FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!πŸš€

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βœ‚οΈβοΈβ©οΈβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

⛽️ So, guys, let's start the day with natural gas. XNGUSD broke through the upper boundary of the falling wedge amid the news, and the lips crossed the jaw on the Alligator.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying XNGUSD if it rises above 3.000;
🎯 Target 1: 3.130;
🎯 Target 2: 3.350.

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸŽπŸ˜œ

πŸ’Ά EURUSD bounces off the lower trend line of the rising wedge after crossing the lower Bollinger Band. CCI confirms oversold conditions.

πŸ”Ό Further growth could bring EURUSD back to the upper trend line;
🎯 Target 1: 1.1770;
🎯 Target 2: 1.1790.

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😱 Fear and Greed

πŸ’° Every trader faces them β€” not on the chart, but in the mirror. Fear and greed are not emotions. They are behavioral forces that quietly rewrite your trading plan mid-session.

😬 Fear makes you exit too early. You see a red candle and think β€œWhat if I lose everything?”
πŸ€‘ Greed keeps you in too long. You're in profit, but whisper to yourself β€œJust a bit more…”

❗️ These emotions pretend to protect you β€” but in reality, they sabotage your trades. They make you overreact, second-guess, and break your own system.

✍️ Emotional discipline is the foundation of any serious trading strategy. You can have the best indicators, the cleanest setup β€” but if you panic at every dip or chase every pump, your edge is gone.

πŸ’‘ So what do you do?

πŸ”’ Build emotional checkpoints into your system. Before entering or exiting a trade, ask: β€œIs this part of my plan β€” or am I reacting emotionally?”
πŸ”’ Use journaling β€” not just for trades, but for tracking emotional states. Over time, you’ll spot patterns and triggers.
πŸ”’ Practice "planned detachment." Treat each trade like a statistical event β€” not a personal victory or failure.

🧠 Fear and greed won’t vanish β€” but you can neutralize them. Turn your emotions into data β€” and your edge becomes psychological as well as technical.

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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί Europe can absorb a conflict lasting around four weeks, but if oil remains 10%–20% higher for months, it could cut GDP growth by 0.2–0.5 percentage points and lift inflation back above 3%.

⛽️ European gas prices surged as much as 54% after Qatar halted output at its Ras Laffan facilityβ€”operated by QatarEnergyβ€”which accounts for about 20% of global LNG supply.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan’s 10-year bond auction drew a solid 3.3 bid-to-cover ratio, above the prior 3.02 and the 12-month average of 3.23, signaling steady demand despite geopolitical and inflation risks.

⚫️ Blackstone Inc. is allowing record redemptions of 7.9%β€”about $3.8 billionβ€”from its flagship $82 billion private credit fund, highlighting mounting investor pressure.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 03.03.2026

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Annual Budget Release – 15:30 GMT+3

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈπŸ”„β†˜οΈβ†˜οΈπŸ…°οΈπŸ”Ό

πŸ’² The USDollar reached a global trend amid growing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The price crossed the upper Bollinger band, indicating overbought conditions.

↗️ A breakout above 98.800 will open the way to 99.500 and 100.200;
πŸ“‰ A rebound will drop the USDollar to 97.900 and further to 96.700;

πŸ‘€ Keep a close eye on pairs such as EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDCHF, USDCAD, and others today!

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πŸ˜›πŸ€—πŸ₯ΉπŸŽπŸ˜œ

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ USDJPY broke through the downward global trend and a Market Structure Shift has already occurred. AO confirms growing bullish sentiment.

‴️ We are considering buying USDJPY if it rises above 157.800;
🎯 Target: 159.200.

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❗️❗️❗️❗️

πŸŒ‰ Gold has broken through the upward trend line and is testing MA50. MACD indicates a possible decline, and Momentum is below 100.0.

πŸ”½ If XAUUSD falls below 5190, it will drop again!
🎯 Target: 5090.

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πŸŒ‰ Gold buying slows

⚑️ Against the backdrop of war in the Middle East and escalating US–Iran tensions, central banks added just 5 tonnes of gold in January 2026 β€” sharply below the 27-tonne monthly average of 2025. Momentum eased, but accumulation continues.

πŸ’° Uzbekistan bought 9 tonnes, lifting reserves to 399 tonnes. Gold now accounts for 86% of its reserves, up from 57% in 2020. Malaysia returned for the first time since 2018, adding 3 tonnes and bringing holdings to 42 tonnes, or 5% of reserves. China extended its buying streak to 15 consecutive months, with gold nearing 10% of total reserves.

β†˜οΈ Russia was the largest seller at 9 tonnes. Bulgaria sold 2 tonnes as part of its eurozone transition, transferring gold to the ECB.

❓Do you believe in a gold pullback from here, or are you staying bullish?

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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

⚑️An Iran war oil shock pushing crude toward $100–$120 could lift inflation above 4% in major economies and shave about 0.3–0.5 percentage points off global GDP growth.

πŸ‡°πŸ‡· Asian markets tumbled as Middle East war fears deepened, with South Korean stocks posting their biggest two-day drop since 2008, oil surging and the Indian rupee hitting a record low.

πŸ€– OpenAI is considering deploying its AI on the unclassified networks of the 32-member North Atlantic Treaty Organization, following a recent Pentagon contract.

⛏Escalating tensions around Iran threaten aluminum supply chains, as the Gulf regionβ€”linked to the Strait of Hormuzβ€”accounts for over 8% of global aluminum production.

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 04.03.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ADP Non-Farm Employment Change – 16:15 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ ISM Services PMI – 18:00 GMT+3

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

↗️ Bitcoin rebounded after a sharp decline, and a market structure shift occurred. Parabolic SAR indicates the beginning of growth, and +DI crossed -DI.

