Def Mon (Twitter)
RT @Tatarigami_UA: When I talk about the war and write “both sides in a war can lose,” it often generates confusion. Many assume that war is a zero-sum game - that one side’s loss is inherently the other’s gain. But this isn’t always the case. War is not an end in itself, it is a tool of statecraft, intended to achieve political objectives. When neither party accomplishes its strategic aims, both effectively lose - having expended immense resources and, more critically, human capital, without achieving their desired outcomes. In such cases, both sides may find themselves in a worse position than they were before the war began.
The Iran-Iraq War is a decent and recent historical example. After nearly a decade of fighting, both countries suffered serious human and economic losses, only to return to roughly the same territorial status quo - diminished and destabilized.
In the context of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Ukraine’s fundamental objective is to preserve its independence and maintain control over most of its territory. This, in effect, means denying Russia its core strategic aim.
Russia’s realistic goal, by contrast, may no longer be outright occupation, but rather rendering Ukraine unviable as a functioning state -undermining its economy, depopulating its cities, and precipitating long-term sociopolitical collapse. But achieving this comes at an extraordinary cost for Russia as well. The Russian state itself suffers economic and demographic decline. Even a "successful" outcome in Ukraine could leave Russia so depleted that it enters its own period of internal instability and geopolitical marginalization.
If Ukraine manages to repel Russian advances, why wouldn’t that constitute a victory? Because, as noted, winning a war is not only about holding ground - it’s about what remains afterward. A country left with ruined infrastructure, lost territories, millions of its citizens displaced, and a dramatically aged population with a GDP per capita over twice smaller than Mexico cannot claim a strategic win.
If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention
RT @Tatarigami_UA: When I talk about the war and write “both sides in a war can lose,” it often generates confusion. Many assume that war is a zero-sum game - that one side’s loss is inherently the other’s gain. But this isn’t always the case. War is not an end in itself, it is a tool of statecraft, intended to achieve political objectives. When neither party accomplishes its strategic aims, both effectively lose - having expended immense resources and, more critically, human capital, without achieving their desired outcomes. In such cases, both sides may find themselves in a worse position than they were before the war began.
The Iran-Iraq War is a decent and recent historical example. After nearly a decade of fighting, both countries suffered serious human and economic losses, only to return to roughly the same territorial status quo - diminished and destabilized.
In the context of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Ukraine’s fundamental objective is to preserve its independence and maintain control over most of its territory. This, in effect, means denying Russia its core strategic aim.
Russia’s realistic goal, by contrast, may no longer be outright occupation, but rather rendering Ukraine unviable as a functioning state -undermining its economy, depopulating its cities, and precipitating long-term sociopolitical collapse. But achieving this comes at an extraordinary cost for Russia as well. The Russian state itself suffers economic and demographic decline. Even a "successful" outcome in Ukraine could leave Russia so depleted that it enters its own period of internal instability and geopolitical marginalization.
If Ukraine manages to repel Russian advances, why wouldn’t that constitute a victory? Because, as noted, winning a war is not only about holding ground - it’s about what remains afterward. A country left with ruined infrastructure, lost territories, millions of its citizens displaced, and a dramatically aged population with a GDP per capita over twice smaller than Mexico cannot claim a strategic win.
If you think this has a happy ending, you haven't been paying attention
Def Mon (Twitter)
@keithchandler44: Almost 50k are killed by guns each year in the US. Im not even sure there are any registered deaths by drones. And you choose to be concerned about terrorists with drones?
@keithchandler44: Almost 50k are killed by guns each year in the US. Im not even sure there are any registered deaths by drones. And you choose to be concerned about terrorists with drones?
Dan (Twitter)
@Praesidium_ukr @WillKnowler @front_ukrainian: It started by the host unit releasing film on their TG account today without explaining it was old. To be fare it likely wasn't released b4 in this quality.
Many X accounts then naturally auto-repost it assuming it is current. It looks good and checking its date takes time.
@Praesidium_ukr @WillKnowler @front_ukrainian: It started by the host unit releasing film on their TG account today without explaining it was old. To be fare it likely wasn't released b4 in this quality.
Many X accounts then naturally auto-repost it assuming it is current. It looks good and checking its date takes time.
Def Mon (Twitter)
@johnwdorris @TheWarMonitor: You just told someone to mind their own business on twitter, then complain about someone telling you what to do?
