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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

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๐ŸŒ‰ Gold on the H4 chart is testing the upper boundary of the downtrend channel and the 200-period moving average (MA200), creating two possible scenarios.

โคด๏ธ A break above the upper trend line at 4070 will open the way to 4130;
โคต๏ธ A pullback will bring XAUUSD back to 4025 and 3990.

๐Ÿ‘ - you're bullish, โค๏ธ - you're bearish!

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ’ฐ Goldman Sachs (#GS) posted a record quarterly performance, helping fuel Wall Streetโ€™s strongest start to a year in 2026.

๐Ÿ˜’ Anthropic is holding investor meetings ahead of a potential October IPO, as the Claude maker prepares for a major AI-driven public listing.

๐Ÿ˜Ž TSMC will expand its US investment to $265B, adding $100B for 4 new chip plants, bringing its planned US footprint to 10 fabs and 2 packaging facilities.

โŒจ๏ธ ASML is reportedly considering price hikes for chipmaking tools, facing pushback from key customer TSMC.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Claims โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ’ต Following the release of inflation data, the USDollar broke through the minor trend line, and -DI crossed below +DI. If the USDollar falls below the nearest fractal and 100.300, we can expect:

๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค“๐Ÿ˜œConsider buying EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD;
๐Ÿคฉ๐Ÿ˜Ž๐ŸฅณConsider selling USDCHF, USDCAD, and USDJPY.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bitcoin on the H4 chart has bounced off the upper trendline of the ascending channel, and the %R indicator suggests that the price may correct the imbalance on the downside and reach the lower boundary.

๐Ÿ”ฝ A consolidation of BTCUSD below 64,000 could cause the price to plummet;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 63,000;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 62,600

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Economists expect the European Central Bank to hold rates next week before a final 25 bp hike in September, taking the deposit rate to 2.5%.

๐Ÿ’ฐ JPMorgan: Strategyโ€™s $3B cash reserve and institutional Bitcoin futures inflows are bullish for Bitcoin.

๐Ÿ›ขBrent holds near $85 for a fourth day, supported by expectations of a potential Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure.

๐Ÿ“Š Citi recommends shorting CMA CGM bonds, expecting shipping rates to fall as capacity increases later this year.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment - 17:00 GMT+3;

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿ˜€๐Ÿ™Œ

๐Ÿ†• US100 bounced off the lower boundary of the downtrend channel after crossing below the lower Bollinger Band, and a minor correction can be expected. %R confirms strong oversold conditions.

๐Ÿ‘† We are considering buying the US100 if it rises above 28,600;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 28,800;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 29,000.

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๐Ÿ“‰ Recession

๐Ÿ’ต A recession is a broad and sustained decline in economic activity. It shows up in GDP, jobs, industrial output, consumer spending, and investment.

๐Ÿ“ Historically, the US has experienced 12 recessions since WWII. On average, they last about 10โ€“11 months. The longest was the 2007โ€“2009 Great Recession (18 months), while the shortest was the COVID collapse in 2020 (2 months, but record-breaking in depth).

โšก๏ธ Key features to watch:

๐ŸŸ GDP contracts across several quarters.
๐ŸŸ Unemployment rises, usually with a lag.
๐ŸŸ Consumer spending, which makes up ~70% of US GDP, declines.
๐ŸŸ Credit markets tighten, business investment falls.

๐Ÿ•ฏ For traders, a recession reshapes the entire market. Cyclical stocks stumble while defensives hold up better. Safe havens like USD, gold, and Treasuries attract flows, while oil and industrial metals usually suffer. Volatility rises across every asset class.

๐Ÿ’ก The nuance! Markets anticipate recessions. They often fall before the economy is officially declared in recession and recover before the data improves. Thatโ€™s why monitoring early signals like the yield curve, PMI, or credit spreads is essential.

Tap๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ if this was useful โ€” and save it to revisit when the next recession signal flashes.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

โ˜„๏ธ The US launched a ninth straight night of strikes on Iran after American troops were killed, escalating the conflict while targeting Tehranโ€™s military and Hormuz capabilities.

๐Ÿค– TSMC said its $265B US investment is driven by strong AI demand and competition, with the company still struggling to meet customer orders.

๐Ÿš€ SpaceX plans the next Starship test flight for July 23, with elevated volatility expected as short interest has reportedly risen to about one-third of the free float.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Median CPI y/y โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Trimmed CPI y/y โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ…ฑ๏ธ#๏ธโƒฃ*๏ธโƒฃโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ”ฅBitcoin is testing the lower boundary of a symmetrical triangle after crossing the lower Bollinger band. Nevertheless, %R has already moved out of the oversold zone.

โคต๏ธA breakdown of the lower trend line below 63800 will drop BTCUSD to 62800;
โคด๏ธa rebound will bring the price back to 64800.
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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค ๐Ÿค—๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUDUSD is testing the downtrend line, and the lips have crossed the jaw on the Alligator.

๐Ÿ”ผ If the trend line is broken above the nearest fractal and 0.7020, consider buying AUDUSD;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.7075;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.7130.

