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Market news & trade ideas & Live streams and more by FBS team!๐Ÿš€

๐ŸคFBS Support: @fbs_official_bot
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โ—๏ธChannel rules: https://telegra.ph/FBS-analytics-chat-rules-11-22
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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‘€ NZDUSD has reached the upper trend expanding wedge. %R signals extreme overbought conditions, although there is an uncovered imbalance at the top. Let's consider two scenarios:

๐Ÿ”ผ A breakout above the upper trend line above 0.5840 will open the way to 0.5930;
๐Ÿ”ฝ A rebound will drop NZDUSD back to 0.5770 and further to 0.5710.

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FBS Analytics
โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ ๐ŸŒ‰ Gold rebounded from MA50 and is showing signs of growth again, which is confirmed by Chaikin rising above 0. There is an imbalance at the top, so a retest of the trend is possible. ๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4220;โ€ฆ
โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ So, gold brought in 1,600 points today. Congratulations to everyone! The price is now testing the upper trend line of the symmetrical triangle, while crossing the upper Bollinger band. %R confirms overbought conditions.

๐Ÿ”ผ A breakout above 4240 will open the way to 4260;
๐Ÿ”ฝ A rebound will drop XAUUSD to 4210 and even 4200.

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๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” 

๐Ÿ“ฃ After six cuts since 2024, the Fed eased by 25 basis points to 3.50%โ€“3.75%, with inflation near 3%, two dissents, and four officials signaling no more cuts, and tariff effects peaking in Q1 2026.

๐Ÿค– Intel has tested sanctioned-linked China unit tools for its advanced 14A chip process, sparking US security concerns, and #INTEL shares are trading around $39.51 today.

๐Ÿ›’ Costco beat Q1 revenue and profit estimates with same-store sales up 6.4%, riding strong holiday demand and private-label appeal, and shares is trading around $884.48 today.

๐ŸŽ Teslaโ€™s US sales sank nearly 23% to ~39,800 vehicles in November, a near 4-year low despite cheaper Model 3/Y launches and rising market share, and #TESLA is trading around $446.89 today.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 12.12.2025

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง GDP m/m โ€“ 10:00 GMT+3

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold is flying high, overcoming strong resistance levels, and may now offset the imbalance. However, %R shows significant overbought conditions, which makes a correction possible before a rise to 161.8 Fibonacci.

๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying XAUUSD if it rises above 4290;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4325.

Hit โค๏ธ if you are bullish on XAUUSD!

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿค ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜œ

โšก๏ธ AUDUSD has reached a very strong resistance area. Despite bullish sentiment, Stochastic is ready to exit the overbought zone, and there is FVG below.

๐Ÿ”ผ If the price consolidates above 0.6680 and the nearest fractal, it will soar to 0.6800;
๐Ÿ”ฝ A rebound from resistance will drop the price to 0.6600 and further to 0.6540.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ฐ BTCUSD has formed a bearish flag pattern, and Parabolic SAR confirms the possibility of a decline. %R is back in the overbought zone.

๐Ÿ”ฝ If BTCUSD breaks through the lower boundary of the flag below 91,000, the decline will begin!
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 86,500;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 84,500.

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FBS Analytics
โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ ๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold is flying high, overcoming strong resistance levels, and may now offset the imbalance. However, %R shows significant overbought conditions, which makes a correction possible before a rise to 161.8 Fibonacci. ๐Ÿ”ผ We are consideringโ€ฆ
โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโฉ๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโฌ†๏ธโ๏ธ

๐Ÿ“ˆ Gold hit its target and brought in 3,500 points. Congratulations to everyone! The price will continue to rise, as confirmed by AO. There is OB at the top, which makes it possible to grow to a historical maximum.

๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying XAUUSD ONLYโ—๏ธ if it rises above 4335.
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4380.

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โœ‚๏ธ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโฉ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿฅˆ Silver is consolidating above the 361.8 Fibonacci level after rebounding from the trend line and has already risen above the nearest fractal. The market remains extremely bullish, which makes it possible for it to rise to the 461.8 Fibonacci level.

๐Ÿ”ผ You can consider buying XAGUSD only if it rises above 64.400;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 66.000.

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿ˜„๐Ÿ™Œ

5๏ธโƒฃ US500 has reached an ATH and is rebounding from the trend line after crossing the upper Bollinger band. The CCI has exited the overbought zone, and there is FVG below, which may indicate a possible correction.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling if it falls below 6900;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 6880;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 6860.

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โœ… Trailing stop-loss

๐Ÿ”น Trailing Stop-Loss orders can significantly improve risk management and profit protection when the market moves in your favor. One effective and widely used method is trailing a stop based on the Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

โ“ How to set a Trailing Stop-Loss using EMA:

๐Ÿ”ข Identify the trend. Use the EMA as a trend filter:
๐ŸŸข Price above the EMA โ†’ uptrend
๐ŸŸ  Price below the EMA โ†’ downtrend

๐Ÿ”ข Open a trade in the direction of the trend and place the initial Stop-Loss at the EMA level. This helps align your risk management with market structure.

๐Ÿ”ข Trail the Stop-Loss dynamically. As the price continues to move in your favor, adjust the Stop-Loss along the EMA. This allows you to secure unrealized profits while giving the trade enough room to develop without being stopped out by minor pullbacks.

Do you use Trailing stop-losses? Donโ€™t forget to leave a โค๏ธ if you do!

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๐Ÿ’ก Smart Money Concept

๐Ÿงฒ Supply and demand trading is about placing your orders according to zones where the price tends to reverse due to various factors. Itโ€™s almost like support and resistance lines, but broader and typically supported by fundamental factors.

