IgorGirkin (Twitter)
UAF defense line update https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1926204335320396273#m
UAF defense line update https://twitter.com/GirkinGirkin/status/1926204335320396273#m
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@rvcbrice: There were some UAV strikes in 2022-2023.
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/03/list-of-aircraft-losses-during-2022.html
@rvcbrice: There were some UAV strikes in 2022-2023.
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/03/list-of-aircraft-losses-during-2022.html
Rob Lee (Twitter)
I disagree with this. Ukraine has destroyed or damaged Tu-22M3 and Tu-95MS bombers at Russian airbases before, they have repeatedly targeted airbases with Russian strategic aviation (including the recent strike on Engels), large-scale UAV strikes deep into Russian territory (including in the Moscow region) are now common, Ukraine has damaged or destroyed many Russian oil facilities, Ukraine previously did serious damage to the Kerch bridge, Ukraine has killed generals and other officials in Russia, Ukraine struck the Kremlin with a UAV, Ukraine conducted an offensive into Kursk, the Wagner mutiny, etc.
This war has been very costly for Russia and the costs have increased—including many embarrassing episodes—but the war continues. I'm skeptical this will significantly alter Moscow's perception of whether to continue the war because bringing the war to Russia has not led to significant political pressure on Putin and Ukraine is clearly very important to Putin. This strike is important because it will degrade Russia's ability to launch cruise missiles at Ukraine, and will force Russia to shift resources to protect facilities far from Ukraine. Also, the air component is the weakest part of Russia's nuclear triad, and Ukraine has previously targeted these bombers.
I disagree with this. Ukraine has destroyed or damaged Tu-22M3 and Tu-95MS bombers at Russian airbases before, they have repeatedly targeted airbases with Russian strategic aviation (including the recent strike on Engels), large-scale UAV strikes deep into Russian territory (including in the Moscow region) are now common, Ukraine has damaged or destroyed many Russian oil facilities, Ukraine previously did serious damage to the Kerch bridge, Ukraine has killed generals and other officials in Russia, Ukraine struck the Kremlin with a UAV, Ukraine conducted an offensive into Kursk, the Wagner mutiny, etc.
This war has been very costly for Russia and the costs have increased—including many embarrassing episodes—but the war continues. I'm skeptical this will significantly alter Moscow's perception of whether to continue the war because bringing the war to Russia has not led to significant political pressure on Putin and Ukraine is clearly very important to Putin. This strike is important because it will degrade Russia's ability to launch cruise missiles at Ukraine, and will force Russia to shift resources to protect facilities far from Ukraine. Also, the air component is the weakest part of Russia's nuclear triad, and Ukraine has previously targeted these bombers.
vxTwitter / fixvx
ian bremmer (@ianbremmer)
until now, putin hasn’t felt there are serious costs to continuing the war.
ukraine just changed that equation with one of the most extraordinary asymmetrical attacks we’ve seen in modern warfare. russia’s nuclear deterrent / second strike capability stands…
ukraine just changed that equation with one of the most extraordinary asymmetrical attacks we’ve seen in modern warfare. russia’s nuclear deterrent / second strike capability stands…
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Good thread with the details of today's operation. 2/ https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1929132845257109586#m
Good thread with the details of today's operation. 2/ https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1929132845257109586#m
Rob Lee (Twitter)
This was a very successful and cost-effective operation, but the most important way to bring Moscow to the negotiating table is to prevent further Russian advances on the battlefield. Russia has demonstrated it is willing and able to sustain very high costs over the past three and a half years. Convincing Russia's leadership that it cannot improve its position on the battlefield remains critical.
This was a very successful and cost-effective operation, but the most important way to bring Moscow to the negotiating table is to prevent further Russian advances on the battlefield. Russia has demonstrated it is willing and able to sustain very high costs over the past three and a half years. Convincing Russia's leadership that it cannot improve its position on the battlefield remains critical.
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Status-6 (Twitter)
@Alexfly35: Could be Elena Podobrevskaya, a member of the negotiation team, although I'm not sure
@Alexfly35: Could be Elena Podobrevskaya, a member of the negotiation team, although I'm not sure
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
10 Tu-95 Bears have taken off and are flying to launch up to 80 X-101 cruise missiles at Ukraine 🇺🇦
Oh wait, that’s right. That just happened. Tu-95s got a taste of their own medicine
10 Tu-95 Bears have taken off and are flying to launch up to 80 X-101 cruise missiles at Ukraine 🇺🇦
Oh wait, that’s right. That just happened. Tu-95s got a taste of their own medicine
Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)
Putin’s worst fear is now going outside of his bunker and seeing an FPV drone flying towards his head
Putin’s worst fear is now going outside of his bunker and seeing an FPV drone flying towards his head