🪙 The Next Reserve Currency?

⚠️ For over 500 years, the world has seen a succession of reserve currencies held by various countries. Here's how it was:

🇵🇹 The Portuguese were the first to set the trend, with their currency being the world's reserve currency between 1450 and 1530. Portuguese real was in demand as the country dominated world trade and exploration

🇪🇸 Spain took over as the world's reserve currency from 1530 to 1640 as they became dominant in world trade and held vast amounts of gold and silver.

🇳🇱 The Dutch took over from 1640 to 1720 because of their economic and financial strength, including their dominance in the financial industry.

🇫🇷 France's currency took over from 1720 to 1815, largely due to their military and economic power.

🇬🇧 After Napoleon's defeat, the British pound took the leadership from 1815 to 1920 due to Britain's status as the world's economic powerhouse and its vast colonial empire.

🇺🇸 The United States then became the boss from 1920 to the present day. This change occurred mainly due to the growth of the US economy after World War I and the United State's role as a dominant military power.

🇨🇳 However, China is about to take the US's place, with its yuan becoming the next candidate.

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🇬🇧 UK unemployment climbed to 5.2%, the highest since 2021, while wage growth slowed to 3.4%, adding pressure on the Bank of England to deliver rate cuts as joblessness heads toward 5.3%.

💰 If Bitcoin falls below $60,000 toward its $58,000 200-week average, traders warn billions in leveraged positions could be liquidated.

⌨️ Alibaba Group unveiled Qwen 3.5, an AI model 60% cheaper to run and 8× more efficient at processing large datasets, intensifying competition with DeepSeek

🔪 Asian markets saw the largest net hedge-fund buying since 2016, when Goldman Sachs’ trading desk began tracking the data.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.02.2026

🇨🇦 CPI m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 Median CPI y/y – 16:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 Trimmed CPI y/y – 16:30 GMT+3

@fbsanalytics

✂️⏏️⏩️ℹ️🔽⏺️

⛽️ After a sharp decline, natural gas is testing the upper trend line of the falling wedge, and MACD indicates the possibility of growth. There is an imbalance and a gap at the top, which is a potential target.

📈 A breakout above 3.020 will open the way for growth!
🎯 Target 1: 3.160;
🎯 Target 2: 3.350.

@fbsanalytics

👉🥇🇻🇦🚀👈XAUUSD ALERT!

🥇Quick trade on gold, guys! On the M15, XAUUSD broke through the downtrend, retested it, and bounced back. The lips crossed the jaw, and AO indicates growing bullish sentiment.

🔼 We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4937;
🎯 Target: 4967.

@fbsanalytics

🐳George Soros

Soros, a legendary hedge fund manager and philanthropist, is best known for his bold macro trades and deep understanding of global markets. High-profile successes and influential financial theories have marked his career.

🎓 Key trading philosophy:
🟢 Strong emphasis on macroeconomic analysis
🟢 Success requires understanding both economics and human psychology
🟢 Markets are affected by the biases and actions of participants (market reflexivity)
🟢 Patience and adaptability are critical

🏆 Famous trades:
🔢 1992: Shorted the British pound, betting it was overvalued, and earned over $1 billion in a single day from this trade.
🔢 Predicted the UK would exit the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM).
🔢 His trading speculation was probably the cause of the Asian Tom Yam Crisis, although the causes were multifaceted.

💡 Lesson to learn — patience, timing, and a thorough understanding of market psychology and macroeconomics are critical to success.

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

⛈ Abu Dhabi’s MGX, launched after OpenAI’s ChatGPT debut, is targeting over $100 billion in assets and up to $10 billion in annual AI investments, backing firms like Anthropic as it ramps up its global push.

🇯🇵 Japan will invest up to $36 billion in US oil, gas and critical minerals as part of a broader $550 billion trade pact with the US, underscoring how tariffs are reshaping capital flows and energy supply chains.

💵 Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. cut its Amazon Inc. stake by over 75% in Q4 while buying 5.1 million shares of New York Times Co. worth $351.7 million.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 18.02.2026

🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting Minutes – 22:00 GMT+3
🇳🇿 RBNZ Gov Breman Speaks – 22:10 GMT+3

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ℹ️🔽5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

5️⃣ The US500 has started to rise again and seems ready to overcome the huge imbalance. MACD confirms the possibility of growth.

🔼 We are considering buying the US500 only if it consolidates above 6880;
🎯 Target: 6940.

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤

💰 Bitcoin has formed a fairly rare pattern—a pennant—and the price is testing the lower boundary. A break below the TEMA trend line will continue the bearish trend.

🔽 A drop in BTCUSD below 67,000 will start a decline;
🎯 Target 1: 64,000;
🎯 Target 2: 60,000.

@fbsanalytics

❗️❗️❗️❗️

🌉 Gold broke through the upper trend line of the falling wedge on M30, +DI crossed -DI on ADX. The price is preparing to test MA200.

🔼 We are considering buying XAUUSD ONLY if it rises above 4970;
🎯 Target 1: 5000;
🎯 Target 2: 5030 (optional).

❗️This is a risky trade, so don't forget to use SL!