โšก๏ธ Typically, the price reacts sharply to supply and demand zones, indicating a significant amount of buying or selling interest.

โœ… But how do you know when to enter? Thatโ€™s what the picture is about. Look for a rally-based drop movement or other variations of it. The price tends to retest the base before moving toward the rally.

๐Ÿ“ These areas enable traders to employ a favorable risk-to-reward approach in their trades. You can set a buy limit order before the price reaches the base, and the chart will do it for you. Note that the stop loss should typically be positioned near the demand zone and below the supply zone.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

โšก๏ธ Three years after ChatGPT, AI bubble fears grow as Big Tech plans $400B+ in capex, OpenAI targets $1.4T while burning $115B, Oracle is down 40%+, and the Nasdaq 100 trades at 26ร— earnings.

โœ‚๏ธ Rate-cut momentum is fading as the Fed signals caution after a 25 bp cut, the ECB holds since May, the BOE nears a final cut, and Japan prepares a hike to 0.75% amid still-sticky inflation.

โšซ๏ธ Blackstoneโ€™s huge real-estate platforms look hard to sell in a slower deal market โ€” yet its stock still reflects investor confidence as BX trades around $151.18 today.

๐Ÿš€ SpaceX is preparing for a possible 2026 IPO, launching a $2.56B insider share sale at $421 per share that values the company at about $800B to help fund Starlink, Starship, and Mars ambitions.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 15.12.2025

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ CPI m/m - 16:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Median CPI y/y - 16:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Trimmed CPI y/y - 16:30 GMT+3;

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ฐ On H4, Bitcoin is bouncing off the lower trend line, and Demarker has exited the oversold zone. CCI has also exited the oversold zone and broken through the upward trend line, making it possible for growth to the liquidity zone.

๐Ÿ”ผ Consolidation above 90,000 will open the way for BTCUSD to rise!
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 92,000;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 93,600.

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๐Ÿ˜›โ˜บ๏ธ๐Ÿค—๐Ÿ˜œ

๐Ÿ›ขXBRUSD has rebounded from the trend line and appears to be falling. Stochastic has exited the overbought zone, and -DI has crossed +DI.

โคต๏ธ We are considering selling XBRUSD if it falls below 61.00.
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 60.60.
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 60.20.

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝ1๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ0๏ธโƒฃ

๐Ÿ†• US100 rebounded from strong support after crossing the lower Bollinger Band. The price may break through the Imbalance located above.

๐Ÿ”ผ We are considering buying US100 if it rises above 25370;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 25550.

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โ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธโ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold has almost reached its historic high after another rebound from the global trend. If the price consolidates above this level, it will likely rise to the 161.8 Fibonacci level.

๐Ÿฆ Goldman expects the price of gold to reach $4,900 by the end of 2026.

๐Ÿ”ผ If it rises above 4380, the bullish trend will continue.
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 4700.

Click โค๏ธ if you think the bullish trend will continue in 2026!

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๐Ÿ˜›๐Ÿ˜ƒ๐Ÿค

๐Ÿˆ On the H1, US30 bounced off the trend line and MA50 again after a correction. Momentum is above 100 again, and there is OB at the top, making it possible to grow to ATH!

๐Ÿฅฐ We are considering buying US30 if it grows above 48780;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 48930.

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ*๏ธโƒฃ๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ‘€ In the weekly timeframe, USDCAD formed a head-and-shoulders pattern, falling to the neckline. -DI crossed above +DI on the ADX.

๐Ÿ“‰ If the price falls below 1.3730 and the nearest fractal, a bearish trend will begin!
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 1.3570;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 1.3420.

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โ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ*๏ธโƒฃโช๏ธโฎ๏ธ

๐Ÿ“‰ USDCHF has broken through the bearish flag boundary and is falling! -DI has crossed +DI, and MA50 has crossed below MA200, forming a Dead Cross.

๐Ÿ”ฝ We are considering selling USDCHF if it falls below 0.7945;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.7935;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.7910;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 3: 0.7895.

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๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง The Bank of England is expected to cut rates 25bp to 3.75% in a 5โ€“4 vote, leaving just 25โ€“50bp of easing left as inflation runs ~3.6% (seen at 3.4%) and markets price a terminal rate near 3.4%.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Fedโ€™s Williams said rates at 3.5%โ€“3.75% are near neutral after three 25bp cuts, with growth seen at ~2.25% in 2026 and inflation easing from ~2.5% to 2% by 2027.

๐Ÿ†• Nasdaq is seeking SEC approval to add a 9 p.m.โ€“4 a.m. ET session, extending weekday trading to 23 hours, with a planned launch in Q3 2026, following NYSEโ€™s 22-hour plan and DTCCโ€™s move to 24/5 clearing by Q2 2026.

๐Ÿš— Ford is taking a $19.5 billion EV writedown and cutting EV models as it pivots to hybrids and gas-powered trucks, and its stock is trading around $13.65 today.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 16.12.2025

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ German Flash Manufacturing PMI โ€“ 11:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ German Flash Services PMI โ€“ 11:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Flash Manufacturing PMI โ€“ 12:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง Flash Services PMI โ€“ 12:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Average Hourly Earnings m/m โ€“ 16:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core Retail Sales m/m โ€“ 16:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Non-Farm Employment Change โ€“ 16:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Retail Sales m/m โ€“ 16:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Rate โ€“ 16:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Flash Manufacturing PMI โ€“ 17:45 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Flash Services PMI โ€“ 17:45 GMT+3;

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