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Def Mon (Twitter)
The best money we ever spent.
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@upholdreality:
Lindsey Graham: "The Russians are dying... it's the best money we've ever spent." https://t.co/Vn1THUjHmO
The best money we ever spent.
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@upholdreality:
Lindsey Graham: "The Russians are dying... it's the best money we've ever spent." https://t.co/Vn1THUjHmO
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Danvan (Twitter)
RT @viking_inc_: Ось що означає Українство.
Вона не шукає хороших чи не хороших рускіх.І не думає як то з ними здороватись.
RT @viking_inc_: Ось що означає Українство.
Вона не шукає хороших чи не хороших рускіх.І не думає як то з ними здороватись.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Russia achieved limited tactical gains at high cost over the winter. Ukraine correctly held back resources and spent time regenerating offensive potential to give itself a better chance of achieving operational-strategic level gains this summer.
https://www.19fortyfive.com/2023/05/sad-reality-the-ukraine-war-is-now-going-russias-way/
Russia achieved limited tactical gains at high cost over the winter. Ukraine correctly held back resources and spent time regenerating offensive potential to give itself a better chance of achieving operational-strategic level gains this summer.
https://www.19fortyfive.com/2023/05/sad-reality-the-ukraine-war-is-now-going-russias-way/
19FortyFive
Sad Reality: The Ukraine War Is Now Going Russia’s Way
Recent evidence indicates the Russian side has made tactical and operational improvements that are having an impact on the ground in Ukraine.
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
If Ukraine had committed all of its resources to the front over the winter, Russia likely wouldn't have made any gains but Ukraine would have reduced its chances for achieving a breakthrough this summer.
If Ukraine had committed all of its resources to the front over the winter, Russia likely wouldn't have made any gains but Ukraine would have reduced its chances for achieving a breakthrough this summer.
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
I think some people assume that both sides commit all of their resources to the front line at all times and that wars are linear, but that isn't how it works. Ukraine has a much better chance of making serious gains this summer than Russia had over the winter.
I think some people assume that both sides commit all of their resources to the front line at all times and that wars are linear, but that isn't how it works. Ukraine has a much better chance of making serious gains this summer than Russia had over the winter.
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
I think the focus on Bakhmut has given some people the wrong perception of the war, conflating a tactical-level battle (Bakhmut) with the strategic level. There were several other battles over the winter and none were successes for Russia.
I think the focus on Bakhmut has given some people the wrong perception of the war, conflating a tactical-level battle (Bakhmut) with the strategic level. There were several other battles over the winter and none were successes for Russia.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@Aintropy Those won't arrive until the ground and weather conditions become worse. Ukraine has to balance a number of factors, including foreign perceptions.
@Aintropy Those won't arrive until the ground and weather conditions become worse. Ukraine has to balance a number of factors, including foreign perceptions.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@Marco_mmabjj Right, mobilization helped Russia stabilize its lines, and for Ukraine to repeat its successes from the fall, it had to spend time training and equipping new units.
@Marco_mmabjj Right, mobilization helped Russia stabilize its lines, and for Ukraine to repeat its successes from the fall, it had to spend time training and equipping new units.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
There are still important long-term questions about ammunition availability and other variables, but I'm more optimistic about Ukraine' chances after Russia's failed winter offensive and recent announcements of more capable weapons' deliveries from NATO members.
There are still important long-term questions about ammunition availability and other variables, but I'm more optimistic about Ukraine' chances after Russia's failed winter offensive and recent announcements of more capable weapons' deliveries from NATO members.
Rob Lee (Twitter)
Russia made some slow and costly gains last spring before that offensive culminated. Similar arguments were made then about the war's trajectory favoring Moscow, but the attrition Russia sustained set the conditions for Ukraine's successful offensives in Kherson and Kharkiv.
Russia made some slow and costly gains last spring before that offensive culminated. Similar arguments were made then about the war's trajectory favoring Moscow, but the attrition Russia sustained set the conditions for Ukraine's successful offensives in Kherson and Kharkiv.
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Rob Lee (Twitter)
Russian equipment issues are growing, and they are increasingly relying on convicts to fight/hold their lines. I'm skeptical that Russia can restore sufficient offensive potential to make serious gains. The question is whether they can defend the territory they currently control.
Russian equipment issues are growing, and they are increasingly relying on convicts to fight/hold their lines. I'm skeptical that Russia can restore sufficient offensive potential to make serious gains. The question is whether they can defend the territory they currently control.
Def Mon (Twitter)
@bugg_inu @ConnorMong1 Russian losses are about 10x higher than the 1st Chechen war when it comes to equipment. I wonder where we are at regarding casualties...
@bugg_inu @ConnorMong1 Russian losses are about 10x higher than the 1st Chechen war when it comes to equipment. I wonder where we are at regarding casualties...
Rob Lee (Twitter)
@JayMcvann Clearly some systemic problems. The difference in pay between a commercial airline pilot in China (where there has been substantial demand) and a pilot in the Russian Air Force also became a problem for them.
@JayMcvann Clearly some systemic problems. The difference in pay between a commercial airline pilot in China (where there has been substantial demand) and a pilot in the Russian Air Force also became a problem for them.
Def Mon (Twitter)
During the first Chechen war, Russia lost:
200 tanks
48 AFVs
302 IFVs
153 APCs
In Ukraine:
1989 tanks
861 AFVs
2365 IFVs
309 APCs
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/11/russias-wars-listing-equipment-losses.html
During the first Chechen war, Russia lost:
200 tanks
48 AFVs
302 IFVs
153 APCs
In Ukraine:
1989 tanks
861 AFVs
2365 IFVs
309 APCs
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/11/russias-wars-listing-equipment-losses.html
Oryx
Russia’s Wars: Listing Equipment Losses During The First Chechen War (1994-1996)
By Stijn Mitzer and Joost Oliemans For a list of Russian equipment losses during the 2008 Russo-Georgian War click here. The First Chechen War was fought between Russia and the Chechen Republic of Ichkeria from December 1994 to August 1996, ultimately…
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