FBS Analytics
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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!🚀

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ℹ️🔽⏺️0️⃣↘️↘️🅰️🔼

💵 The USDollar is testing strong support on the daily chart ahead of the US NFP. There is a large liquidity zone below, but the 50-day MA has crossed the 200-day MA, forming a Golden Cross.

🔽 A drop below 98.100 will bring the USDollar down to 97.100, and even 96.600;
🔼 A rebound from support will bring the price back to 99.300 and, with further growth, to 100.200.

👀 Keep a close eye on all pairs with the US dollar (EURUSD, GBPUSD, etc.)

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⚡️US NFP RELEASE⚡️

🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings m/m:
Actual — 0.1%
Expected — 0.3%
Previous — 0.2%

🇺🇸 Core Retail Sales m/m:
Actual — 0.4%
Expected — 0.3%
Previous — 0.2%

🇺🇸 NFP m/m:
Actual — 64K
Expected — 51K
Previous — 119K

🇺🇸 Retail Sales m/m:
Actual — 0.0%
Expected — 0.1%
Previous — 0.2%

🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate:
Actual — 4.6%
Expected — 4.5%
Previous — 4.4%
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💡Important Trading Patterns

📈 Double Bottom
A bullish pattern that appears as two lows at approximately the same level, indicating a potential trend reversal. A breakout above the resistance level is the signal to go long.

📉 Double Top
A bearish pattern that appears as two highs at approximately the same level, indicating a potential trend reversal. A breakout below the support level is the signal to go short.

📉 Head and Shoulders
A bearish pattern that appears as a peak (head) with two smaller peaks (shoulders) on either side. The neckline is drawn connecting the lowest points between the peaks, and a breakout below the neckline signals a trend reversal.

📈 Inverted Head and Shoulders
A bullish pattern that is the opposite of the Head and Shoulders pattern, with the peaks and troughs flipped upside down. A breakout above the neckline signals a trend reversal.

📈 Bullish Cup and Handle
A bullish continuation pattern that appears as a cup with a handle. A breakout above the resistance level of the handle signals a continuation of the uptrend.

📉 Bearish Cup and Handle
A bearish continuation pattern that appears as a rounded top (cup) followed by a small bounce (handle). A breakout below the support level of the handle signals a continuation of the downtrend.

📈 Bullish Diamond
A bullish continuation pattern that appears as a diamond shape by connecting lower highs and higher lows. A breakout above the resistance level signals a continuation of the uptrend.

📉 Bearish Diamond
A bearish continuation pattern that appears as a diamond shape by connecting higher highs and lower lows. A breakout below the support level signals a continuation of the downtrend.

Push ❤️ and be sure to save and share with your friends!

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😁 Trump tanker blockade risks removing ~1 million barrels per day of Venezuelan crude, lifting oil by 1–1.3% (Brent at $59.62, WTI at $56.00) with potential upside of $5–$ 8 per barrel.

🇪🇺 Euro-zone activity slowed as the PMI slipped to 51.9 from 52.8, hit by weak German industry, while inflation near 2% keeps the ECB likely on hold despite expectations of around 1% growth.

🤖 OpenAI is in early talks to raise $10B+ from Amazon at a valuation >$500B, potentially adopting Amazon’s Trainium chips to cut AI compute costs and diversify beyond Nvidia

🎬 Warner Bros Discovery is likely to reject Paramount Skydance’s $108.4B all-cash bid and back Netflix’s rival $72B offer for its non-cable assets

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 17.12.2025

🇬🇧CPI y/y – 10:00 GMT+3

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💴 USDJPY broke through the upper boundary of the falling wedge. MACD indicates the possibility of growth, and -DI crossed +DI on ADX.

🔽 We are considering buying USDJPY only if it rises above 155.200;
🎯 Target: 156.000.

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❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️❗️

🥇Gold is testing the upper limit again, although the upper Bollinger band has already been crossed. However, AO indicates a growing bullish trend.

⤴️ A breakout of resistance at 4345 will open the way to 4380 (ATH).
⤵️ A rebound will again drop XAUUSD to the lower limit of 4280.

👍 - you're bullish, ❤️ - you're bearish!

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⏩️🅱️🅿️ℹ️🔽⏺️

💷 On the H4, GBPUSD is testing the lower trend line of the ascending channel and FRAMA. At the same time, -DI crossed above +DI on ADX.

