#APTUSD. Started fixing the spot position that I gained in December. Further growth is quite likely, but I've had enough.

WTI oil: historical highs.

News chatterers are only now talking about rising oil prices, although the Elliott waver warned everyone here in advance (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/4030). She gave the entry point, indicated stop-loss and take-profit. Professional stock market analytics looks like this.

The situation is so serious that before the elections the US is asking Ukraine not to bomb Russian refineries, protests are organized against Netanyahu in Israel and everyone has hit the cent ceiling on Russian oil, praying that 200 won't happen at least this year. And it might, very likely it will.

The movement since the end of last year - a series of waves "1"-"2"-[i]-[ii]-(i)-(ii)... This spring will unclip soon into historical highs. That's why my portfolio consists of Russian oil, forex oil longs and USO ETF's. As they say, let's go!

P.S. I don't expect a sharp development of the crisis in the Middle East, everything will happen slowly, but it will.

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#WTI TF: 4H

#BTCUSD. Lots of bitcoin questions that I don't have answers to yet - dealing with what's going on in my absence.

If you just need a markup, here it is, working locally from shorting. Iran was aiming at Israel and hit bitcoin, we saw it in advance as always.

Further there was a partial fixation with the purpose of risk reduction and for the time being it's possible to hold the short still. An adequate stop is around 68000 dollars, if you trade not just minutes TFs.

S&P500: Decline of the West is on schedule.

As warned several times the USA started its fall, but so far only in the wave "4", whose minimum target is about 5% down from the current price. And it can fall for another 20% at the maximum, then there will be a new historical high for the US market without an alternative.

It doesn't sound very frightening, it doesn't look like the decline of America and the death of the dollar, but what is happening now is not even close to big collapse, it's just a small passing crisis, analogous to 2022. The way out of which again will be to pump the economy with debt through the stock market and devaluation of the dollar to world currencies. But that's the way to win the last time...

It's doubly amusing to watch some cryptos pour down tens of percent in such a tiny correction in America. Imagine what will happen when the SPX drops in half...

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#US #US500 #SPX TF: 4H

Gold: time to get out.

Been literally begging you to buy gold since late 2022, giving you trading plans (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3169, https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3896). It was worth $1700 then, now it's all of $2400. It was a good investment. I'm not greedy, so since the end of last year I started to get rid of paper gold slowly by takes (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/4000). But I gained a position in silver and Russian gold miners. I also left physical gold in the portfolio.

Now for me personally it's time to fix the profit of my clients and get out of gold-related stocks. Because I expect a correction of 15% in the next six months to a year, exactly and following the S&P500 index, the forecast for which was above. Further options within 2850 dollars per troy ounce are possible, but I don't expect the precious metal above these values.

P.S. It makes sense to accumulate physical gold at any price in order to survive the big collapse, the post is exclusively about speculation with paper gold and its derivatives.

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#GC #GOLD TF: 4H

Silver: the X's are coming true.

Three months ago I advised everyone here to buy silver (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/4060). Based on the triangle trading strategy. Back then it was 22.7, now it's 28.5. And in risk size it's 2.5 on this conservative trade excluding the additions that were certainly there. :o)

Being subscribed to my blog is EXTREMELY profitable!

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#SL #SILVER TF: 4H

#BTCUSD. I accurately set a target of 73k in advance (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/4096) and hit the end of the wave [iii] on bitcoin with it (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/4119). No one could do that, except me. And here you are asking:

What to expect from bitcoin after the past halving, is the correction over?

The plan is to wait for a decline in volatility until mid-summer in a wide range of 55k-80k (maybe already, 60k-75k) as the main hypothesis. And a possible drop to 50k as an alternative. Then a takeoff to 250k with no options.

Judging by what is happening on the market, crypto is now being used as a protective asset for the period of decline in the U.S. stock market, creating the illusion of a safe haven. But they are creating it in a flat correction, which means itэs all empty. And in the era of big collapse crypto will go to zero faster than all kinds of startups after IPO. But that will come later, now the illusion of a safe haven, then the inflation of an unprecedented bubble cooler than 2018...

As for my strategy, I'm in longs on altcoins with leverage, have a position in altcoins and bitcoin on cold wallet and fully hedged spot with put options dialed in from the 73k area, just in case.

P.S. For the Elliott wavers, according to the alternation guideline, the wave [iv] should be a flat or a triangle where (b) is now forming. According to the correct view, there should be a channel shift [i]-[iii], [ii] down or sideways by the wave [iv].

