Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

These are estimates based on hundreds of hours of research on all strikes Russia has conducted on Ukraine in the past three years. It is not guessing, as some say.

The estimate is made up of the largest verified missile attacks Russia has done against Ukraine throughout the war, such as the largest Kinzhal strike, the largest Kh-59/69 strike, the largest Onyx strike, etc. These are combined with several other factors to estimate the largest combined strike on Ukraine in one night if Russia were to use all these missile types at once.

They have loaded and deployed around 30 Kalibrs in the Black Sea at this moment. It’s unlikely they will fire every Kalibr deployed in the Black Sea in one night, but they have the capability, too. Keep in mind that the largest missile strike Russia has ever done was 127 missiles in one night.

It involved
77 X-101s
28 Kalibrs
10 Kh-59/69s
6 Iskanders
3 Kinzhals
3 Kh-22s

An estimate of 195 missiles is much larger than their largest single night missile strike, especially when they only had 3 days since Ukraine attacked Russian bombers

If anyone thinks Russia can use every missile they have in one night, or can use 1,000 Kinzhals and unlimited Oreshniks at once, that’s impossible. It’s like claiming Ukraine can use 2000 drones on Russia in one night now. Ukraine may have 2000 long-range drones to fire, but they don’t have the capability to fire all 2000 at once. This is a fact for every country and military on Earth, and has been proven by every Shahed and missile strike Russia has done.

It takes time to increase logistics to launch an increasingly larger number of missiles with each strike, like Russia has been growing its capability to launch more Shaheds at Ukraine over the years.

Russia couldn't launch 300 Shaheds at once at Ukraine 1.5 years ago, even though they likely had more than 300 Shaheds. Increasing the number of missiles and drones that can be fired at once takes a lot of time and logistics, and this estimate is based on that.

GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

@neonhandrail @UAControlMap @giK1893: GeoConfirmed UKR.

Point of view - An Ukrainian drone flies over Bryansk.

53.211146, 34.424693
6C6F+FV4 Bryansk, Bryansk Oblast, Russia

GeoLocated by @neonhandrail

Geolocation: https://twitter.com/neonhandrail/status/1930743824084770919

Location: https://geoconfirmed.org/ukraine/fd4f69ce-7843-4f1b-ad14-08dda4796acc

Sources: https://twitter.com/GeoRaccoon/status/1930772890057617488
(1/2) t.me/supernova_plus/39755 https://twitter.com/GeoRaccoon/status/1930772890057617488#m

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA: We know exactly who to blame for this

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA: Well they got destroyed. Russia has only around 40 Tu-95s and 19 Tu-160s left

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA: Well, they got destroyed. Russia has only around 40 Tu-95s and 19 Tu-160s left. Some haven’t been flown for years and aren’t modernized to launch X-101s.

GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

GeoConfirmed World.

Not war related space debris visible over Astana, Kazakhstan.
Likely the Chinese Zhuque-2E upper stage (2025-103G) which was expected to reenter today. It did pass over Kazachstan around 17:10 UTC which would be ~10 pm local time.

Point of view - 51.164308, 71.441973
5C7R+PQH Astana, Kazakhstan

GeoLocated by @Dmojavensis and @ba_groslav

Geolocation: https://twitter.com/Dmojavensis/status/1930724856360018024
https://twitter.com/ba_groslav/status/1930726543086727230

Location: https://geoconfirmed.org/world/2509fa94-105e-4da8-ad15-08dda4796acc

Sources: https://twitter.com/Dmojavensis/status/1930712581129592853
https://twitter.com/GeoRaccoon/status/1930774159602143322
(1/3)
https://t.me/kris_p_almaty_official/27260 https://twitter.com/Dmojavensis/status/1930712581129592853#m

GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

@Osinttechnical: GeoConfirmed UKR.

Multiple explosions were visible following the impact of Ukrainian drones on the apron of Bryansk Airfield. This apron is known to serve as a staging area for Russian helicopters.

Rough Point of view of all footage below (in the area) - 53.2106712, 34.1850013
656P+726 Tiganovo, Bryansk Oblast, Russia

GeoLocated by @99Dominik_, @Osinttechnical, @moklasen, @auditor_ya, @Grimm_Intel and @GeoRaccoon

Geolocation: https://twitter.com/99Dominik_/status/1930732828141961630
https://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1930733546588504211
https://twitter.com/moklasen/status/1930733258213585146
https://twitter.com/auditor_ya/status/1930733663735500963
https://...

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Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

Ukrainian UAVs 🇺🇦 have struck an oil depot near Engels in Saratov Oblast, located ~640km from the frontline

Dozens of Ukrainian UAVs are above the Ryazan, Saratov, and Volgalad Oblasts

GeoConfirmed (Twitter)

GeoConfirmed UKR.

Multiple impacts in a residential area in Kharkiv. Reportedly with Shaheds.

Point of view - 49.950534, 36.260934
X726+697 Kharkiv, Kharkiv Oblast, Ukraine

GeoLocated by @3_bm15 and @GeoRaccoon

Geolocation: https://twitter.com/3_bm15/status/1930733811349999905
https://twitter.com/GeoRaccoon/status/1930785782802813316

Location: https://geoconfirmed.org/ukraine/e592119c-d9c5-44bf-ad18-08dda4796acc

Sources: https://twitter.com/3_bm15/status/1930733811349999905
t.me/ihor_terekhov/2599 https://twitter.com/3_bm15/status/1930733811349999905#m