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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

๐ŸคFBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
๐ŸŒFBS website: https://fbs.com
๐Ÿ“ฒFBS Mobile app: https://fbspa.onelink.me/00Zt/8w2366it

โ—๏ธChannel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Federal Funds Rate:

๐ŸŸข Actual โ€” 3.75%
๐ŸŸข Expected โ€” 3.75%
๐ŸŸข Previous โ€” 3.75%
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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธThe Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.75%, with projections unchanged at 3.75% as policymakers signal a cautious path amid inflation risks.

๐Ÿ›ขBrent crude climbed to $113 per barrel after strikes hit major gas sites, including Qatarโ€™s LNG complex, raising risks to supply and fueling inflation fears across global markets.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บThe European Central Bank is expected to hold its deposit rate at 2%, as markets weigh an Iran-driven inflation shock with bets shifting toward a potential rate hike.

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norwayโ€™s $2.2 trillion sovereign wealth fund, which owns about 1.5% of global equities, warned the Iran war risks testing market complacency and global economic resilience.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 19.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Claimant Count Change โ€“ 10:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ SNB Monetary Policy Assessment โ€“ 11:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ SNB Policy Rate โ€“ 11:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ SNB Press Conference โ€“ 12:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Monetary Policy Summary โ€“ 15:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง MPC Official Bank Rate Votes โ€“ 15:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Official Bank Rate โ€“ 15:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Claims โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Main Refinancing Rate โ€“ 16:15 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Monetary Policy Statement โ€“ 16:15 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ECB Press Conference โ€“ 16:45 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜‡๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ USDCAD has broken through the downtrend line, and the MACD histogram indicates growing bullish sentiment, with an overbought condition at the top.

โคด๏ธ We are considering buying USDCAD if it rises above 1.3750 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.3910.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ โฎ๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold is falling rapidly, and on the H4 chart, the 50-period MA is poised to cross below the 200-period MA, forming a Death Cross.

๐ŸŸ On the daily chart, it is evident that XAUUSD has broken through the global uptrend line, the price has moved out of the cloud, and the Kijun line has crossed below the Tenkan line.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAUUSD only if it falls below 4700;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4550.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโฉ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿฅˆ XAGUSD is falling rapidly and has reached support, forming a triple top. The price has crossed below the lower Bollinger Band, so letโ€™s consider two scenarios:

๐Ÿ”ฝA drop below 71.000 will send silver down to 64.000;
๐Ÿ”ผA bounce off support will bring XAGUSD back up to 82.000 and 89.500.

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XAUUSD โ€” Whatโ€™s Next?
Anonymous Poll
51%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Up
49%
๐Ÿ“‰ Down
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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ›ขOil pulled back with Brent near $107 and WTI around $94 after US and Israeli reassurances eased fears of further disruption to Gulf energy supplies.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บThe European Central Bank could hike rates as soon as April, potentially lifting the 2% deposit rate by 25 bps if Iran-driven energy costs push inflation above target.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChina imported over 790 tons of silver in Janโ€“Feb, including a record 470 tons in February, tightening global supply as demand surges.

๐Ÿค– OpenAI is developing a unified desktop app combining ChatGPT, Codex and an AI browser, aiming to boost user engagement amid rising competition.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Retail Sales m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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โ๏ธโธ๏ธโบ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ“‰ NZDUSD has rebounded from the upper boundary of the ascending channel, and the CCI and %R have already moved out of the overbought zone.

โคต๏ธ A drop below 0.5865 will send NZDUSD down to the lower boundary;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.5850;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.5825.

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡On the H1 chart, gold has formed a bearish flag pattern and broken below the lower boundary. The DeMarker has moved out of the overbought zone, and the Parabolic SAR confirms the downtrend.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAUUSD if it falls below 4650;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4575.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ How to trade geopolitical news?

๐Ÿ“ฐ Iran vs Israel, oil surging, gold pumping, indices collapsing โ€” and your chart looks like it had a seizure. Geopolitical news doesnโ€™t break price levels โ€” it breaks traders.

๐Ÿ›ซPrice action isnโ€™t about what happened โ€” itโ€™s about whoโ€™s caught offside. The news is just the trigger. The real move comes from how markets absorb, amplify, or fade the shock.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Examples:

๐ŸŸ An airstrike hits headlines โ†’ oil gaps +3%. But is there follow-through volume? Or was it an illiquid knee-jerk?
๐ŸŸ Gold spikes โ€” but is bond duration confirming the risk-off flow? Or are you just watching reflexive CTA demand?
๐ŸŸ US Indeces puke โ€” but is volatility term structure steepening? Or is it just retail panic selling into empty books?