#BNBUSD, 4H, In addition to ethereum, I also found here an interesting idea of trading off the triangle. I'm gaining a position by limit orders.

#BNBUSD, 4H, The amount of risk has been passed. Now the market is such that I would recommend a partial fixation in this regard, although usually triangles are not partially fixed by the trading strategy.

#AMZN. An example of how to set take profit on the nose according to Elliott Waves. This is why not only traders need WA, but also investors. It's hardly possible to determine the entry and exit point of a position better. The entry and the take profit were marked here (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3511).

As for the forecast, visually there is one more top missing to ATH, but I have already closed, it's enough for me.

#INTC. And here's what happens if you don't close by take when the WA says: DO IT! The position on Intel was opened here (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3665), closed here (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/4014). What followed was a 33% drop, which continues to this day.

TON COIN: Hurry up to take profits.

About a year ago, I was pushing really hard here to buy TON when it was worth less than a buck and a half (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3668). I was aiming for 6 on the optimistic option. It happened, the coin went to seven and a half dollars. I used those levels starting at 6 dollars to exit the spot position. But... I'm still holding some of the coins. Because I'm waiting for the final movement up to the 10+ area.

Of course, there were margin trades here, not only spot (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/4125)... But now I don't see the sense in taking margin trades, it's not clear where to put the stop. There are more clear setups on the market.

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#TONUSD #TONCOIN TF: 4H

Tesla and trend prediction.

News of Musk's successful trip to the PRC is viral in the financial Telegram, causing tesla's stock to rise. But could this have been predicted in advance?

They say that people are very bad at picking stocks, so we should trust blind index investing. But what if there was a trend forecasting methodology that allowed stock's picking to be done efficiently?

And could it be used to predict the current bubble in the US tech sector, where 7 successful IT companies are dragging the entire S&P500 index, while the 493 companies in an index investor's portfolio are a liability?

YES! IT'S ALL POSSIBLE IF YOU HAVE ELLIOTT WAVES AND SOCIONOMICS IN YOUR HANDS.

A year ago, Elliott waver advised to take AMD stocks (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3503), Apple stocks (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3396) and other top 7 companies with an eye on all-time highs. Now these highs have been reached and last week Elliott waver recommended to move from Google to Tesla. The result has not been long in coming.

Want to be able to take trends, too? Join the premium channel today to not miss the move!

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#TSLA #Tesla TF: 15m

#GOOGL, 4H, Today at the main trading session I'll close spot positions in the long-term portfolio. Everything is according to the plan, the diagonal has been formed again by the first two waves.

#AMD, 4H, We're somewhere around here right now on Google.

#TSLA, 4H, I'll add Tesla to my long-term portfolio instead of Google. Someone will ask: SPX's correction, why now? I answer: I have the whole amount of investments in the US market overhedged with put options.

#BTCUSD. If current bitcoin levels don't hold, hello to 51K. Who knows, but I'm in a short via options. Well, and in a big spot position on a cold wallet (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/4131).

Detailed analytics with analysis of all options here (https://t.me/eightyninewaves/4136). In brief, nothing good will be here for those who are in longs before June.

#PYPL. I took 9 risks, I’ll start to slowly reduce my position today. And you say that it’s impossible to choose stocks that will overtake the market systematically. It's possible, moreover with limiting the risk with stops at the same time. Elliott Waves, no magic.

FTSE 100 Index: geopolitical ambitions of the Anglo-Saxons.

At the peak of sentiment, Britain has a decent amount of geopolitical ambitions, all according to the canons of socionomics.

Society dictates to R. Sunak: let's lead NATO in the EU, while Trump and the USA will deal with China. Industry is falling, there are no cheap resources, the population reuses tea bags and these people distribute funds in favour of the military-industrial complex - they are preparing for war. It's known with whom, no questions asked. By other people's hands and with US money, of course.

At this time, socionomics hints to the islanders: it's not even a dead end, it's a direct path to the final collapse of a fragment of the empire. Your ambitions are not destined to come true, there are no such options in reality. Look for a compromise with the most likely opponent.

See for yourself, everything is according to the arrows from 2022, you are on the cusp of the biggest collapse in history:
1) https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3200
2) https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3436
3) https://t.me/eightyninewaves/3847

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#89waves

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#FTSE100 #FTSE #UK100 TF: 4H