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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

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XAUUSD โ€” Whatโ€™s Next?
Anonymous Poll
51%
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49%
๐Ÿ“‰ Down
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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ›ขOil pulled back with Brent near $107 and WTI around $94 after US and Israeli reassurances eased fears of further disruption to Gulf energy supplies.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บThe European Central Bank could hike rates as soon as April, potentially lifting the 2% deposit rate by 25 bps if Iran-driven energy costs push inflation above target.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChina imported over 790 tons of silver in Janโ€“Feb, including a record 470 tons in February, tightening global supply as demand surges.

๐Ÿค– OpenAI is developing a unified desktop app combining ChatGPT, Codex and an AI browser, aiming to boost user engagement amid rising competition.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Retail Sales m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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โ๏ธโธ๏ธโบ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ“‰ NZDUSD has rebounded from the upper boundary of the ascending channel, and the CCI and %R have already moved out of the overbought zone.

โคต๏ธ A drop below 0.5865 will send NZDUSD down to the lower boundary;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.5850;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.5825.

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡On the H1 chart, gold has formed a bearish flag pattern and broken below the lower boundary. The DeMarker has moved out of the overbought zone, and the Parabolic SAR confirms the downtrend.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAUUSD if it falls below 4650;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4575.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ How to trade geopolitical news?

๐Ÿ“ฐ Iran vs Israel, oil surging, gold pumping, indices collapsing โ€” and your chart looks like it had a seizure. Geopolitical news doesnโ€™t break price levels โ€” it breaks traders.

๐Ÿ›ซPrice action isnโ€™t about what happened โ€” itโ€™s about whoโ€™s caught offside. The news is just the trigger. The real move comes from how markets absorb, amplify, or fade the shock.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Examples:

๐ŸŸ An airstrike hits headlines โ†’ oil gaps +3%. But is there follow-through volume? Or was it an illiquid knee-jerk?
๐ŸŸ Gold spikes โ€” but is bond duration confirming the risk-off flow? Or are you just watching reflexive CTA demand?
๐ŸŸ US Indeces puke โ€” but is volatility term structure steepening? Or is it just retail panic selling into empty books?

๐Ÿ“ Here's how pros stay alive in geopolitical storms:

1๏ธโƒฃ Let the first wave pass โ€” The initial spike is pure emotion + algos. Donโ€™t chase.
2๏ธโƒฃ Watch the retest โ€” Did price absorb aggressive buyers/sellers? If yes, thatโ€™s the real setup.
3๏ธโƒฃ Look cross-market โ€” If crude flies but CAD stays flat, thereโ€™s dislocation = opportunity.
4๏ธโƒฃ Use context over candles โ€” A โ€œbullishโ€ engulfing on war news means nothing if itโ€™s just stop-hunting liquidity.

๐Ÿ‘‡ Professional advice from FBS๐Ÿ‘‡
During global tension, volatility pricing breaks across markets. Smart traders build synthetic volatility trades โ€” like ๐Ÿป Gold vs Gold miners, or ๐Ÿ›ข Oil vs USDCAD โ€” and profit from such crisises without guessing direction.

๐Ÿง  You canโ€™t control the news โ€” but you can control your response

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐ŸŒ‰Gold plunged nearly 5% below $4,300/oz, erasing 2026 gains and marking its worst weekly drop since 1983 as war-driven inflation fears delay rate cuts.

๐ŸŒ Global PMI surveys are expected to decline across major economies, signaling a broad slowdown as the Iran war-driven oil shock weighs on growth and business activity.

๐Ÿ’ต Major US banks including Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised China inflation forecasts and delayed rate-cut expectations as oil-driven costs rise.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 23.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ RBNZ Gov Breman Speaks - 23:00 GMT+3;

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ3๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿˆ On the weekly chart, the US30 has begun to correct; momentum has already fallen below 100.0. The alligatorโ€™s lips have crossed below its jaws, confirming the possibility of a further decline.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling the US30 if it falls below 45,300;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 43,500.

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๐Ÿ‘€ BTCXAU has bounced off extremely strong support, and the Parabolic SAR confirms the potential for an uptrend to begin. The DeMarker is about to exit the oversold zone.

โคด๏ธ If it breaks above 16,000, BTCXAU will rise;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 19,000.

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The day Buffett lost billions... and didn't bat an eyelid

๐Ÿ“† In October 2008, the financial crisis began. Markets collapsed, investors panicked and dumped their assets. The S&P 500 index fell by over 30% in just a few months.

๐ŸŸ Warren Buffett, the largest shareholder in giants such as Coca-Cola, American Express, and Wells Fargo, lost over $10 billion on paper. Yes, his portfolio was melting away before his eyes. But he didn't sell a single key position. What's more, he started buying.

