FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

๐ŸคFBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
๐ŸŒFBS website: https://fbs.com
๐Ÿ“ฒFBS Mobile app: https://fbspa.onelink.me/00Zt/8w2366it

โ—๏ธChannel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค5๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

5๏ธโƒฃ US500 has broken through the upper boundary of the downtrend channel and is testing a strong resistance zone and the 200-day moving average (MA200). The MACD histogram confirms the reversal.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Consider buying the US500 only if it rises above 7490;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 7530;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 7585.

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๐Ÿ†• Like the US500, the US100 has broken through the downtrend line, which may signal the start of an uptrendโ€”a development confirmed by the +DI crossing above the -DI on the ADX.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Consider buying the US100 if it rises above 28,500;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 28,800;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 29,150.

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๐ŸŽ‰Happy Friday, everyone!!!

๐ŸŽฌ Unravel the Drama of the 2008 Crisis with "Too Big to Fail"

๐Ÿš€ Gear up for a thrilling weekend escape into the heart of the 2008 financial crisis with "Too Big to Fail" (2011). This HBO masterpiece offers a front-row seat to the high-stakes drama that unfolded within the corridors of power as the world teetered on the brink of economic catastrophe.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Featuring a stellar cast led by William Hurt, Paul Giamatti, and James Woods, the film chronicles the frantic efforts of government officials and Wall Street moguls to prevent a global financial apocalypse.

๐Ÿค” Why add it to your watchlist? "Too Big to Fail" isn't just a recounting of financial turmoil; it's a deep dive into the high-stakes drama, ethical difficulties, and the monumental struggle to avert disaster.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ’ด The US and Japan carried out their first joint yen intervention in 15 years, signaling they are prepared to act again to support the Japanese currency.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธDonald Trump said US-Iran talks will begin Monday after he canceled a planned strike, saying the attack would have been the largest since World War II.

๐ŸŒ‰ Gold rose to around $4,070/oz as renewed US-Iran talks and a 7%+ drop in Brent crude reduced expectations of further Fed rate hikes.

๐Ÿ’‰ AstraZeneca has reportedly held early-stage merger talks with Bristol Myers Squibb on a potential megadeal that would create one of the world's largest drugmakers.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 03.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ISM Manufacturing PMI โ€“ 17:00 GMT+3;

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฑ๏ธ๐Ÿ”ผโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ›ข Brent fell sharply and opened with a gap, breaking below the lower Bollinger Band in the process; however, %R is already poised to exit the oversold zone.

๐Ÿ‘† We are considering buying XBRUSD if it rises above 83.80;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 86.10;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 86.50 (optional).

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bitcoin continues to decline and has reached an important support zone, while the 50-day moving average (MA50) is poised to cross below the 200-day moving average (MA200), forming a death cross.

๐Ÿ”ฝConsolidation below 62,200 and the nearest fractal will send BTCUSD lower;
๐ŸŽฏTarget 1: 61,700;
๐ŸŽฏTarget 2: 61,200;
๐ŸŽฏTarget 3: 60,700.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUDUSD has bounced off the upper trend line, and the Parabolic SAR indicates the start of a downtrend. The signal line on the MACD has risen above the histogram.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling AUDUSD if it falls below 0.7000;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 0.6960.

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๐ŸŒ‰ Central banks are buying gold aggressively again

โ†—๏ธ In the second quarter, global central banks added 289 tonnes of gold to their reserves โ€” the strongest quarterly increase since late 2024. Poland emerged as the largest buyer, continuing to strengthen its gold holdings.

Traders, what is your gold price target? Share your forecast in the comments!

๐Ÿ‘ Like โ€” $3,500
โค๏ธ Heart โ€” $5,000


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โš–๏ธ Gold-to-Silver Ratio (GSR)

๐Ÿฅ‡ The GSR shows how many ounces of silver you need to buy one ounce of gold. It looks simple, but this ratio carries centuries of history and is still a powerful trading tool today.

๐Ÿ’ฐ In ancient Rome, it was fixed near 12:1. During the 19th century bimetallic era, most economies kept it at 15โ€“16:1.

๐ŸŸ Once the metals were left to free markets, swings became extreme: in 1980, silver mania crushed it down to 15:1, while the 2020 COVID crash sent it above 120:1.

๐Ÿ’ก What does it mean?
๐ŸŸขA high GSR = silver is cheap vs gold โ†’ usually happens in times of fear, when investors hide in gold.
๐ŸŸ A low GSR = silver is expensive vs gold โ†’ often appears during inflationary booms and speculative rushes.

๐Ÿ”ฅ How traders use it:
Instead of betting only on absolute price, pros rotate between metals. When GSR is stretched high, they accumulate silver expecting catch-up growth.

๐Ÿ’ฅWhen it collapses low, they shift into gold as the stronger hedge. This โ€œrelative playโ€ helps compound returns without leaving the metals space.

๐Ÿช™ For XAUUSD and XAGUSD, the ratio works like a compass:

โคด๏ธ Rising GSR โ†’ gold tends to outperform.
โคต๏ธFalling GSR โ†’ silver usually leads the rally.

๐Ÿช™ Follow the GSR โ€” it shows when gold or silver takes the lead.

Hit โค๏ธ and save to keep it in focus.
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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ›ขBP reported Q2 adjusted net income of $5.73B, beating the $5.01B consensus, and put its Archaea Energy biogas business up for sale as part of its turnaround strategy.

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Saudi Aramco reported Q2 adjusted net income of $33.4B, up 33% YoY and above the $31.1B consensus, driven by higher oil prices.