@johnwdorris @TheWarMonitor: You just told someone to mind their own business on twitter, then complain about someone telling you what to do?
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Dan (Twitter)
@banderafella: For info this is not Sumy but Kalinina, north east of Chasiv Yar in June 2024. Location at 48.609553, 37.864178.
The 225th, then an assault battalion, were serving in that area then. t.me/OBiloshytskiy/592
@banderafella: For info this is not Sumy but Kalinina, north east of Chasiv Yar in June 2024. Location at 48.609553, 37.864178.
The 225th, then an assault battalion, were serving in that area then. t.me/OBiloshytskiy/592
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Dan (Twitter)
@Danspiun @Praesidium_ukr @WillKnowler @front_ukrainianReplying to @banderafella: Another example from the day before when Balu Hub put this film out without explaining it was a year old and lots of accounts assumed it was from Sumy. https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1932571961562956211#m
@Danspiun @Praesidium_ukr @WillKnowler @front_ukrainianReplying to @banderafella: Another example from the day before when Balu Hub put this film out without explaining it was a year old and lots of accounts assumed it was from Sumy. https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1932571961562956211#m
Def Mon (Twitter)
RT @OAlexanderDK: All the people who have been schizoposting about FEMA death camps for past 15 years are suddenly cheering at the prospect of violations of the 1878 Posse Comitatus Act. https://twitter.com/ICEgov/status/1932523385663168688#m
RT @OAlexanderDK: All the people who have been schizoposting about FEMA death camps for past 15 years are suddenly cheering at the prospect of violations of the 1878 Posse Comitatus Act. https://twitter.com/ICEgov/status/1932523385663168688#m
Def Mon (Twitter)
@giK1893 @klinger66 @nuri_schnuri @NOELreports @GeoConfirmed: The fire was here.
55.816447425198774, 48.92894370612515
@giK1893 @klinger66 @nuri_schnuri @NOELreports @GeoConfirmed: The fire was here.
55.816447425198774, 48.92894370612515
Def Mon (Twitter)
@DefMon3 @giK1893 @klinger66 @nuri_schnuri @NOELreports @GeoConfirmed: There were 12 fuel tank looking objects there.
@DefMon3 @giK1893 @klinger66 @nuri_schnuri @NOELreports @GeoConfirmed: There were 12 fuel tank looking objects there.
Colby Badhwar 🇨🇦🇬🇧 (Twitter)
@OlsenUAE @thegauguy: When and where was VL MICA used in combat? And name a system comparable to PATRIOT that doesn't have long lead times.
@OlsenUAE @thegauguy: When and where was VL MICA used in combat? And name a system comparable to PATRIOT that doesn't have long lead times.
Colby Badhwar 🇨🇦🇬🇧 (Twitter)
RT @acoyne: My latest: Twenty years late, Canada hits the old NATO target, just in time to fall short of the new one
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-twenty-years-late-canada-hits-the-old-nato-target-just-in-time-to-fall/
RT @acoyne: My latest: Twenty years late, Canada hits the old NATO target, just in time to fall short of the new one
https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-twenty-years-late-canada-hits-the-old-nato-target-just-in-time-to-fall/
The Globe and Mail
Opinion: Twenty years late, Canada hits the old NATO target, just in time to fall short of the new one
Had Carney not announced that Canada would make good on its past pledges, it’s doubtful they would have let him in the door
Status-6 (Twitter)
Ukrainian drones are attacking the Tambov Gunpowder Plant located in the town of Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast of Russia (+350km from Ukraine's border).
The person heard in the second video says that ammunition detonation is underway.
Ukrainian drones are attacking the Tambov Gunpowder Plant located in the town of Kotovsk, Tambov Oblast of Russia (+350km from Ukraine's border).
The person heard in the second video says that ammunition detonation is underway.
Colby Badhwar 🇨🇦🇬🇧 (Twitter)
@Varsevan @NY_LBSS: Any increase is 100% dependent on the reconciliation bill passing, which is far from assured. The Trump Admin has proposed a cut to defense spending in real terms with their base budget request.
@Varsevan @NY_LBSS: Any increase is 100% dependent on the reconciliation bill passing, which is far from assured. The Trump Admin has proposed a cut to defense spending in real terms with their base budget request.