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤

🇺🇸 Foreign investors boosted net purchases of US equities by 134% to $720.1 billion in 2025 from $307.5 billion in 2024, defying tariff-driven volatility and underscoring strong global demand for American assets.

⚡️ Minutes from the Federal Reserve’s Jan. 27–28 meeting showed officials growing more cautious on rate cuts, with several signaling hikes remain possible if inflation fails to cool.

🇬🇧 UK inflation slowed to 3.0% in January from 3.4%, a 10-month low, strengthening the case for rate cuts by the Bank of England as economists see up to 75 basis points of easing in 2026.

📈 Nestlé SA expects 3%–4% organic sales growth in 2026, versus 3.5% last year and a 3.2% analyst estimate, as its restructuring aims to lift revenue momentum.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 19.02.2026

🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims - 16:30 GMT+3;

@fbsanalytics

✂️🅰️ℹ️ℹ️🔽⏺️

🥇 Gold fell just short of its second target yesterday and today broke through the lower trend line of the rising channel on the M30. MACD indicates a decline, and DeMarker has left the overbought zone.

🔽 A fall in XAUUSD below 4980 and MA50 will trigger a correction;
🎯 Target 1: 4960;
🎯 Target 2: 4940.

@fbsanalytics

😛☺️🤗🍏😜

💶 EURUSD is falling rapidly after dropping below the Fibonacci Golden Pocket, and a Market Structure Shift has occurred. The next target for the decline could be the previous low.

🔽 We are considering selling EURUSD if it falls below 1.1750;
🎯 Target: 1.1690.

@fbsanalytics

❔ How to tell a correction from a reversal?

The difference between a correction and a reversal is the key to successful trading. Mistaking the definition can be costly, so let's break it down visually

✅ A correction is a temporary deviation from the primary trend.
🟢 Price briefly pulls back up but maintains an overall downward direction.
🟢 The main point: the trendline remains unbroken.

✅ A reversal is a change in trend direction.
🟢 Price breaks the trend line and consolidates above it.
🟢 This is a new movement, not just a pullback.

⚙️ How to tell the difference?
🔢 A correction does not break the trend structure.
🔢 A reversal breaks a key trend line and changes the nature of the highs/minima.
🔢 Confirmation - volumes, candlestick patterns, and consolidation above the level.

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🇺🇸 US imports from Taiwan jumped to $24.7 billion while China shipments fell 44% to $21.1 billion, the first time in decades Taiwan surpassed China.

🛢 India’s Saudi crude imports are set to hit 1.0–1.1 million barrels per day in February, the highest since 2019, narrowing the gap with Russia as US pressure reshapes trade flows.

📊 CME Group Inc. will offer 24-hour trading for crypto futures and options on Globex starting May 29, with a two-hour weekly pause, aligning derivatives with crypto’s 24/7 market model.

💰 Bitcoin remains stuck in a tight range after a $2 trillion post-October rout, as hedge funds boost cash positions and conviction stays weak heading into 2026.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 20.02.2026

🇪🇺 German Flash Manufacturing PMI – 11:30 GMT+3
🇪🇺 German Flash Services PMI – 11:30 GMT+3
🇬🇧 Flash Manufacturing PMI – 12:30 GMT+3
🇬🇧 Flash Services PMI – 12:30 GMT+3
🇺🇸 Advance GDP q/q – 16:30 GMT+3
🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
🇺🇸 Flash Manufacturing PMI – 17:45 GMT+3
🇺🇸 Flash Services PMI – 17:45 GMT+3

@fbsanalytics

😛🙃🤗🍎😜

🥈Silver broke through the upper boundary of the symmetrical triangle, and Tenkan rose above Kijun again. Breaking out of the cloud will open the way for growth.

🔼 We are considering buying XAGUSD if it rises above 80.000;
🎯 Target: 85.000.

@fbsanalytics

ℹ️🔽1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

🆕 The US100 has formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, and the price is actively testing the neckline and MA50. Despite the bullish pattern, the short-term trend itself remains downward.

🔼 A breakout above 24900 will open the way to 25300;
🔽 A rebound will drop US100 to 24500 and further to 24350.

@fbsanalytics

ℹ️🔽3️⃣0️⃣

🈁 The US30 broke through the upward trend line, retested it, rebounded, and is now actively testing the MA200. Chaikin has fallen below 0.

⤵️ A drop below 49,300 will cause the US30 to fall!
🎯 Target: 48,900.

@fbsanalytics

😢Trading update: emotional liquidity added to the journal...

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤

🇺🇸 US officials said tariff agreements with China, the EU, Japan and South Korea remain intact despite a Supreme Court setback, even as the administration advances a planned 15% global tariff.

💰 Bitcoin fell 4.8% to about $64,300 amid renewed tariff jitters, while Ether dropped 5.2% in a broader crypto selloff.

💵 KKR & Co. has agreed to acquire a majority stake in XCL Education in a deal valuing the Southeast Asian school operator at about $1.3 billion, outbidding rivals for TPG’s holding.

👁️ Nvidia Corp. shares are up just 1.7% since Q4 versus the S&P 500 Index’s 3.3% gain, suggesting even strong earnings may struggle to reignite a stock stalled amid AI skepticism.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 23.02.2026

🇺🇸 FOMC Member Waller Speaks - 16:00 GMT+3;

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