The Lookout (Twitter)

RT @sovietologist: Folks are asking about the electromagnetic pulse (EMP) effects from the battlefield use of nuclear weapons. TL;DR-if you're close enough to a near-surface nuclear burst to worry about its EMP, you're probably going to be killed by something else--but there are exceptions 1/24

Def Mon (Twitter)

Update 🧵November 9th

This presentation is brought to you by the employee of the month and Dr. Evil look-a-like: General Sergei Surovikin.

Visit interactive map for more details and explanations:
http://scribblemaps.com/maps/view/Operational%20Map%20Ukraine/nBT8ffpeGH

Def Mon (Twitter)

Speaking of a month, that is about the time Surovikin has left in his office before he starts at a new job as a winddown inspector.

I'll get this ball(d) rolling early for obvious reasons.

Def Mon (Twitter)

The Russians army (lol) announced the retreat from the right bank of the Dnipro in the Kherson region.

Based on this I changed about 4600km2 to contested. The timeframe at which this withdrawal will happen is for me unknown.
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@wartranslated:
Moment Surovikin and Shoygu admit defeat in the Kherson direction and announce the withdrawal of troops. https://t.co/10UZgVuIcm

Def Mon (Twitter)

There has been plenty of sings and rumors along the way. I have been skeptical about the rumors about Russian withdraw since there have been a lot of conflicting information.

Def Mon (Twitter)

I'll do the normal update in a few hours.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

If Russia can withdraw its units without heavy losses, it will likely be in a stronger position to hold its existing front lines because it can move these reverses around more easily to hold the Donbas and Zaporizhzhia. That is why how the withdrawal is conducted is critical. 7/

Def Mon (Twitter)

Throwing in some old stuff that could be interesting today.
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@DefMon3:
One reason the Russians are trying so hard in the Pavlivka area might be the damage on the Kerch bridge. They might be trying to create buffer and establish a Melitopol <-> Donetsk railway connection. https://t.co/DS1MUrA3eG

Def Mon (Twitter)

I just love #movember
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@DefMon3:
Kherson
The Russian intentions are not clear, but I'm starting to lean towards them actually retreating, unclear timeframe.
If they do, this 70km range indicator shows what kind of squeeze they would be in, possibly another reason for the Pavlivka attacks. https://t.co/5KMWKvbzT6

Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (Twitter)

Feel free to use. @mod_russia @mfa_russia
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@bayraktar_1love:
In light of recent partial destruction of Kherson bridge. I decided to fool around a bit and wrote some excuses which may be used by Russian officials in case of retreat from Kherson direction. https://t.co/EvRbpGbOTX

Def Mon (Twitter)

@Deavy @GeromanAT Time will tell.