FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!πŸš€

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πŸ›’ Traders, today Brent is at a critical level amid geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The price is testing a strong level and has reached a global trend on the weekly timeframe.

πŸ”ΌConsolidation above 70.50 and the nearest fractal will open the way to 72.70 and 74.70.
πŸ”½A rebound will drop XBRUSD to 66.00.

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πŸ₯‡ Gold fell just short of its second target yesterday and today broke through the lower trend line of the rising channel on the M30. MACD indicates a decline, and DeMarker has left the overbought zone.

πŸ”½ A fall in XAUUSD below 4980 and MA50 will trigger a correction;
🎯 Target 1: 4960;
🎯 Target 2: 4940.

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ’Ά EURUSD is falling rapidly after dropping below the Fibonacci Golden Pocket, and a Market Structure Shift has occurred. The next target for the decline could be the previous low.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling EURUSD if it falls below 1.1750;
🎯 Target: 1.1690.

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❔ How to tell a correction from a reversal?

The difference between a correction and a reversal is the key to successful trading. Mistaking the definition can be costly, so let's break it down visually

βœ… A correction is a temporary deviation from the primary trend.
🟒 Price briefly pulls back up but maintains an overall downward direction.
🟒 The main point: the trendline remains unbroken.

βœ… A reversal is a change in trend direction.
🟒 Price breaks the trend line and consolidates above it.
🟒 This is a new movement, not just a pullback.

βš™οΈ How to tell the difference?
πŸ”’ A correction does not break the trend structure.
πŸ”’ A reversal breaks a key trend line and changes the nature of the highs/minima.
πŸ”’ Confirmation - volumes, candlestick patterns, and consolidation above the level.

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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US imports from Taiwan jumped to $24.7 billion while China shipments fell 44% to $21.1 billion, the first time in decades Taiwan surpassed China.

πŸ›’ India’s Saudi crude imports are set to hit 1.0–1.1 million barrels per day in February, the highest since 2019, narrowing the gap with Russia as US pressure reshapes trade flows.

πŸ“Š CME Group Inc. will offer 24-hour trading for crypto futures and options on Globex starting May 29, with a two-hour weekly pause, aligning derivatives with crypto’s 24/7 market model.

πŸ’° Bitcoin remains stuck in a tight range after a $2 trillion post-October rout, as hedge funds boost cash positions and conviction stays weak heading into 2026.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.02.2026

πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί German Flash Manufacturing PMI – 11:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡Ί German Flash Services PMI – 11:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Flash Manufacturing PMI – 12:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ Flash Services PMI – 12:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Advance GDP q/q – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core PCE Price Index m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Flash Manufacturing PMI – 17:45 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Flash Services PMI – 17:45 GMT+3

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πŸ˜›πŸ™ƒπŸ€—πŸŽπŸ˜œ

πŸ₯ˆSilver broke through the upper boundary of the symmetrical triangle, and Tenkan rose above Kijun again. Breaking out of the cloud will open the way for growth.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying XAGUSD if it rises above 80.000;
🎯 Target: 85.000.

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πŸ†• The US100 has formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, and the price is actively testing the neckline and MA50. Despite the bullish pattern, the short-term trend itself remains downward.

πŸ”Ό A breakout above 24900 will open the way to 25300;
πŸ”½ A rebound will drop US100 to 24500 and further to 24350.

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½3️⃣0️⃣

🈁 The US30 broke through the upward trend line, retested it, rebounded, and is now actively testing the MA200. Chaikin has fallen below 0.

‡️ A drop below 49,300 will cause the US30 to fall!
🎯 Target: 48,900.

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😒Trading update: emotional liquidity added to the journal...

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πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US officials said tariff agreements with China, the EU, Japan and South Korea remain intact despite a Supreme Court setback, even as the administration advances a planned 15% global tariff.

πŸ’° Bitcoin fell 4.8% to about $64,300 amid renewed tariff jitters, while Ether dropped 5.2% in a broader crypto selloff.

πŸ’΅ KKR & Co. has agreed to acquire a majority stake in XCL Education in a deal valuing the Southeast Asian school operator at about $1.3 billion, outbidding rivals for TPG’s holding.

πŸ‘οΈ Nvidia Corp. shares are up just 1.7% since Q4 versus the S&P 500 Index’s 3.3% gain, suggesting even strong earnings may struggle to reignite a stock stalled amid AI skepticism.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 23.02.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ FOMC Member Waller Speaks - 16:00 GMT+3;

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πŸ˜›β˜ΊοΈπŸ€—πŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ’Ά EURUSD has once again rebounded from the upper trend line of the falling wedge. %R has moved out of the overbought zone, confirming the possibility of a decline.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling EURUSD if it falls below 1.1810;
🎯 Target: 1.1755

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❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️

πŸ₯‡ Gold is actively testing the upper trend line of the rising wedge, although the CCI has moved out of the overbought zone.

