🗓 Economic Briefing · Saturday, 26 Sep 2026
📰 Macro news
• Bitcoin cuts losses, remains muted amid rising oil and yields, hawkish Fed signals — Investing.com
• investingLive European session wrap: Yen jumps, oil slides as bond risks linger — ForexLive
• EU urges UK to raise tariffs on Chinese cars to avoid ‘made in Europe’ barriers — FT Economy
• A ‘death cross’ is coming for the dollar. Why Trump will be happy. — MarketWatch
• Spain Q2 GDP confirmed at 0.7% as domestic demand keeps growth resilient — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.18% (+2bp)
⬇️ DXY: 100.97 (-0.3%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,321 (+0.5%)
⬇️ WTI: $92.4 (-2.3%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.9 (-5.1%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,743 (+0.5%)
🔍 What to watch
With no calendar and yields at 5.18% while the dollar prints a death cross, watch whether oil's slide and a softer DXY let risk extend or hawkish Fed pricing reasserts and drags equities back down.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📰 Macro news
• Bitcoin cuts losses, remains muted amid rising oil and yields, hawkish Fed signals — Investing.com
• investingLive European session wrap: Yen jumps, oil slides as bond risks linger — ForexLive
• EU urges UK to raise tariffs on Chinese cars to avoid ‘made in Europe’ barriers — FT Economy
• A ‘death cross’ is coming for the dollar. Why Trump will be happy. — MarketWatch
• Spain Q2 GDP confirmed at 0.7% as domestic demand keeps growth resilient — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.18% (+2bp)
⬇️ DXY: 100.97 (-0.3%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,321 (+0.5%)
⬇️ WTI: $92.4 (-2.3%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.9 (-5.1%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,743 (+0.5%)
🔍 What to watch
With no calendar and yields at 5.18% while the dollar prints a death cross, watch whether oil's slide and a softer DXY let risk extend or hawkish Fed pricing reasserts and drags equities back down.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Sunday, 27 Sep 2026
📰 Macro news
• From $6 eggs to $50,000 cars, these charts show how inflation has defined the past 5 years — MarketWatch
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.18% (+2bp)
⬇️ DXY: 100.97 (-0.3%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,321 (+0.5%)
⬇️ WTI: $92.4 (-2.3%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.9 (-5.1%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,743 (+0.5%)
🔍 What to watch
With no calendar and inflation back in focus, watch whether 10Y holding above 5.18% keeps pressuring DXY toward 100 and supports gold, while VIX under 15 leaves equities complacent.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📰 Macro news
• From $6 eggs to $50,000 cars, these charts show how inflation has defined the past 5 years — MarketWatch
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.18% (+2bp)
⬇️ DXY: 100.97 (-0.3%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,321 (+0.5%)
⬇️ WTI: $92.4 (-2.3%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.9 (-5.1%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,743 (+0.5%)
🔍 What to watch
With no calendar and inflation back in focus, watch whether 10Y holding above 5.18% keeps pressuring DXY toward 100 and supports gold, while VIX under 15 leaves equities complacent.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Monday, 28 Sep 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 15:30 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks
📰 Macro news
• Oil price rise puts more pressure on government bonds — FT Economy
• US and China agree $60bn low tariff regime for goods from foie gras to camels — FT Economy
• For once, the Fed has put Main Street before Wall Street — FT Economy
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.18% (+2bp)
⬆️ DXY: 101.18 (+0.2%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,209 (-2.6%)
⬆️ WTI: $94.0 (+1.7%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.9 (-5.1%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,743 (+0.5%)
🔍 What to watch
Watch Lagarde for any pushback on the oil-driven bond selloff, with US 10Y at 5.18% and WTI near $94 the key pressure points into US jobs data.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 15:30 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks
f: — · p: —📰 Macro news
• Oil price rise puts more pressure on government bonds — FT Economy
• US and China agree $60bn low tariff regime for goods from foie gras to camels — FT Economy
• For once, the Fed has put Main Street before Wall Street — FT Economy
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.18% (+2bp)
⬆️ DXY: 101.18 (+0.2%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,209 (-2.6%)
⬆️ WTI: $94.0 (+1.7%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.9 (-5.1%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,743 (+0.5%)
🔍 What to watch
