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Posted by deepstate today, initially posted by Roman Ponomarenko.

👤 A rather interesting publication (t.me/RomPonomarenko/1066) about the analysis of the state of affairs in the east came from Roman Ponomarenko, an officer of the Azov NSU brigade

⚔️ About the loss of control over the situation in Donbas:
For a long time, the situation in Donbas was quite appropriately characterized as "difficult, but controlled." However, now it is out of control. Currently, it seems that our front in Donbas has collapsed. The defense of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is disorganized, the troops are tired, weakened, and many units are demoralized. The replenishment that is received is mostly busified, and does not help, but on the contrary - complicates the combat work of the units.

😓 About the fatigue of both sides, which does not allow the enemy to go far into the depths:
The only reason the Russians do not break through deeply is because their troops are as exhausted as ours. However, they retain a significant numerical advantage, and have unlimited supplies of ammunition. Therefore, their offensive continues, we cannot stop it at the moment. And that is not the reason for the operation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in Kurshchyna.

🤔 About the search for solutions based on the experience of the armies during the Second World War:
What to do? There are several scenarios. Former head of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Zaluzhnyi loved to read Soviet military textbooks from the Second World War (t.me/RomPonomarenko/911) , deepening his military knowledge. Our current command should study the German experience of 1944, when the Wehrmacht constantly faced large-scale crises at the front, and somehow managed to get out of them. In particular, after the defeat of Army Group "Center" in Belarus during the Soviet operation "Bagration". Unfortunately, the problem is that narrow military solutions have a short-term effect, and only postpone the general defeat, as shown by the Second World War.

🇷🇺 The officer doubts that the katsaps will run out quickly even at this rate:
There are also widespread hopes that the Russians have put everything on this offensive, and as a result they will run out of reserves. However, we have been hearing about this for 2 years, but those reserves are somehow not running out.

📋 Summing up everything written above, you need to make changes before it's too late:
From the mundane: it would be worthwhile to introduce more effective measures to improve discipline in the army. Because now the situation is already on the edge, and forcibly mobilized replenishment only deepens it.
t.me/DeepStateUA/20228

RomPonomarenko

Тривалий час становище на Донбасі цілком доречно характеризувалося як «важке, але контрольоване». Проте тепер воно з під контролю вийшло. Наразі виглядає, що наш фронт на Донбасі рухнув. Оборона ЗСУ дезорганізована, війська втомлені, ослаблені, а чимало підрозділів…

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