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In trading, we use the concept of βBreak of Structureβ to identify changes in market direction. Market structure can be upward with increasing lows and highs, or downward with decreasing lows and highs.
- CHoCH (Change of Character)
- BOS (break of market structure)
For simplicity, we use CHoCH to denote a change in market character and BOS to confirm the structure.
- CHoCH is a change in trend direction.
- BOS is an update of the highs and lows. In uptrend we see an update of highs, in downtrend we see an update of lows.
1. Identify the CHoCH on the chart.
2. Use the Fibonacci retracement grid:
- For short positions: from swing high to swing low.
- For long positions: from swing low to swing high.
3. Expect a correction in OTE (Optimal Trade Entry).
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50-MA gives additional dynamic support for the asset.
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The asset is still in a downward movement. The price has retested the last broken low and is showing renewed decline. A bearish pattern β a Bear Flag β has also formed, and the price is now testing the support level at 86808. If 86808 is broken, further downside is likely.
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The index has stopped updating its lows and is currently testing the key level at 25144. If this level is broken, the market structure will shift toward an upward trend, making further growth likely.
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Surprisingly, it still mirrors the behavior of modern markets: stocks, indices, commodities, and even crypto.
This chart highlights long-term cycles of growth and crises, including the Great Depression, the dot-com bubble, the 2008 crash, and the COVID downturn.
Across cycles, the same pattern repeats:
This model isnβt a strict or perfectly accurate forecast.
However, it can serve as a useful guide for determining when to optimize profits and when to make long-term investments during deep value phases.
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The breaking above the golden Fibonacci pocket will bring the gold to the upper FVG zone
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The pair is showing a local decline, but the overall trend still remains bullish. The price is testing the ascending trendline. If resistance at 156.89 is broken, the upward movement is likely to continue.
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Draw Fib from the swing low β swing high (in an uptrend) or vice versa.
The golden pocket is the narrow band between 61.8% and 65%.
Price often returns to this area before continuing the main trend.
Look for:
β’ reversal candles (hammer, engulfing, pin bar)
β’ volume spikes
β’ support/resistance confluence
β’ MA200/MA50/Trendline touch
β’ RSI/MACD divergences
Example: If the market is in a downtrend and the price is at a pocket, look for sell opportunities.
A clean SL goes above 65.0% (or slightly under the lowest wick in the pocket).
If the pocket breaks, the setup is invalidated.
The golden pocket often offers high-probability entries with strong risk-reward, but only with a stop-loss in place.
The golden pocket becomes MUCH stronger when it aligns with:
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