Watch Lagarde for any pushback on the oil-driven bond selloff, with US 10Y at 5.18% and WTI near $94 the key pressure points into US jobs data.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Tuesday, 29 Sep 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🔴 06:30 🇦🇺 Cash Rate
🔴 06:30 🇦🇺 RBA Rate Statement
🟡 07:30 🇦🇺 RBA Press Conference
🟡 13:00 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks
🟡 14:30 🇨🇦 GDP m/m
🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 CB Consumer Confidence
🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings
📰 Macro news
• Oil price and US Treasury yields in tightest relationship since 1990 — FT Economy
• investingLive European session wrap: Higher yields hit gold as oil rallies and tech futures fall — ForexLive
• September Dallas Fed manufacturing business index 9.8 vs 11.6 prior — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.24% (+6bp)
⬆️ DXY: 101.26 (+0.1%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,173 (-3.4%)
⬆️ WTI: $94.0 (+1.5%)
⬆️ VIX: 16.1 (+8.1%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,684 (-0.8%)
🔍 What to watch
RBA expected to hike to 4.60% with hawkish statement the key AUD risk, while CAD GDP miss and Lagarde headline risk play second fiddle to the oil-yield melt-up driving gold's 3.4% rout and keeping 10Y at 5.24% in focus.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🔴 06:30 🇦🇺 Cash Rate
f: 4.60% · p: 4.35%🔴 06:30 🇦🇺 RBA Rate Statement
f: — · p: —🟡 07:30 🇦🇺 RBA Press Conference
f: — · p: —🟡 13:00 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 14:30 🇨🇦 GDP m/m
f: 0.0% · p: 0.3%🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 CB Consumer Confidence
f: 89.2 · p: 89.4🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 JOLTS Job Openings
f: 7.23M · p: 7.27M📰 Macro news
• Oil price and US Treasury yields in tightest relationship since 1990 — FT Economy
• investingLive European session wrap: Higher yields hit gold as oil rallies and tech futures fall — ForexLive
• September Dallas Fed manufacturing business index 9.8 vs 11.6 prior — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.24% (+6bp)
⬆️ DXY: 101.26 (+0.1%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,173 (-3.4%)
⬆️ WTI: $94.0 (+1.5%)
⬆️ VIX: 16.1 (+8.1%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,684 (-0.8%)
🔍 What to watch
RBA expected to hike to 4.60% with hawkish statement the key AUD risk, while CAD GDP miss and Lagarde headline risk play second fiddle to the oil-yield melt-up driving gold's 3.4% rout and keeping 10Y at 5.24% in focus.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Wednesday, 30 Sep 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🔴 03:30 🇦🇺 CPI m/m
🔴 03:30 🇦🇺 CPI y/y
🔴 03:30 🇦🇺 Trimmed Mean CPI m/m
🟡 08:29 🇪🇺 German Prelim CPI m/m
🟡 14:15 🇺🇸 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index m/m
🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Final GDP q/q
🟡 14:30 🇺🇸 Final GDP Price Index q/q
📰 Macro news
• Heads up: Germany September CPI expected to show inflation back above 3% — ForexLive
• Economic and event calendar in Asia Wednesday, September 30, 2026: 6 PMIs from China and CPI from Australia. — ForexLive
• Australia CPI preview: headline inflation seen at 4.0% after RBA hike — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.26% (+2bp)
⬇️ DXY: 101.26 (-0.1%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,212 (+0.8%)
⬇️ WTI: $89.3 (-0.1%)
⬇️ VIX: 16.0 (-0.2%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,671 (-0.2%)
🔍 What to watch
Aussie CPI is the main event with headline seen jumping to 4.1% y/y; a hot print lifts AUD and RBA hike odds, while German CPI above 3% and US Core PCE at 0.3% keep the global inflation bid intact.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🔴 03:30 🇦🇺 CPI m/m
f: 0.5% · p: 1.0%🔴 03:30 🇦🇺 CPI y/y
f: 4.1% · p: 3.5%🔴 03:30 🇦🇺 Trimmed Mean CPI m/m
f: 0.3% · p: 0.5%🟡 08:29 🇪🇺 German Prelim CPI m/m
f: 0.5% · p: 0.2%🟡 14:15 🇺🇸 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
f: 73K · p: 38K🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index m/m
f: 0.3% · p: 0.2%🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Final GDP q/q
f: 1.5% · p: 1.5%🟡 14:30 🇺🇸 Final GDP Price Index q/q
f: 6.4% · p: 6.4%📰 Macro news
• Heads up: Germany September CPI expected to show inflation back above 3% — ForexLive
• Economic and event calendar in Asia Wednesday, September 30, 2026: 6 PMIs from China and CPI from Australia. — ForexLive
• Australia CPI preview: headline inflation seen at 4.0% after RBA hike — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.26% (+2bp)
⬇️ DXY: 101.26 (-0.1%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,212 (+0.8%)
⬇️ WTI: $89.3 (-0.1%)
⬇️ VIX: 16.0 (-0.2%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,671 (-0.2%)
🔍 What to watch
Aussie CPI is the main event with headline seen jumping to 4.1% y/y; a hot print lifts AUD and RBA hike odds, while German CPI above 3% and US Core PCE at 0.3% keep the global inflation bid intact.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
