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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!πŸš€

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😒Trading update: emotional liquidity added to the journal...

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US officials said tariff agreements with China, the EU, Japan and South Korea remain intact despite a Supreme Court setback, even as the administration advances a planned 15% global tariff.

πŸ’° Bitcoin fell 4.8% to about $64,300 amid renewed tariff jitters, while Ether dropped 5.2% in a broader crypto selloff.

πŸ’΅ KKR & Co. has agreed to acquire a majority stake in XCL Education in a deal valuing the Southeast Asian school operator at about $1.3 billion, outbidding rivals for TPG’s holding.

πŸ‘οΈ Nvidia Corp. shares are up just 1.7% since Q4 versus the S&P 500 Index’s 3.3% gain, suggesting even strong earnings may struggle to reignite a stock stalled amid AI skepticism.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 23.02.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Member Waller Speaks - 16:00 GMT+3;

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ’Ά EURUSD has once again rebounded from the upper trend line of the falling wedge. %R has moved out of the overbought zone, confirming the possibility of a decline.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling EURUSD if it falls below 1.1810;
🎯 Target: 1.1755

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❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️

πŸ₯‡ Gold is actively testing the upper trend line of the rising wedge, although the CCI has moved out of the overbought zone.

‴️ A breakout above the upper trend line at 5170 and the nearest fractal will open the way to 5300 and further to 5440;
‡️ A rebound and fall below 5120 will drop XAUUSD to 5040 and 4970.

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πŸ’· On the M30, GBPUSD broke through the uptrend and is falling. The lips crossed the jaw, and the MACD histogram indicates bearish dominance.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling GBPUSD if it falls below 1.3485;
🎯 Target: 1.3440.

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⚑️Support and resistance

🟒 Support is a price level where the market tends to stop falling and bounce back up. This happens because buyers become active β€” either entering new long positions or covering shorts. It’s a zone where demand exceeds supply.

πŸ”΄ Resistance is the opposite β€” a level where price struggles to move higher. Sellers step in, taking profits or opening shorts. Supply overpowers demand, causing price to stall or reverse.

πŸ“ These levels aren’t precise numbers β€” they’re zones, and the more times price reacts to them, the more significant they become. You’ll often see them near swing highs and lows, consolidation areas, or psychological round numbers.

πŸ”₯What makes S/R useful?
🟠 Easy to spot on any chart
🟠 Help define entry, stop loss, and take profit
🟠 Work well with patterns, indicators, and volume analysis
🟠 Form the backbone of price action trading

πŸ’Έ Pro Tip (ICT Style):

🟒Don’t just look at who’s buying or sellingβ€”look at where smart money hunts liquidity. Support and resistance aren’t wallsβ€”they’re liquidity pools.

🧲 Professional traders track equal highs/lows and previous day/session highs & lows as magnets for stop raids.
That "support break" you're watching? Might just be a liquidity grab before a reversal.

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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

πŸ”₯ An AI β€œscare trade” wiped billions off tech stocks, sending International Business Machines Corp. to its biggest one-day drop in 25 years after a bearish report rattled investors.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China blacklisted 20 Japanese defense firms, including units of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, imposing a full export ban and escalating regional trade tensions.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan cautioned that new US tariffs must not erode last year’s trade pact, as both sides push ahead with a $550 billion investment framework.

🎬 Paramount Skydance Corp. raised its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. above its prior $30-a-share all-cash offer, intensifying a takeover battle for the Hollywood studio.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 24.02.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ CB Consumer Confidence – 18:00 GMT+3

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πŸ’΄ USDJPY has once again reached the global trend line, although it has already crossed the upper Bollinger band. %R is also extremely overbought.

πŸ”Ό A break above 156.300 will open the way to 157.500 and further to 158.700;
πŸ”½ A rebound will drop USDJPY to 154.600 and 154.200.

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πŸ’° Bitcoin is at critical support, but short-term and long-term trends remain bearish. A minor correction is possible before further decline.

πŸ‘‡ Consolidation below 63,000 and the nearest fractal will drop BTCUSD;
🎯 Target: 60,000.

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ USDCAD is approaching the upper boundary of the ascending triangle, testing MA200. Bulls dominate the market, which makes further growth possible.

↗️ We are considering buying USDCAD if it rises above 1.3710;
🎯 Target: 1.3780.

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πŸ’Έ Bill Lipschutz: From $12,000 to $2 Billion

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ One of America's wealthiest forex traders, Bill Lipschutz, turned a $12,000 inheritance into a $2 billion fortune, showcasing the power of patience and discipline in trading.

πŸ“ˆ His remarkable career is built on risk management and avoiding over-leverage β€” which have helped him thrive in the highly competitive forex market.

Lipschutz's trading philosophy:
🟒 Day trading style using short-term trades, relying on technical and fundamental analysis.
🟒 Focus on risk management as the foundation for success.
🟒 Patience is crucial β€” avoid trading when market conditions are unclear.
🟒 Caution over excessive risk-taking for long-term profitability.

