Dan (Twitter)
@rulepanic @osint_east: To conduct a breakthrough with Abrams or simillar western kit requires concentration of force and logistics. In the current enviroment I described above around Avdiivka that would be very risky and likely fail as there is no cover and it would be seen, so no surprise. It is rather best done on a lightly defended part of the line and when/where any build up can be partly masked by summer foliage thus surprise.
In the meantime if you want to use tanks to defend against current Russia's main effort around Avdiivka it is IMO best to use them individually and in small groups as UAF are doing. The only question for me is how closely you operate them to the front line.
@rulepanic @osint_east: To conduct a breakthrough with Abrams or simillar western kit requires concentration of force and logistics. In the current enviroment I described above around Avdiivka that would be very risky and likely fail as there is no cover and it would be seen, so no surprise. It is rather best done on a lightly defended part of the line and when/where any build up can be partly masked by summer foliage thus surprise.
In the meantime if you want to use tanks to defend against current Russia's main effort around Avdiivka it is IMO best to use them individually and in small groups as UAF are doing. The only question for me is how closely you operate them to the front line.
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Dan (Twitter)
Two new🇷🇺AFV losses South of Stepove one possibly from fire contagion?
A new BMP-1 loss after a 47th Mechanised Bde FPV strike at 48.185293, 37.673995. Then a cook-off + explosion.
The central BTR-80 (a recorded loss) then burns, fire spreads under a new BTR-80 to its left.
3-4🇷🇺KIA are also shown and a 4th wreck of unknown affiliation top left at the end of the film.
Film released 11.02.24. t.me/strikedronescompany/124
Two new🇷🇺AFV losses South of Stepove one possibly from fire contagion?
A new BMP-1 loss after a 47th Mechanised Bde FPV strike at 48.185293, 37.673995. Then a cook-off + explosion.
The central BTR-80 (a recorded loss) then burns, fire spreads under a new BTR-80 to its left.
3-4🇷🇺KIA are also shown and a 4th wreck of unknown affiliation top left at the end of the film.
Film released 11.02.24. t.me/strikedronescompany/124
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Dan (Twitter)
Stepove - Berdychi axis, 3 new🇷🇺BMP losses.
New losses from🇺🇦47th Mechanised Brigade FPV strikes:
Two BMP-2 675-SB3KDZ at 0:11 and 0:41.
A BMP-2 at 0:31.
The T-72B3 Obr. 2022 (likely AT mine strike), BTR-80 and BTR-82AT are recorded losses from late FEB.
From the same film ref⬇️. https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1767145596597441005#m
Stepove - Berdychi axis, 3 new🇷🇺BMP losses.
New losses from🇺🇦47th Mechanised Brigade FPV strikes:
Two BMP-2 675-SB3KDZ at 0:11 and 0:41.
A BMP-2 at 0:31.
The T-72B3 Obr. 2022 (likely AT mine strike), BTR-80 and BTR-82AT are recorded losses from late FEB.
From the same film ref⬇️. https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1767145596597441005#m
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Dan (Twitter)
@giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMapReplying to @666_mancer: Thanks.
The T-72B3 Obr 2022 was earlier geolocated below and the BTR-80 and 82 are located on 'WarSpotting' in the north of Stepove all from last week in February.
The 3 new BMPs still need finding though. https://twitter.com/klinger66/status/1765250014157181355#m
@giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMapReplying to @666_mancer: Thanks.
The T-72B3 Obr 2022 was earlier geolocated below and the BTR-80 and 82 are located on 'WarSpotting' in the north of Stepove all from last week in February.
The 3 new BMPs still need finding though. https://twitter.com/klinger66/status/1765250014157181355#m
Dan (Twitter)
@giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap: Geolocation of the 4 new Russian losses in the film.
The unknown BMP at the end top left has since been determined as a Russian loss as it only shows up in film after the Russians had taken the area. https://twitter.com/giK1893/status/1767139650060087553#m
@giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap: Geolocation of the 4 new Russian losses in the film.
The unknown BMP at the end top left has since been determined as a Russian loss as it only shows up in film after the Russians had taken the area. https://twitter.com/giK1893/status/1767139650060087553#m
Dan (Twitter)
@giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap: Geolocation of the 3rd shown BMP-2 (BMP-2 675-SB3KDZ) in the film above. https://twitter.com/giK1893/status/1767140310809751954#m
@giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap: Geolocation of the 3rd shown BMP-2 (BMP-2 675-SB3KDZ) in the film above. https://twitter.com/giK1893/status/1767140310809751954#m
Dan (Twitter)
@Danspiun @giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap: Correction: Two of the BMP-2 need finding. I since reposted your geo of the 3rd one.
@Danspiun @giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap: Correction: Two of the BMP-2 need finding. I since reposted your geo of the 3rd one.