๐Ÿ’ต HSBC announced a new $1B share buyback after Q2 pretax profit rose to $10.1B, beating estimates, while raising its cost-cutting target.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ European earnings remain strong, with MSCI Europe profits up 14% and more than half of companies beating Q2 estimates โ€” the strongest results since early 2023.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 04.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ JOLTS Job Openings โ€“ 17:00 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ด USDJPY fell sharply following interventions and broke below the lower Bollinger Band, but the price rebounded from 157.000, and %R has already exited the oversold zone.

๐Ÿ“ˆ We are considering buying USDJPY on a pullback if it rises above 158.000;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 159.100;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 160.300.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜…๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ On the H2 chart, USDCHF has formed a bearish flag pattern, and the price is testing the lower boundary. The 50-period MA has crossed below the 200-period MA, forming a death cross.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling USDCHF only if the lower boundary is broken and the price falls below 0.8090;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 0.8045.

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FBS Analytics
๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค3๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ ๐Ÿˆ US30 has broken through the upper boundary of the downtrend channel and exited the cloud; the Tenkan line has just crossed the Kijun line, so we see an opportunity to close the imbalance. ๐Ÿ”ผ Consider buying US30 if it rises above 52,500; ๐ŸŽฏ Targetโ€ฆ
โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ3๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐ŸˆUS30 has hit a new all-time high, reaching its previous target. The price has risen above the nearest fractal, and we see potential for further gains toward the 161.8 Fibonacci level.

๐Ÿ‘† Consider buying US30 if it rises above 53500;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 54600.

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๐Ÿ’ธ 5 Technical Analysis Traps (and How to Avoid Them)

๐Ÿ’ช Youโ€™ve probably faced situations where technical analysis didnโ€™t work out. Even the strongest chart patterns can fail, so letโ€™s break down the main mistakes.

1๏ธโƒฃ Missing the bigger picture:

๐Ÿ” Scalpers zoom into 5-minute charts and forget the daily trend. Rookie mistake. A setup only matters if it aligns with the bigger picture. Multi-timeframe analysis = survival.

2๏ธโƒฃ Ignoring fundamentals:

๐Ÿ“† Technical patterns donโ€™t live in isolation. FOMC, CPI, or even a random Fed speech can nuke a setup in seconds. The chart shows probability โ€” news decides timing.

3๏ธโƒฃ Trading without confirmation:

โŒ Seeing RSI overbought โ‰  instant short. One signal is noise. Combine confluence: levels + candlesticks + trend + fundamentals. The more factors align, the stronger the edge.

4๏ธโƒฃ Falling for fake breakouts:

๐Ÿคฅ Markets love to trap retail. That โ€œperfectโ€ breakout above resistance? Often a liquidity grab. Wait for retest, volume confirmation, or divergence before committing.

5๏ธโƒฃ Chasing indicators:

๐ŸŽ„If your chart looks like a Christmas tree, youโ€™re lost. Pros strip it down to price action + 1โ€“2 tools max. The simpler the chart, the sharper the decisions.

๐Ÿ”ฎ TA is powerful, but itโ€™s not a crystal ball. Layer context, confirm signals, and never fight the bigger trend.

Save the post so you do not fall into the trap of technical analysis! And of course, hit a โค๏ธ

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” โ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold rose more than 1% to above $4,130/oz, while silver also gained, as progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz reduced expectations of further Fed rate hikes.

๐Ÿš€ SpaceX shares fell about 7% after reporting Q2 capex of $18.4B, as higher AI spending overshadowed earnings that beat Wall Street expectations.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Donald Trump said US-Iran talks are progressing well, boosting hopes for an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 05.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ISM Services PMI โ€“ 17:00 GMT

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5๏ธโƒฃ The US500 is setting new records and has already reached the 161.8 Fibonacci level; %R indicates extreme overbought conditions. There is a large FVG below, acting as a magnet for the price.

๐Ÿ”ผConsolidation above 7780 will open the way to 8080, corresponding to the 261.8 Fibonacci level;
๐Ÿ”ฝA pullback will bring the US500 back down to 7600.

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold has indeed confirmed a breakout of the trend line and the start of a potential reversal, as the AO indicator points to the very beginning of bullish dominance.

๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4170 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4330.

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โญ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ผโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ’ธ On the daily chart, EURUSD is testing the upper boundary of the descending wedge; if it rises above the fractal and breaks out of the cloud, a bullish scenario can be expected.

๐Ÿ”ผ If the trend line is broken above 1.1560, the path will be clear for EURUSD to rise;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.1660.

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๐Ÿ“‰ Just like the markets, life has its corrections.

๐Ÿ’ช Stay strong, keep moving forward.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran said it reached an agreement with Oman on a proposed Strait of Hormuz shipping route, marking a step toward reopening the key energy corridor.

๐ŸŸ  Deutsche Telekom increased its 2026 share buyback program to up to โ‚ฌ5B, adding โ‚ฌ3B after reporting Q2 results in line with expectations.

๐Ÿ’ฒ Commerzbank announced a โ‚ฌ1.2B share buyback after reporting Q2 net income of โ‚ฌ898M, beating the โ‚ฌ856M analyst consensus.

๐Ÿ”ป Swiss Re beat estimates with Q2 profit of $1.3B and H1 net income of $2.8B, while announcing a new round of cost cuts.step toward reopening the key energy corridor.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 08.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Claims - 15:30 GMT+3;

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๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโบ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUDUSD has broken below the lower boundary of the ascending wedge, and Momentum has just fallen below 100.0.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling AUDUSD if it falls below 0.7040;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.7010;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.7000.

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