Consensus happened at a pretty telling moment. Fear & Greed is hovering near extreme lows, and you could feel that caution in the room.
Fewer early-stage builders, more infrastructure players – exchanges, market makers, wallets, payment providers. Funds are clearly leaning conservative: stablecoins, privacy, sustainable yield. Predictable beats flashy.
▪️What infrastructure do agents need?
▪️How do you deploy them?
▪️How do you monetize them?
Less moonshot thinking, more practical use cases like AI customer support.
Another clear theme: distribution over technology. The winner isn’t the fastest rollup. It’s the team with strong UX, a clear product, and real user traction.
The bigger takeaway?
Less “we’re changing the world.” More focus on product launches, revenue models, partnerships, legal structure, and metrics. The bear market accelerated this shift, but it’s bigger than the cycle. The space is maturing.
And that’s exactly where investor attention is moving.
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How does the GENIUS Act work?
Imagine a simple scenario.
You have $1,000,000,000. You buy stablecoins and swap them for BTC. BTC drops fast📉
You panic😬
You sell back into stablecoins, but now you only have $780,000,000. Meanwhile, $220,000,000 is still sitting in the bank. And this is where it gets interesting.
Who does that money belong to now?🤔
Imagine a simple scenario.
You have $1,000,000,000. You buy stablecoins and swap them for BTC. BTC drops fast
You panic
You sell back into stablecoins, but now you only have $780,000,000. Meanwhile, $220,000,000 is still sitting in the bank. And this is where it gets interesting.
Who does that money belong to now?
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🎭 The romance is over. Now it’s grown-up mode: what Consensus Hong Kong 2026 was really about
Consensus Hong Kong 2026 made one thing clear – the industry is moving away from experimentation and turning into an actual system.
🤖 AI Agents
Still one of the most talked-about topics. But the conversation has shifted. It’s no longer about how to build an agent. The real questions are:
How do you coordinate many agents? Who is responsible for their actions – especially when money is involved?
Blockchain is increasingly viewed as the rules and coordination layer for these systems.
🔍 Proofs and verifiability
Once AI starts acting in the real world or onchain, the demand for verification spikes.
Where did the data come from? What exactly was computed? Can it be proven?
That’s why ZK is back in focus. Not as a buzzword, but as infrastructure for trust in computation.
💵 Onchain capital markets, RWA, stablecoins
TradFi and onchain integration is moving forward, but through compliance and legal structure. The discussion isn’t about flashy launches. It’s about how to scale settlements and tokenization institutionally.
🔮Prediction markets
One of the most visible segments among builders. Competition is intense and products look similar. Over time, the space will likely consolidate around a few major players. Everyone else may struggle to sustain volume once incentive programs like airdrops end.
Overall, the focus has shifted to applied questions: system coordination, data verifiability, and real-world deployment of technology.
Consensus Hong Kong 2026 made one thing clear – the industry is moving away from experimentation and turning into an actual system.
🤖 AI Agents
Still one of the most talked-about topics. But the conversation has shifted. It’s no longer about how to build an agent. The real questions are:
How do you coordinate many agents? Who is responsible for their actions – especially when money is involved?
Blockchain is increasingly viewed as the rules and coordination layer for these systems.
🔍 Proofs and verifiability
Once AI starts acting in the real world or onchain, the demand for verification spikes.
Where did the data come from? What exactly was computed? Can it be proven?
That’s why ZK is back in focus. Not as a buzzword, but as infrastructure for trust in computation.
💵 Onchain capital markets, RWA, stablecoins
TradFi and onchain integration is moving forward, but through compliance and legal structure. The discussion isn’t about flashy launches. It’s about how to scale settlements and tokenization institutionally.
🔮Prediction markets
One of the most visible segments among builders. Competition is intense and products look similar. Over time, the space will likely consolidate around a few major players. Everyone else may struggle to sustain volume once incentive programs like airdrops end.
Overall, the focus has shifted to applied questions: system coordination, data verifiability, and real-world deployment of technology.
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What is tokenomics really like? 🧠
You could describe it as “an economy.” But then it becomes just an academic concept – dry, abstract, lifeless.
Now imagine it as the economy of a small country. Suddenly it makes sense. You see capital flows, small “factories”, treasury reserves, and internal incentives. You see movement.
Picture that country🏙
It has its own central bank. And only one real lever is the interest rate. Lower it, and the economy wakes up: cheap credit, new jobs, mortgages, businesses expanding. Raise it, and everything slows down: assets get sold, cash moves to deposits, plans get postponed.
Tokenomics works the same way. It’s not a spreadsheet. It’sa network of interdependencies, where one decision triggers a chain reaction .
Tokenomics is structure. And when that structure is out of balance, the whole “economy” starts to glitch🤷♂️
You could describe it as “an economy.” But then it becomes just an academic concept – dry, abstract, lifeless.
Now imagine it as the economy of a small country. Suddenly it makes sense. You see capital flows, small “factories”, treasury reserves, and internal incentives. You see movement.