🗓 Economic Briefing · Thursday, 01 Oct 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 00:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
🟡 08:30 🇨🇭 CPI m/m
🟡 10:00 🇬🇧 BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
🟡 14:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims
🟡 15:30 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks
🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Waller Speaks
🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 ISM Manufacturing PMI
🟡 17:30 🇨🇭 SNB Chairman Schlegel Speaks
📰 Macro news
• Weak PCE inflation eases pressure for Fed rate increases — FT Economy
• ECB ‘cannot wait’ for high energy prices to fuel wider inflation, top policymaker warns — FT Economy
• Trump calls for Powell to resign over Fed renovation, asks attorney general to review report — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.29% (+4bp)
⬆️ DXY: 101.61 (+0.2%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,219 (+0.8%)
⬇️ WTI: $89.6 (-0.9%)
⬆️ VIX: 16.3 (+1.9%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,652 (-0.3%)
🔍 What to watch
Watch ECB Lagarde and BoE Bailey for pushback against the inflation narrative after weak US PCE, while Kashkari and Waller frame Fed reaction; a hawkish ECB-BoE combo keeps EUR/GBP bid and DXY heavy into US claims.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 00:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Kashkari Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 08:30 🇨🇭 CPI m/m
f: 0.0% · p: 0.4%🟡 10:00 🇬🇧 BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 14:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims
f: 201K · p: 197K🟡 15:30 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Waller Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 ISM Manufacturing PMI
f: 54.8 · p: 54.6🟡 17:30 🇨🇭 SNB Chairman Schlegel Speaks
f: — · p: —📰 Macro news
• Weak PCE inflation eases pressure for Fed rate increases — FT Economy
• ECB ‘cannot wait’ for high energy prices to fuel wider inflation, top policymaker warns — FT Economy
• Trump calls for Powell to resign over Fed renovation, asks attorney general to review report — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.29% (+4bp)
⬆️ DXY: 101.61 (+0.2%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,219 (+0.8%)
⬇️ WTI: $89.6 (-0.9%)
⬆️ VIX: 16.3 (+1.9%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,652 (-0.3%)
🔍 What to watch
Watch ECB Lagarde and BoE Bailey for pushback against the inflation narrative after weak US PCE, while Kashkari and Waller frame Fed reaction; a hawkish ECB-BoE combo keeps EUR/GBP bid and DXY heavy into US claims.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Friday, 02 Oct 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 01:30 🇯🇵 Tokyo Core CPI y/y
🟡 11:00 🇪🇺 Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y
🟡 11:00 🇪🇺 CPI Flash Estimate y/y
🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings m/m
🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Non-Farm Employment Change
🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate
📰 Macro news
• Tokyo CPI preview: core inflation seen jumping to 2.4% as BOJ weighs its next hike — ForexLive
• Top Fed official signals central bank will keep rates on hold in October — FT Economy
• investingLive European session wrap: Dollar firms as Treasury yields threaten fresh 2002 highs — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬇️ US 10Y: 5.24% (-6bp)
⬇️ DXY: 101.89 (-0.2%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,219 (+0.4%)
⬇️ WTI: $92.3 (-0.7%)
⬆️ VIX: 16.4 (+0.3%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,666 (+0.2%)
🔍 What to watch
Watch US NFP (f: 89K) as the dominant catalyst, with a soft print likely to weaken the dollar and juice gold while a beat keeps the 10Y pressing 2002 highs; Tokyo core CPI jump to 2.4% also keeps BOJ hike bets live.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 01:30 🇯🇵 Tokyo Core CPI y/y
f: 2.4% · p: 1.8%🟡 11:00 🇪🇺 Core CPI Flash Estimate y/y
f: 2.5% · p: 2.4%🟡 11:00 🇪🇺 CPI Flash Estimate y/y
f: 3.7% · p: 3.3%🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Average Hourly Earnings m/m
f: 0.3% · p: 0.3%🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Non-Farm Employment Change
f: 89K · p: 162K🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate
f: 4.1% · p: 4.1%📰 Macro news
• Tokyo CPI preview: core inflation seen jumping to 2.4% as BOJ weighs its next hike — ForexLive
• Top Fed official signals central bank will keep rates on hold in October — FT Economy
• investingLive European session wrap: Dollar firms as Treasury yields threaten fresh 2002 highs — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬇️ US 10Y: 5.24% (-6bp)
⬇️ DXY: 101.89 (-0.2%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,219 (+0.4%)
⬇️ WTI: $92.3 (-0.7%)
⬆️ VIX: 16.4 (+0.3%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,666 (+0.2%)
🔍 What to watch
Watch US NFP (f: 89K) as the dominant catalyst, with a soft print likely to weaken the dollar and juice gold while a beat keeps the 10Y pressing 2002 highs; Tokyo core CPI jump to 2.4% also keeps BOJ hike bets live.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