‴️ A breakout above the upper trend line at 5170 and the nearest fractal will open the way to 5300 and further to 5440;
‡️ A rebound and fall below 5120 will drop XAUUSD to 5040 and 4970.

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β©οΈπŸ…±οΈπŸ…ΏοΈβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

πŸ’· On the M30, GBPUSD broke through the uptrend and is falling. The lips crossed the jaw, and the MACD histogram indicates bearish dominance.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling GBPUSD if it falls below 1.3485;
🎯 Target: 1.3440.

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⚑️Support and resistance

🟒 Support is a price level where the market tends to stop falling and bounce back up. This happens because buyers become active β€” either entering new long positions or covering shorts. It’s a zone where demand exceeds supply.

πŸ”΄ Resistance is the opposite β€” a level where price struggles to move higher. Sellers step in, taking profits or opening shorts. Supply overpowers demand, causing price to stall or reverse.

πŸ“ These levels aren’t precise numbers β€” they’re zones, and the more times price reacts to them, the more significant they become. You’ll often see them near swing highs and lows, consolidation areas, or psychological round numbers.

πŸ”₯What makes S/R useful?
🟠 Easy to spot on any chart
🟠 Help define entry, stop loss, and take profit
🟠 Work well with patterns, indicators, and volume analysis
🟠 Form the backbone of price action trading

πŸ’Έ Pro Tip (ICT Style):

🟒Don’t just look at who’s buying or sellingβ€”look at where smart money hunts liquidity. Support and resistance aren’t wallsβ€”they’re liquidity pools.

🧲 Professional traders track equal highs/lows and previous day/session highs & lows as magnets for stop raids.
That "support break" you're watching? Might just be a liquidity grab before a reversal.

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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

πŸ”₯ An AI β€œscare trade” wiped billions off tech stocks, sending International Business Machines Corp. to its biggest one-day drop in 25 years after a bearish report rattled investors.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China blacklisted 20 Japanese defense firms, including units of Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, imposing a full export ban and escalating regional trade tensions.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ Japan cautioned that new US tariffs must not erode last year’s trade pact, as both sides push ahead with a $550 billion investment framework.

🎬 Paramount Skydance Corp. raised its bid for Warner Bros. Discovery Inc. above its prior $30-a-share all-cash offer, intensifying a takeover battle for the Hollywood studio.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 24.02.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ CB Consumer Confidence – 18:00 GMT+3

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈβ†©οΈπŸ…ΏοΈβ†•οΈ

πŸ’΄ USDJPY has once again reached the global trend line, although it has already crossed the upper Bollinger band. %R is also extremely overbought.

πŸ”Ό A break above 156.300 will open the way to 157.500 and further to 158.700;
πŸ”½ A rebound will drop USDJPY to 154.600 and 154.200.

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πŸ’° Bitcoin is at critical support, but short-term and long-term trends remain bearish. A minor correction is possible before further decline.

πŸ‘‡ Consolidation below 63,000 and the nearest fractal will drop BTCUSD;
🎯 Target: 60,000.

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πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ USDCAD is approaching the upper boundary of the ascending triangle, testing MA200. Bulls dominate the market, which makes further growth possible.

↗️ We are considering buying USDCAD if it rises above 1.3710;
🎯 Target: 1.3780.

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πŸ’Έ Bill Lipschutz: From $12,000 to $2 Billion

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ One of America's wealthiest forex traders, Bill Lipschutz, turned a $12,000 inheritance into a $2 billion fortune, showcasing the power of patience and discipline in trading.

πŸ“ˆ His remarkable career is built on risk management and avoiding over-leverage β€” which have helped him thrive in the highly competitive forex market.

Lipschutz's trading philosophy:
🟒 Day trading style using short-term trades, relying on technical and fundamental analysis.
🟒 Focus on risk management as the foundation for success.
🟒 Patience is crucial β€” avoid trading when market conditions are unclear.
🟒 Caution over excessive risk-taking for long-term profitability.

🧠 Lesson for Traders: Consistency and discipline, not excessive risk, are the keys to financial success.

Hit πŸ‘ if you are inspired by the stories of successful traders!

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β˜„οΈ A record $112 billion gap between reported US and China cargo data points to widespread tariff evasion, as phantom importers and underpriced shipping schemes exploit steep duties and distort trade flows.

πŸ›’ Rising US-Iran tensions could disrupt roughly 17–20 million barrels per day flowing through the Strait of Hormuzβ€”about 25% of global seaborne oilβ€”risking sharp price spikes.

πŸ’° UBS Group AG now warns private credit default rates could climb to 15% in a worst-case scenario, up 2 percentage points from its forecast just weeks ago.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 25.02.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Crude Oil Inventories – 18:30 GMT+3;

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πŸ₯ˆ Silver is at a critical resistance zone, although a break of structure has already occurred and the price is above MA200.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying XAGUSD ONLY if it consolidates above 91.500;
🎯 Target: 97.500.

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