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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

๐ŸคFBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐ŸŒ‰ Gold has broken below the lower boundary of the uptrend channel on the H1 chart, and Momentum confirms a reversal with the potential for the Imbalance indicator to be oversold.

๐Ÿ”ฝ Consider selling XAUUSD if it falls below 4100;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4070.

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๐Ÿฅˆ Silver is testing the trend line on the H1 chart; the RSI has already broken below it, and the Chaikin Oscillator confirms the potential for a decline.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAGUSD only if the price breaks below the trend line at 59.500;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 58.700.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

โ˜„๏ธ The US and Iran exchanged fresh strikes, hitting dozens of targets, while disputing whether the Strait of Hormuz remains open to shipping.

๐Ÿ˜Ž TSMC Q2 sales jumped 36% YoY to $39.6B, while June sales surged 68%, signaling continued strength in global AI chip demand.

๐Ÿ’ฒ A growing rift between Saudi Arabia and the UAE, controlling roughly $3T in capital, could force major Wall Street banks and investment firms to choose sides

๐Ÿ“ˆ SK Hynix plunged 13%+ in Seoul after its $26.5B US debut, helping drive the Kospi down 8% and triggering a brief circuit breaker.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 15.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FOMC Member Waller Speaks โ€“ 19:30 GMT+3;

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๐Ÿ˜›โ˜บ๏ธ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ’ถ Quick analysis of EURUSD on the M30 chart! The price has crossed the upper Bollinger Band, and the CCI has moved out of the overbought zone, making a decline with a break of the Imbalance level possible.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling EURUSD if it falls below 1.1425;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.1410.

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๐Ÿ’ฐ Bitcoin is testing an important support level on the H2 chart, and the MACD histogram suggests a potential drop to the previous low if the price consolidates below the fractal.

๐Ÿ“‰ If the price falls below 62,500, BTCUSD will plummet;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 61,700.

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๐Ÿ˜›โ˜บ๏ธ๐Ÿค—๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ›ขOil broke through the upper boundary of the descending channel and emerged from the cloud. There is a gap at the top, which acts as a magnet for the price.

๐Ÿ‘†We are considering buying XBRUSD with growth above 80.00;
๐ŸŽฏTarget: 85.80

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

โšก๏ธ Traders raised the odds of a 25 bp Fed hike in July to ~50%, up from below 10%, while the 2-year Treasury yield held above 4.25%.

๐Ÿ˜ Donald Trump reinstated a US blockade on Iranian shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and proposed a 20% charge on other cargo transiting the waterway, escalating tensions with Iran.

๐Ÿ›ข BP expects a $1B Q2 writedown tied to its gas and low-carbon business as it shifts focus back to oil and gas.

โŒจ๏ธ Liang Wenfengโ€™s net worth rose from $16.7B to $36B after DeepSeekโ€™s latest funding round, making him the worldโ€™s richest AI founder.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 14.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core CPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core CPI y/y - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CPI y/y - 15:30 GMT+3;

Useful insight? Hit โค๏ธ

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold on the H1 chart has formed a bearish flag pattern and is testing the lower boundary. The CCI has moved out of the overbought zone.

๐Ÿ”ฝ Consider selling XAUUSD on a break below the trend line at 4015;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 3990.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ US CPI Release ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โญ๏ธ Core CPI m/m
Actual โ€” 0.0%
Expected โ€” 0.2%
Previous โ€” 0.2%

โญ๏ธ Core CPI m/m
Actual โ€” 2.6%
Expected โ€” 2.8%
Previous โ€” 2.9%

โญ๏ธ CPI m/m
Actual โ€” -0.4%
Expected โ€” -0.1%
Previous โ€” 0.5%

โญ๏ธ CPI y/y
Actual โ€” 3.5%
Expected โ€” 3.8%
Previous โ€” 4.2%
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinaโ€™s Q2 GDP grew 4.3% YoY, below the official 4.5%โ€“5.0% target range and economistsโ€™ 4.5% forecast, marking the weakest growth in over 3 years.

๐Ÿ’ป ASML raised its 2026 sales outlook to โ‚ฌ43Bโ€“โ‚ฌ45B, up from โ‚ฌ36Bโ€“โ‚ฌ40B, citing strong AI-driven chip demand.

๐ŸŒŸ Donald Trump dropped the proposed 20% fee on cargo through the Strait of Hormuz after pressure from Gulf allies, opting instead for promised investment commitments.

๐Ÿ˜บ OpenAI is developing its first consumer device: a screen-free, portable AI speaker designed as a ChatGPT-powered home companion for smart-home control, messaging, media, and everyday assistance.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 15.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core PPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ PPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ BOC Monetary Policy Report - 16:45 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ BOC Rate Statement - 16:45 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Overnight Rate - 16:45 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Fed Chairman Warsh Testifies - 17:00 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ BOC Press Conference - 17:45 GMT+3;

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ1๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿ†• US100 on H2 reached a critical resistance zone, gathering liquidity after crossing the upper Bollinger Band, and then rebounded. The Stochastic oscillator has already exited the overbought zone, and a decline toward the trend line is possible.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling the US100 if it falls below 29750;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 29,580;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 29,480.

