FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

๐ŸคFBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
๐ŸŒFBS website: https://fbs.com
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โ—๏ธChannel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUDUSD has bounced off the upper trend line, and the Parabolic SAR indicates the start of a downtrend. The signal line on the MACD has risen above the histogram.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling AUDUSD if it falls below 0.7000;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 0.6960.

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๐ŸŒ‰ Central banks are buying gold aggressively again

โ†—๏ธ In the second quarter, global central banks added 289 tonnes of gold to their reserves โ€” the strongest quarterly increase since late 2024. Poland emerged as the largest buyer, continuing to strengthen its gold holdings.

Traders, what is your gold price target? Share your forecast in the comments!

๐Ÿ‘ Like โ€” $3,500
โค๏ธ Heart โ€” $5,000


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โค191๐Ÿ‘70โšก3๐Ÿคฃ3๐Ÿ’ฏ2๐Ÿค2
โš–๏ธ Gold-to-Silver Ratio (GSR)

๐Ÿฅ‡ The GSR shows how many ounces of silver you need to buy one ounce of gold. It looks simple, but this ratio carries centuries of history and is still a powerful trading tool today.

๐Ÿ’ฐ In ancient Rome, it was fixed near 12:1. During the 19th century bimetallic era, most economies kept it at 15โ€“16:1.

๐ŸŸ Once the metals were left to free markets, swings became extreme: in 1980, silver mania crushed it down to 15:1, while the 2020 COVID crash sent it above 120:1.

๐Ÿ’ก What does it mean?
๐ŸŸขA high GSR = silver is cheap vs gold โ†’ usually happens in times of fear, when investors hide in gold.
๐ŸŸ A low GSR = silver is expensive vs gold โ†’ often appears during inflationary booms and speculative rushes.

๐Ÿ”ฅ How traders use it:
Instead of betting only on absolute price, pros rotate between metals. When GSR is stretched high, they accumulate silver expecting catch-up growth.

๐Ÿ’ฅWhen it collapses low, they shift into gold as the stronger hedge. This โ€œrelative playโ€ helps compound returns without leaving the metals space.

๐Ÿช™ For XAUUSD and XAGUSD, the ratio works like a compass:

โคด๏ธ Rising GSR โ†’ gold tends to outperform.
โคต๏ธFalling GSR โ†’ silver usually leads the rally.

๐Ÿช™ Follow the GSR โ€” it shows when gold or silver takes the lead.

Hit โค๏ธ and save to keep it in focus.
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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ›ขBP reported Q2 adjusted net income of $5.73B, beating the $5.01B consensus, and put its Archaea Energy biogas business up for sale as part of its turnaround strategy.

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Saudi Aramco reported Q2 adjusted net income of $33.4B, up 33% YoY and above the $31.1B consensus, driven by higher oil prices.

๐Ÿ’ต HSBC announced a new $1B share buyback after Q2 pretax profit rose to $10.1B, beating estimates, while raising its cost-cutting target.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ European earnings remain strong, with MSCI Europe profits up 14% and more than half of companies beating Q2 estimates โ€” the strongest results since early 2023.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 04.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ JOLTS Job Openings โ€“ 17:00 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ด USDJPY fell sharply following interventions and broke below the lower Bollinger Band, but the price rebounded from 157.000, and %R has already exited the oversold zone.

๐Ÿ“ˆ We are considering buying USDJPY on a pullback if it rises above 158.000;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 159.100;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 160.300.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜…๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ On the H2 chart, USDCHF has formed a bearish flag pattern, and the price is testing the lower boundary. The 50-period MA has crossed below the 200-period MA, forming a death cross.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling USDCHF only if the lower boundary is broken and the price falls below 0.8090;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 0.8045.

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FBS Analytics
๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค3๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ ๐Ÿˆ US30 has broken through the upper boundary of the downtrend channel and exited the cloud; the Tenkan line has just crossed the Kijun line, so we see an opportunity to close the imbalance. ๐Ÿ”ผ Consider buying US30 if it rises above 52,500; ๐ŸŽฏ Targetโ€ฆ
โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ3๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐ŸˆUS30 has hit a new all-time high, reaching its previous target. The price has risen above the nearest fractal, and we see potential for further gains toward the 161.8 Fibonacci level.