🧠 Lesson for Traders: Consistency and discipline, not excessive risk, are the keys to financial success.

Hit πŸ‘ if you are inspired by the stories of successful traders!

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

β˜„οΈ A record $112 billion gap between reported US and China cargo data points to widespread tariff evasion, as phantom importers and underpriced shipping schemes exploit steep duties and distort trade flows.

πŸ›’ Rising US-Iran tensions could disrupt roughly 17–20 million barrels per day flowing through the Strait of Hormuzβ€”about 25% of global seaborne oilβ€”risking sharp price spikes.

πŸ’° UBS Group AG now warns private credit default rates could climb to 15% in a worst-case scenario, up 2 percentage points from its forecast just weeks ago.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 25.02.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories – 18:30 GMT+3;

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πŸ₯ˆ Silver is at a critical resistance zone, although a break of structure has already occurred and the price is above MA200.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying XAGUSD ONLY if it consolidates above 91.500;
🎯 Target: 97.500.

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πŸ‘‰πŸ₯‡πŸ‡»πŸ‡¦πŸ›ΈπŸ‘ˆXAUUSD ALERT!

πŸ₯‡Gold is actively testing the upward trend and MA50, and a divergence has formed on the RSI.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling XAUUSD in case of a break below the trend line at 5170;
🎯 Target 1: 5120;
🎯 Target 2: 5080.

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½3️⃣0️⃣

🈁 US30 broke through the upper boundary of the falling wedge on the H2, and Tenkan crossed Kijun. If the price breaks out of the cloud, a bullish scenario will begin.

‴️ We are considering buying US30 only in the case of consolidation above 49400;
🎯 Target 1: 49600;
🎯 Target 2: 49850.

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😐 Well...Maybe its time to rest from the markets a bit?

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‘οΈ Nvidia Corp. shares fell as much as 1.5% despite a revenue forecast topping estimates, reflecting investor caution over a potentially overheated AI cycle.

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί The EU estimates about €4.2 billion ($5 billion) of exports will face tariffs above the 15% cap set in the EU-US trade deal, raising duties on goods from cheese to chemicals under the new US policy.

πŸ‡©πŸ‡ͺ Deutsche Telekom AG forecast 2026 adjusted Ebitdaal of €47.4 billion, topping the €46.4 billion estimate as growth in Germany and the US lifts earnings outlook.

πŸͺ™ UBS Securities Asia Ltd. sees up to 20% upside for the MSCI China Index as reflation lifts pricing power, earnings growth and valuations.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 26.02.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims - 16:30 GMT+3;

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πŸ†• US100 continues to move sideways and has broken through the downward trend, actively testing MA200. Bullish sentiment is growing, and there is an imbalance at the top.

πŸ˜›πŸ€“πŸ˜œConsider buying US100 when it consolidates above 25400;
🎯 Target: 25900.

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ›’ Brent seems to have started to correct, and the price is ready to cover the imbalances below. The lips have crossed the jaw, confirming the possibility of a decline.

‡️ We are considering selling XBRUSD if it falls below 69.90;
🎯 Target 1: 68.30;
🎯 Target 2: 67.50.

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FBS Analytics
πŸ”₯TRADING STOCKS πŸ“‰ So, #MICROSOFT has rebounded from the upper trend channel, and Parabolic SAR confirms the possibility of a decline! RSI has already left the overbought zone, which makes a small correction possible. πŸ”½ We are considering selling #MICROSOFT…
πŸ”₯TRADING STOCKS

↗️ #MICROSOFT has reached our previous target and is rebounding from the lower trend line after crossing the lower Bollinger Band. The RSI confirms oversold conditions.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying #MICROSOFT if it rises above 405.00;
🎯 Target 1: 450.00;
🎯 Target 2: 468.00.

Click ❀️ if you are trading stocks

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πŸ”“ Locked position in trading

πŸ‘€ Many beginners, facing losses, reach for a so-called β€œlifeline” β€” the lock. They open a buy trade, the market drops β€” they open a sell. Now they think the drawdown is β€œfrozen” and they can just wait it out safely.
β €
❓ What is a lock? It’s when a trader holds two opposing positions on the same instrument:

🟒 Bought EURUSD expecting it to rise.
🟠 Price fell β€” so they opened a sell.
β €
Now both trades are floating. The loss isn't closed β€” it's just postponed.
β €
πŸŒͺ Why a lock is a trap:
β €
πŸ”’ The drawdown is still there. A lock doesn’t fix anything β€” it just pauses the pain. The loss still weighs on you β€” financially and mentally.
β €
πŸ”’ Fees eat up your balance. Swaps, spreads, the cost of maintaining two positions β€” even in a flat market, your balance drops daily.
β €
πŸ”’ Getting out is a guessing game. To exit a lock profitably, you have to perfectly predict the market’s next move.
But if you could do that β€” you wouldn’t be in a lock in the first place.
β €
The result?
βž– Loss remains open
βž– Capital is frozen
βž– Emotional pressure builds

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