historical data to see how they would have performed. This helps to gauge their potential profitability in different market conditions.

πŸ’» Demo accounts
Practicing on a risk-free account lets you test your strategy in real-time market conditionsβ€”without financial risk.

πŸ’Έ Starting small
After successful tests on demo accounts, consider starting with small amounts to minimize risks while adjusting to live market dynamics.

πŸ” Analysis and optimization
Reviewing results and tweaking strategy parameters can improve performance and adaptability to market changes.

🧠 Psychological testing
Traders assess how well the strategy fits their style and how ready they are to follow its rules in stressful situations.

πŸ’‘ Choose FBS and save this guide to come back to it when testing your next strategy!

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Barclays expects the Bank of England to raise rates by 25 bps in November and again in February 2027. The forecast reflects rising inflation risks linked to higher energy prices.

🏦 Goldman Sachs now expects another 25 bps Fed hike in October. The forecast follows the Fed’s September decision to raise rates to 3.75%–4.00%.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China cut its US Treasury holdings to $618 billion in July, the lowest level since 2008. Beijing reduced its holdings from $633.4 billion in June amid broader pressure on US government debt.

πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ German producer inflation jumped to 4.6% YoY in August, up sharply from 3% previously. Monthly PPI rose 1.1%, keeping pressure on the inflation outlook.

⏰ US stocks are moving toward 23/5 trading from December 6. The SEC is also preparing the market infrastructure for extended hours, with a potential move toward near round the clock trading.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 18.09.2026

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR β€” ECB President Lagarde Speaks β€” 13:30 GMT+3

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❗️❗️❗️❗️

The asset has broken out of the descending channel to the upside and is showing further growth. The local market structure has shifted to an uptrend, with each new high and low forming above the previous one, indicating strong buying pressure. The price is currently moving toward the 4408 resistance level.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”Ό If the price breaks and holds above 4408, further upside could be expected;
🎯 Target: 4493.

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

The index is currently trading within a local sideways range, with the price moving from one boundary to the other. The price is now approaching the upper boundary of the range at the 29750 resistance level. The reaction to this level could determine the asset’s next move.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”Ό If the price breaks and holds above 29750, further upside toward 30220 could be expected.
πŸ”½ However, if the asset fails to hold above the resistance level, the price could move lower toward 28890.

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸπŸ˜œ

The asset continues to move in a downtrend. Each new high and low is forming below the previous one, indicating continued selling pressure.

The price has now shown an impulsive decline and is testing the 1.1459 local low.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”½ If the price breaks below the 1.1459 support level, the decline could continue toward the following targets;
🎯 TP1: 1.1434;
🎯 TP2: 1.1401.

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βœ‚οΈπŸ…±οΈπŸ”Όβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

Oil prices are moving lower, while the local market structure has shifted to a downtrend. Each new high and low is forming below the previous one, indicating continued selling pressure.

The price is currently testing the key 98.50 support level.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”½ If the price breaks and holds below 98.50, the decline could continue as part of a deeper correction;
🎯 TP: 95.80.

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🧲 Price Magnets 🧲

In trading, it is essential to find an entry point and understand where the price is most likely to go. The price is "drawn" to several areas on the chart - these are the so-called price magnets. They do not signal entry, but they do indicate potential targets for movement.

1️⃣ FVG - Fair Value Gaps
Formed when price moves too fast and "jumps" a range - leaving a space (gap) between candles where there were no trades.
πŸ’‘ Such zones are liquidity imbalances. Price often returns to them to "close" this gap, restoring market equilibrium.
🎯 How to use:
Ideal for finding movement targets. It is instrumental in trending markets.

2️⃣ Liquidity Pools
Areas where orders accumulateβ€”most often behind extrema (highs/minimums)β€”are where most retail traders' stop losses are located.
πŸ’‘ Large participants (institutional) often "push" the price into these areas to take liquidity, activate stops - and then move on.
🎯 How to use:
Liquidity pools are great short-term targets. Price often goes in there before a reversal or continuation move.

3️⃣ Price Gaps (GAPs)
A gap between the closing price and the opening price of the next period is often caused by news or high volatility.
πŸ’‘ Most gaps tend to close - the market returns to these areas to balance volumes and complete pending trades.
🎯 How to use:
Great for identifying future targets after sharp moves.

❗️What's important to understand
Price magnets are not entry signals. They don't tell you when to enter; they show you where the price may be.
This helps:
βœ… Set realistic take-profits
βœ… Do not go against the flow
βœ…Increase profit potential by lining up trades towards the target

πŸ“Œ Use price magnets in combination with confirming signals: structure breakout, trend change, momentum.

πŸ’¬ Share your experience: Which price magnets do you use in your strategy?

πŸ“₯ Save this post - it could level up your trading!

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🍫 Global central banks continue to increase their gold reserves. Gold accumulation remains significantly above the average levels of previous decades, while demand from central banks remains strong.

πŸ₯‡ Bitcoin is testing $82,000 but is facing resistance. After a strong rally in August, the crypto market is once again trying to break above this level amid expectations of a possible pre election rally.

πŸ“ˆ US stocks continue to rise amid expectations for a Trump Xi meeting. Markets are also entering a historically strong period for stocks, while expectations of a pre election rally remain one of the factors supporting demand.

πŸ›’ Oil is down around 2% amid hopes for easing geopolitical tensions. Brent fell below $102 after Trump declined direct military support for Saudi Arabia in its fight against the Houthis.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 21.09.2026

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί EUR β€” ECB President Lagarde Speaks β€” 18:00 GMT+3

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❀27πŸ‘7πŸ”₯4⚑2πŸ’―2
πŸ˜›πŸ˜‚πŸ€—πŸ˜œ

The asset is in a downtrend, but the price is showing signs of recovery. Local highs have formed on the chart, and the price is currently approaching the key 1.3404 resistance level. If these highs are broken, a local change in market structure could occur.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”Ό If the price breaks and holds above 1.3404, an upside move could begin as part of a correction:
🎯 TP1: 1.3423;
🎯 TP2: 1.3437;
🎯 TP3: 1.3468.

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βœ‚οΈπŸ…°οΈβ©οΈβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

The asset has broken above the descending trendline. The price tested the 67.41 resistance level. Locally, the market structure has shifted to bullish, with each new high and low forming above the previous one, indicating strong buying pressure.

#TradeIdea

πŸ”Ό If the price breaks and holds above 67.41, the upside move could continue toward 69.91.
πŸ”½ However, if the price declines again and breaks and holds below 65.29, the downside move could resume toward 62.67.

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