🗓 Economic Briefing · Saturday, 03 Oct 2026
📰 Macro news
• Tokyo CPI preview: core inflation seen jumping to 2.4% as BOJ weighs its next hike — ForexLive
• Higher Eurozone inflation adds pressure on ECB to tighten again — FT Economy
• Bitcoin slightly up for the week on pared Fed rate hike bets, ’uptober’ hopes — Investing.com
• investingLive European session wrap: Stocks advance as bond yields ease ahead of NFP — ForexLive
• Week ahead: ISM services, Fed minutes and Canadian jobs lead the economic calendar. Be aware. — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.28% (+4bp)
⬇️ DXY: 101.93 (-0.2%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,162 (-1.0%)
⬇️ WTI: $91.1 (-1.9%)
⬇️ VIX: 15.3 (-6.6%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,723 (+0.7%)
🔍 What to watch
Eurozone and Tokyo inflation both accelerating keeps global central banks hawkish into NFP, watch for yields pushing higher and risk assets fading if the print runs hot.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📰 Macro news
• Tokyo CPI preview: core inflation seen jumping to 2.4% as BOJ weighs its next hike — ForexLive
• Higher Eurozone inflation adds pressure on ECB to tighten again — FT Economy
• Bitcoin slightly up for the week on pared Fed rate hike bets, ’uptober’ hopes — Investing.com
• investingLive European session wrap: Stocks advance as bond yields ease ahead of NFP — ForexLive
• Week ahead: ISM services, Fed minutes and Canadian jobs lead the economic calendar. Be aware. — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.28% (+4bp)
⬇️ DXY: 101.93 (-0.2%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,162 (-1.0%)
⬇️ WTI: $91.1 (-1.9%)
⬇️ VIX: 15.3 (-6.6%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,723 (+0.7%)
🔍 What to watch
Eurozone and Tokyo inflation both accelerating keeps global central banks hawkish into NFP, watch for yields pushing higher and risk assets fading if the print runs hot.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
🗓 Economic Briefing · Sunday, 04 Oct 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 11:15 🌍 OPEC-JMMC Meetings
📰 Macro news
• Bitcoin slightly up for the week on pared Fed rate hike bets, ’uptober’ hopes — Investing.com
• Falling wages, soaring energy prices and inflation: It’s beginning to look a lot like the 1970s — MarketWatch
• China launches anti-dumping probe into European chemical exports — FT Economy
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.28% (+4bp)
⬇️ DXY: 101.93 (-0.2%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,162 (-1.0%)
⬇️ WTI: $91.1 (-1.9%)
⬇️ VIX: 15.3 (-6.6%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,723 (+0.7%)
🔍 What to watch
OPEC-JMMC in focus with WTI at $91 after yesterday's drop; watch for supply guidance to either extend the slide or spark a bounce, while soft US jobs keep rate-cut bets and record equities in play.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 11:15 🌍 OPEC-JMMC Meetings
f: — · p: —📰 Macro news
• Bitcoin slightly up for the week on pared Fed rate hike bets, ’uptober’ hopes — Investing.com
• Falling wages, soaring energy prices and inflation: It’s beginning to look a lot like the 1970s — MarketWatch
• China launches anti-dumping probe into European chemical exports — FT Economy
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.28% (+4bp)
⬇️ DXY: 101.93 (-0.2%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,162 (-1.0%)
⬇️ WTI: $91.1 (-1.9%)
⬇️ VIX: 15.3 (-6.6%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,723 (+0.7%)
🔍 What to watch
OPEC-JMMC in focus with WTI at $91 after yesterday's drop; watch for supply guidance to either extend the slide or spark a bounce, while soft US jobs keep rate-cut bets and record equities in play.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
🗓 Economic Briefing · Monday, 05 Oct 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 ISM Services PMI
📰 Macro news
• investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Dollar firms, oil edges lower — ForexLive
• Bond yields remain the market’s pressure point even after soft US jobs report — ForexLive
• Japan services PMI eases to 51.3 as hiring picks up and price pressures stay intense — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.28% (+4bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.28 (+0.3%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,178 (+0.4%)
⬇️ WTI: $89.9 (-1.3%)
⬇️ VIX: 15.3 (-6.6%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,723 (+0.7%)
🔍 What to watch
ISM Services PMI is the key test after soft jobs failed to cool rising yields; watch for a beat above 55 to extend DXY strength and pressure gold, while a miss revives bond rally hopes.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 ISM Services PMI
f: 55.1 · p: 55.4📰 Macro news
• investingLive Asia-Pacific market news: Dollar firms, oil edges lower — ForexLive
• Bond yields remain the market’s pressure point even after soft US jobs report — ForexLive