๐Ÿ“ Here's how pros stay alive in geopolitical storms:

1๏ธโƒฃ Let the first wave pass โ€” The initial spike is pure emotion + algos. Donโ€™t chase.
2๏ธโƒฃ Watch the retest โ€” Did price absorb aggressive buyers/sellers? If yes, thatโ€™s the real setup.
3๏ธโƒฃ Look cross-market โ€” If crude flies but CAD stays flat, thereโ€™s dislocation = opportunity.
4๏ธโƒฃ Use context over candles โ€” A โ€œbullishโ€ engulfing on war news means nothing if itโ€™s just stop-hunting liquidity.

๐Ÿ‘‡ Professional advice from FBS๐Ÿ‘‡
During global tension, volatility pricing breaks across markets. Smart traders build synthetic volatility trades โ€” like ๐Ÿป Gold vs Gold miners, or ๐Ÿ›ข Oil vs USDCAD โ€” and profit from such crisises without guessing direction.

๐Ÿง  You canโ€™t control the news โ€” but you can control your response

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐ŸŒ‰Gold plunged nearly 5% below $4,300/oz, erasing 2026 gains and marking its worst weekly drop since 1983 as war-driven inflation fears delay rate cuts.

๐ŸŒ Global PMI surveys are expected to decline across major economies, signaling a broad slowdown as the Iran war-driven oil shock weighs on growth and business activity.

๐Ÿ’ต Major US banks including Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised China inflation forecasts and delayed rate-cut expectations as oil-driven costs rise.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 23.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฟ RBNZ Gov Breman Speaks - 23:00 GMT+3;

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ3๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿˆ On the weekly chart, the US30 has begun to correct; momentum has already fallen below 100.0. The alligatorโ€™s lips have crossed below its jaws, confirming the possibility of a further decline.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling the US30 if it falls below 45,300;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 43,500.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‘€ BTCXAU has bounced off extremely strong support, and the Parabolic SAR confirms the potential for an uptrend to begin. The DeMarker is about to exit the oversold zone.

โคด๏ธ If it breaks above 16,000, BTCXAU will rise;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 19,000.

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The day Buffett lost billions... and didn't bat an eyelid

๐Ÿ“† In October 2008, the financial crisis began. Markets collapsed, investors panicked and dumped their assets. The S&P 500 index fell by over 30% in just a few months.

๐ŸŸ Warren Buffett, the largest shareholder in giants such as Coca-Cola, American Express, and Wells Fargo, lost over $10 billion on paper. Yes, his portfolio was melting away before his eyes. But he didn't sell a single key position. What's more, he started buying.

โ“ Why?

Buffett understood:
- Falling stock prices โ‰  result in capital loss. It's a "paper" loss until you lock it in by selling.
- The panic of the majority is an opportunity for the minority.
- His assets are businesses, not just stocks on a chart. He knew how much they were worth.

๐Ÿ“ฐ In October 2008, he published a column in The New York Times titled:
"Buy American. I Am."


โœ๏ธ The main message:
"I buy when others are terrified. Because I know the market will recover. It always does."


๐Ÿ”ฅ It was this cool-headed approach that made Buffett one of the wealthiest people in history. While millions of investors were selling on emotion, he was buying at a discount.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ›ขOil futures saw a surge in activity with at least 6 million barrels traded just minutes before prices dropped up to 14%, far above the typical 700,000 barrels for that period.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บThe EU and Australia reached a free-trade deal after nearly 10 years of talks, aiming to boost trade flows and counter rising US protectionism.

๐ŸŽฎ Nintendo Co. cut Switch 2 output by over 30% to 4 million units this quarter from 6 million planned, after weak US demand for the $450 console.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 24.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ German Flash Manufacturing PMI โ€“ 11:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ German Flash Services PMI โ€“ 11:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Flash Manufacturing PMI โ€“ 12:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Flash Services PMI โ€“ 12:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Flash Manufacturing PMI โ€“ 16:45 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Flash Services PMI โ€“ 16:45 GMT+3

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐ŸŒ‰ Gold is actively testing the downtrend line and the FRAMA. The +DI has already crossed above the -DI on the ADX, but letโ€™s still consider two scenarios:

๐Ÿ”ผA break above the trend line at 4420 will open the way to 4550;
๐Ÿ”ฝA pullback will send XAUUSD down to 4320 and 4200.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ On the weekly chart, AUDUSD has begun to pull back, as confirmed by the Parabolic SAR, and the RSI has moved out of the overbought zone. There is an FVG below, acting as a magnet for the price.

โคต๏ธ A drop below 0.6900 will push AUDUSD even lower;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 0.6770.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ›ขBrent bounced off the uptrend line after crossing the lower Bollinger Band. The CCI has moved out of the oversold zone, and there is significant imbalance on the upside. However, oil is moving purely on political news, so donโ€™t forget about your stop-loss!

๐Ÿ“ˆ We are considering buying XBRUSD on a break above 100.50 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 103.40;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 105.50.

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