Wishing everyone a Merry Christmas and a great holiday period, whether you celebrate or not.
Big thanks to everyone who follows, supports, and engages with my content, especially over the past year.
It might not have been the exact bull run many hoped for, but we still hit many solid, profitable trades while keeping losses controlled which is what actually matters.
Next year the focus stays the same: constant refinement, heavy risk management, disciplined execution, and a steadily profitable equity curve.
Dub 🎄
Big thanks to everyone who follows, supports, and engages with my content, especially over the past year.
It might not have been the exact bull run many hoped for, but we still hit many solid, profitable trades while keeping losses controlled which is what actually matters.
Next year the focus stays the same: constant refinement, heavy risk management, disciplined execution, and a steadily profitable equity curve.
Dub 🎄
5❤16👍2🫡2
Forwarded from Lighter Announcements
New Spot Listing: $LIT
The Lighter Infrastructure Token is now tradable only on Lighter. A huge thank you to everyone who’s been part of this community from day one. Today, 25% of the $LIT supply was airdropped to points holders — this is currently the only tradable supply of $LIT.
The Lighter Infrastructure Token is now tradable only on Lighter. A huge thank you to everyone who’s been part of this community from day one. Today, 25% of the $LIT supply was airdropped to points holders — this is currently the only tradable supply of $LIT.
❤7
Lighter Announcements
New Spot Listing: $LIT The Lighter Infrastructure Token is now tradable only on Lighter. A huge thank you to everyone who’s been part of this community from day one. Today, 25% of the $LIT supply was airdropped to points holders — this is currently the only…
Big congrats to the small group who actually acted on the Lighter opportunity when I shared it back in May.
I’ve had a bunch of DMs come through from people who received airdrops ranging from ~$7k to $25k USD.
No big capital needed. We had early access. All it took was reading the post, creating the account, and trading normally even at small size.
Got a solid end-of-year gift myself too.
Onto the next one.
Congrats 🤝
I’ve had a bunch of DMs come through from people who received airdrops ranging from ~$7k to $25k USD.
No big capital needed. We had early access. All it took was reading the post, creating the account, and trading normally even at small size.
Got a solid end-of-year gift myself too.
Onto the next one.
Congrats 🤝
❤14🫡1
We’re past Christmas and heading into a fresh trading year, 2026.
Since the major retrace and sweep below 80.5k, price has done exactly what was outlined in prior updates. Range-bound, choppy, and corrective. We’re now seven weeks into sideways price action.
If you stepped back from the charts like I did for a bit, you haven’t missed much. Hopefully that time away did what it was meant to and recharged you.
The current compression won’t last forever. We’re inching closer to some kind of expansion and more decisive price action.
As the new year begins, I’ll lay out my full market view, including the major pivot I’m eyeing as the next primary high-timeframe trade setup.
Dub -
Since the major retrace and sweep below 80.5k, price has done exactly what was outlined in prior updates. Range-bound, choppy, and corrective. We’re now seven weeks into sideways price action.
If you stepped back from the charts like I did for a bit, you haven’t missed much. Hopefully that time away did what it was meant to and recharged you.
The current compression won’t last forever. We’re inching closer to some kind of expansion and more decisive price action.
As the new year begins, I’ll lay out my full market view, including the major pivot I’m eyeing as the next primary high-timeframe trade setup.
Dub -
👍8❤7🫡3
Happy New Year to you all.
2025 was a great year if you did the basics right. Simple plan. Consistent execution. Took profits. Didn’t buy into moon-boy narratives. Didn’t marry bags.
2026 is about capitalising on that even harder.
Price will move up and down. We trade both sides.
Get ready for a killer year ahead.
2025 was a great year if you did the basics right. Simple plan. Consistent execution. Took profits. Didn’t buy into moon-boy narratives. Didn’t marry bags.
2026 is about capitalising on that even harder.
Price will move up and down. We trade both sides.
Get ready for a killer year ahead.
❤11🫡7🔥2
Fresh BTC & market higher-timeframe update dropping asap.
Zooming out. Mapping the next major moves.
Watch this space.
Dub -
Zooming out. Mapping the next major moves.
Watch this space.
Dub -
❤8👀4
BTC Market Update | First of 2026
First update of 2026 and the structure remains very clear.
We continue to trade range extremes inside what is now a 7-week composite value area. The first trading week of the year brought fresh buy volume, rotating price cleanly from POC → VAH, where we’re currently trading.
A range is a range until proven otherwise.
The plan stays the same: fade extremes until we see acceptance outside of value.
That said, there is one higher-timeframe shift worth paying attention to.
For the first time in months, weekly oscillators on BTC and alts have flipped up from extreme lows. This doesn’t happen often and historically tends to lead to multi-week bounces. At a minimum, it can limit immediate downside and result in extended ranges. If this plays out, it likely unfolds over the next 1–2 months, after which I expect a macro lower high before broader trend continuation.