๐Ÿ‘† Consider buying US30 if it rises above 53500;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 54600.

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๐Ÿ’ธ 5 Technical Analysis Traps (and How to Avoid Them)

๐Ÿ’ช Youโ€™ve probably faced situations where technical analysis didnโ€™t work out. Even the strongest chart patterns can fail, so letโ€™s break down the main mistakes.

1๏ธโƒฃ Missing the bigger picture:

๐Ÿ” Scalpers zoom into 5-minute charts and forget the daily trend. Rookie mistake. A setup only matters if it aligns with the bigger picture. Multi-timeframe analysis = survival.

2๏ธโƒฃ Ignoring fundamentals:

๐Ÿ“† Technical patterns donโ€™t live in isolation. FOMC, CPI, or even a random Fed speech can nuke a setup in seconds. The chart shows probability โ€” news decides timing.

3๏ธโƒฃ Trading without confirmation:

โŒ Seeing RSI overbought โ‰  instant short. One signal is noise. Combine confluence: levels + candlesticks + trend + fundamentals. The more factors align, the stronger the edge.

4๏ธโƒฃ Falling for fake breakouts:

๐Ÿคฅ Markets love to trap retail. That โ€œperfectโ€ breakout above resistance? Often a liquidity grab. Wait for retest, volume confirmation, or divergence before committing.

5๏ธโƒฃ Chasing indicators:

๐ŸŽ„If your chart looks like a Christmas tree, youโ€™re lost. Pros strip it down to price action + 1โ€“2 tools max. The simpler the chart, the sharper the decisions.

๐Ÿ”ฎ TA is powerful, but itโ€™s not a crystal ball. Layer context, confirm signals, and never fight the bigger trend.

Save the post so you do not fall into the trap of technical analysis! And of course, hit a โค๏ธ

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โค95๐Ÿ’ฏ7๐Ÿ‘6๐Ÿ˜2๐Ÿ†’2๐Ÿค1
๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” โ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold rose more than 1% to above $4,130/oz, while silver also gained, as progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz reduced expectations of further Fed rate hikes.

๐Ÿš€ SpaceX shares fell about 7% after reporting Q2 capex of $18.4B, as higher AI spending overshadowed earnings that beat Wall Street expectations.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Donald Trump said US-Iran talks are progressing well, boosting hopes for an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 05.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ISM Services PMI โ€“ 17:00 GMT

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ5๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

5๏ธโƒฃ The US500 is setting new records and has already reached the 161.8 Fibonacci level; %R indicates extreme overbought conditions. There is a large FVG below, acting as a magnet for the price.

๐Ÿ”ผConsolidation above 7780 will open the way to 8080, corresponding to the 261.8 Fibonacci level;
๐Ÿ”ฝA pullback will bring the US500 back down to 7600.

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold has indeed confirmed a breakout of the trend line and the start of a potential reversal, as the AO indicator points to the very beginning of bullish dominance.

๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4170 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4330.

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โญ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ผโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ’ธ On the daily chart, EURUSD is testing the upper boundary of the descending wedge; if it rises above the fractal and breaks out of the cloud, a bullish scenario can be expected.

๐Ÿ”ผ If the trend line is broken above 1.1560, the path will be clear for EURUSD to rise;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.1660.

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๐Ÿ“‰ Just like the markets, life has its corrections.

๐Ÿ’ช Stay strong, keep moving forward.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran said it reached an agreement with Oman on a proposed Strait of Hormuz shipping route, marking a step toward reopening the key energy corridor.

๐ŸŸ  Deutsche Telekom increased its 2026 share buyback program to up to โ‚ฌ5B, adding โ‚ฌ3B after reporting Q2 results in line with expectations.

๐Ÿ’ฒ Commerzbank announced a โ‚ฌ1.2B share buyback after reporting Q2 net income of โ‚ฌ898M, beating the โ‚ฌ856M analyst consensus.

