⚡️US NFP RELEASE⚡️

🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings m/m:
Actual — 0.4%
Expected — 0.3%
Previous — 0.1%

🇺🇸 NFP m/m:
Actual — 130K
Expected — 66K
Previous — 48K

🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate:
Actual — 4.3%
Expected — 4.4%
Previous — 4.4%

⚡️Elliott's Waves Theory

➡️The structure of any movement has the form 3⬆️/ 2⬇️. The trend impulse (growth wave) has a five-wave structure consisting of three waves of growth and two waves of decline.

🔢In the beginning, there is a solid upward movement (the first growth wave), after which the price decreases (the second wave).

🔢The second wave cannot go lower than the beginning of the first wave. Otherwise, it is not an impulse. Usually, the second wave is about 50% of the first wave.

🔢After the end of the second wave, the third wave of growth begins. And it is usually bigger than the first one. As you understand, it is possible to know that this is the third wave only when the price exceeds the point where the correction (the second wave) began. This is the most optimal time for buying.

🔢Then goes the fourth corrective wave. It has the same properties as the second wave, i.e., it cannot go lower than the beginning of the third wave and is usually 50% of the third wave.

🔢Then comes the fifth wave, which is the end of the bullish trend. Traders should consider closing their trades during this wave.

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🇺🇸 Stronger-than-expected January data — 130,000 jobs added and unemployment down to 4.3% — dims the case for near-term rate cuts by the Federal Reserve System after its 3 cuts in late 2025.

😁 The Republican-led House passed a bill to curb Donald Trump’s tariffs on Canadian imports, delivering a significant political setback ahead of the midterm elections.

📈 Hindustan Unilever Ltd reported ₹70.8 billion ($782 million) in quarterly net income vs. ₹30 billion a year earlier, beating the ₹27.7 billion estimate, boosted by a ₹45.2 billion one-off gain

🏎 Mercedes-Benz Group AG expects 3%–5% carmaking margins in 2026, versus 5% last year, citing China competition and tariffs.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 12.02.2026

🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims – 16:30 GMT+3

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤

🇨🇭 USDCHF is weakening and the price is ready to break through the imbalance. Parabolic SAR indicates the beginning of a decline, and we see an opportunity for 400 points.

🔽 We are considering selling USDCHF if it falls below 0.7690;
🎯Target 1: 0.7670;
🎯 Target 2: 0.7650.

@fbsanalytics

✂️🅱️🔼ℹ️🔽⏺️

🛢 On the weekly chart, Brent is testing the global trend line at extremely strong support. The lips have crossed the jaw on the Alligator, and the MACD histogram indicates growing bullish sentiment, but two scenarios are possible.

🔼 A breakout above 70.50 will open the way to 77.50 and even 81.00;
🔽 A rebound will drop XBRUSD back to 60.00.

@fbsanalytics

ℹ️🔽1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

🆕 US100 breaks through the downward trend line and may cover the huge imbalance when consolidating above the nearest fractal.

🔼 We are considering buying US100 ONLY if it rises above 25400;
🎯 Target 1: 25600;
🎯 Target 2: 25800.

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤

🌍 World Bank President Ajay Banga said multilateralism still matters as the lender deploys over $100 billion a year across 100+ countries, arguing global cooperation must adapt to today’s economic and political shocks.

🥇 Gold plunged as much as 8%, extending a weekly drop of over 15%, as AI-driven equity losses — with the Nasdaq 100 down about 2%

💰 JPMorgan Chase & Co. says Bitcoin’s average mining cost fell to $77K from $90K in January, sees it as a price floor, and remains bullish for 2026.

🍫 Nestle SA is running 5 factories 24/7 across Europe after recalling hundreds of infant formula batches, seeking emergency approval for night and holiday shifts to prevent shortages

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 13.02.2026

🇺🇸 Core CPI m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
🇺🇸 CPI m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
🇺🇸 CPI y/y – 16:30 GMT+3

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠🔠🔠

🥈 Silver began to cover the imbalance after a sharp decline, and the price is already above the fractal. DeMarker confirms the start of growth.

🔼 We are considering buying XAGUSD if it rises above 78.500;
🎯 Target: 81.800.

@fbsanalytics

👉🥇🇻🇦🚀👈XAUUSD ALERT!

🥇Gold rebounded from the global trend line and crossed the lower Bollinger band. DeMarker is ready to exit the oversold zone, which makes a slight increase possible if strong resistance and the nearest fractal are overcome.

📈 We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 5000!
🎯 Target: 5080.

Click❤️ if you are bullish

@fbsanalytics

🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤 🔤🔤🔤🔤

👁️ Today we have an unusual idea, traders. #NVIDIA is moving sideways, and the price gathered liquidity at the upper border, then rebounded, testing MA200. %R has left the overbought zone, and there is FVG at the bottom.

🔽 A drop below 186.00 will bring #NVIDIA down to the lower border;
🎯 Target: 177.00.

@fbsanalytics

👍 SL helps. But anxiety helps more.

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🛢At International Energy Week, bears outnumbered bulls 3-to-1 as oil traded near $75 a barrel amid uncertainty over 103 million b/d supply in a $2.5 trillion global market.

📉 An AI-driven selloff is hammering stocks across sectors as investors dump companies tied to or threatened by artificial intelligence, dragging the Nasdaq 100 down over 2%

💰 As Bitcoin nears $60,000, a drop toward the $58,000 200-week average could spark billions in leveraged liquidations.