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๐Ÿ”ฅAccumulation and Distribution: 2 Phases That Define the Trend

Every trend goes through stages, and understanding these phases gives a powerful tool for working with the market.

๐Ÿ”ด Distribution Phase
When large players start unloading positions, the price often moves sideways. For most, this is a โ€œpause,โ€ but for an attentive trader, itโ€™s a signal: a downward reversal may be coming.
๐Ÿ”ดEnter on a break below โ†’ start of the decline
๐Ÿ”ดThere may be a repeat distribution โ†’ continuation of the downtrend after a pause

๐ŸŸข Accumulation Phase
Here, itโ€™s the opposite: โ€œsmart moneyโ€ is buying the asset while the crowd thinks the market is dead.
๐ŸŸขEnter on a break above โ†’ start of the rise
๐ŸŸขThere may be a repeat accumulation โ†’ continuation of the trend after a correction

๐Ÿ“Œ The idea is simple, the market alternates between accumulation and distribution phases. If you learn to identify these areas in time, you can enter moves early, not at the last moment.

๐Ÿ“ข Save this post so you donโ€™t lose these secrets, and hit โค๏ธ if you agree!

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๐Ÿ›ขGoldman Sachs says Brent could exceed $120/bbl in Q4 if disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz persist, though it is not the bankโ€™s base case.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ The Trump administration plans a new 50% tariff on selected Canadian goods, escalating trade tensions while exempting energy, critical minerals, autos, and steel.

โœˆ๏ธBoeing secured nearly 150 aircraft orders on the opening day of the Farnborough Airshow, led by major deals for the 737 Max and 787 Dreamliner.

๐Ÿค–US AI executives are increasingly warning that Chinese AI models are advancing rapidly, intensifying competition in the global AI race.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 21.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ADP Weekly Employment Change โ€“ 15:15 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold is rising rapidly after breaking through the downtrend line, and the AO indicator suggests that the bulls are beginning to dominate. The lips have crossed the jaw on the Alligator.

๐Ÿ“ˆ We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4070;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4130.

Clickโค๏ธ if you are bullish

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ*๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ USDCAD on the H2 chart bounced off the downtrend line after crossing the upper Bollinger Band. The Parabolic SAR confirms the start of a downtrend.

๐Ÿ“‰ Consider selling USDCAD if it falls below 1.4060;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 1.4040;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 1.4020.

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๐ŸŒ€ Yield Curve Inversion

๐Ÿ’ฒ Imagine this: you lend money to the US government. Logic says โ€“ if you give it for 10 years, you should earn more than if you give it for 2 years. Right? More time = more risk.

๐Ÿ’ฅ But sometimes the opposite happens. Short-term bonds suddenly pay more than long-term ones. This flip is called a Yield Curve Inversion, and itโ€™s one of the strangest signals in finance.

๐Ÿ”” Why does it matter? Because history shows a chilling pattern: before every US recession since the 1950s, the curve inverted first. It doesnโ€™t tell you when the slowdown hitsโ€ฆ but itโ€™s like a storm siren in the distance.

โ“ What it means for markets:

๐ŸŸขBanks suffer โ€” their business model relies on borrowing cheap short-term and lending long-term.
๐ŸŸขStocks often stumble, as growth expectations fade.
๐ŸŸขGold, Treasuries, and other โ€œsafe havensโ€ start looking attractive.
๐ŸŸขThe dollar can stay firm in the short run, but the longer the inversion lasts, the louder the recession whispers.

๐Ÿ“Ž Fact: The curve that everyone watches is 2-year vs 10-year yields. Once that line flips, traders perk up โ€” some panic, some prepare.

๐Ÿ“Œ In other words, the Yield Curve Inversion is the marketโ€™s way of saying: โ€œThe future looks riskier than the present.โ€

Tap โค๏ธ if you think this strange signal is worth watching closely.

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๐Ÿ—ฃ Trump plans a 100% tariff on imported generic drugs from August 2028, rising to 200% in 2029 for manufacturers that do not move production to the US.

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡งUK June CPI slowed to 2.6% YoY from 2.8% in May, below the 2.7% forecast, helped by lower fuel prices.

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช Volkswagen is accelerating its China autonomous driving push, targeting Level 3 driver-assistance vehicles in H2 2027, while Level 2 models will reach Chinese roads in Q3.

๐Ÿ›ข Equinor reported Q2 adjusted net income of $3.44B, beating the $3.36B consensus, helped by higher production and stronger European gas prices.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 22.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ President Trump Speaks โ€“ 22:00 GMT+3

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฑ๏ธ๐Ÿ”ผโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ›ข So, on the daily chart, Brent has broken through the downtrend line and is trading above the jaw of the Alligator. The MACD histogram confirms the start of a potential uptrend.

๐Ÿ“ˆ We are considering buying XBRUSD if it rises above 91.00;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 97.00;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 100.00.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ ๐Ÿ”ผโฌ†๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโญ๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ

๐Ÿฅ‡ XAUUSD has broken through the global downtrend line, and the +DI has crossed above the -DI on the ADX, which may indicate the possibility of a reversal.

โ†—๏ธ We are considering buying XAUUSD only if it consolidates above 4150;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4350.

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