• Japan services PMI eases to 51.3 as hiring picks up and price pressures stay intense — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.28% (+4bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.28 (+0.3%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,178 (+0.4%)
⬇️ WTI: $89.9 (-1.3%)
⬇️ VIX: 15.3 (-6.6%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,723 (+0.7%)
🔍 What to watch
ISM Services PMI is the key test after soft jobs failed to cool rising yields; watch for a beat above 55 to extend DXY strength and pressure gold, while a miss revives bond rally hopes.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
🗓 Economic Briefing · Tuesday, 06 Oct 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🔴 08:35 🇯🇵 BOJ Gov Ueda Speaks
🟡 16:00 🇨🇦 Ivey PMI
📰 Macro news
• Chalmers warns rising global bond yields will pressure Australia's federal budget — ForexLive
• French central bank head warns country at risk of being ‘strangled by interest rates’ — FT Economy
• FirstFT: French central bank chief warns on rising rates — FT Economy
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.31% (+3bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.25 (+0.1%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,155 (-0.0%)
⬇️ WTI: $88.7 (-0.8%)
⬆️ VIX: 15.5 (+1.4%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,774 (+0.7%)
🔍 What to watch
With US 10Y at 5.31% and global bond yields driving budget warnings from France to Australia, watch Ueda's BOJ comments and CAD Ivey PMI for any yield-driven JPY or CAD volatility as QT pause calls grow.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🔴 08:35 🇯🇵 BOJ Gov Ueda Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 16:00 🇨🇦 Ivey PMI
f: 65.2 · p: 64.3📰 Macro news
• Chalmers warns rising global bond yields will pressure Australia's federal budget — ForexLive
• French central bank head warns country at risk of being ‘strangled by interest rates’ — FT Economy
• FirstFT: French central bank chief warns on rising rates — FT Economy
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.31% (+3bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.25 (+0.1%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,155 (-0.0%)
⬇️ WTI: $88.7 (-0.8%)
⬆️ VIX: 15.5 (+1.4%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,774 (+0.7%)
🔍 What to watch
With US 10Y at 5.31% and global bond yields driving budget warnings from France to Australia, watch Ueda's BOJ comments and CAD Ivey PMI for any yield-driven JPY or CAD volatility as QT pause calls grow.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Wednesday, 07 Oct 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 19:00 🇺🇸 President Trump Speaks
🔴 20:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting Minutes
📰 Macro news
• Economic data spotlight: US jobless claims to test whether weak payrolls are turning into layoffs — ForexLive
• Chalmers warns rising global bond yields will pressure Australia's federal budget — ForexLive
• investingLive European news wrap: Risk sentiment improves as oil falls and bonds rise — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬇️ US 10Y: 5.27% (-4bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.12 (+0.3%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,160 (-0.7%)
⬆️ WTI: $90.3 (+0.9%)
⬇️ VIX: 15.0 (-3.3%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,819 (+0.6%)
🔍 What to watch
FOMC minutes plus Trump speak into a market already pricing weak payrolls turning into layoffs; watch jobless claims follow-through and whether the 10Y holds below 5.30% to keep risk bid.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 19:00 🇺🇸 President Trump Speaks
f: — · p: —🔴 20:00 🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting Minutes
f: — · p: —📰 Macro news
• Economic data spotlight: US jobless claims to test whether weak payrolls are turning into layoffs — ForexLive
• Chalmers warns rising global bond yields will pressure Australia's federal budget — ForexLive
• investingLive European news wrap: Risk sentiment improves as oil falls and bonds rise — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬇️ US 10Y: 5.27% (-4bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.12 (+0.3%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,160 (-0.7%)
⬆️ WTI: $90.3 (+0.9%)
⬇️ VIX: 15.0 (-3.3%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,819 (+0.6%)
🔍 What to watch
FOMC minutes plus Trump speak into a market already pricing weak payrolls turning into layoffs; watch jobless claims follow-through and whether the 10Y holds below 5.30% to keep risk bid.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Thursday, 08 Oct 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 10:30 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Waller Speaks
🔴 14:15 🇬🇧 BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
🟡 14:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims
📰 Macro news
• French central bank chief says ECB intervention not needed to ease bond rout — FT Economy
