FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!πŸš€

🀝FBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
🌐FBS website: https://fbs.com
πŸ“²FBS Mobile app: https://fbspa.onelink.me/00Zt/8w2366it

❗️Channel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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βœ‚οΈπŸ…±οΈπŸ”Όβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

πŸ›’XBRUSD has broken through the global downtrend line. The lips have crossed the jaw, and AO confirms the growing bullish sentiment.

πŸ”Ό Consider buying XBRUSD when it consolidates above 64.00;
🎯 Target: 65.80

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πŸ˜›πŸ™ƒπŸ€—πŸŽπŸ˜œ

πŸ₯ˆ XAGUSD is testing the resistance zone at its historical high, and we believe that the growth will continue! A slight retest of the zone at 83.500 is possible, but then a rise to 161.8 Fibonacci.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying XAGUSD when it rises above 86.000 and the nearest fractal;
🎯 Target: 95.500.

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β­οΈβ„ΉοΈπŸ”Όβ„ΉοΈπŸ”½βΊοΈ

πŸ’Ά This is a good idea for scalping. EURUSD is ready to fall further, there is a large FVG below, which is confirmed by the MACD histogram.

πŸ”½ Consider selling EURUSD if it falls below 1.1653;
🎯 Target 1: 1.1643;
🎯 Target 2: 1.1635.

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🐊 The Alligator Indicator

The Alligator is a favorite among professional traders for its ability to see market trends:
πŸ”΅ Jaw: Long-term trends.
πŸ”΄ Teeth : Medium-term signals.
🟒 Lips: Short-term moves.

Signals:

πŸ“‰ Sleeping Alligator (Lines overlap): No trendβ€”stay cautious.
⚑️ Awakening Alligator (Lines spread): Trend formingβ€”get ready.
πŸ“ˆ Feeding Alligator (Wide open): Strong trendβ€”ride it.

πŸ”₯ Combine for Maximum Precision!

🟠MACD: Confirms trend momentum when aligned with the Alligator.
🟠RSI: Helps identify pullbacks for better entries during Alligator trends.
🟠 ADX (>25): Verifies the trend's strengthβ€”if it’s low, reconsider

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πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” πŸ” 

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China’s 2025 trade surplus reached $1.2 trillion, with exports +6.6%, imports +5.7%, US exports βˆ’20% (US share 11%), and strong gains to Africa +26%, ASEAN +13%, and EU +8%.

πŸ₯ˆ Silver hit a record above $90/oz (up to $91.55, +5.3%), gold sat within $10 of a high, silver is +150% from 2025, and analysts see $100–$150 ahead as Fed turmoil

πŸ’° Bitcoin jumped toward ~$96,300, its highest in two months, helping **wipe out about $600 million+ in bearish (short) crypto bets as traders were forced to cover amid the rally.

😁 Donald Trump said Jamie Dimon was β€œwrong” on the DOJ’s probe of the Federal Reserve System and vowed to replace Jerome Powell within weeks.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 14.01.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core PPI m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Core Retail Sales m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ PPI m/m – 16:30 GMT+3
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Retail Sales m/m – 16:30 GMT+3

Useful insight? Hit ❀️

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πŸ˜›πŸ˜†πŸ€—πŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ₯‡ On the M30, gold in the ascending channel has once again updated its ATH, but has rebounded from the trend line, and Parabolic SAR confirms this. DeMarker also points to the possibility of a slight decline.

πŸ”½ Consolidation of XAUUSD below 4620 may trigger a slight correction to the lower trend line.
🎯 Target 1: 4600
🎯 Target 2: 4590 (optional)

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

πŸ†• The US100 broke through the lower boundary of the rising wedge, and the Chaikin Oscillator settled below 0. The lips crossed the jaw, making a drop to the global trend possible.

πŸ”» We are considering selling the US100 if it falls below 25600;
🎯 Target: 25500.

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ₯‡ Bitcoin seems to be turning around after breaking through the global trend line, confirming the growing bullish sentiment on AO. There has also been a break of structure.

πŸ”Ό Consolidation above 96,000 will open the way for growth;
🎯 Target: 100,000.

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ›’ Oil fell as Donald Trump signaled the US might delay military action in Iran, easing geopolitical risk and pushing Brent below ~$65 a barrel and WTI near ~$60.

πŸ€– Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd sees $52–$56B capex in 2026 and ~30% sales growth, beating estimates and signaling sustained AI demand led by NVIDIA Corp.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The US budget deficit in December rose to $144.749 billion, up 1.7Γ— year over year from $86.732 billion, according to the US Treasury.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 15.01.2026

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Unemployment Claims – 16:30 GMT+3;

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❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️

πŸ₯‡Gold has almost fallen to the lower boundary of the upward channel, but there is a clear divergence on the RSI. The MACD already indicates the possibility of a decline, and there is FVG at the bottom.

πŸ”½ A break below the lower trend line below 4590 will drop XAUUSD to 4570 and 4545;
πŸ”Ό A rebound will bring the price back to 4640.

πŸ‘ - you're bullish, ❀️ - you're bearish!

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πŸ˜›πŸ€ πŸ€—πŸŽπŸ˜œ

πŸ“ˆ AUDUSD broke through the upper boundary of the falling wedge and is testing MA50. +DI crossed -DI, indicating the possibility of growth.

