🔤🔤🔤🔤

🇺🇸 Goldman Sachs now expects the Fed to raise rates on September 16. Markets are increasingly pricing a hike as higher oil prices and stronger inflation add pressure on the Fed.

🥇 Crypto markets face a key week ahead. The Senate is scheduled to vote on the CLARITY Act on September 15, potentially creating a major catalyst for Bitcoin and other digital assets.

🛢 Oil supply risks are intensifying as Middle East tensions escalate. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen sharply, while Saudi Arabia shut its East West pipeline after an attack and the Houthis tightened their grip around key Red Sea routes.

📈 Hedge funds are rapidly buying US megacap tech stocks, with Goldman data showing the fastest increase in exposure since June 2025. The buying comes despite recent pressure on US equities.

📊 Tom Lee sees a potential short squeeze building in the S&P 500. The Fundstrat strategist believes positioning could fuel a strong rally if buyers regain control of the market.


#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 14.09.2026

🇨🇦 CPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 Median CPI y/y - 15:30 GMT+3;
🇨🇦 Trimmed CPI y/y - 15:30 GMT+3;

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😛😂🤗😜

The pound remains in a downtrend. The price has consolidated below the MA 200, while each new high and low is forming below the previous one, indicating continued selling pressure.

The price is currently testing the key 1.3474 support level.

#TradeIdea

🔽 If the price breaks and holds below 1.3474, the decline could continue;
🎯 Target: 1.3442.

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😛🤗🥹😜

The asset has formed a bullish Double Bottom pattern. The price is making higher highs and higher lows, indicating strong buying pressure. The asset is currently testing the 154.60 resistance level.

#TradeIdea

🔼 If the price breaks and holds above 154.60, further upside could be expected;
🎯 TP1: 155.34;
🎯 TP2: 156.05.

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❗️❗️❗️❗️

The asset has formed a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern. The price is currently testing the 4278 support level. Each new high and low is forming below the previous one, indicating weakness among buyers and increasing the probability of further downside.

#TradeIdea

🔽 If the price breaks and holds below 4278, the decline could continue;
🎯 TP1: 4232;
🎯 TP2: 4195.

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😛☺️🤗😜

The asset is showing a strong downward move. The price is currently testing the 1.1538 support level. Although the RSI indicator is showing oversold conditions, the risk of further downside remains.

#TradeIdea

🔽 If the price breaks and holds below 1.1538, the decline could continue;
🎯 Target: 1.1517.

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🔤🔤🔤🔤

🏦 US Treasuries remain under heavy selling pressure, pushing yields higher. The 10 year Treasury yield briefly moved above 5%, reaching its highest level since 2023 as inflation and fiscal concerns weigh on bonds.

🤖 Anthropic’s IPO remains on track despite the recent AI safety controversy. Axios reports that the security concerns are not expected to delay the company’s plans to go public.

📈 Traders are pricing roughly 100 bps of Fed rate hikes over the next 12 months, according to Bloomberg. The shift reflects growing concerns that persistent inflation could keep monetary policy restrictive for longer.

🥇 Bessent is again urging the Senate to pass the CLARITY Act. He argues that the legislation is necessary for the US to win the global technology race, with the Senate vote scheduled for September 15.

#MarketNews

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😛🙂🤗😜

The asset has broken out of the ascending channel to the downside. The price has broken the market structure and is now moving in a downtrend. The asset is currently testing the 0.5765 support level.

#Forecast

🔽 If the price breaks and holds below the 0.5765 support level, the decline could continue;
🎯 Target: 0.5675.

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😛☺️🤗😜

Oil prices remain elevated as geopolitical tensions and supply disruptions continue to support the market. Each new high and low is forming above the previous one, indicating strong buying pressure. The asset is currently testing the 106 resistance level.

#Forecast

🔼 If supply disruptions continue and the price breaks and holds above 106, further upside could be expected.

🔽 However, if geopolitical tensions ease and supply concerns fade, while the price fails to break above 106, a decline toward 94.50 could be expected.

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⚡️Elliott's Waves Theory⚡️

The trend impulse (growth wave) has a 5-wave structure, consisting of 3 waves of growth📈 and two waves of decline📉.

1️⃣-2️⃣in the beginning, there is a solid upward movement (the first growth wave), after which the price decreases (the second wave). The second wave cannot go lower than the beginning of the first wave. Otherwise, it is not an impulse. Usually, the second wave is about 50% of the first wave.

3️⃣after the end of the second wave, the third wave of growth begins. And it is usually bigger than her. As you understand, it is possible to know that this is the third wave only when the price exceeds the point where the correction (the second wave) began. This is the most optimal time for buying.

4️⃣then goes the fourth corrective wave. It has the same properties as the second wave, i.e., it cannot go lower than the end of the first wave and is usually 50% of the third wave.

5️⃣then goes the fifth wave. This is the end of the bullish trend. The fifth wave usually goes beyond the end of the first wave.


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🔤🔤🔤🔤

🇺🇸 US Treasuries are selling off again as yields climb, with the 10 year yield hitting 5.04%. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent attributed the rise in yields partly to higher oil prices, while Brent crude continues to climb toward $104 per barrel.

🛢 Oil prices keep rising as the global fuel crisis deepens. Executives from major US oil companies warn that the prolonged disruption around the Strait of Hormuz has already created a major fuel supply crisis, with diesel and gasoline prices surging.