• Fed’s minutes show no appetite for a series of interest-rate hikes — MarketWatch
• New York Fed inflation expectations: One year inflation expectations hit the highest since 2023 — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.28% (+1bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.29 (+0.0%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,142 (+0.0%)
⬆️ WTI: $90.5 (+2.5%)
⬆️ VIX: 15.1 (+0.5%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,802 (-0.2%)
🔍 What to watch
Watching jobless claims near 200K and Waller for any pushback on the Fed's no-hike stance, with hot NY Fed inflation expectations and a 5.28% 10Y keeping the hawkish tail risk alive.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 10:30 🇺🇸 FOMC Member Waller Speaks
f: — · p: —🔴 14:15 🇬🇧 BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 14:30 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims
f: 200K · p: 197K📰 Macro news
• French central bank chief says ECB intervention not needed to ease bond rout — FT Economy
• Fed’s minutes show no appetite for a series of interest-rate hikes — MarketWatch
• New York Fed inflation expectations: One year inflation expectations hit the highest since 2023 — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.28% (+1bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.29 (+0.0%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,142 (+0.0%)
⬆️ WTI: $90.5 (+2.5%)
⬆️ VIX: 15.1 (+0.5%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,802 (-0.2%)
🔍 What to watch
Watching jobless claims near 200K and Waller for any pushback on the Fed's no-hike stance, with hot NY Fed inflation expectations and a 5.28% 10Y keeping the hawkish tail risk alive.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Friday, 09 Oct 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🔴 14:30 🇨🇦 Employment Change
🔴 14:30 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate
🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
📰 Macro news
• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 tracker 3.6% vs 3.7% prior — ForexLive
• Šefčovič goes to Beijing with a final plea to avoid an EU-China trade war — FT Economy
• Bitcoin falls to $83k amid pressure from Fed minutes, oil prices, and yields — Investing.com
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬇️ US 10Y: 5.23% (-5bp)
⬇️ DXY: 102.03 (-0.1%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,218 (+1.5%)
⬇️ WTI: $90.6 (-1.0%)
⬆️ VIX: 15.4 (+2.2%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,765 (-0.5%)
🔍 What to watch
Watch US Michigan inflation expectations as the key macro catalyst; a hot print above 4.6% pressures risk and lifts yields, while CAD jobs at 6.1K with unemployment ticking to 6.5% keeps USDCAD bid on a miss.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🔴 14:30 🇨🇦 Employment Change
f: 6.1K · p: -41.7K🔴 14:30 🇨🇦 Unemployment Rate
f: 6.5% · p: 6.4%🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
f: 47.5 · p: 47.8🟡 16:00 🇺🇸 Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
f: — · p: 4.6%📰 Macro news
• Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q3 tracker 3.6% vs 3.7% prior — ForexLive
• Šefčovič goes to Beijing with a final plea to avoid an EU-China trade war — FT Economy
• Bitcoin falls to $83k amid pressure from Fed minutes, oil prices, and yields — Investing.com
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬇️ US 10Y: 5.23% (-5bp)
⬇️ DXY: 102.03 (-0.1%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,218 (+1.5%)
⬇️ WTI: $90.6 (-1.0%)
⬆️ VIX: 15.4 (+2.2%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,765 (-0.5%)
🔍 What to watch
Watch US Michigan inflation expectations as the key macro catalyst; a hot print above 4.6% pressures risk and lifts yields, while CAD jobs at 6.1K with unemployment ticking to 6.5% keeps USDCAD bid on a miss.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Saturday, 10 Oct 2026
📰 Macro news
• Week ahead: US inflation and retail sales lead a busy economic calendar. Be aware. — ForexLive
• Bessent hires former Fed board nominee and investingLive reader, Judy Shelton as adviser — ForexLive
• investingLive Americas FX news wrap 9 Oct: It’s a Wrap: Stocks rebound despite weak sentiment; Canadian dollar falls on jobs miss — ForexLive
• investingLive European session wrap: Stocks rebound as bond market nerves ease, for now — ForexLive
• How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events? — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.24% (+1bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.21 (+0.1%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,216 (+1.4%)
⬆️ WTI: $91.8 (+0.4%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.8 (-3.7%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,812 (+0.6%)
🔍 What to watch
Quiet calendar leaves focus on next week's US CPI and retail sales, with Bessent's Shelton hire stoking Fed-dovish speculation; watch gold above $4,200 and DXY holding 102 as bond nerves simmer.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📰 Macro news