💵 Shares of Coinbase Global Inc. surged nearly 20% on more than 2× average volume despite weak earnings, as dip buyers bet the crypto downturn was priced in and positioned for a rebound.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.02.2026

🇺🇸 Bank Holiday – All day

@fbsanalytics

⏩️🅱️🅿️ℹ️🔽⏺️

💷 GBPUSD is testing the downtrend line again, and momentum has risen above 100.0.

🔼 A break above 1.3650 will open the way to 1.3710;
🔽 A rebound from the trend line will drop GBPUSD to 1.3600 and further to 1.3550.

@fbsanalytics

😛🤗😅🍎😜

🇨🇭 USDCHF broke through the upper boundary of the symmetrical triangle and rose above MA50. We are seeing an increase in bullish dominance, which makes a slight rise possible.

🔼 We are considering buying USDCHF if it rises above 0.7700;
🎯 Target: 0.7725.

@fbsanalytics

🪙 The Next Reserve Currency?

⚠️ For over 500 years, the world has seen a succession of reserve currencies held by various countries. Here's how it was:

🇵🇹 The Portuguese were the first to set the trend, with their currency being the world's reserve currency between 1450 and 1530. Portuguese real was in demand as the country dominated world trade and exploration

🇪🇸 Spain took over as the world's reserve currency from 1530 to 1640 as they became dominant in world trade and held vast amounts of gold and silver.

🇳🇱 The Dutch took over from 1640 to 1720 because of their economic and financial strength, including their dominance in the financial industry.

🇫🇷 France's currency took over from 1720 to 1815, largely due to their military and economic power.

🇬🇧 After Napoleon's defeat, the British pound took the leadership from 1815 to 1920 due to Britain's status as the world's economic powerhouse and its vast colonial empire.

🇺🇸 The United States then became the boss from 1920 to the present day. This change occurred mainly due to the growth of the US economy after World War I and the United State's role as a dominant military power.

🇨🇳 However, China is about to take the US's place, with its yuan becoming the next candidate.

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🇬🇧 UK unemployment climbed to 5.2%, the highest since 2021, while wage growth slowed to 3.4%, adding pressure on the Bank of England to deliver rate cuts as joblessness heads toward 5.3%.

💰 If Bitcoin falls below $60,000 toward its $58,000 200-week average, traders warn billions in leveraged positions could be liquidated.

⌨️ Alibaba Group unveiled Qwen 3.5, an AI model 60% cheaper to run and 8× more efficient at processing large datasets, intensifying competition with DeepSeek

🔪 Asian markets saw the largest net hedge-fund buying since 2016, when Goldman Sachs’ trading desk began tracking the data.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.02.2026

🇨🇦 CPI m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 Median CPI y/y – 16:30 GMT+3
🇨🇦 Trimmed CPI y/y – 16:30 GMT+3

@fbsanalytics

✂️⏏️⏩️ℹ️🔽⏺️

⛽️ After a sharp decline, natural gas is testing the upper trend line of the falling wedge, and MACD indicates the possibility of growth. There is an imbalance and a gap at the top, which is a potential target.

📈 A breakout above 3.020 will open the way for growth!
🎯 Target 1: 3.160;
🎯 Target 2: 3.350.

@fbsanalytics

👉🥇🇻🇦🚀👈XAUUSD ALERT!

🥇Quick trade on gold, guys! On the M15, XAUUSD broke through the downtrend, retested it, and bounced back. The lips crossed the jaw, and AO indicates growing bullish sentiment.

🔼 We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4937;
🎯 Target: 4967.

@fbsanalytics

🐳George Soros

Soros, a legendary hedge fund manager and philanthropist, is best known for his bold macro trades and deep understanding of global markets. High-profile successes and influential financial theories have marked his career.

🎓 Key trading philosophy:
🟢 Strong emphasis on macroeconomic analysis
🟢 Success requires understanding both economics and human psychology
🟢 Markets are affected by the biases and actions of participants (market reflexivity)
🟢 Patience and adaptability are critical

🏆 Famous trades:
🔢 1992: Shorted the British pound, betting it was overvalued, and earned over $1 billion in a single day from this trade.
🔢 Predicted the UK would exit the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM).
🔢 His trading speculation was probably the cause of the Asian Tom Yam Crisis, although the causes were multifaceted.

💡 Lesson to learn — patience, timing, and a thorough understanding of market psychology and macroeconomics are critical to success.

@fbsanalytics

🔠🔠🔠🔠

⛈ Abu Dhabi’s MGX, launched after OpenAI’s ChatGPT debut, is targeting over $100 billion in assets and up to $10 billion in annual AI investments, backing firms like Anthropic as it ramps up its global push.

🇯🇵 Japan will invest up to $36 billion in US oil, gas and critical minerals as part of a broader $550 billion trade pact with the US, underscoring how tariffs are reshaping capital flows and energy supply chains.

💵 Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway Inc. cut its Amazon Inc. stake by over 75% in Q4 while buying 5.1 million shares of New York Times Co. worth $351.7 million.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 18.02.2026

🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting Minutes – 22:00 GMT+3
🇳🇿 RBNZ Gov Breman Speaks – 22:10 GMT+3

@fbsanalytics

ℹ️🔽5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

5️⃣ The US500 has started to rise again and seems ready to overcome the huge imbalance. MACD confirms the possibility of growth.

🔼 We are considering buying the US500 only if it consolidates above 6880;
🎯 Target: 6940.

@fbsanalytics