FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

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๐Ÿ’ต The USDollar is at an extremely strong and significant support level, and the price may break out of the cloud. The Kijun is above the Tenkan; however, it is important to consider two scenarios:

๐Ÿ”ฝ A drop in the USDollar below 97.900 would open the way to 96.700, leading to gains in EURUSD, GBPUSD, NZDUSD, and AUDUSD;
๐Ÿ”ผ A price rebound to 99.000 and 99.500 will push USDJPY, USDCHF, and USDCAD higher;

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜‡๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ USDCAD is testing the lower boundary of the downtrend channel and the lower Bollinger Band. However, the CCI has already moved out of the oversold zone.

โคต๏ธ A break below 1.3570 will push USDCAD down to 1.3510;
โคด๏ธ A rebound will bring the price back up to 1.3650.

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๐ŸŽข How Crypto Market Cycles Really Work

Some analysts are already predicting a trend reversal for Bitcoin, but maybe the period of growth is not over yet?

๐Ÿ”ฎ So letโ€™s imagine crypto hitting new all-time highs and your portfolio is glowing green. When should you exit? To answer that, letโ€™s break down the liquidity flow:

๐Ÿ’ธ When fresh liquidity enters the market (from investors, funds, traders, and retail), everything starts with the natural leader โ€” Bitcoin:

1๏ธโƒฃ Fiat โ†’ Bitcoin:
Bitcoin is the gateway to crypto.
Big money flows here first โ€” from funds, institutions, and cautious investors.
Cash moves over from traditional markets like stocks, bonds, and gold.

2๏ธโƒฃ Bitcoin โ†’ Major Altcoins:
Once BTC starts pumping, the hunt for bigger gains begins โ€” enter ETH, SOL, BNB, AVAX and other large caps.
FOMO kicks in. Speculators join the party.

3๏ธโƒฃ Large Caps โ†’ Mid-Caps & Hype Coins:
When the big names have already pumped, capital trickles down into smaller, riskier, and more volatile assets.
Mid-tier tokens, fresh ideas, and trendy names rise.
Everyoneโ€™s looking for โ€œthe next big one.โ€
Some explode and rise to the top 100... others burn out just as fast.

4๏ธโƒฃ Final Stage โ€” Memecoins:
At peak euphoria, logic disappears.
DOGE, SHIBA, PEPE, WIF, FLOKI โ€” anything that looks like a meme animal starts flying.
These arenโ€™t projects โ€” theyโ€™re pure emotion.
Everyoneโ€™s chasing 10x in a week. This is your final warning before a crash.

โ—๏ธWhen memecoins start pumping hard, itโ€™s usually the last act of the bull cycle. Too much money, too much emotion, not enough logic.
When greed beats reason, the market cools. Fast.


๐Ÿ‘† So what can you do?
โœ… Track market sentiment (like Fear & Greed Index or Google Trends).
โœ… Lock in some profits during meme season โ€” or even exit the market altogether.
โœ… Resist diving into memes at peak hype โ€” no matter how tempting it feels.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ˜ฑDonald Trump said the US will escort trapped neutral ships through the Strait of Hormuz, warning of force if the operation is disrupted.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Yannis Stournaras warns euro-area recession risks are โ€œrealโ€ as war-driven supply shocks hit, though inflation pass-through remains uncertain.

๐Ÿช™ Bitcoin topped $80K (+2.1% to $80,594), hitting a 3-month high as equities rallied.

๐Ÿ‘พ GameStop proposed a $56B takeover of eBay ($125/share, ~20% premium), backed by ~$20B debt and targeting $2B annual synergies.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 04.05.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ BOC Gov Macklem Speaks โ€“ 22:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bitcoin is testing extremely strong resistance and the upper boundary of the ascending wedge after breaking above the upper Bollinger Band. However, the trend has already been broken, and there is an FVG at the top.