• Week ahead: US inflation and retail sales lead a busy economic calendar. Be aware. — ForexLive
• Bessent hires former Fed board nominee and investingLive reader, Judy Shelton as adviser — ForexLive
• investingLive Americas FX news wrap 9 Oct: It’s a Wrap: Stocks rebound despite weak sentiment; Canadian dollar falls on jobs miss — ForexLive
• investingLive European session wrap: Stocks rebound as bond market nerves ease, for now — ForexLive
• How have interest rate expectations changed after this week's events? — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.24% (+1bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.21 (+0.1%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,216 (+1.4%)
⬆️ WTI: $91.8 (+0.4%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.8 (-3.7%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,812 (+0.6%)
🔍 What to watch
Quiet calendar leaves focus on next week's US CPI and retail sales, with Bessent's Shelton hire stoking Fed-dovish speculation; watch gold above $4,200 and DXY holding 102 as bond nerves simmer.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Sunday, 11 Oct 2026
📰 Macro news
• Week ahead: US inflation and retail sales lead a busy economic calendar. Be aware. — ForexLive
• Should I put my nest egg in a 30-year Treasury bond? — MarketWatch
• Rising interest rates: The good, the bad and the ugly for retirees — MarketWatch
• Bitcoin rebounds above $83,000 after weekly slide as oil, yields and security fear — Investing.com
• investingLive Americas FX news wrap 9 Oct: It’s a Wrap: Stocks rebound despite weak sentiment; Canadian dollar falls on jobs miss — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.24% (+1bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.21 (+0.1%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,216 (+1.4%)
⬆️ WTI: $91.8 (+0.4%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.8 (-3.7%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,812 (+0.6%)
🔍 What to watch
Quiet calendar leaves markets pre-positioning for this week's US CPI and retail sales, with gold above $4,200 and 10Y at 5.24% signaling inflation-risk premium; watch for a hot print to extend the yield-driven dollar bid.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📰 Macro news
• Week ahead: US inflation and retail sales lead a busy economic calendar. Be aware. — ForexLive
• Should I put my nest egg in a 30-year Treasury bond? — MarketWatch
• Rising interest rates: The good, the bad and the ugly for retirees — MarketWatch
• Bitcoin rebounds above $83,000 after weekly slide as oil, yields and security fear — Investing.com
• investingLive Americas FX news wrap 9 Oct: It’s a Wrap: Stocks rebound despite weak sentiment; Canadian dollar falls on jobs miss — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.24% (+1bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.21 (+0.1%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,216 (+1.4%)
⬆️ WTI: $91.8 (+0.4%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.8 (-3.7%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,812 (+0.6%)
🔍 What to watch
Quiet calendar leaves markets pre-positioning for this week's US CPI and retail sales, with gold above $4,200 and 10Y at 5.24% signaling inflation-risk premium; watch for a hot print to extend the yield-driven dollar bid.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Monday, 12 Oct 2026
📰 Macro news
• MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike — ForexLive
• Will September inflation cement US interest rate policy for the rest of the year? — FT Economy
• IMF and World Bank to warn central bankers of a gathering storm — FT Economy
• Preview: RBA minutes and jobs data headline Australia’s week ahead, with unemployment seen at 4.6% — ForexLive
• Europe can fight the ‘China shock’ — FT Economy
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.24% (+1bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.21 (+0.0%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,207 (-0.2%)
⬇️ WTI: $91.1 (-0.8%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.8 (-3.7%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,812 (+0.6%)
🔍 What to watch
All eyes on tomorrow's US CPI (seen 3.6%) as the last hurdle for a Fed October hike, with a hot core likely spiking yields and the dollar while a soft print extends the risk rally.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📰 Macro news
• MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike — ForexLive
• Will September inflation cement US interest rate policy for the rest of the year? — FT Economy
• IMF and World Bank to warn central bankers of a gathering storm — FT Economy
• Preview: RBA minutes and jobs data headline Australia’s week ahead, with unemployment seen at 4.6% — ForexLive
• Europe can fight the ‘China shock’ — FT Economy
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬆️ US 10Y: 5.24% (+1bp)
⬆️ DXY: 102.21 (+0.0%)
⬇️ Gold: $4,207 (-0.2%)
⬇️ WTI: $91.1 (-0.8%)
⬇️ VIX: 14.8 (-3.7%)
⬆️ S&P 500: 7,812 (+0.6%)
🔍 What to watch