Picture that country
It has its own central bank. And only one real lever is the interest rate. Lower it, and the economy wakes up: cheap credit, new jobs, mortgages, businesses expanding. Raise it, and everything slows down: assets get sold, cash moves to deposits, plans get postponed.
Tokenomics works the same way. It’s not a spreadsheet. It’s
Tokenomics is structure. And when that structure is out of balance, the whole “economy” starts to glitch
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Chart: Monthly fee revenue for Pump.fun since March 2024. Source: DeFiLlama
With profits declining and “memecoin season is dead” narratives getting louder, the new mechanism looks like an attempt to bring activity back. In January, platform fees came in at $31.8M versus $148M a year earlier, marking a drop of more than 75%.
For a long time, Pump.fun was criticized for favoring token creators. Deployers received 0.3% in fees, while actual demand was driven by traders and influencers.
So far, the update hasn’t sparked much excitement
Volumes remain low, and at current activity levels, the potential cashback is unlikely to become a meaningful incentive.
Pump.fun is essentially reshuffling the internal economics of its ecosystem. And the question here is whether that’s enough to bring the memecoin market back to life.
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Stablecoins are moving further away from crypto and especially from altcoins. The US, EU, UAE, Singapore and others have already introduced clear regulatory frameworks.
The rules are clear:
It feels structured, predictable, and safe. But what happens if the reserve suddenly disappears?
A bank declares bankruptcy. A government defaults on its bonds, and “liquid” assets lose value overnight. A financial crisis unfolds
And in that moment, everything comes down to one question:
The dollar is still one dollar, but what is the stablecoin worth now?
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The European Central Bank is moving toward a pilot launch of the digital euro. In early 2026, it plans to begin selecting licensed payment providers, with a 12-month testing phase expected to start in the second half of 2027.
A digital euro would require its own dedicated digital infrastructure, deep integration with the banking system, and strict regulatory compliance.
And here’s where it gets complicated.
Given the current state of EU banking infrastructure, those timelines look ambitious.
For comparison, China spent around seven years developing the digital yuan before moving into large-scale pilot programs.
The digital euro is shifting from concept to execution.
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Crypto is moving deeper into the fiat world.
crypto looks less like a parallel system and more like infrastructure wiring itself directly into traditional finance and political architecture.
#CryptoWeekly
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Do stablecoins free you from the system or keep you in it? 🤔
🫥 Back in 2017, crypto’s loudest voices were talking about new money, the end of the dollar, the collapse of banks.
🫥 In 2020, the narrative shifted to cleaning crypto up, pushing for ETFs, and bringing institutional money into the space.
🫥 By 2026, the mood changes again. Now it’s about privacy, disappearing into DeFi, and stepping outside the system.
But here’s the uncomfortable question. Can anyone really step outside?
You can stack privacy tools. You can route through layers. You can encrypt everything. And still, sooner or later, stablecoins show up.
They are the main gateway in and out. The narrow passage most of Web3 flows through.
But here’s the uncomfortable question. Can anyone really step outside?
You can stack privacy tools. You can route through layers. You can encrypt everything. And still, sooner or later, stablecoins show up.
They are the main gateway in and out. The narrow passage most of Web3 flows through.
The crypto dollar is still tied to the same financial infrastructure many claim to be escaping. And until there is a real alternative to fiat and everything built on top of it, every “exit” still leaves a trace. Not because crypto failed, but because the foundation never changed.
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The study by Memento Research shows that in 2025, Web3 investment is gradually shifting from tokens to equities.
Out of 118 token launches in 2025, 84.7% are trading below their TGE price. The average FDV decline stands at –71.1%, while average market cap is down –66.8%.
Against this backdrop, the equities segment is showing the opposite trend: crypto company IPO volume has increased 48x, reaching $14.6 billion, while M&A deals totaled $42.5 billion.
The conclusion is clear: investors remain interested in the Web3 market, but tokens are no longer the preferred vehicle for exposure.
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In February 2026, Hyperliquid announced HIP-4 — support for outcome trading on HyperCore. Outcomes are fully collateralized contracts that settle within a fixed range. They represent a general-purpose primitive useful for applications such as prediction markets and bounded, options-like instruments.
And the context here matters 👇
Seven years ago, the founder of Hyperliquid participated in Binance Labs with a project called Deaux, which aimed to launch a prediction market. At the time, the idea was premature — the market simply wasn’t ready.
This is no longer just another prediction market. It’s an attempt to embed prediction tools into a full-fledged derivatives infrastructure. And if the sector continues to develop, Hyperliquid has everything it needs to become its foundational infrastructure.
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A CFD (Contract for Difference) is a derivative allowing traders speculate on price movements without owning the underlying asset and with no expiration date. In practice, many perpetual futures work in a very similar way — the difference is often more about naming than mechanics.
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Many investors compare crypto projects by market cap but not everyone understands the difference between two key metrics – FDMC and CMC.