πŸ”Ό Consolidation above 0.6700 will open the way for growth;
🎯 Target 1: 0.6720;
🎯 Target 2: 0.6750.

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½3️⃣0️⃣

🈁 US30 is moving sideways and, after rebounding from the lower boundary, the price is ready to surge upward and break through FVG. Parabolic SAR confirms the start of growth.

πŸ”Ό We are considering buying US30 if it rises above 49300;
🎯 Target 1: 49500;
🎯 Target 2: 49600 (optional)

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⚑️ The 15-Minute Trading Strategy!

No time to watch charts all day? This strategy helps you catch strong moves in just 15 minutes. All you need is the 20 & 50 EMA, RSI (14), and, optionally, a volume indicator for extra confirmation.

πŸ‚ BUY when:
🟒 20 EMA crosses above 50 EMA (bullish trend)
🟒 RSI is above 50 (momentum confirmation)
🟒 Volume is increasing (extra confirmation)

🐻 SELL when:
🟠 20 EMA crosses below 50 EMA (trend reversal)
🟠 RSI drops below 50 (bearish control)
🟠 Volume rises, confirming selling pressure

πŸ€ How to Exit:
Once in a trade, set a take-profit level at key support or resistance zonesβ€”previous swing highs for buys and swing lows for sells. If the trend is strong, a trailing stop can help lock in profits while allowing for further upside.

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ The Federal Reserve faces a β€œtrilemma” after stopping runoff of its $6.5T balance sheetβ€”unable to have a smaller footprint, low rate volatility, and minimal market intervention all at once.

πŸͺ™ After a $134B trading record in 2025 (+15% YoY), Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs Group Inc., and JPMorgan Chase & Co. say 2026 could bring even higher trading, M&A, and $140B+ shareholder payouts.

πŸ‡―πŸ‡΅ After 30 years of flat prices, Japan’s inflation has exceeded 2% for 44 months, real wages are falling, and the Bank of Japan and PM Sanae Takaichi face mounting economic and political pressure.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China’s $1.2T trade surplus is seeping into global markets as private investors added $1T+ in foreign assets, reducing People’s Bank of China control and raising reversal risks.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.01.2026

πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§ BOE Gov Bailey Speaks – 13:00 GMT+3;

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πŸ˜›πŸ€—πŸ₯ΉπŸπŸ˜œ

πŸ’΄ USDJPY bounced off the upper trend line of the ascending channel, and -DI rose above +DI. Chaikin is below zero, which makes a drop to the lower trend line possible.

πŸ”½ We are considering selling USDJPY if it falls below 158.100;
🎯 Target: 157.600.

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❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️

πŸ₯‡ Gold is moving in a small sideways trend, forming a symmetrical triangle. Indicators are not giving clear signals!

πŸ”Ό A breakout above the upper trend line above 4610 and MA50 will open the way to 4620 and 4640;
πŸ”½ A breakout below the lower trend line below 4598 will drop XAUUSD to 4580.

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β„ΉοΈπŸ”½1️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

πŸ†• US100 has formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern, and the price is testing the neckline, preparing to break out of the cloud. Tenkan above Kijun confirms the possibility of growth to ATH.

πŸ”Ό Consolidation above 25700 will open the way for growth;
🎯 Target: 25870.

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➑️ Fractals⬅️

πŸ•― Fractals are powerful trend reversal signals, helping traders spot potential price breakouts before they happen.

Basic Fractal Pattern
🐻 The highest high in a bearish fractal (signals a potential downtrend).
πŸ‚ The lowest low in a bullish fractal (signals a potential uptrend).

🟒The two bars on each side form lower highs (bearish) or higher lows (bullish), creating a clear trend shift signal.

⚑️ Fractal Breakouts. A fractal breakout occurs when price breaks above or below a previously identified fractal. Traders use this to confirm trend continuation or reversal.

πŸ’‘ How to Use the Williams Fractal Indicator?
βœ”οΈ Identifies highs and lows in price action.
βœ”οΈ Works best when combined with the Williams Alligator Indicator, which helps confirm trend direction.
βœ”οΈ Fractal breakouts above resistance or below support indicate trend continuation or reversal.

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πŸšΆβ€β™‚οΈ My strategy is panic but with confidence!

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πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€πŸ”€

⚑️ The European Union may retaliate with tariffs on €93 billion ($108 billion) of US goods if Donald Trump imposes 10%–25% duties that could cut EU exports by up to 50%.

πŸ₯‡ Gold jumped to about $4,670/oz and silver to $93/oz as Donald Trump threatened 10%–25% tariffs, stoking safe-haven demand amid a looming US-EU trade clash.

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ China hit 5% growth in 2025, but momentum faded as Q4 GDP slowed to 4.5%, investment fell 3.8%, and net exports contributed about 33% of growth amid weak demand.

🍎Apple Inc. retook the top spot in China as iPhone shipments surged 28%, lifting its share to about 20% despite a 1.6% market decline.

#MarketNews

πŸ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 19.01.2026

πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ CPI m/m - 16:30 GMT+3;
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Median CPI y/y - 16:30 GMT+3;
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦ Trimmed CPI y/y - 16:30 GMT+3;

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