๐Ÿ”ผ Consolidation above 80,000 will open the way to 84,000 and 88,000;
๐Ÿ”ฝ A break below the lower trend line at 77,500 will send BTCUSD down to 71,000.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ดUSDJPY bounced off the uptrend line after breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. There is an imbalance at the top acting as a magnet for the price.

๐Ÿ“ˆ If USDJPY rises above 157.300, we are considering a buy;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 159.000.

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡Gold has broken below the lower trendline of the ascending channel, exiting the cloud, and the Kijun has fallen below the Tenkan. The price may continue to fall on news from the Middle East!

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAUUSD if it falls below 4530;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 4500;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 4485.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” โ—๏ธ

โ˜„๏ธ The US and Iran exchanged fire, threatening a 4-week ceasefire as attacks targeted ships and escorts in the Strait of Hormuz.

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ The Reserve Bank of Australia raised rates to 4.35% (+25bps) for a 3rd straight hike (8โ€“1 vote), bucking global pause trends to fight inflation.

๐Ÿช™ UniCredit posted record โ‚ฌ3.22B profit (+16% y/y) ahead of its takeover bid for Commerzbank.

๐ŸŽ #APPLE is exploring US chip production with Intel and Samsung, diversifying beyond TSMC to reduce supply risk.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 05.05.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ISM Services PMI โ€“ 17:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ JOLTS Job Openings โ€“ 17:00 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ˜›โ˜บ๏ธ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ›ขBrent appears to have regained liquidity around the 114.00 level, after which it began to fall. The Stochastic oscillator has also moved out of the overbought zone.

๐Ÿ”ฝ Consider selling XBRUSD if it falls below 110.50;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 106.50.

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5๏ธโƒฃ The S&P 500 index (US500) includes exactly 500 companies.
Anonymous Quiz
75%
โœ… True
25%
โŒ False
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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿช™ XRPUSD has broken through the upper boundary of the descending channel and exited the cloud; the Tenkan line has crossed the Kijun line. A clear rise in bullish sentiment is evident in the crypto market.

โ†—๏ธ If XRPUSD breaks above 1.4180, it will rise;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 1.4400;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 1.4600.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” โ—๏ธ

๐Ÿ˜Donald Trump paused the US ship-escort plan in the Strait of Hormuz after just 1 day to give Iran deal talks more time.

๐Ÿท Samsung hit a $1T valuation after shares quadrupled in a year, joining TSMC in the trillion-dollar chipmaker club amid booming AI demand.

โœˆ๏ธ Lufthansa cut its Q1 loss 15% to โ‚ฌ612M (vs โ‚ฌ650M est.) on strong long-haul demand, though fuel supply risks remain elevated.

๐ŸบDiageo posted +0.3% organic sales growth, beating expectations for a โˆ’2.3% decline as Africa and Latin America offset US weakness.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 06.05.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ADP Non-Farm Employment Change โ€“ 15:15 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿš€๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡Gold has broken below the downtrend line, triggering a market structure shift. The Alligatorโ€™s lips have crossed the jaw, confirming the reversal.

๐Ÿ“ˆ We are considering buying XAUUSD ONLY if it consolidates above 4700;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 4770;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 4830.

Clickโค๏ธ if you are bullish

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿ™‚๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ NZDUSD has bounced off a key resistance zone and broken above the upper Bollinger Band. There is an FVG below, and %R has moved out of the overbought zone.

๐Ÿ”ฝ Consider selling NZDUSD if it falls below 0.5955;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 0.5920.

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ1๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿ†• The US100 is currently testing the 161.8 Fibonacci level, having reached the upper Bollinger Band. Meanwhile, the RSI stands at 80.0, confirming overbought conditions.

๐Ÿ“ˆ A break above 28,400 will open the way to 31,800, corresponding to the 261.8 Fibonacci level;
๐Ÿ“‰ A pullback will drop the US100 to 26,300.

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