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FBS Analytics
๐Ÿ˜›โ˜บ๏ธ๐Ÿค—๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ˜œ ๐Ÿ›ขOil broke through the upper boundary of the descending channel and emerged from the cloud. There is a gap at the top, which acts as a magnet for the price. ๐Ÿ‘†We are considering buying XBRUSD with growth above 80.00; ๐ŸŽฏTarget: 85.80 @fbsanalytics
๐Ÿ˜›โ˜บ๏ธ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ›ข Oil has reached our previous targets and crossed above the upper Bollinger Band, and may begin to correct, as the Parabolic SAR indicates a potential downtrend with an imbalance overlap at the bottom.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XBRUSD if it falls below 83.20;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 80.60.

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐ŸŒ‰ Gold on the H4 chart is testing the upper boundary of the downtrend channel and the 200-period moving average (MA200), creating two possible scenarios.

โคด๏ธ A break above the upper trend line at 4070 will open the way to 4130;
โคต๏ธ A pullback will bring XAUUSD back to 4025 and 3990.

๐Ÿ‘ - you're bullish, โค๏ธ - you're bearish!

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ’ฐ Goldman Sachs (#GS) posted a record quarterly performance, helping fuel Wall Streetโ€™s strongest start to a year in 2026.

๐Ÿ˜’ Anthropic is holding investor meetings ahead of a potential October IPO, as the Claude maker prepares for a major AI-driven public listing.

๐Ÿ˜Ž TSMC will expand its US investment to $265B, adding $100B for 4 new chip plants, bringing its planned US footprint to 10 fabs and 2 packaging facilities.

โŒจ๏ธ ASML is reportedly considering price hikes for chipmaking tools, facing pushback from key customer TSMC.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Claims โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ’ต Following the release of inflation data, the USDollar broke through the minor trend line, and -DI crossed below +DI. If the USDollar falls below the nearest fractal and 100.300, we can expect:

๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค“๐Ÿ˜œConsider buying EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and NZDUSD;
๐Ÿคฉ๐Ÿ˜Ž๐ŸฅณConsider selling USDCHF, USDCAD, and USDJPY.

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๐Ÿ’ฐ Bitcoin on the H4 chart has bounced off the upper trendline of the ascending channel, and the %R indicator suggests that the price may correct the imbalance on the downside and reach the lower boundary.

๐Ÿ”ฝ A consolidation of BTCUSD below 64,000 could cause the price to plummet;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 63,000;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 62,600

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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Economists expect the European Central Bank to hold rates next week before a final 25 bp hike in September, taking the deposit rate to 2.5%.

๐Ÿ’ฐ JPMorgan: Strategyโ€™s $3B cash reserve and institutional Bitcoin futures inflows are bullish for Bitcoin.

๐Ÿ›ขBrent holds near $85 for a fourth day, supported by expectations of a potential Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure.

๐Ÿ“Š Citi recommends shorting CMA CGM bonds, expecting shipping rates to fall as capacity increases later this year.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment - 17:00 GMT+3;

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๐Ÿ†• US100 bounced off the lower boundary of the downtrend channel after crossing below the lower Bollinger Band, and a minor correction can be expected. %R confirms strong oversold conditions.

๐Ÿ‘† We are considering buying the US100 if it rises above 28,600;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 28,800;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 29,000.

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๐Ÿ“‰ Recession

๐Ÿ’ต A recession is a broad and sustained decline in economic activity. It shows up in GDP, jobs, industrial output, consumer spending, and investment.

๐Ÿ“ Historically, the US has experienced 12 recessions since WWII. On average, they last about 10โ€“11 months. The longest was the 2007โ€“2009 Great Recession (18 months), while the shortest was the COVID collapse in 2020 (2 months, but record-breaking in depth).

โšก๏ธ Key features to watch:

๐ŸŸ GDP contracts across several quarters.
๐ŸŸ Unemployment rises, usually with a lag.
๐ŸŸ Consumer spending, which makes up ~70% of US GDP, declines.
๐ŸŸ Credit markets tighten, business investment falls.

๐Ÿ•ฏ For traders, a recession reshapes the entire market. Cyclical stocks stumble while defensives hold up better. Safe havens like USD, gold, and Treasuries attract flows, while oil and industrial metals usually suffer. Volatility rises across every asset class.

๐Ÿ’ก The nuance! Markets anticipate recessions. They often fall before the economy is officially declared in recession and recover before the data improves. Thatโ€™s why monitoring early signals like the yield curve, PMI, or credit spreads is essential.

Tap๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ”ฅ if this was useful โ€” and save it to revisit when the next recession signal flashes.

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โ˜„๏ธ The US launched a ninth straight night of strikes on Iran after American troops were killed, escalating the conflict while targeting Tehranโ€™s military and Hormuz capabilities.

๐Ÿค– TSMC said its $265B US investment is driven by strong AI demand and competition, with the company still struggling to meet customer orders.

๐Ÿš€ SpaceX plans the next Starship test flight for July 23, with elevated volatility expected as short interest has reportedly risen to about one-third of the free float.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.07.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Median CPI y/y โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Trimmed CPI y/y โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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