Liquidity still sits both above and below the range, though price appears to have frontrun any immediate sweep of the lows.
Lastly, CPI is mid-month again (Jan 13). Over the past six months, this period has frequently marked local pivots. If we push higher into CPI, I’ll be watching closely for pivot-style shorts around that time rather than chasing strength.
TLDR
• 7-week composite value, currently trading at VAH
• Plan unchanged: fade extremes until acceptance outside of value
• Weekly oscillators flipped up from extremes for first time in months → bounce potential over coming weeks
• CPI Jan 13 → watching for a mid-month pivot opportunity
Dub
First update of 2026 and the structure remains very clear.
We continue to trade range extremes inside what is now a 7-week composite value area. The first trading week of the year brought fresh buy volume, rotating price cleanly from POC → VAH, where we’re currently trading.
A range is a range until proven otherwise.
The plan stays the same: fade extremes until we see acceptance outside of value.
That said, there is one higher-timeframe shift worth paying attention to.
For the first time in months, weekly oscillators on BTC and alts have flipped up from extreme lows. This doesn’t happen often and historically tends to lead to multi-week bounces. At a minimum, it can limit immediate downside and result in extended ranges. If this plays out, it likely unfolds over the next 1–2 months, after which I expect a macro lower high before broader trend continuation.
Liquidity still sits both above and below the range, though price appears to have frontrun any immediate sweep of the lows.
Lastly, CPI is mid-month again (Jan 13). Over the past six months, this period has frequently marked local pivots. If we push higher into CPI, I’ll be watching closely for pivot-style shorts around that time rather than chasing strength.
TLDR
• 7-week composite value, currently trading at VAH
• Plan unchanged: fade extremes until acceptance outside of value
• Weekly oscillators flipped up from extremes for first time in months → bounce potential over coming weeks
• CPI Jan 13 → watching for a mid-month pivot opportunity
Dub
🫡6❤5
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❤3
Dub Public
BTC Market Update | First of 2026 First update of 2026 and the structure remains very clear. We continue to trade range extremes inside what is now a 7-week composite value area. The first trading week of the year brought fresh buy volume, rotating price…
BTC Update
The 7-week composite value range continues to do exactly what it’s supposed to do.
As outlined earlier this week, this remains a range until proven otherwise. That means fading value extremes, not chasing narratives.
Price pushed into external range liquidity. Once that liquidity was taken and weakness appeared at the highs, shorts were entered. Clean reaction.
The CME gap highlighted earlier in the week is now fully closed. Decent profits already taken on shorts.
Remainder is held with stops in place. From here, if bulls can step in, I’ll watch for a potential bounce back toward VAH.
If not, downside references remain:
• Previous month VWAP ~89k
• Range POC ~87.8k
• Range VAL ~86.65k
Until we see acceptance outside of value, keep playing the easy range.
Full higher-timeframe update before the next trading week begins.
The 7-week composite value range continues to do exactly what it’s supposed to do.
As outlined earlier this week, this remains a range until proven otherwise. That means fading value extremes, not chasing narratives.
Price pushed into external range liquidity. Once that liquidity was taken and weakness appeared at the highs, shorts were entered. Clean reaction.
The CME gap highlighted earlier in the week is now fully closed. Decent profits already taken on shorts.
Remainder is held with stops in place. From here, if bulls can step in, I’ll watch for a potential bounce back toward VAH.
If not, downside references remain:
• Previous month VWAP ~89k
• Range POC ~87.8k
• Range VAL ~86.65k
Until we see acceptance outside of value, keep playing the easy range.
Full higher-timeframe update before the next trading week begins.
1👍9❤3
Dub Public
BTC Update The 7-week composite value range continues to do exactly what it’s supposed to do. As outlined earlier this week, this remains a range until proven otherwise. That means fading value extremes, not chasing narratives. Price pushed into external…
Quick correction. I didn’t actually mention the CME gap in the early-week post. Either way, it’s now filled.
Also worth saying this once. If any of the terminology or language in my updates isn’t clear, just copy the analysis, paste it into ChatGPT, and ask it to translate it into very simple terms. It’ll break it down instantly.
Hope you’re all printing to start the new year strong.
Dub
Also worth saying this once. If any of the terminology or language in my updates isn’t clear, just copy the analysis, paste it into ChatGPT, and ask it to translate it into very simple terms. It’ll break it down instantly.
Hope you’re all printing to start the new year strong.
Dub
❤8👍5
As we head into a new trading week, here’s a snapshot of the key events ahead.
This one should be interesting.
CPI hits mid-month again, which has repeatedly aligned with BTC inflection points. I’m watching closely to see if we get another local pivot.