🔽 A break below the trend line at 1.3385 will drop the price to 1.3300;
🔼 A rebound will return GBPUSD to 1.3455.

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👀 On the daily chart, AUDUSD reached a liquidity pool and reversed. CCI has already left the overbought zone, and there is an imbalance below.

🔽 We are considering selling AUDUSD if it falls below 0.6620;
🎯 Target: 0.6540.

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😞 The shorter the timeframe, the louder the thoughts.

#Meme

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ℹ️🔽5️⃣0️⃣0️⃣

5️⃣ The US500 has broken through the trendline of the descending channel, and it looks like the correction is over. The lips crossed the jaw on the Alligator, and the MACD histogram indicates the dominance of the bulls, and there is an undiscovered Imbalance at the top.

🔼 We are considering buying US500 only if it rises above 6830;
🎯 Target 1: 6850;
🎯 Target 2: 6875.

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↗️ USDCAD broke through the downward trend on H4! + DI crossed -DI, and divergence formed on RSI, which only confirms the possibility of further growth towards FVG!

🔼 We are considering buying USDCAD ONLY if it rises above 1.3800 and the nearest fractal;
🎯 Target 1: 1.3860;
🎯 Target 2: 1.3900.

Do you agree? Click 👍👍👍

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🥇 Professional guidance for trading Gold (XAUUSD)

📌 These principles are designed by the FBS team to support more intelligent decision-making and effective risk management in gold trading.

🔖 Save this guide so you don’t miss out. Best of luck!

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🇪🇺 The ECB is set to hold the deposit rate at 2.0% for a 4th meeting, after 8 cuts (200 bp) from 4.0%, with inflation near 2%, Q3 GDP beating forecasts, rates seen steady through 2027

🇬🇧 The BOE is expected to cut rates 25 bp to 3.75% (lowest in ~3 years), likely on a 5–4 vote, with inflation at 3.2%, markets pricing >90% odds of a cut and 1 more move by April 2026.

✈️ Lufthansa will keep most of its new Boeing 787-9 Dreamliner business-class seats blocked until April while awaiting US FAA approval, with its shares around €8.50 today.

🤖 OpenAI is in early talks to raise tens of billions at a valuation of up to $750 billion, up from about $500 billion earlier this fall.

#MarketNews

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 18.12.2025

🇬🇧 Monetary Policy Summary – 15:00 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 MPC Official Bank Rate Votes – 15:00 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 Official Bank Rate – 15:00 GMT+3;
🇬🇧 BOE Gov Bailey Speaks – 15:30 GMT+3;
🇪🇺 Main Refinancing Rate – 16:15 GMT+3;
🇪🇺 Monetary Policy Statement – 16:15 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 CPI y/y – 16:30 GMT+3;
🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims – 16:30 GMT+3;
🇪🇺 ECB Press Conference – 16:45 GMT+3;

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✂️🅰️ℹ️ℹ️🔽⏺️

🥇 On the M30, gold is testing the lower trend line and MA50. MACD indicates a decline, and there is divergence on the RSI.

🔽 We are considering selling XAUUSD if it breaks below the trend line at 4330.
🎯 Target 1: 4315
🎯 Target 2: 4300.

Do you agree? Click ❤️

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🪙 ETHUSD is bouncing off the trend line, and CCI and %R have exited the oversold zone. There is an uncovered imbalance at the top, acting as a magnet for the price.

🔼 If ETHUSD rises above 2860, a correction will begin!
🎯 Target 1: 2900;
🎯 Target 2: 2950.

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🔥 STOCK TRADING

🍎 #APPLE has broken its record and rebounded from the upper trend line of the upward channel. Parabolic SAR indicates the beginning of a decline, and RSI has moved out of the overbought zone.

🔽 We are considering selling #APPLE during consolidation below 270.0;
🎯 Target 1: 260.0;
🎯 Target 2: 245.0.

📝 Write in the comments which instruments you want to see analyzed today before the US CPI!

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🛢 XBRUSD bounced off the trend line and MA50, and Momentum fell below 100.0 again. There is a gap below, which acts as a magnet for the price.

🔽 We are considering selling XBRUSD if it falls below 59.50 and the nearest fractal;
🎯 Target: 58.60.

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