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Dan (Twitter)
@lost_warinuaReplying to @Danspiun: By the shape and orientation of the surrounding decayed trenches it is likely this MaxxPro which is an already recorded loss from the Zap Oblast area. https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1755249920171192723#m
@lost_warinuaReplying to @Danspiun: By the shape and orientation of the surrounding decayed trenches it is likely this MaxxPro which is an already recorded loss from the Zap Oblast area. https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1755249920171192723#m
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Dan (Twitter)
RT @KofmanMichael: The leading limiting factor for Russian forces this year is likely to be equipment availability, especially given their loss rates - less manpower, or ammunition. The overarching constraint remains a weak capacity to employ forces at scale.
RT @KofmanMichael: The leading limiting factor for Russian forces this year is likely to be equipment availability, especially given their loss rates - less manpower, or ammunition. The overarching constraint remains a weak capacity to employ forces at scale.
CNN
Exclusive: Russia producing three times more artillery shells than US and Europe for Ukraine | CNN Politics
Russia appears on track to produce nearly three times more artillery munitions than the US and Europe, a key advantage ahead of what is expected to be another Russian offensive in Ukraine later this year.
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Dan (Twitter)
@giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap: The blue box for the BMP does not add up in that theory, as there is track behind it seemingly not visible in the 2nd pic and the treeline that should be behind that is not visible.
@giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap: The blue box for the BMP does not add up in that theory, as there is track behind it seemingly not visible in the 2nd pic and the treeline that should be behind that is not visible.
Dan (Twitter)
@giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap: The blue box for the BMP does not add up in that theory, as there is track behind it seemingly not visible in the 2nd pic and the treeline that should be behind that is not visible.
@giK1893 @GeoConfirmed @UAControlMap: The blue box for the BMP does not add up in that theory, as there is track behind it seemingly not visible in the 2nd pic and the treeline that should be behind that is not visible.
Dan (Twitter)
@moklasen @UAControlMap @GeoConfirmed: 914. Battles for the 1st treeline west of Robotyne, approx 05-06 March
215m SE of tweet 913, an abandoned🇷🇺BMP-2 675-SB3KDZ (kit not mounted) was destroyed by a🇺🇦2nd Batt, 128 Mountain Assault Bde FPV strike at 47.43447, 35.81591. Same film ref as twt 913.
https://twitter.com/moklasen/status/1766244844077187382 https://twitter.com/moklasen/status/1766244844077187382#m
@moklasen @UAControlMap @GeoConfirmed: 914. Battles for the 1st treeline west of Robotyne, approx 05-06 March
215m SE of tweet 913, an abandoned🇷🇺BMP-2 675-SB3KDZ (kit not mounted) was destroyed by a🇺🇦2nd Batt, 128 Mountain Assault Bde FPV strike at 47.43447, 35.81591. Same film ref as twt 913.
https://twitter.com/moklasen/status/1766244844077187382 https://twitter.com/moklasen/status/1766244844077187382#m
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Dan (Twitter)
@moklasen: 915. 2nd treeline west of Robotyne, approx 05-06 March.
The same🇺🇦2nd Batt, 128 Mountain Assault Bde film in tweet 913-14 also shows a destroyed RuAF Desertcross 1000-3 ATV at 47.44384,35.80919 (geo in link).
Also 6🇷🇺KIA after drone-drops. One from Akhmat. https://twitter.com/moklasen/status/1766437324676645260#m
@moklasen: 915. 2nd treeline west of Robotyne, approx 05-06 March.
The same🇺🇦2nd Batt, 128 Mountain Assault Bde film in tweet 913-14 also shows a destroyed RuAF Desertcross 1000-3 ATV at 47.44384,35.80919 (geo in link).
Also 6🇷🇺KIA after drone-drops. One from Akhmat. https://twitter.com/moklasen/status/1766437324676645260#m
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Dan (Twitter)
916. West of Robotyne.
Another recent film from the 2nd Battalion of the🇺🇦128th Mountain Assault Brigade shows a very accurate night drone-drop on a Russian soldier.
Film released 08.03.24. https://www.facebook.com/reel/6956499011144676
916. West of Robotyne.
Another recent film from the 2nd Battalion of the🇺🇦128th Mountain Assault Brigade shows a very accurate night drone-drop on a Russian soldier.
Film released 08.03.24. https://www.facebook.com/reel/6956499011144676
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Dan (Twitter)
@Danspiun: Battles for the 1st treeline west of Robotyne.
2nd Batt🇺🇦128 Mountain Assault Bde also show the capture of a Russian after a failed assault.
Location at 47.44549, 35.81895 h/t @john_marquee
Possibly the same one who went off in this direction in tweet 883.https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1765830974128980332 https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1765830974128980332#m
@Danspiun: Battles for the 1st treeline west of Robotyne.
2nd Batt🇺🇦128 Mountain Assault Bde also show the capture of a Russian after a failed assault.
Location at 47.44549, 35.81895 h/t @john_marquee
Possibly the same one who went off in this direction in tweet 883.https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1765830974128980332 https://twitter.com/Danspiun/status/1765830974128980332#m