I’ll aim to publish a full BTC structure update before Monday’s NY session.
Dub
This one should be interesting.
CPI hits mid-month again, which has repeatedly aligned with BTC inflection points. I’m watching closely to see if we get another local pivot.
I’ll aim to publish a full BTC structure update before Monday’s NY session.
Dub
🫡6🏆4
BTC Weekly Update
BTC remains inside an 8-week composite value area. A range is a range until we see acceptance outside it.
Last week delivered the textbook trade: a sweep of range highs followed by a failed breakout, giving a clean 5 percent short back into value.
We are now trading back inside value. The Sunday CME open bounce was rejected directly at VAH. In a balanced market, failure at range highs typically leads to rotation toward the lower half unless bulls regain control.
The key trigger for continuation lower is acceptance below AVWAP, which aligns with the 30-day rolling VWAP around 89k. Acceptance below that opens rotation toward POC ~87.88k and VAL ~86.76k, where I would look for longs again unless we see acceptance below VAL.
On the flip side, acceptance above the 8-week composite VAH (~92.2k) opens the door to last week’s high and then 96k+.
Until one of those two conditions is met, this remains a rotational market.
I am not day trading this. The highest expectancy trades in this environment are fading range extremes and letting the rotation do the work.
Key levels are on the chart. Trade the range until it breaks.
Dub
BTC remains inside an 8-week composite value area. A range is a range until we see acceptance outside it.
Last week delivered the textbook trade: a sweep of range highs followed by a failed breakout, giving a clean 5 percent short back into value.
We are now trading back inside value. The Sunday CME open bounce was rejected directly at VAH. In a balanced market, failure at range highs typically leads to rotation toward the lower half unless bulls regain control.
The key trigger for continuation lower is acceptance below AVWAP, which aligns with the 30-day rolling VWAP around 89k. Acceptance below that opens rotation toward POC ~87.88k and VAL ~86.76k, where I would look for longs again unless we see acceptance below VAL.
On the flip side, acceptance above the 8-week composite VAH (~92.2k) opens the door to last week’s high and then 96k+.
Until one of those two conditions is met, this remains a rotational market.
I am not day trading this. The highest expectancy trades in this environment are fading range extremes and letting the rotation do the work.
Key levels are on the chart. Trade the range until it breaks.
Dub
❤5🔥4
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❤4
BTC update coming shortly.
One of the conditions from the last update has been met. We’ve broken out of and are now trading above the 8-week value area.
Continuation higher depends on holding acceptance above it.
Dub
One of the conditions from the last update has been met. We’ve broken out of and are now trading above the 8-week value area.
Continuation higher depends on holding acceptance above it.
Dub
👍7❤3🫡1
BTC Update
We’ve finally broken out of the 8-week value area that BTC had been range trading in since November.
In Monday’s pre-week update, I noted that acceptance above value opened targets at last week’s high and then the 96k+ liquidity zone. That played out quickly, driven by spot demand, with price pushing to just shy of 98k.
Since then, BTC has pulled back a few percent from the highs and found interim support around 95k. This level lines up with last week’s high as well as the November and 90-day rolling VWAP. Holding above this area keeps the current trend intact and positions BTC well for a continuation toward 100k.
Failure to hold 95k opens the door to a deeper retrace. There are single prints below, with the former 8-week VAH around 92k acting as the final line in the sand for bullish continuation in my view. Acceptance back inside the prior 8-week value range would likely lead to a much broader move lower.
Dub
We’ve finally broken out of the 8-week value area that BTC had been range trading in since November.
In Monday’s pre-week update, I noted that acceptance above value opened targets at last week’s high and then the 96k+ liquidity zone. That played out quickly, driven by spot demand, with price pushing to just shy of 98k.
Since then, BTC has pulled back a few percent from the highs and found interim support around 95k. This level lines up with last week’s high as well as the November and 90-day rolling VWAP. Holding above this area keeps the current trend intact and positions BTC well for a continuation toward 100k.
Failure to hold 95k opens the door to a deeper retrace. There are single prints below, with the former 8-week VAH around 92k acting as the final line in the sand for bullish continuation in my view. Acceptance back inside the prior 8-week value range would likely lead to a much broader move lower.
Dub
👍6❤5🫡1
Dub Public
BTC Update We’ve finally broken out of the 8-week value area that BTC had been range trading in since November. In Monday’s pre-week update, I noted that acceptance above value opened targets at last week’s high and then the 96k+ liquidity zone. That played…
If you read and get value from my market analysis and insights here or on X, while it’s all shared completely free, it does take time to produce.
All I ask is that you engage with the posts. A quick emoji or interaction goes a long way.
Appreciate it.
Dub
All I ask is that you engage with the posts. A quick emoji or interaction goes a long way.
Appreciate it.
Dub
2🫡12👍10❤2🤗2🔥1