FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!πŸš€

🀝FBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
🌐FBS website: https://fbs.com
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❗️Channel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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↗️ Bitcoin rebounded after a sharp decline, and a market structure shift occurred. Parabolic SAR indicates the beginning of growth, and +DI crossed -DI.

πŸ”Ό Consolidation above 72,000 will pave the way for BTCUSD growth;
🎯 Target: 78,000.

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

πŸ†• US100 is testing the downward trend, breaking through MA50. There is a large imbalance at the top, and the trend has already been broken on the RSI.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying US100 ONLY if the trend breaks above 24900;
🎯 Target 1: 25070;
🎯 Target 2: 25350.

❕ Do not open a trade until the trendline breakout is confirmed!

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πŸ› Compound Interest

πŸͺ™ Compound interest is one of the most powerful forces in finance β€” but in trading, it’s often misunderstood or misapplied. Letting profits accumulate is not enough. For compound interest to actually work, your trading process must be designed to support it.

πŸ“Œ Every win doesn’t just bring money β€” it increases the capital base for your next trade.
πŸ“Œ That means each % return generates a larger absolute profit over time.

πŸ‘‡Example:
βœ… A 3% weekly return compounded = +330% per year
❌ That same 3% flat, without compounding = only +156% per year

That’s a 174% difference β€” with the same risk and strategy.

πŸ’š How FBS analysts use it:

1️⃣ Think in % Returns, Not Dollar Goals. You’re not just trying to make $5K/month β€” you’re aiming for +x% equity growth/month.

2️⃣ Reinvest Strategically, Not Blindly. Compounding doesn’t mean going β€œall-in” every time. It means adjusting position size proportionally to your growing capital.

3️⃣ Use a CI Calculator
🟒Expected % return per period
🟒Frequency (weekly, monthly)
🟒Time horizon

4️⃣ Avoid the β€œReset Syndrome”. Frequent withdrawals, funding other accounts, or starting over kills compounding. Have a clear policy: reinvest X%, withdraw Y%.

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Amid the Iran war, the US said it will escort tankers and provide insurance guarantees to keep oil flowing through the Strait of Hormuz, which carries about 20%–25% of global seaborne crude.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5%–5%, its lowest since 1991, signaling slower expansion as policymakers shift away from the old investment-driven growth model.

Ⓜ️ Meta Platforms (#FACEBOOK) Inc. plans to develop custom chips to train its AI models, aiming to cut costs and reduce reliance on external suppliers in the multibillion-dollar AI infrastructure race.

πŸ”ͺ Morgan Stanley plans to cut about 3% of its global workforce across investment banking, trading, wealth and asset management as it adjusts costs and business priorities.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 05.03.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims – 16:30 GMT+3;

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸ˜œGlobal Outlook

πŸ›’ On the weekly chart, Brent broke through the global trend line and rose above MA200. The MACD histogram indicates bullish dominance.

πŸ”₯ Experts are increasingly saying that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could be quite protracted.

↗️ If it rises above 83.00, XBRUSD will continue to grow;
🎯 Target 1: 90.00;
🎯 Target 2: 98.00.

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πŸ‘‰πŸ₯‡πŸ‡»πŸ‡¦πŸ›ΈπŸ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

πŸ₯‡Gold has formed a bearish flag pattern, and the price is actively testing the lower boundary. AO confirms the dominance of bears, which makes a drop to the global trend possible.

‡️ A breakout of the lower boundary of the flag below 5150 will bring down XAUUSD;
🎯 Target 1: 5090;
🎯 Target 2: 5050.

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πŸ’· GBPUSD is testing the Fibonacci golden pocket zone, although the price has already left the cloud and Kijun is above Tenkan. AO confirms the trend reversal, but two scenarios should be considered.

πŸ”½ A drop below 1.3340 will bring the price down to 1.3200 and further to 1.3050;
πŸ”Ό A rebound will bring GBPUSD back to 1.3540.

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πŸ˜›πŸ€—πŸ˜…πŸŽπŸ˜œ

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­On the H4, USDCHF is testing the upper boundary of the bullish flag, and MA50 has crossed MA200, forming a Golden Cross.

πŸ”Ό A breakout above 0.7820 will open the way for USDCHF growth;
🎯 Target 1: 0.7870;
🎯 Target 2: 0.7910.

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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

πŸ”₯ Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has nearly halted amid the Iran war, threatening a route that normally carries about 17–20 million barrels per dayβ€”roughly 20% of global oil trade.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­Swiss voters are set to decide whether to enshrine cash in the constitution, potentially guaranteeing the long-term availability of physical francs.

✈️ Deutsche Lufthansa AG is considering more long-haul flights to Asia and Africa as the Iran war disrupts Middle East hubs handling tens of millions of transit passengers annually.

⚫️ BlackRock Inc. marked a $25 million private loan down from 100 cents to zero in three months, part of broader losses that cut its private-credit fund’s net asset value by 19%.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 06.03.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Average Hourly Earnings m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core Retail Sales m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Non-Farm Employment Change – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Retail Sales m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Rate – 16:30 GMT+3

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β­οΈβ„ΉοΈπŸ”Όβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

πŸ’Ά EURUSD is actively testing the global trend line, and the price has fallen below MA200. However, CCI indicates oversold conditions.

πŸ”½ A break below the trend line at 1.1590 will bring the price down to 1.1480 and 1.1400;
πŸ”Ό A rebound will bring EURUSD back to 1.1780.

