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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

๐ŸคFBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
๐ŸŒFBS website: https://fbs.com
๐Ÿ“ฒFBS Mobile app: https://fbspa.onelink.me/00Zt/8w2366it

โ—๏ธChannel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

โ˜„๏ธThe US urged allies to help secure the Strait of Hormuz, a route carrying about 20% of global oil trade, as Washington warned of further strikes on Iranโ€™s Kharg Island export hub amid ongoing market volatility.

๐Ÿ‘๏ธ Nvidia Corp. forecasts its AI chips could generate $1 trillion in cumulative revenue by 2027, as it expands into CPUs and next-generation data-center hardware.

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ชFriedrich Merzโ€™s โ‚ฌ600 billion defense expansion is boosting demand across Germanyโ€™s military supply chain, marking the countryโ€™s largest rearmament drive since the Cold War.

๐Ÿ’ฐ Morgan Stanley expects private credit default rates to rise to about 8%, nearing pandemic-era peaks as AI disruption pressures highly leveraged software borrowers.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Pending Home Sales m/m โ€“ 17:00 GMT+3

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ*๏ธโƒฃโช๏ธโฎ๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญUSDCHF is testing extremely strong support, and the MACD suggests a potential decline. The DeMarker has also moved out of the overbought zone.

โคต๏ธ A drop in USDCHF below 0.7860 will trigger a correction;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.7825;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.7800.

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๐Ÿ”ฅTRADING STOCKS

๐Ÿ“‰ #NETFLIX surged sharply with a gap and broke above the upper Bollinger Band on the daily chart. %R has moved out of the overbought zone, suggesting a potential correction may be underway.

๐Ÿ”ฝWe are considering selling #NETFLIX if it falls below 94.00;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 85.00.

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๐Ÿ’ก Paul Tudor Jones

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ One of the most iconic traders of our time, Paul Tudor Jones, made his mark by combining sharp macro insight with disciplined risk control.

๐Ÿ“‰ In 1987, by shorting on a crash in the US stock market, Jonesโ€™ Tudor fund returned 125.9% after fees, earning him an estimated $100 million.

Jones' Trading strategy:
๐Ÿ” Deep macroeconomic analysis by tracking GDP, interest rates, etc.
๐Ÿ” Technical analysis. Chart patterns (like head and shoulders) and a 200-day moving average are perfect tools for successful trading.

Jones' Trading Philosophy:
๐ŸŸข Trade based on global macro cycles, confirmed by technical signals.
๐ŸŸข Risk no more than 1% of capital per trade.
๐ŸŸข Only take trades with at least a 5:1 reward-to-risk ratio.
๐ŸŸข Contrarianism - moves against mainstream market beliefs, guided by his analysis and intuition.

Hit โค๏ธ if Paul Tudor Jones inspires your trading strategy!

๐Ÿ“ฒ Start Trading with FBS

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ’ฐ Bitcoin has emerged as a relative safe haven, climbing about 14% to ~$75,000 since the Iran war began while oil surged 40% and both gold (-5%) and global stocks (-4%) declined.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ The US shifted to a more unilateral stance while threatening strikes on Kharg Island, risking disruption to millions of barrels per day of exports and keeping oil above $100.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญThe Swiss National Bank is expected to hold rates at 0% while signaling potential intervention to curb franc strength.

๐Ÿซ Unilever Plc is exploring a potential spin-off of its food division, with options under review ahead of a possible deal timeline beyond 2027.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 18.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core PPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ PPI m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ BOC Rate Statement โ€“ 16:45 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Overnight Rate โ€“ 16:45 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ BOC Press Conference โ€“ 17:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Federal Funds Rate โ€“ 21:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FOMC Economic Projections โ€“ 21:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FOMC Statement โ€“ 21:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FOMC Press Conference โ€“ 21:30 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ”ฝ๐Ÿ”„โ†˜๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿช™ On the weekly chart, SOLUSD bounced off a strong support zone after breaking below the lower Bollinger Band. The CCI has moved out of the oversold zone, and there is an imbalance at the top.

๐Ÿ”ผ A break above 95.00 will pave the way for further gains in SOLUSD;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 120.00.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ โฎ๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ

๐Ÿฅ‡Gold is rapidly approaching support, and the price is about to drop. The Parabolic SAR confirms the start of the decline.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAUUSD if the price falls below 4980 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4900.

DESTROY โค๏ธโค๏ธโค๏ธ IF YOU LOVE TRADING XAUUSD!

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Federal Funds Rate:

๐ŸŸข Actual โ€” 3.75%
๐ŸŸข Expected โ€” 3.75%
๐ŸŸข Previous โ€” 3.75%
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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธThe Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate at 3.75%, with projections unchanged at 3.75% as policymakers signal a cautious path amid inflation risks.

๐Ÿ›ขBrent crude climbed to $113 per barrel after strikes hit major gas sites, including Qatarโ€™s LNG complex, raising risks to supply and fueling inflation fears across global markets.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บThe European Central Bank is expected to hold its deposit rate at 2%, as markets weigh an Iran-driven inflation shock with bets shifting toward a potential rate hike.