🥇 Democrats' proposal to amend the CLARITY Act was rejected by Republicans, according to Bloomberg. The two sides remain unable to reach a compromise ahead of the key Senate vote, increasing uncertainty for the crypto market.

📉 Wells Fargo cut its year end 2026 S&P 500 target to 7,700 from 7,950. Rising Treasury yields, higher oil prices and renewed inflation concerns are putting additional pressure on US stocks.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.09.2026

🇺🇸 USD — Federal Funds Rate — 21:00 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 USD — FOMC Economic Projections — 21:00 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 USD — FOMC Statement — 21:00 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 USD — FOMC Press Conference — 21:30 GMT+3;

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😛😂🤗😜

The asset is currently moving lower. The price is testing the 1.3442 support level, which coincides with an ascending trendline and the MA 200. The price has also formed a bearish Head and Shoulders pattern, indicating strong selling pressure.

#Forecast

🔽 If the price breaks and holds below the 1.3442 support level, further downside could be expected;
🎯 Target: 1.3287.

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😛☺️🤗😜

The price is moving lower, with each new high and low forming below the previous one. This indicates weakness among buyers and continued dominance from sellers.

The price is currently trading near the 1.1510 support level.

#Forecast

🔼 If the 1.1510 support level is broken, the decline could continue toward 1.1358.
🔽 However, if the support level holds, a rebound and moderate upside toward 1.1679 could be expected.

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🔤🔤🔤🔤

🏦 The Fed raised rates to 3.75%–4.00% as inflation remains elevated. The decision was unanimous, while FOMC projections point to one more hike this year; traders are also pricing the possibility of another increase as soon as October.

🤖 US midterms are becoming a key risk for AI stocks as concerns over data centers and calls for stronger AI safety rules grow across both parties. Market analysts are watching how potential changes in Congress could affect regulation and the tech sector.

🚀 SpaceX shares gained 5% as the company targets September 22 for the next Starship test flight. SpaceX plans to attempt Starship’s first orbital flight and deploy 26 Starlink V3 satellites during the mission.

🥇 Tom Lee expects Q4 2026 to mark the start of a major crypto bull market. The Fundstrat and BitMine chairman sees the coming quarter as a potential turning point for digital assets.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.09.2026

🇬🇧 GBP — Monetary Policy Summary — 14:00 GMT+3
🇬🇧 GBP — MPC Official Bank Rate Votes — 14:00 GMT+3
🇬🇧 GBP — Official Bank Rate — 14:00 GMT+3

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ℹ️🔽⏺️🔄↘️↘️🅰️🔼

After the rate hike, the dollar showed a strong impulsive move higher and is now testing the strong 100.39 resistance level. This level coincides with the previously broken ascending trendline, so the price may fail to break through it on the first attempt.

#Forecast

🔼 If the index breaks and holds above 100.39, the upside move could continue toward 101.52. In this case, USDJPY, USDCAD, and USDCHF could continue to rise, while XAUUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD and other assets could move lower.

🔽 If the price fails to hold above 100.39, a small correction could follow, with the FVG as the potential target. In this case, USD pairs could move lower, while XAUUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD and other assetscould show upside.

📌 If you like these UsDollar Index updates, click here ❤️

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😛🤗😇😜

The asset has shifted its market structure by forming a new local high. The price is currently testing the 1.4007 resistance level. The price has also formed a bullish Double Bottom pattern, which could signal further upside.

#Forecast

🔽 If the price breaks and holds above the 1.4007 resistance level, further upside could be expected;
🎯 TP1: 1.4059;
🎯 TP2: 1.4123.

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📊 How do traders test their strategies? 📊

⏳ Before trading, remember: testing your strategy is key to success. Here's what to do first:

🗓 Historical Testing (Backtesting)
Traders test their strategies on historical data to see how they would have performed. This helps to gauge their potential profitability in different market conditions.

💻 Demo accounts
Practicing on a risk-free account lets you test your strategy in real-time market conditions—without financial risk.

💸 Starting small
After successful tests on demo accounts, consider starting with small amounts to minimize risks while adjusting to live market dynamics.

🔍 Analysis and optimization
Reviewing results and tweaking strategy parameters can improve performance and adaptability to market changes.

🧠 Psychological testing
Traders assess how well the strategy fits their style and how ready they are to follow its rules in stressful situations.

💡 Choose FBS and save this guide to come back to it when testing your next strategy!

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🔤🔤🔤🔤

🇬🇧 Barclays expects the Bank of England to raise rates by 25 bps in November and again in February 2027. The forecast reflects rising inflation risks linked to higher energy prices.

🏦 Goldman Sachs now expects another 25 bps Fed hike in October. The forecast follows the Fed’s September decision to raise rates to 3.75%–4.00%.

🇨🇳 China cut its US Treasury holdings to $618 billion in July, the lowest level since 2008. Beijing reduced its holdings from $633.4 billion in June amid broader pressure on US government debt.

🇩🇪 German producer inflation jumped to 4.6% YoY in August, up sharply from 3% previously. Monthly PPI rose 1.1%, keeping pressure on the inflation outlook.

⏰ US stocks are moving toward 23/5 trading from December 6. The SEC is also preparing the market infrastructure for extended hours, with a potential move toward near round the clock trading.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 18.09.2026

🇪🇺 EUR — ECB President Lagarde Speaks — 13:30 GMT+3

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