โ“ Why?

Buffett understood:
- Falling stock prices โ‰  result in capital loss. It's a "paper" loss until you lock it in by selling.
- The panic of the majority is an opportunity for the minority.
- His assets are businesses, not just stocks on a chart. He knew how much they were worth.

๐Ÿ“ฐ In October 2008, he published a column in The New York Times titled:
"Buy American. I Am."


โœ๏ธ The main message:
"I buy when others are terrified. Because I know the market will recover. It always does."


๐Ÿ”ฅ It was this cool-headed approach that made Buffett one of the wealthiest people in history. While millions of investors were selling on emotion, he was buying at a discount.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ›ขOil futures saw a surge in activity with at least 6 million barrels traded just minutes before prices dropped up to 14%, far above the typical 700,000 barrels for that period.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บThe EU and Australia reached a free-trade deal after nearly 10 years of talks, aiming to boost trade flows and counter rising US protectionism.

๐ŸŽฎ Nintendo Co. cut Switch 2 output by over 30% to 4 million units this quarter from 6 million planned, after weak US demand for the $450 console.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 24.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ German Flash Manufacturing PMI โ€“ 11:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ German Flash Services PMI โ€“ 11:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Flash Manufacturing PMI โ€“ 12:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Flash Services PMI โ€“ 12:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Flash Manufacturing PMI โ€“ 16:45 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Flash Services PMI โ€“ 16:45 GMT+3

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐ŸŒ‰ Gold is actively testing the downtrend line and the FRAMA. The +DI has already crossed above the -DI on the ADX, but letโ€™s still consider two scenarios:

๐Ÿ”ผA break above the trend line at 4420 will open the way to 4550;
๐Ÿ”ฝA pullback will send XAUUSD down to 4320 and 4200.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ On the weekly chart, AUDUSD has begun to pull back, as confirmed by the Parabolic SAR, and the RSI has moved out of the overbought zone. There is an FVG below, acting as a magnet for the price.

โคต๏ธ A drop below 0.6900 will push AUDUSD even lower;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 0.6770.

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๐Ÿ›ขBrent bounced off the uptrend line after crossing the lower Bollinger Band. The CCI has moved out of the oversold zone, and there is significant imbalance on the upside. However, oil is moving purely on political news, so donโ€™t forget about your stop-loss!

๐Ÿ“ˆ We are considering buying XBRUSD on a break above 100.50 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 103.40;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 105.50.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

โšก๏ธThe US is pushing a 15-point plan to end the Iran war as oil holds near $100โ€“$110, risking a 0.3โ€“0.5 pp hit to global growth.

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บAustraliaโ€™s core inflation held at 3.3% YoY in February, above the 2โ€“3% target, signaling persistent price pressures even before the Iran-driven oil shock.

๐ŸŽApple Inc. is planning an AI overhaul with a standalone Siri app, a new โ€œAsk Siriโ€ feature, and updates set for iOS 27 and unveiling on June 8.

๐Ÿš€SpaceX may file for an IPO as soon as this week, aiming to raise over $75 billion in one of the largest listings of the year.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 25.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง CPI y/y โ€“ 10:00 GMT+3;

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๐Ÿ’ฐBTCUSD is trading sideways, and the price is poised to rise above the nearest fractal. The MACD histogram suggests potential upside, and there is an imbalance on the upside.

๐Ÿ”ผA break above 71,800 will open the way for further gains;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 73,800.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ ๐Ÿ”ผโฌ†๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโญ๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold is rising gradually, and the Tenkan line is already above the Kijun line. The price is poised to break out of the cloud and may test the trend line.

โ†—๏ธ We are considering buying XAUUSD ONLYโ—๏ธ if it rises above 4600 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4680.

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โค๏ธ Love is when orders are more important than words.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธUS officials are modeling scenarios with oil spiking to $200 per barrel, assessing risks to growth, inflation and recession odds in a prolonged Iran war.

๐Ÿ’ฐBitcoin jumped over 5% to about $71,800 after the US opened a five-day negotiation window with Iran, easing market tensions and lifting risk assets.

๐Ÿ’ฒ Circle Internet Group Inc. shares plunged up to 22%, the biggest drop on record, dragging crypto-linked stocks like Coinbase Global Inc. down 11%.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Meta Platforms Inc. and Google LLC face rising legal risks after a $6 million jury verdict, potentially opening the door to thousands of lawsuits and stricter regulation.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 26.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Claims - 15:30 GMT+3;

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ5๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

5๏ธโƒฃ The US500 is actively testing support and appears poised to fall. The Parabolic SAR and MACD histogram confirm this.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling the US500 if it falls below 6545;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 6505;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 6470.

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