Status-6 (Twitter)

Polish and NATO warplanes scrambled due to ongoing Russian missile strikes on Ukraine, the Operational Command of the Polish Armed Forces informed. https://twitter.com/DowOperSZ/status/1755098011179303238#m

Status-6 (Twitter)

Explosions reported in the city of Drohobych in Lviv Oblast, western Ukraine.

https://t.me/kozytskyy_maksym_official/12114

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@DenysDavydovUA: They fired cruise missiles at Ukraine, they are in the air space now, explosions were just heard in Kyiv, the power went out for the first time this winter. Explosions were heard in Lviv, Ivano-Frankivsk, Mykolaiv. A missile flew 20km from Poland, Polish fighter jets were raised.

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@ukraine_map @DenysDavydovUA: If there are an additional 9 Tu-95s taking off then this means that more missiles could be fired at Ukraine, and it could be a more massive attack. Big if confirmed.

Russia has about 116 X-101 cruise missiles estimated remaining, as of yesterday before they fired missiles today.

Rob Lee (Twitter)

Video of Ukrainian FPV strikes on Russian vehicles using night optics.
t.me/escadrone/1070

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

RT @solonko1648: Щодо створення нового роду військ безпілотних систем. Хочу звернути увагу на ряд моментів, які позначаються на рівні безпосереднього виконання завдань. Ну бо правильну ідею ще треба реалізувати. А щоб вирішити проблеми, про них треба говорити. 1/

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@Zagonel85 @DenysDavydovUA: Not in this case. These estimates have directly correlated with Russia’s firing rate of cruise missiles, meaning when the estimates of specifics missiles like X-101 decreases to low levels, Russia always either takes a long break or stops firing them for a while, or increases usage of other missiles with higher stockpiles.

I have adjusted these estimates to be more conservative to what is reported and increased Russia’s production of missiles base on their previous production levels increased. So it’s a more safe estimate, it is likely either the same or slightly higher than what Russia actually has.

Russia also has been confirmed to have fired X-101 cruise missiles recently in Ukraine that were made in the fourth quarter of 2023, this aligns with what the estimates show they would be firing now.

As I have said in the past, these estimates may not be perfect, but they are based on the data I have gathered over the past year and a half of Russian missile strikes. This data correlates with Russia's firing rate. When Russia's stockpile hit an all-time low last year, they stopped firing cruise missiles for three months straight. Recently, Russia had barely fired any Kalibr and X-101 Cruise Missiles before December in order to replenish their stockpile for large Winter missile strikes that are occurring now.

The numbers are primarily based on Ukraine's intelligence reports of Russia's missile production. If the data was incorrect at any point in the past 1.5 years, the number of missiles Russia has would go negative, which it did not.

Additionally, if the data was incorrect, Russia would not be decreasing the intensity of their strikes when the data showed that their missile stocks were at an all-time low. Also, Russia would not be decreasing the usage of one missile and increasing the usage of another missile as soon as one of their missile types was low supply if the data was totally incorrect.

The main point is that these estimates will never be perfect, but they are estimates backed up by Russia’s previous missile usage.

Идзанаги 🇺🇦 🇰🇿 (Twitter)

RT @den_kazansky: Kyiv after attack of the russian butchers

At least 3 people wounded

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@benoliver_1: There is no way that NASAMS would have been made by now since there is 8 others that need to be made before it. Canada needs to agree, this is a simple problem to fix, it is not Canada’s fault, and the systems would come at the same time anyway because it is a production concern.

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@witmiller @Maks_NAFO_FELLA: Canada is the 6th biggest country supporter of Ukraine, and they are not even in Ukraine. They are one of the biggest supporters of Ukraine, it’s a fact

Ukraine Battle Map (Twitter)

@21aar_show: The first two are true, but Kh-59 is not the hardest to shoot down, it’s actually the easiest Russian cruise missile to shoot down, and one of the least destructive.

The hardest missiles to shoot down are Kinzhal, Kh-22, and Iskander-M.

Necro Mancer (Twitter)

Это был российский "Солнцепек". Уже не страшный t.me/russianocontext/1970 #всрф #потерьнет #архив