The difference between them represents future inflation. Tokens are almost always released gradually through vesting schedules. As a result, CMC increases over time even if the price remains unchanged, while FDMC changes only when the token price moves.
A simple example:
A project plans to issue 1,000 tokens at $0.1. In the first year, 100 tokens are unlocked. In the second year, another 200 tokens are unlocked.
If the token price remains constant:
Year 1: FDMC = $100, CMC = $10
Year 2: FDMC = $100, CMC = $30
The price didn’t change but the circulating supply tripled.
So how do you use this in practice?
If the gap between FDMC and CMC is large (for example, like $HYPE), it means significant unlocks are ahead creating potential selling pressure. It can also signal that the token is priced “in advance” of its actual circulating value.
If FDMC ≈ CMC (like $BNB), most tokens are already in circulation. No major unlocks are expected, which reduces structural selling pressure and makes the supply more stable.
The takeaway is simple: FDMC shows what the project is worth “in theory.” CMC shows how much capital is actually at work right now. Ignoring the gap between them means ignoring future inflation.
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Chart: $UNI price over the past 24 hours. CoinDesk.
Uniswap has updated $UNI’s economic model through a governance proposal. The initiative includes activating protocol fees across 8 additional chains and automating fee capture across all v3 pools. The potential impact is up to $27 million in annual revenue.
Considering current buyback and burn spending (~$34 million per year), the total annual budget could reach $61 million. The market reacted predictably: $UNI jumped about 15% in 24 hours.
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Looking forward to Blockchain Forum 2026? You should 😎 Because we’ll be speaking on the AI Future Stage with a topic many prefer not to say out loud:
“The Token Market Is Dying: Why Demand for Utility Tokens Is Falling and What a Token Must Look Like in 2026 to Attract Investment.”
Capital is rotating into equities, 80% of new tokens are trading below their TGE price, and investors are increasingly ignoring the concept of “utility for utility.”
Our lead tokenomics expert and co-founder, Anton Efimenko, will explain why this is happening, where token economic models most often break down, and will analyze demand structure along with real-world cases.
🎟 Enjoy a 10% discount on tickets with the promo code
See you at the AI Future Stage at Blockchain Forum 2026 in Moscow!
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Chart: $VVV price over the past 24 hours. CoinDesk.
Venice Token ($VVV) hit a yearly high amid a broader market decline, gaining over 20% in a single day. The reason lies in its token structure.
Venice AI surpassed 2 million users, reduced annual token emissions by 25%, and integrated $VVV into major DeFi protocols: Aerodrome, Morpho, and Plena.
Importantly, $VVV is not just a speculative asset. The token provides API access and eligibility for rewards. Without it, platform usage is either limited or economically inefficient.
While the broader market declines, reinforces the 2026 narrative: hype doesn’t win — functional tokenomics does 😉
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A seller almost always wants to sell at the highest possible price. A buyer, on the other hand, tries to buy as cheaply as possible.
When demand is weak, buyers start waiting for lower prices. They refuse current offers and gradually push the market down. That’s why the key factor behind a token’s price is not the number of sellers, but the quality of demand.
If demand is driven only by marketing, it disappears quickly. As soon as the news flow fades, buyers go back to waiting for a better entry.
When the token is required to use the product (whether for accessing a service, earning rewards, or participating in the platform’s economy), buyers start purchasing it at the current market price.
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Chart: The percentage of altcoins trading at or near all-time lows. Source: CryptoQuant
According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, around 38% of altcoins are currently trading close to their historical lows, a situation even worse than the market conditions seen after the FTX collapse.
One of the key reasons is liquidity rotation. Capital is gradually moving out of altcoins and into equities and commodities, while daily altcoin trading volumes have dropped to around $49 billion.
Analysts also highlight two structural factors putting pressure on the market:
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Starcloud plans to start mining $BTC in orbit. Yep, literally in space. The company intends to install solar-powered ASIC equipment on a satellite.
Now the next step is bitcoin mining.
According to CEO Philip Johnston, mining $BTC in orbit could be more cost-efficient than doing it on Earth. And the reasoning is surprisingly down to earth: near-constant access to solar energy and natural cooling. That means lower electricity costs and fewer expenses tied to hardware cooling.
And all of this is happening while $BTC remains under pressure amid
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Prediction market platform Kalshi has lost its court battle against the state of Ohio, despite the fact that the CFTC had previously classified the company’s products as swaps, not sports betting. The court saw it differently.
The judge ruled that
The opinion and order said:
“Even if this Court were to find that sports-event contracts are swaps subject to the CFTC’s exclusive jurisdiction, Kalshi has not shown that the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) would necessarily preempt Ohio’s sports gambling laws.”
In other words, federal derivatives regulation doesn’t override a state’s authority to regulate gambling.
Kalshi has already announced it disagrees with the ruling and plans to appeal. The timeline for the next stage of the legal battle has not yet been disclosed.
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