๐Ÿ”ป Swiss Re beat estimates with Q2 profit of $1.3B and H1 net income of $2.8B, while announcing a new round of cost cuts.step toward reopening the key energy corridor.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 08.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Claims - 15:30 GMT+3;

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๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโบ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUDUSD has broken below the lower boundary of the ascending wedge, and Momentum has just fallen below 100.0.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling AUDUSD if it falls below 0.7040;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.7010;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.7000.

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FBS Analytics
โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ5๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ 5๏ธโƒฃ The US500 is setting new records and has already reached the 161.8 Fibonacci level; %R indicates extreme overbought conditions. There is a large FVG below, acting as a magnet for the price. ๐Ÿ”ผConsolidation above 7780 will open the way toโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค5๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

5๏ธโƒฃ The US500 has rebounded from the 161.8 Fibonacci level, and %R has moved out of the overbought zone. A drop below support could begin to resolve the massive imbalance.

๐Ÿ”ฝ Consider selling the US500 if it falls below 7725;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 7650.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿช™ On the weekly chart, Ripple has fallen below the 200-day moving average (MA200) and is poised to drop toward the global trend line and close the massive imbalance.

๐Ÿ“‰ If XRPUSD consolidates below 1.0200 and the nearest fractal:
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 0.7600.

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๐Ÿšซ Stop Impulsive Trading, Start Smart Trading!

Ever opened a trade just because the market was moving fast and regretted it seconds later?
Youโ€™re not alone. Impulsive trading is one of the biggest reasons traders lose money. Letโ€™s fix that ๐Ÿ‘‡

โš ๏ธ What Is Impulsive Trading?
Itโ€™s when you enter a trade based on emotion: fear, greed, or excitement, instead of logic and strategy.
You react instead of plan.

๐Ÿง  Why It Happens:
๐Ÿ”ฅ Fear of missing out (FOMO)
๐Ÿ”ฅ Chasing quick profits
๐Ÿ”ฅ Emotional stress or lack of focus
๐Ÿ”ฅ Overconfidence after a win

โœ‹ How to Stop It:
1๏ธโƒฃ Stick to your plan. Write your entry and exit rules and follow them.
2๏ธโƒฃ Set trading hours. Donโ€™t trade 24/7, your brain needs rest to stay sharp.
3๏ธโƒฃ Use a journal. Record trades and emotions to spot patterns.
4๏ธโƒฃ Control risk. Limit your position size to avoid panic reactions.
5๏ธโƒฃ Take breaks. A clear mind = better decisions.

๐Ÿ’ก Pro Tip:
Use tools like Stop Loss and Take Profit, they protect you from your own emotions.

๐ŸŽฏ Remember:
Consistency beats adrenaline. Every great trader is calm, not reactive.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต The yen weakened to around 158.4/$, giving back nearly half of its intervention-driven gains and raising the risk of renewed US-Japan intervention.

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ชGerman industrial production rose 0.2% MoM in June, matching estimates, with auto-sector output up 3.6%.

โ„ข๏ธ Allianz reported record Q2 operating profit of โ‚ฌ4.87B, up 11% and above estimates, while Pimco attracted โ‚ฌ31.7B in inflows.

โšก๏ธ OpenAIโ€™s first device is reportedly a screenless, hockey puck-sized smart speaker with moving parts, expected to cost over $300.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 07.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Employment Change โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Unemployment Rate โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Average Hourly Earnings m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Non-Farm Employment Change โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Rate โ€“ 15:30 GMT

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿ™ƒ๐Ÿค—๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿฅˆ Silver on the daily chart is testing the upper boundary of an ascending wedge, and the lips have just crossed the jaw on the Alligator; the AO confirms the start of bullish dominance.

๐Ÿ”ผ Consider buying XAGUSDโ—๏ธONLY if there is a breakout above the upper trendline at 64.000;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 71.000.

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How do you expect XAUUSD to react after the NFP report?
Anonymous Poll
64%
๐Ÿ‚ Bullish
29%
๐Ÿป Bearish
2%
โš–๏ธ Neutral
6%
๐Ÿ‘€ View results
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