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ด Norwayโ€™s $2.2 trillion sovereign wealth fund, which owns about 1.5% of global equities, warned the Iran war risks testing market complacency and global economic resilience.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 19.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Claimant Count Change โ€“ 10:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ SNB Monetary Policy Assessment โ€“ 11:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ SNB Policy Rate โ€“ 11:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ SNB Press Conference โ€“ 12:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Monetary Policy Summary โ€“ 15:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง MPC Official Bank Rate Votes โ€“ 15:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Official Bank Rate โ€“ 15:00 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Claims โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Main Refinancing Rate โ€“ 16:15 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Monetary Policy Statement โ€“ 16:15 GMT+3
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ ECB Press Conference โ€“ 16:45 GMT+3

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜‡๐ŸŽ๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ USDCAD has broken through the downtrend line, and the MACD histogram indicates growing bullish sentiment, with an overbought condition at the top.

โคด๏ธ We are considering buying USDCAD if it rises above 1.3750 and the nearest fractal;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 1.3910.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ โฎ๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ†˜๏ธโ†˜๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold is falling rapidly, and on the H4 chart, the 50-period MA is poised to cross below the 200-period MA, forming a Death Cross.

๐ŸŸ On the daily chart, it is evident that XAUUSD has broken through the global uptrend line, the price has moved out of the cloud, and the Kijun line has crossed below the Tenkan line.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAUUSD only if it falls below 4700;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4550.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโฉ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿฅˆ XAGUSD is falling rapidly and has reached support, forming a triple top. The price has crossed below the lower Bollinger Band, so letโ€™s consider two scenarios:

๐Ÿ”ฝA drop below 71.000 will send silver down to 64.000;
๐Ÿ”ผA bounce off support will bring XAGUSD back up to 82.000 and 89.500.

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XAUUSD โ€” Whatโ€™s Next?
Anonymous Poll
51%
๐Ÿ“ˆ Up
49%
๐Ÿ“‰ Down
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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ›ขOil pulled back with Brent near $107 and WTI around $94 after US and Israeli reassurances eased fears of further disruption to Gulf energy supplies.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บThe European Central Bank could hike rates as soon as April, potentially lifting the 2% deposit rate by 25 bps if Iran-driven energy costs push inflation above target.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChina imported over 790 tons of silver in Janโ€“Feb, including a record 470 tons in February, tightening global supply as demand surges.

๐Ÿค– OpenAI is developing a unified desktop app combining ChatGPT, Codex and an AI browser, aiming to boost user engagement amid rising competition.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.03.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Retail Sales m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3

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โ๏ธโธ๏ธโบ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ“‰ NZDUSD has rebounded from the upper boundary of the ascending channel, and the CCI and %R have already moved out of the overbought zone.

โคต๏ธ A drop below 0.5865 will send NZDUSD down to the lower boundary;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.5850;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.5825.

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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿฅ‡๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ›ธ๐Ÿ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

๐Ÿฅ‡On the H1 chart, gold has formed a bearish flag pattern and broken below the lower boundary. The DeMarker has moved out of the overbought zone, and the Parabolic SAR confirms the downtrend.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling XAUUSD if it falls below 4650;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4575.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ How to trade geopolitical news?

๐Ÿ“ฐ Iran vs Israel, oil surging, gold pumping, indices collapsing โ€” and your chart looks like it had a seizure. Geopolitical news doesnโ€™t break price levels โ€” it breaks traders.

๐Ÿ›ซPrice action isnโ€™t about what happened โ€” itโ€™s about whoโ€™s caught offside. The news is just the trigger. The real move comes from how markets absorb, amplify, or fade the shock.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Examples:

๐ŸŸ An airstrike hits headlines โ†’ oil gaps +3%. But is there follow-through volume? Or was it an illiquid knee-jerk?
๐ŸŸ Gold spikes โ€” but is bond duration confirming the risk-off flow? Or are you just watching reflexive CTA demand?
๐ŸŸ US Indeces puke โ€” but is volatility term structure steepening? Or is it just retail panic selling into empty books?

๐Ÿ“ Here's how pros stay alive in geopolitical storms:

1๏ธโƒฃ Let the first wave pass โ€” The initial spike is pure emotion + algos. Donโ€™t chase.
2๏ธโƒฃ Watch the retest โ€” Did price absorb aggressive buyers/sellers? If yes, thatโ€™s the real setup.
3๏ธโƒฃ Look cross-market โ€” If crude flies but CAD stays flat, thereโ€™s dislocation = opportunity.
4๏ธโƒฃ Use context over candles โ€” A โ€œbullishโ€ engulfing on war news means nothing if itโ€™s just stop-hunting liquidity.

๐Ÿ‘‡ Professional advice from FBS๐Ÿ‘‡
During global tension, volatility pricing breaks across markets. Smart traders build synthetic volatility trades โ€” like ๐Ÿป Gold vs Gold miners, or ๐Ÿ›ข Oil vs USDCAD โ€” and profit from such crisises without guessing direction.

๐Ÿง  You canโ€™t control the news โ€” but you can control your response

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