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Стриминг твитов о российско-украинской войне в ТГ; иногда сообщения также постятся и редактируются вручную
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Rob Lee (Twitter)

There are still important long-term questions about ammunition availability and other variables, but I'm more optimistic about Ukraine' chances after Russia's failed winter offensive and recent announcements of more capable weapons' deliveries from NATO members.
Rob Lee (Twitter)

Russia made some slow and costly gains last spring before that offensive culminated. Similar arguments were made then about the war's trajectory favoring Moscow, but the attrition Russia sustained set the conditions for Ukraine's successful offensives in Kherson and Kharkiv.
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Rob Lee (Twitter)

@Davejackson9876 Yes, but Russia took far more across the front.
Rob Lee (Twitter)

Russian equipment issues are growing, and they are increasingly relying on convicts to fight/hold their lines. I'm skeptical that Russia can restore sufficient offensive potential to make serious gains. The question is whether they can defend the territory they currently control.
Def Mon (Twitter)

@bugg_inu @ConnorMong1 Russian losses are about 10x higher than the 1st Chechen war when it comes to equipment. I wonder where we are at regarding casualties...
Rob Lee (Twitter)

@JayMcvann Clearly some systemic problems. The difference in pay between a commercial airline pilot in China (where there has been substantial demand) and a pilot in the Russian Air Force also became a problem for them.
Def Mon (Twitter)

That is more than 7 times the losses of the 1st Chechen war. Official Russian figures puts deaths at 5,732 but estimates are as high as 14k for the first Chechen war, lets call it a nice and even 10k. So one has to wonder, can we just multiply that by 7 to get 70k KIA?
Def Mon (Twitter)

Keep in mind, this is napkin math...
Def Mon (Twitter)

@jansenart That is not entirely true, you keep stocks so that you don't have to use them. It's is called deterrence. No one will ever be afraid of an army which does not exist.
Def Mon (Twitter)

@TofasLtu I'm not sure how it could have been worse than now.
Def Mon (Twitter)

@bugg_inu @ConnorMong1 No they cant replace it, because they cant get western technology. We have already seen proof of this. They are sending out newly restored tanks with shit optics.
Def Mon (Twitter)

You know you are winning when your enemy spend all their cruise missiles and long range drones attacking your capital city, instead of military targets which make sense. On top of that, most of them are being shot down.
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Def Mon (Twitter)

@HarrisCarl It's actually option 3. They are just fucking terrorists.
Def Mon (Twitter)

@StevenHorrobin Is that the one time it pissed off the population being attacked so much they jumped a little body of water to kick some Nazi ass?
Def Mon (Twitter)

@MikaKorhonen15 @waxmonke Well, cities usually don't move, so they have that going for them
Rob Lee (Twitter)

RT @BDHerzinger: Always worth asking ourselves if we’re justified in asking members to make peacetime sacrifices. Now is the time to treat people as well as possible, not burn them out.