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πŸ˜›πŸ™‚πŸ€—πŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ“‰ NZDUSD is testing MA200 and the global trend line. A divergence has formed on the RSI, which may indicate a possible breakout.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling NZDUSD only if the trend line breaks below 0.5880;
🎯 Target: 0.5800.

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πŸ˜›πŸ€—πŸ₯ΉπŸŽπŸ˜œ

πŸ’΄USDJPY is testing important resistance after breaking out of the cloud, with Tenkan above Kijun. Amid the escalating tensions in the Middle East, this is a good opportunity.

πŸ“ˆ We are considering buying USDJPY if it rises above 158.000 and the nearest fractal;
🎯 Target: 159.200.

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⚑️US NFP RELEASE⚑️

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Average Hourly Earnings m/m:
Actual β€” 0.4%
Expected β€” 0.3%
Previous β€” 0.4%

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core Retail Sales m/m:
Actual β€” 0.0%
Expected β€” 0.1%
Previous β€” 0.0%

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ NFP m/m:
Actual β€” -92K
Expected β€” 58K
Previous β€” 130K

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Retail Sales m/m:
Actual β€” -0.2%
Expected β€” -0.3%
Previous β€” 0.0%

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Rate:
Actual β€” 4.4%
Expected β€” 4.3%
Previous β€” 4.3%
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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

β˜„οΈ The Group of Seven is weighing a coordinated release of 300–400 million barrels from emergency reserves after oil prices surged more than 25% and topped $100 a barrel amid the Iran war

πŸ₯‡ Gold fell as much as 3% to about $5,015/oz as oil surged toward $120 a barrel and the dollar rose 0.7%, fueling fears that higher energy prices could delay interest-rate cuts.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China’s CPI rose 1.3% YoY in February, the fastest in over three years, as Lunar New Year spending and rising energy prices lifted inflation while factory deflation eased.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 09.03.2026

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί German Industrial Production m/m – 10:00 GMT+3;

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ›’Brent rose sharply to $115, but against the backdrop of news and huge overbought conditions, oil began to correct and there is a large gap below. The price crossed the upper Bollinger line, and Stochastic has already left the overbought zone.

πŸ”½ If XBRUSD falls below 103.00, then a sell can be considered;
🎯 Target: 97.00.

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⏺️⏭️3️⃣0️⃣

πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ The DE30 broke through the upward trend line amid geopolitical tensions, and further declines can be expected as -DI crossed +DI and MACD also confirms the decline.

πŸ“‰ We are considering selling DE30 if it falls below 23,000;
🎯 Target: 21,500.

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πŸ”₯TRADING STOCKS

↗️ #ORACLE fell to the global trend line after rebounding from MA200. DeMarker is ready to exit the oversold zone, which makes a 25% growth possible.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying #ORACLE if it rises above 155.00;
🎯 Target: 195.00.

Click ❀️ if you are trading stocks

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πŸͺ™ What Is a Trading Strategy?

If you're trading β€œby feel,” welcome to the gambler’s club. But if you have a clear trading strategy, you're already one step closer to consistent results.

πŸ“Š A trading strategy isn’t just β€œbuy low, sell high.” It’s a structured system with strict discipline, clear rules, and precise calculations. It answers three key questions:

🟠 What are we trading?
🟠 Where are we trading?
🟠 How are we trading?

🏠 A strategy is built like a house β€” it has a foundation, walls, and a roof:

πŸ“Œ Psychology and discipline are the foundation. Without emotional control, even the best system is doomed.
πŸ“Œ The core structure includes a trade journal, market analysis, trading plan, and risk/money management.
πŸ“Œ The roof is the strategy itself β€” the final piece that ties everything together and helps you earn with confidence, not just hope.

βš–οΈ Intuition without structure leads to losses. Emotions are a trader’s worst enemy.
🧠 Planning, analysis, and discipline β€” those are your true allies.

πŸ”– Save this post so you don’t forget β€” and tap ❀️ if you found it helpful!

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⚑️ The US signaled a possible easing of oil sanctions on Iran and naval escorts in the Strait of Hormuz to stabilize markets after crude spiked toward $120 per barrel during the conflict.

πŸ–₯ Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. reported 30% sales growth to NT$718.9 billion ($22.6B) in Jan–Feb as global demand for AI chips continues to surge.

πŸ›’Saudi Aramco announced a $3 billion share buyback and higher dividends after Middle East attacks forced cuts to output and refinery operations.

🍎 Apple Inc. now produces about 25% of its iPhones in India, assembling roughly 55 million units in 2025, up 53% YoY as it shifts supply chains away from China.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 10.03.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ADP Weekly Employment Change - 15:15 GMT+3;

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5️⃣ After falling, the US500 is once again testing the downward trend and MA50. A breakout of the trend will open the way for growth.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying the US500 only if it breaks above 6820 and the nearest fractal.
🎯 Target: 6900.

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βœ‚οΈπŸ…°οΈβ©οΈβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

πŸ₯ˆ Silver is testing the downward trend and has already crossed the upper Bollinger band. CCI is ready to exit the overbought zone, but two scenarios are possible given the geopolitical tensions.

πŸ”Ό A breakout above 89.500 will open the way to 95.800;
πŸ”½ A rebound will drop the price to 84.500 and 81.500.

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