πŸ”Ό Consolidation above 72,000 will pave the way for BTCUSD growth;
🎯 Target: 78,000.

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

πŸ†• US100 is testing the downward trend, breaking through MA50. There is a large imbalance at the top, and the trend has already been broken on the RSI.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying US100 ONLY if the trend breaks above 24900;
🎯 Target 1: 25070;
🎯 Target 2: 25350.

❕ Do not open a trade until the trendline breakout is confirmed!

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πŸ› Compound Interest

πŸͺ™ Compound interest is one of the most powerful forces in finance β€” but in trading, it’s often misunderstood or misapplied. Letting profits accumulate is not enough. For compound interest to actually work, your trading process must be designed to support it.

πŸ“Œ Every win doesn’t just bring money β€” it increases the capital base for your next trade.
πŸ“Œ That means each % return generates a larger absolute profit over time.

πŸ‘‡Example:
βœ… A 3% weekly return compounded = +330% per year
❌ That same 3% flat, without compounding = only +156% per year

That’s a 174% difference β€” with the same risk and strategy.

πŸ’š How FBS analysts use it:

1️⃣ Think in % Returns, Not Dollar Goals. You’re not just trying to make $5K/month β€” you’re aiming for +x% equity growth/month.

2️⃣ Reinvest Strategically, Not Blindly. Compounding doesn’t mean going β€œall-in” every time. It means adjusting position size proportionally to your growing capital.

3️⃣ Use a CI Calculator
🟒Expected % return per period
🟒Frequency (weekly, monthly)
🟒Time horizon

4️⃣ Avoid the β€œReset Syndrome”. Frequent withdrawals, funding other accounts, or starting over kills compounding. Have a clear policy: reinvest X%, withdraw Y%.

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Amid the Iran war, the US said it will escort tankers and provide insurance guarantees to keep oil flowing through the Strait of Hormuz, which carries about 20%–25% of global seaborne crude.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China set a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5%–5%, its lowest since 1991, signaling slower expansion as policymakers shift away from the old investment-driven growth model.

Ⓜ️ Meta Platforms (#FACEBOOK) Inc. plans to develop custom chips to train its AI models, aiming to cut costs and reduce reliance on external suppliers in the multibillion-dollar AI infrastructure race.

πŸ”ͺ Morgan Stanley plans to cut about 3% of its global workforce across investment banking, trading, wealth and asset management as it adjusts costs and business priorities.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 05.03.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims – 16:30 GMT+3;

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸ˜œGlobal Outlook

πŸ›’ On the weekly chart, Brent broke through the global trend line and rose above MA200. The MACD histogram indicates bullish dominance.

πŸ”₯ Experts are increasingly saying that geopolitical tensions in the Middle East could be quite protracted.

↗️ If it rises above 83.00, XBRUSD will continue to grow;
🎯 Target 1: 90.00;
🎯 Target 2: 98.00.

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πŸ‘‰πŸ₯‡πŸ‡»πŸ‡¦πŸ›ΈπŸ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

πŸ₯‡Gold has formed a bearish flag pattern, and the price is actively testing the lower boundary. AO confirms the dominance of bears, which makes a drop to the global trend possible.

‡️ A breakout of the lower boundary of the flag below 5150 will bring down XAUUSD;
🎯 Target 1: 5090;
🎯 Target 2: 5050.

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β©οΈπŸ…±οΈπŸ…ΏοΈβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

πŸ’· GBPUSD is testing the Fibonacci golden pocket zone, although the price has already left the cloud and Kijun is above Tenkan. AO confirms the trend reversal, but two scenarios should be considered.

πŸ”½ A drop below 1.3340 will bring the price down to 1.3200 and further to 1.3050;
πŸ”Ό A rebound will bring GBPUSD back to 1.3540.

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πŸ˜›πŸ€—πŸ˜…πŸŽπŸ˜œ

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­On the H4, USDCHF is testing the upper boundary of the bullish flag, and MA50 has crossed MA200, forming a Golden Cross.

πŸ”Ό A breakout above 0.7820 will open the way for USDCHF growth;
🎯 Target 1: 0.7870;
🎯 Target 2: 0.7910.

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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

πŸ”₯ Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has nearly halted amid the Iran war, threatening a route that normally carries about 17–20 million barrels per dayβ€”roughly 20% of global oil trade.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡­Swiss voters are set to decide whether to enshrine cash in the constitution, potentially guaranteeing the long-term availability of physical francs.

✈️ Deutsche Lufthansa AG is considering more long-haul flights to Asia and Africa as the Iran war disrupts Middle East hubs handling tens of millions of transit passengers annually.

⚫️ BlackRock Inc. marked a $25 million private loan down from 100 cents to zero in three months, part of broader losses that cut its private-credit fund’s net asset value by 19%.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 06.03.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Average Hourly Earnings m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core Retail Sales m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Non-Farm Employment Change – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Retail Sales m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Rate – 16:30 GMT+3

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β­οΈβ„ΉοΈπŸ”Όβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

πŸ’Ά EURUSD is actively testing the global trend line, and the price has fallen below MA200. However, CCI indicates oversold conditions.

πŸ”½ A break below the trend line at 1.1590 will bring the price down to 1.1480 and 1.1400;
πŸ”Ό A rebound will bring EURUSD back to 1.1780.

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πŸ˜›πŸ™‚πŸ€—πŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ“‰ NZDUSD is testing MA200 and the global trend line. A divergence has formed on the RSI, which may indicate a possible breakout.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling NZDUSD only if the trend line breaks below 0.5880;
🎯 Target: 0.5800.

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