All eyes on tomorrow's US CPI (seen 3.6%) as the last hurdle for a Fed October hike, with a hot core likely spiking yields and the dollar while a soft print extends the risk rally.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Tuesday, 13 Oct 2026
📰 Macro news
• investingLive European session wrap: Oil rebounds, dollar firms as US bond market holiday keeps traders cautious — ForexLive
• Japan wholesale inflation misses at 6.8% but stays high enough to keep BOJ hike alive — ForexLive
• Australian business confidence slides to -13 as oil shock and rate hikes bite, NAB says — ForexLive
• MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike — ForexLive
• Germany September final CPI +3.3% vs +3.3% y/y prelim — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬇️ US 10Y: 5.24% (+0bp)
⬇️ DXY: 102.41 (-0.2%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,213 (+0.5%)
⬇️ WTI: $92.6 (-1.2%)
⬆️ VIX: 15.2 (+2.5%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,807 (-0.1%)
🔍 What to watch
With no calendar and a US bond holiday, watch oil's rebound and firm dollar as Japan's hot wholesale inflation keeps BOJ hike odds alive while all eyes pre-position for tomorrow's 3.6% CPI print.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📰 Macro news
• investingLive European session wrap: Oil rebounds, dollar firms as US bond market holiday keeps traders cautious — ForexLive
• Japan wholesale inflation misses at 6.8% but stays high enough to keep BOJ hike alive — ForexLive
• Australian business confidence slides to -13 as oil shock and rate hikes bite, NAB says — ForexLive
• MUFG: US CPI seen at 3.6%, core must surprise to revive an October Fed hike — ForexLive
• Germany September final CPI +3.3% vs +3.3% y/y prelim — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬇️ US 10Y: 5.24% (+0bp)
⬇️ DXY: 102.41 (-0.2%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,213 (+0.5%)
⬇️ WTI: $92.6 (-1.2%)
⬆️ VIX: 15.2 (+2.5%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,807 (-0.1%)
🔍 What to watch
With no calendar and a US bond holiday, watch oil's rebound and firm dollar as Japan's hot wholesale inflation keeps BOJ hike odds alive while all eyes pre-position for tomorrow's 3.6% CPI print.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
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🗓 Economic Briefing · Wednesday, 14 Oct 2026
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 04:10 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks
🟡 07:30 🇬🇧 BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
🟡 08:05 🇨🇦 BOC Gov Macklem Speaks
🟡 10:30 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks
🟡 12:15 🇪🇺 EU Economic Summit
🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Core CPI m/m
🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Core CPI y/y
🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 CPI m/m
📰 Macro news
• Economic data spotlight: Will the US CPI report change the Fed's rate hike plans? — ForexLive
• China factory inflation hits 5%, fastest in over four years, as CPI lags at 0.9% — ForexLive
• investingLive Americas FX news wrap 13 Oct: Dollar retreats as traders await CPI; oil rises and stocks slip — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬇️ US 10Y: 5.22% (-2bp)
⬇️ DXY: 102.12 (-0.1%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,181 (+0.1%)
⬆️ WTI: $94.6 (+0.5%)
⬆️ VIX: 15.3 (+0.4%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,805 (-0.0%)
🔍 What to watch
US Core CPI is the day's dominant catalyst, with a 0.2% print likely cementing Fed cuts and pressuring the dollar, while a 0.3% upside surprise would revive hike risk; watch DXY 102 and gold 4,180 for the reaction.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex
📊 Today's calendar (Rome time)
🟡 04:10 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 07:30 🇬🇧 BOE Gov Bailey Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 08:05 🇨🇦 BOC Gov Macklem Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 10:30 🇪🇺 ECB President Lagarde Speaks
f: — · p: —🟡 12:15 🇪🇺 EU Economic Summit
f: — · p: —🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Core CPI m/m
f: 0.2% · p: 0.3%🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 Core CPI y/y
f: 2.5% · p: 2.4%🔴 14:30 🇺🇸 CPI m/m
f: 0.6% · p: 0.4%📰 Macro news
• Economic data spotlight: Will the US CPI report change the Fed's rate hike plans? — ForexLive
• China factory inflation hits 5%, fastest in over four years, as CPI lags at 0.9% — ForexLive
• investingLive Americas FX news wrap 13 Oct: Dollar retreats as traders await CPI; oil rises and stocks slip — ForexLive
📈 Yesterday's market snapshot
⬇️ US 10Y: 5.22% (-2bp)
⬇️ DXY: 102.12 (-0.1%)
⬆️ Gold: $4,181 (+0.1%)
⬆️ WTI: $94.6 (+0.5%)
⬆️ VIX: 15.3 (+0.4%)
⬇️ S&P 500: 7,805 (-0.0%)
🔍 What to watch
US Core CPI is the day's dominant catalyst, with a 0.2% print likely cementing Fed cuts and pressuring the dollar, while a 0.3% upside surprise would revive hike risk; watch DXY 102 and gold 4,180 for the reaction.
#macro #economy #calendar #news #markets #forex